Economics Chapter 2 Unemployment Unemployment A person is unable to find a job although he is able and willing to work. Jobless ≠ Unemployed Employed population Labour force Unemployed population Population Non-labour force Labour force (The Census and Statistics Department of Hong Kong) Labour force means Employed population 1. All people aged 15 or above who work for payment and profit. Including Self-employed people 自僱人士 (e.g. newspaper stand owner) Employers 僱主 (e.g. the boss of a company) Employees 僱員 (e.g. the salesperson of a shop) Family members working for a family business without pay Paid apprentices 受薪學徒 Labour force (The Census and Statistics Department of Hong Kong) Labour force means Unemployed population 2. All people aged 15 or above who are jobless Do not work for payment or profit Looking for jobs Able to work anytime. Labour force (The Census and Statistics Department of Hong Kong) In short, labour force refers to residents in a region who are able and willing to work anytime. Labour force = Employed population + Unemployed population Non-labour force Non-labour force means all residents who are not classified as employed or unemployed. Including: People aged under 15 Retirees (no plan to work to earn incomes) Permanently disabled (incapable to work) Housewives (no plan to work to earn incomes) Full-time students (no plan to work to earn incomes) HK’s situation At the end of 2010 Population = 7,097,600 (approximate) Jan – Mar, 2011 Labour force = 3,701,800 (approximate) Employed = 3,577,300 Unemployed = 124,500 Non-labour force = 3,395,800 (approximate) Check point (Textbook p.49) Who is classified as unemployed? Classified as unemployed? Reason Mr. Chu can’t work permanently after an accident and relies on the CSSA. Yes / No - Unable to work After university graduation, Miss Chan works as a private tutor at home. Yes / No - Working for payment Mrs. Wong, a retiree, provides community services and volunteer work. Yes / No - Not belong to labour force Yes / No - Jobless - Able and willing to work Ted, aged 16, has not been able to find a job since graduation from secondary school. Types of unemployment 1. 2. Frictional Unemployment a temporary condition. individual is out of his current job and looking for another job. The time period of shifting between two jobs is known as frictional unemployment. Structural Unemployment: structural changes within an economy. mismatch of skilled workers in the labor market. Individual has low geographical mobility low occupational mobility technological change Types of unemployment 3. 4. Classical Unemployment also known as the real wage unemployment or disequilibrium unemployment. when trade unions and labor organization bargain for higher wages, which leads to fall in the demand for labour. Cyclical Unemployment: recession aggregate demand for goods and services decreases demand for labor decreases Types of unemployment 5. Seasonal Unemployment: due to the seasonal nature of the job is known as seasonal unemployment. e.g. tourism industries, fruit picking industries Seasonal unemployment in HK May and July: Unemployment A large number of graduates (universities and secondary schools) join the labour market. Students seek for part-time job during summer vacation. Fresh graduates are hard to find work. September: Unemployment Some graduates return back to school for further studies Part-time students have school re-open Unemployment rate 𝑼𝒏𝒆𝒎𝒑𝒍𝒐𝒚𝒆𝒅 𝒑𝒐𝒑𝒖𝒍𝒂𝒕𝒊𝒐𝒏 Unemployment rate = 𝑳𝒂𝒃𝒐𝒖𝒓 𝒇𝒐𝒓𝒄𝒆 𝒙 𝟏𝟎𝟎% Year Labour force (thousand) Employed population (thousand) Unemployed population (thousand) Unemployment rate 2009 3,000 2,850 150 5% 2010 3,200 2,976 224 7% 2011 3,500 3,300 200 5.71% Unemployment rate in HK HK Unemployment rate (1997-2010) Unemployment rate (%) 9.0 2003 8.0 SARS Outbreak 7.0 2003 onward 6.0 CEPA 5.0 4.0 2001 3.0 911 Terrorist Attack 2008 2.0 Financial Tsunarmi 1998 1.0 Financial Crisis 0.0 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 Year 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Underemployment An employed person Involuntarily works less than 35 hours a week Able to work more Underemployment population 就業不足人口 Underemployment rate 就業不足率 𝑼𝒏𝒅𝒆𝒓𝒆𝒎𝒑𝒍𝒐𝒚𝒆𝒅 𝒑𝒐𝒑𝒖𝒍𝒂𝒕𝒊𝒐𝒏 Underemployment rate = 𝑳𝒂𝒃𝒐𝒖𝒓 𝒇𝒐𝒓𝒄𝒆 𝒙 𝟏𝟎𝟎% Cost of unemployment Cost to the unemployed No income Low living standard to individual / family Mental problem Stress and frustration low self-esteem