Get that Program!! FLIP50 2.2 Standard Normal Calculations So How do We Compare Does It Make Sense the Seemingly Incomparable? Variable Vs. x POO x Milk Vs. …Using the Standard Normal Distribution This is a normal distribution with a µ = 0 and σ = 1 If we change our Data into values that fit this curve, then we can compare the incomparable!!! Z- Score z x x = observation; µ = mean of that distribution σ = std dev of that distribution What’s A Z Score? Z Score: An observation’s relative position to it’s mean Tells how many STANDARD UNITS an observation is from the mean Let‘s look at dairy cow poo production for example… Average Dairy Cow Daily Poo Production Frankie Farmer’s best cow Bessy produced 147 lbs of poo today. Where is she compared to the rest of the cows? 147 140 z 5 1.4 Std units ABOVE THE 125 130 135 140 145 150 155 This will allow us to help Frankie!! Which one is the better “Pooer”? Chicken Little Average’s 1.6lbs of poo per day Overall Chicken Average: 0.9lbs Std Dev: .3lbs 1.6 .9 z 2.33 .3 Bessy Average’s 152lbs of poo per day Overall Dairy Cow Average: 140lbs Std Dev: 7lbs 152 140 z 1.71 7 Better or Worse? A more positive Z score isn’t always better!! What are some situations where that’s true? Finding Probabilities using table A Change your value to a Z -Score Draw Std Normal Curve and mark position of z value(s) Shade “area” looking for (Table A gives this area…) x Find area in table A, do appropriate math to find shaded region (Table A is only for areas of less than z) Table Practice (straight) 1) 2) Find the following probabilities using the table: z < -.43 .3336 z < 1.32 .9066 Find the following probabilities using the table in a distribution with µ= 64.5 and σ = 2.5: x < 68 .9192 x < 58 .0047 Finding Probabilities for “other” Regions Fancy Math Subtracting different regions Visualization z > 1.5 .0668 1 z < 1.5 .9332 Finding Probabilities for “other” Regions Find the area for -1.67 < z < 2.1 Visualize, find table #’s, do the math Visualization -1.67 < z < 2.1 .9346 z < 2.1 z <-1.67 .9821 .0475 Back to the Farm!!! Gertie Produces 4.1 kg of milk per day Natl. Avg = 4.5kg Std Dev. = .25kg 4.1 4.5 z 1.6 .25 1 - .0548 = .9452 Going from z -> x Natl. Avg = 67lbs. Std Dev. = 4.3lbs Sometimes you have a Z-Score and need to know what the real (raw) score is: x ( z ) Willy Whitehorse has been rumored around the barn to produce 2.7 std units of poo. Frankie would like to know how much poo he’ll be shoveling out tonight!!! x (4.3 * 2.7) 67 78.61lbs of POO!!! Are They Normal? Method 1 – Histogram/StemLeaf Construct a histogram or stemplot Look for symmetry about the mean and bell shapedeness Also, mark the 68,95 points on the graph and get a “count” to see if it matches up ○ See if there are the correct percentage of values that fit within the parameters for those percentages (1 or 2σ’s) **Difficult to assess for small data sets Are They Normal? Method 2 – Normal Probability Plot (Calculator) Put Data into a List 1 Var Stats to compare Mean, Median Boxplot to look for symmetry (or Histogram) Normal Probability Plot is the last graph under “Type” in the stat plot screen Zoom Stat to finish the graph If the points shown from a “line” pattern, the data is said to be normal. Are They Normal? The50 Flip50 Program flips a coin 50 Flip Program times and Run the Flip records 50 Program the # of heads. It Fix the window on your does this experiment 100 times and histogram (Xscale) records Look at histogram for the results. normality Stat Plot (see screen capture) Zoom 9 to see the Normal Probability Plot Homework #’s 28-33,36,42-48; Worksheet