8 AGGREGATE DEMAND AND AGGREGATE SUPPLY ________________________________________________________________________ CHAPTER OUTLINE Aggregate Demand Aggregate Supply Shifts in Aggregate Demand and Aggregate Supply Causes of Inflation How the Government Can Influence (But Probably Not Control) the Economy Summary LEARNING OBJECTIVES LO1: Apply and manipulate the aggregate supply and aggregate demand model of macroeconomics. LO2: Explain why the aggregate demand curve is downward sloping and why there is controversy over the shape of the aggregate supply curve. LO3: List the variables that shift these curves and understand how the shifting translates into price and output impacts. LO4: Discriminate between demand-pull and cost-push inflation. LO5: Summarize what is meant by supply-side economics. KEY TERMS Aggregate demand (AD) - the amounts of real domestic output that domestic consumers, businesses, governments, and foreign buyers collectively will desire to purchase at each possible price level. Real-balances effect- because higher prices reduce real spending power, prices and output are negatively related. Foreign purchases effect- when domestic prices are high relative to their imported alternatives, we will export less to foreign buyers and we will import more foreign producers. Therefore, higher prices lead to less domestic output. Interest rate effect- higher prices lead to inflation, which leads to less borrowing and a lowering of RGDP. Aggregate supply (AS) – the level of real domestic output available at each possible price level. 2 Chapter 8 Demand-pull inflation- inflation caused by an increase in aggregate demand. Cost-push inflation- inflation caused by a decrease in aggregate supply. Supply-side economics- government policy intended to influence the economy through aggregate supply by lowering input costs and reducing regulation. PROBLEMS 1. What impact would the following events have on the aggregate demand (AD) or aggregate supply (AS) curve, other things being equal? Put a check in the appropriate box to indicate: a. which of the curves would shift, and b. whether the curve would decrease and shift to the left or increase and shift to the right. Aggregate Demand Decrease to the Left a. A weaker U.S. dollar b. Consumers lose confidence as job layoffs increase c. Government decreases regulation of industries d. A technological improvement in urban transportation e. OPEC raises oil prices f. The Federal Reserve lowers interest rates g. Government gives consumers a tax rebate h. A heat wave destroys many crops in the United States i. Imports into the United States increase j. Labor productivity increases Increase to the Right Aggregate Supply Decrease to the Left Increase to the Right Aggregate Demand and Aggregate Supply 3 2. Price Level (A) Price Level P2 AS AD1 (B) AS AD1 P1 AD2 P1 AD2 ________________________ Q1 Q2 Real GDP ____________________________ Q1 Real GDP AS2 Price Level Price Level AS AS1 AD1 P2 (C) P2 P1 (D) P1 AD2 Q1 Q2 Real GDP AD Q2 Q1 Real GDP For the above diagrams, circle the appropriate answer, and describe the curve shift that caused this result. a. Diagram A indicates (demand-pull inflation / cost-push inflation / no inflation), because __________________________________________________________ . When AD increases in the Keynesian range, the price level ______ and the output level ________ . b. Diagram B indicates (demand-pull inflation / cost-push inflation / no inflation), because __________________________________________________________ . When AD increases in the Classical range, the price level _______ and the output level _______ . c. Diagram C indicates (demand-pull inflation / cost-push inflation / no inflation), because __________________________________________________________ . When AD increases in the intermediate range, the price level ______ and the output level ______ . d. Diagram D indicates (demand-pull inflation / cost-push inflation / no inflation), because __________________________________________________________ . When AS decreases, the price level _____________ and the output level _____________ . 4 Chapter 8 3. In the diagrams below, illustrate what happens to prices (inflation) and to output by shifting the appropriate aggregate demand and/or supply curve. Be sure to note the new equilibrium price level and output. Price Level Price Level AS P1 AS P1 AD _____________________________________ 0 Q1 Real GDP a. A tax cut AD ___________________________________ 0 Q1 Real GDP b. An increase in the price of oil 4. a. Use the data below to plot an aggregate demand and an aggregate supply curve in the chart on the next page. b. Identify: the equilibrium price level _____________ the equilibrium output _______________ Price Level Aggregate Domestic Output Supplied (In billions) Aggregate Demand (In billions) 100 $100 100 200 100 300 100 400 $800 125 500 700 150 600 600 175 700 500 200 700 400 225 700 300 Aggregate Demand and Aggregate Supply 5 AGGREGATE DEMAND AND SUPPLY Price Level (Index) 250 200 150 100 50 0 $0 $200 $400 $600 $800 $1,000 Billions Real GDP Output c. Answer the following based on the above table and chart: i. What income level(s) is (are) associated with the Keynesian range of the aggregate supply curve? ________________________________________________________ What accounts for the