Pretest/Posttest/Group ANCOV The Univariate Approach Airport Search Data • • • • Passengers at RDU in Sept., 2004 Race: 1 = Caucasian, 2 = Arab Sex: 1 = Male, 2 = Female Pre = Prior to 9/11, how many times searched on 10 international flights. • Post = same, but after 9/11. Posttest Only Scores • Independent t comparing the groups. • Less powerful that other techniques Mixed Factorial ANOVA • Y = Time Race Time x Race Tests of Within-Subjects Contrasts Measure:MEASURE_1 Type III Sum Source PostPre of Squares PostPre Linear 288.364 PostPre * race Linear 76.364 Error(PostPre) Linear 180.491 df Mean Square 1 288.364 F 84.676 Sig. .000 1 76.364 22.424 .000 53 3.405 The interaction is of greatest importance, and it is significant Simple Effects of Time, Arabs Paired Samples Statisticsa Mean Pair 1 Std. Error Mean Std. Deviation N Post-9-11 Pre-9-11 Post-9-11 - Pre-9-11 7.67 21 3.512 .766 2.62 21 1.161 .253 Paired Differences 95% Confidence Interval of the Difference Sig. (2tailed) Lower Upper t df 3.397 6.698 6.379 20 .000 Caucasians Paired Samples Statisticsa Pair 1 Post-9-11 Pre-9-11 Post-9-11 - Pre-9-11 Mean 2.82 1.21 N Std. Deviation 34 1.290 34 1.572 Std. Error Mean .221 .270 Paired Samples Testa Paired Differences 95% Confidence Interval of the Difference Lower Upper t df 1.016 2.219 5.473 33 Sig. (2tailed) .000 Independent t on Difference Scores • Diff = Post minus Pre Group Statistics race Post Minus Pre Arab Caucasian N 21 34 Mean Std. Deviation 5.0476 3.62596 1.6176 1.72354 Std. Error Mean .79125 .29558 Independent Samples Test t-test for Equality of Means Post Minus Pre Equal variances assumed t 4.735 df Sig. (2-tailed) 53 .000 Equivalent to F test of Interaction • t test on difference scores is absolutely equivalent to F test of interaction • t(53) = 4.735, p < .001 • Square that t: 4.735**2 = 22.42 • F(1, 53) = 22.42 • The t will always have the same p as does the F. Analysis of Covariance • Post = Pre Group Dependent Variable:Post-9-11 Type III Sum of Squares Source Corrected Model 310.064a Intercept 437.205 pre 5.563 race 214.378 Error 296.045 Total 1807.000 Corrected Total 606.109 df 2 1 1 1 52 55 54 Mean Square 155.032 437.205 5.563 214.378 5.693 F 27.231 76.795 .977 37.655 Sig. .000 .000 .327 .000 Notice that the F for race is even larger than obtained earlier for the interaction. The ANCOV is more powerful. Least Squares Means Race Dependent Variable:Post-9-11 Race Mean Std. Error 95% Confidence Interval Lower Upper Bound Bound Arab 7.469 .558 6.350 8.588 Caucasian 2.946 .427 2.088 3.803 The two groups differ significantly on posttest scores after adjusting for the pretest scores. Which Procedure Should I Use? • Monte Carlo work has shown that the ANCOV will give more power than will the Time x Groups ANOVA. • But you may still want to look at the magnitude of the pre/post difference within each group.