Introduction to Geography Chapter 5: Population, Population Increase and Migration Population ► Population geography Distribution of humankind Internal population dynamics ►Birth rates & death rates ► Emigration ► Immigration ► Demography Specific group characteristics Distribution and Density ► Population 6.8 billion (2010) ► Major concentrations East Asia South Asia Europe from Atlantic to Ural mountains ► Secondary concentrations Southeast Asia Eastern U.S. & Canada Cartogram of World Population Population Density ► Arithmetic density Number of people per unit of land ► Physiological density Density of population per unit cropland ► Carrying capacity Theoretical maximum number of people a piece of land can support, given: ► Physical qualities of the land ► Social, technological, & economic systems of society Factors Influencing Population Distribution ► Climate Low density: hot, cold, dry High density: warm midlatitudes ► Topography and soils Flat areas = easier cultivation Accessibility to water Fertile soils ► History Domestication of plants & animals Demarcation of cultural & political territories World Population Growth ► Crude birth rate ► Crude death rate ► Natural increase ► Natural decrease ► Total fertility rate ► Replacement rate Projections ►Projection: future prediction, assuming current trends continue ►Zero population growth ►Doubling time Rates of Annual Population Increase Population Pyramids ► Population pyramids Age & gender of population ► Dependency ratio Proportion of population of working age ►Ages 15-64 Median Ages of National Populations Demographic Transition Model ► Stage 1 (pre-transition) Crude birth/death rate high Little growth ► Stage 2 (early expanding) Lower death rates Infant mortality rate Natural increase high ► Stage 3 (late expanding) Indicative of richer developed countries Higher standards of living/ education ► Stage 4 (post-transition) Crude birth/death rate low Stable ► Stage 5 (declining?) Crude Death Rates Total Fertility Rates (1950) Total Fertility Rates (2010) Fertility Transition ► Decline in fertility rates in rich countries, 1800s ► Trends in poor countries today Much faster decline than in today’s rich countries Not necessarily associated with better living conditions ► Reasons for decline Government programs/policies Availability of contraceptives Status of women Diffusion of changing attitudes toward fertility Epidemiological Transition ► Epidemiology: Study of incidence, distribution, & control of disease ► Control of infectious diseases caused by pathogens ► Infectious diseases still present in poor countries 1. 2. 3. 4. Pneumonia Diarrheal disease HIV/AIDS Tuberculosis ► Degenerative diseases leading cause of death in rich countries Heart disease Obesity Tobacco use HIV/AIDS, Ages 15-49, 2007 Overpopulation? ► Malthusian theory Pessimistic perspective Thomas Malthus ► Population grows faster than food supply ► Preventive checks ► Positive checks ► Cornucopians Optimistic perspective Jean Antoine Condorcet ► Improvements in production ► Lower birth rates with education & prosperity Demographic Patterns ►Normal sex ratio: 105 boys to 100 girls at birth ►Current sex ratio at birth: 107 boys to 100 girls Higher child mortality among boys, so about even by adulthood Cultural preference for males New technology ► Ultrasound ► Amniocentesis Demographic Patterns ► Rich countries: over 60 population = 20% of population Sustaining growth Equitably distributing wealth ►Facilities for elderly ► Medical research on degenerative diseases ► Pension plans ► Total fertility rates below replacement level ► Poor countries also aging Nutrition Care of elderly Pensions Migration ► Push factor Drive away people ► Pull factor Attract people ► Undocumented immigrants ► Chain migration Migration of Peoples ► Origin ago) of humanity in Africa (150,000-200,000 years Asia: 56,000-73,000 years ago Europe: 39,000-51,000 years ago Americas? ~50,000 years ago ► Races Genetically 99% the same Racism: Belief in superiority of one race over another Prehistoric Human Migrations Migration of Peoples ► Europe to Americas ► African diaspora ► Europe to Asia & Oceania ► Europe to Russia ► Europe to Australia & New Zealand ► Europe to Africa ► Indian ► Chinese Migration Today 2010 = 214 million living outside country of birth ► Young, ambitious, hardworking ► Contrasting socioeconomic characteristics ► Poor, uneducated, unskilled versus Highly educated & skilled ► For rich countries Population aging, declining Need for ► Labor ► Contributions to pension funds Migration Today ► Refugees No protection until twentieth century Geneva Convention (1951) definition ► Outside home country ► Fear of persecution for religious, political, nationality, social group Asylum: safety in host country Estimated 10 million (2009) + 22 million “of concern” ► Internally displaced persons: Within country of origin ► Economic refugees International Migration ► Concerns In addition to legal immigrants, unknown numbers of undocumented migrants Immigrants in peak childbearing years Concentrated in a few places in the host country Slow assimilation to new country “Compassion fatigue” Possible competition for jobs ► Force of population growth in poor countries ► Workers’ remittances International Migration ► To Europe 19.5 million non-Europeans in EU (3.9% of EU population) Problems ► Addition of Asians and ► Many migrants Muslim ► Employment Africans in population Curtailment of asylum Increased illegal immigration Definition of citizenship ► Of Asians 5 million work abroad Remittances important Guest workers in oil-rich countries Restricted immigration to Japan Migration to the US & Canada ► United States Largest migration flow over last 150 years 12.5% of U.S. population foreign-born Legal restrictions ► Few legal restrictions until late 19th century ► Canada 20% of population foreign-born 60% of immigrants from Asia 90% in metropolitan areas New Controversies ► Brain Drain Lack of appropriate jobs for educated youth Desire for political freedom Foreign graduate education Additional costs for public services? ► Importing poverty? ► Local costs of immigration ► “Melting pot” or “cultural mosaic”? ► End of Chapter 5