shape? __________________________________________________________ ________________________________________________________ ii. What income level(s) is (are) associated with the Intermediate range of the aggregate supply curve? _________________________________________________________ What accounts for the shape? ___________________________________________________________ _________________________________________________________ iii. What income level(s) is (are) associated with the Classical range of the aggregate supply curve? _________________________________________________________ What accounts for the shape? _________________________________________________________ 6 Chapter 8 5. What is the shape of the aggregate supply curve under each of the following conditions? a. Each person who wants a job can have one, if he or she is willing to work at the market wage rate. b. Some industries are at full employment, while others are not. c. There are always more people willing to work than there are jobs. SELF TEST --- MULTIPLE-CHOICE QUESTIONS 1. When economists say that the economy is at full-employment, they mean that a. there is no frictional unemployment. b. there is no seasonal unemployment. c. there is no structural unemployment. d. there is no cyclical unemployment. 2. The Classical economists believe that a. there is no cyclical unemployment. b. there is always a high level of unemployment. c. the aggregate supply curve is perfectly Keynesian. d. there is involuntary unemployment. 3. The Keynesian economists believe that a. there is no cyclical unemployment. b. there is never a high level of unemployment. c. the aggregate supply curve is perfectly Classical. d. there is involuntary unemployment. 4. The Keynesian portion of the aggregate supply curve is a. downward sloping. b. upward sloping. c. horizontal. d. vertical. 5. The Classical portion of the aggregate supply curve is a. downward sloping. b. upward sloping. c. horizontal. d. vertical. 6. The Intermediate portion of the aggregate supply curve is a. downward sloping. b. upward sloping. c. horizontal. d. vertical. Aggregate Demand and Aggregate Supply 7. When aggregate demand increases in the Keynesian range of the aggregate supply curve, a. the price level increases and the output increases. b. the price level stays the same and the output increases. c. the price level increases and the output stays the same. d. the price level increases and the output decreases. 8. When aggregate demand increases in the Intermediate range of the aggregate supply curve, a. the price level increases and the output increases. b. the price level stays the same and the output increases. c. the price level increases and the output stays the same. d. the price level increases and the output decreases. 9. When aggregate demand increases in the Classical range of the aggregate supply curve, a. the price level increases and the output increases. b. the price level stays the same and the output increases. c. the price level increases and the output stays the same. d. the price level increases and the output decreases. 10. When aggregate supply decreases, a. the price level increases and the output increases. b. the price level stays the same and the output increases. c. the price level increases and the output stays the same. d. the price level increases and the output decreases. 11. All of the following will result in a leftward shift of the aggregate supply curve, except a. an increase in oil prices. b. an increase in government regulation. c. an improvement in technology. d. a decrease in productivity. 12. All of the following will result in a leftward shift of the aggregate demand curve, except a. an increase in taxes paid by individuals. b. an decrease in government spending. c. monetary policy that purposefully decreases interest rates. d. a decline in consumer confidence. 13. Other things equal, a increase in regulation will shift a. AD to the right (cause it to increase). b. AD to the left (cause it to decrease). c. AS to the right (cause it to increase). d. AS to the left (cause it to decrease). 14. Other things equal, an improvement in productivity will shift a. AD to the right (cause it to increase). b. AD to the left (cause it to decrease). c. AS to the right (cause it to increase). d. AS to the left (cause it to decrease). 7 8 Chapter 8 15. Other things equal, a strong dollar will shift a. AD to the right (cause it to increase). b. AD to the left (cause it to decrease). c. AS to the right (cause it to increase). d. AS to the left (cause it to decrease). 16. Other things equal, a decline in interest rates will shift a. AD to the right (cause it to increase). b. AD to the left (cause it to decrease). c. AD to the left (cause it to decrease) and AS to the right (cause it to increase). d. AS to the left (cause it to decrease). 17. Cost-push inflation is caused by which of the following, other things equal? a. An increase in input costs. b. A decrease in government regulation. c. A decrease in government spending. d. Monetary policy that purposefully decreases interest rates. 18. Demand-pull inflation is caused by which of the following, other things equal? a. An increase in input costs. b. A decrease in government regulation. c. A decrease in government spending. d. Monetary policy that purposefully decreases interest rates. 