bad family relationship Unable to accumulate human capital e.g. experience Less able to work or find a job Long-term unemployment Cost of unemployment Cost to the society Losses in output Hinder the growth in productivity Unable to accumulate experience low productivity Social / Criminal problems Labour resources are not fully utilized Not full employment No maximum national income Domestic violence Divorce Emotional problem Theft or other criminal cases Discourage social harmony Hostility to the rich Cost of unemployment Financial assistance to unemployed / Unemployment benefits A kind of transfer payment. (not cost to the society) Unemployment benefits Increase in gov’t expenses Social welfare expenses, C.S.S.A. Subsidies on vocational training Increase the gov’t financial burden Decrease in gov’t income Less salaries tax revenue Inadequacy of unemployment rate The unemployment rate can’t fully reflect changes in economic welfare. Unemployment rate over-estimates the problem if False report of unemployment Value of leisure time Unemployed more leisure time beneficial Frictional unemployment Some people may give up job for financial assistance Looking for better job Unemployment rate under-estimates the problem if Underemployment Unemployment rate can’t show the problem of underemployment Should the gov’t increase unemployment assistance? Individuals For: Unemployed can have wealth redistribution Better living Against: Taxpayers need to share higher tax burden Society For: Fewer personal / family / social problems Against: incentive to report unemployment Economy Against: incentive to work or find a job tax rate to support financial assistance cost of investigation Questions on unemployment Which of the following is regarded as unemployment? A. Ken is a full-time student. B. Fanny is unable to find a job after quitting her previous position. C. Frankie is not looking for a job because he is permanently disabled. D. Siu Mei is working in a family tuck shop without pay. Answer: B Which of the following belongs to the labour force? A. A retiree. B. A full-time housewife. C. A university graduate who is jobless and has been looking for a job since graduation. D. A student who studies in Japan returns to Hong Kong during the holidays. Answer: C Questions on unemployment Study the following data about employment in an economy: Employed Number (thousand) 900 Unemployed 100 Under-employed 70 Calculate the unemployment rate and the underemployment rate. Answer: The unemployment rate = = 𝑼𝒏𝒆𝒎𝒑𝒍𝒐𝒚𝒆𝒅 𝒑𝒐𝒑𝒖𝒍𝒂𝒕𝒊𝒐𝒏 𝑳𝒂𝒃𝒐𝒖𝒓 𝒇𝒐𝒓𝒄𝒆 100 𝒙 900+100 The underemployment rate = = 𝒙 𝟏𝟎𝟎% 𝟏𝟎𝟎% = 10% 𝑼𝒏𝒅𝒆𝒓𝒆𝒎𝒑𝒍𝒐𝒚𝒆𝒅 𝒑𝒐𝒑𝒖𝒍𝒂𝒕𝒊𝒐𝒏 𝑳𝒂𝒃𝒐𝒖𝒓 𝒇𝒐𝒓𝒄𝒆 70 𝒙 900+100 𝟏𝟎𝟎% = 7% 𝒙 𝟏𝟎𝟎% Questions on unemployment If the underemployed population decreases and the labour force increases, which of the following conclusions can we draw? (1) The unemployed population will increase. (2) The underemployment rate will decrease. (3) The unemployment rate will decrease. A. (2) only B. (3) only C. (2) and (3) only D. (1), (2) and (3) Answer: A If the employed population decreases and the labour force increases, (1) the unemployment rate must increase. (2) the unemployed population must increase. (3) the underemployment rate will decrease. A. (1) and (2) only B. (1) and (3) only C. (2) and (3) only D. (1), (2) and (3) Answer: A Questions on unemployment John plans to quit his job and further his studies. Explain whether he will be classified as unemployed. (2%) Answer: Unemployment refers to a person who is willing and able to work but does not find a job. (1%) John is not unemployed because he is not going to find a job. (1%) John is unemployed and is receiving unemployment benefits. Explain whether unemployment benefits are the cost of unemployment to society. (2%) Answer: No. Unemployment benefits are only a kind of transfer payment. (1%) John receives the money that is paid by the government. Society as a whole does not bear any cost. (1%) Questions on unemployment a. b. The following is the data of a country. Year The employed The underemployed The unemployed The unemployment rate 2007 9,000 500 750 7.7% 2008 9.200 450 800 8% 2009 10,500 300 1,500 12.5% Fill in the blanks in the table. (3%) State TWO costs of unemployment to society. (4%) Answer: - Reduced social output. - Reduced overall human capital accumulation, leading to slower in productivity growth of the economy. - Increased crime rate.