19. Inflation would not result, if aggregate demand shifts to the right in the a. classical range of the aggregate supply curve. b. intermediate range of the aggregate supply curve. c. Keynesian range of the aggregate supply curve. d. none of the above. 20. Which of the following is not considered an aspect of supply-side economics? a. Policies to reduce input costs. b. Large cuts in the personal income taxes of individuals. c. Investment tax credits to business. d. Reduced regulation to the transportation industry. 21. Which of the following is an argument of those who oppose supply-side economic policies? a. The policies increase the incentive to take risks. b. The policies increase the incentives to innovate. c. The policies increase incentives increase government spending on things such as national defense. d. The policies remove impediments created by government regulation. 22. What happened to the value of the U.S. dollar relative to the Euro from August to November of 2008? a. It depreciated slightly b. It depreciated by 25% c. It appreciated by 25% d. It appreciated slightly Aggregate Demand and Aggregate Supply 9 23. What caused the short spike in inflations during 2007 through early 2008? a. A decrease in interest rates b. Anincrease of world price of crude oil c. Government spending d. Tax cuts SELF TEST --- TRUE / FALSE QUESTIONS T F 1. According to the real balances effect, higher prices cause the real value of wealth and savings to decrease, and this in turn, causes the level of spending to decrease. T F 2. According to the interest rate effect, higher prices and inflation cause the interest rates to fall, and this in turn, causes the level of spending to increase. T F 3. According to the foreign purchases effect, higher prices in the United States cause Americans to reduce their imports from abroad and foreigners to increase their purchases of U.S. exports. This will increase the buying of American products. T F 4. Keynesian economists believe that we are always at full employment. T F 5. The vertical portion of the aggregate supply curve is called the Classical range. T F 6. Inflation caused by an increase in oil prices is called demand-pull inflation. T F 7. An improvement in technology will shift the aggregate demand curve to the right. T F 8. An increase in personal income taxes or a decrease in government spending will shift aggregate demand to the left. T F 9. Movements of the aggregate supply curve to the right have only good consequences: inflation is reduced and real GDP is increased. T F 10. An income tax rebate to consumers will shift the aggregate supply curve to the right. T F 11. Advocates of supply-side economics argue for more government regulations to control pollution. 10 Chapter 8 ANSWERS TO STUDY QUESTIONS PROBLEMS 1. Aggregate Demand Decrease to the Left Increase to the Right Decrease to the Left Increase to the Right X a. A weaker U.S. dollar b. Consumers lose confidence as job layoffs increase Aggregate Supply X c. Government decreases regulation of industries X d. A technological improvement in urban transportation X X e. OPEC raises oil prices f. The Federal Reserve lowers interest rates X g. Government gives consumers a tax rebate X X h. A heat wave destroys many crops in the United States i. United States imports rise X j. Labor productivity increases X 2. a. Diagram A indicates no inflation because aggregate demand increases. When AD increases in the Keynesian range, the price level remains unchanged and the output level increases. b. Diagram B indicates demand-pull inflation because aggregate demand increases. When AD increases in the Classical range, the price level rises and the output level remains the same. c. Diagram C indicates demand-pull inflation because aggregate demand increases. When AD increases in the Intermediate range, the price level rises and the output level rises. d. Diagram D indicates cost-push inflation because aggregate supply decreases. When AS decreases, the price level rises and the output level falls. Aggregate Demand and Aggregate Supply 11 3. a. A Tax Cut b. An Increase in the Price of Oil AS2 Price Level Price Level AS AS1 AD1 P2 P2 P1 P1 AD2 Q1 Q2 AD Real GDP Q2 Q1 Prices Rise and Total Output Increases Prices Rise and Total Output Falls 4. a. AGGREGATE DEMAND AND SUPPLY Price Level (Index) 250 AS 200 150 100 AD 50 0 $0 $200 $400 $600 $800 $1,000 Billions Real GDP Output b. The equilibrium price level = 150 The equilibrium output = $600 billion c. Keynesian Range: Intermediate Range: Classical Range: Real GDP $100 billion, $200 billion, $300 billion, $400 billion The price level remains the same as the total output rises. $500 billion, $600 billion Total output increases as the price level rises. $700 billion The total output remains the same as the price level rises. 12 Chapter 8 5. a. The aggregate supply curve is vertical b. The aggregate supply curve is upward sloping c. The aggregate supply curve is horizontal MULTIPLE-CHOICE QUESTIONS 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. D A D C D 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. B B A C D 11. 12. 13. 14. 15. C C D C B 16. 17. 18. 19. 20. TRUE / FALSE QUESTIONS 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. T F F F T 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. F F T T F 11. F A A D C B 21. C 22. C 23. B