The Global Oil Industry BADM 381: September 30, 2008 Kelley Sheehan Kailyin Young Caleb Ganzer Caroline Bobrecki Proven World Oil Reserves Rank Country World Oil - proved reserves (bbl) Date of Information 1,331,000,000,000 1 January 2006 est. 1 Saudi Arabia 264,300,000,000 2007 est. 2 Canada 178,800,000,000 1 January 2006 est. 3 Iran 138,400,000,000 2007 est. 4 Iraq 115,000,000,000 1 January 2007 est. 5 Kuwait 101,500,000,000 2007 est. 6 United Arab Emirates 97,800,000,000 2007 est. 7 Venezuela 79,140,000,000 2007 est. 8 Russia 60,000,000,000 1 January 2006 est. 9 Libya 45,000,000,000 2007 est. 10 Nigeria 37,250,000,000 2007 est. 12 United States 21,760,000,000 1 January 2006 est. https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/rankorder/2178rank.html Petroleum Intelligence Weekly's Ranking of Top Oil Companies Rank 2006 Rank 2005 1 State Ownership % Company Country 1 Saudi Aramco Saudi Arabia 100 2 3 NIOC Iran 100 3 2 Exxon Mobil US 4 5 BP UK 5 4 PDV Venezuela 6 6 Royal Dutch Shell UK/Netherlands 7 7 CNPC China 8 11 ConocoPhillips US 9 8 Chevron US 10 8 Total France https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/rankorder/2178rank.html 100 100 Published December of 2007 Saudi Aramco • Operations in: – Exploration, production, refining, marketing, and international shipping. • The company has approximately one fourth of world oil reserves • The company is headquartered in Dhahran, Saudi Arabia and employs about 52,100 people. • State Owned National Iranian Oil Company (NIOC) • State owned • Involved in: – exploration, refining, and transportation of oil, gas, and petroleum products. The company primarily operates in Iran where it is headquartered in Tehran, Iran • NIOC produces more than 3.9 million barrels of crude oil per day from its 138.4 billion barrels of reserves. Exxon Mobil • Engaged in – exploration and production, refining, and marketing of oil and natural gas. The company is also engaged in the production of chemicals, commodity petrochemicals, and electricity generation. • Exxon also set an annual profit record by earning $40.61 billion last year – nearly $1,300 per second in 2007. Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) • Created in 1960 • Original Member Countries – – – – – Iran Iraq Kuwait Saudi Arabia Venezuela • Objective statement OPEC 149th Conference • Conference of OPEC members met on the 9th and 10th of September • Non-OPEC members attended – Minister of Petroleum of Egypt, the Deputy Prime Minister of the Russian Federation and the Minister of Energy & Mining of the Republic of Sudan, • Discussed – energy market stability and security, enhancing socio-economic development, alleviating poverty and protecting the environment, recognizing that energy is central to the achievement of the Millennium Development Goals US Oil Imports Crude Oil Imports (Top 5 Countries) (Thousand Barrels per Day) Country Jul-08 Jun-08 YTD 2008 Jul-07 YTD 2007 CANADA 1,960 1,883 1,899 1,818 1,872 SAUDI ARABIA 1,661 1,479 1,543 1,434 1,411 MEXICO 1,200 1,124 1,194 1,469 1,457 VENEZUELA 1,187 1,085 1,038 1,167 1,117 741 946 993 890 1,003 NIGERIA Total Imports of Petroleum (Top 5 Countries) (Thousand Barrels per Day) Country Jul-08 Jun-08 YTD 2008 Jul-07 YTD 2007 CANADA 2,383 2,359 2,459 2,386 2,458 SAUDI ARABIA 1,673 1,493 1,558 1,436 1,435 VENEZUELA 1,340 1,215 1,196 1,399 1,363 MEXICO 1,290 1,254 1,302 1,611 1,593 NIGERIA 822 1,020 1,052 906 1,054 China Oil Imports • Half of its imports is from the Middle East • In 2006, one-third of its oil imports from Africa, – Angola, the Republic of Congo, Equatorial Guinea, and Sudan – It has also sought supplies from Chad, Nigeria, Algeria, and Gabon. • The International Energy Agency projects China's net oil imports will jump to 13.1 million barrels per day by 2030 from 3.5 million barrels per day in 2006. Oil Consumption and Consumer Responses to Oil prices Did you know? • The United States alone consumes about 20,687 barrels of petroleum products each day almost half in the form of gasoline? • Next in line is China with about 7,201 • Although the United States is the world’s third largest crude oil producer, less than 35 percent of the crude oil used by U.S. refineries was produced in the United States. • We are the 3rd largest crude oil producer, but most of the petroleum we use is imported. Did You Know? • The United States produces about 10% of the world’s petroleum and consumes 24%. o About 20.7 millions barrels per day, making us the world’s largest petroleum consumer. (2007) How dependent are we on foreign oil? • The United States imported about 58% of the petroleum, that we consumed during 2007. About half of these imports came from the Western Hemisphere. Gasoline (Cents per Gallon) 09/22/08 Change from Price Week Ago Year Ago U.S. 3.718 -.117 .906 East Coast 3.721 -.88 .952 New England 3.601 -.54 .862 Central Atlantic 3.634 -.38 .878 Lower Atlantic 3.821 -.136 1.034 3.754 -.192 .893 Gulf Coast 3.678 -.79 .973 Rocky Mountain 3.651 -.103 .834 West Coast 3.693 -.77 .784 California 3.725 -.79 .764 Midwest Gas Prices now In the U.S. Average: $3.73 A look around the World Nation Gaza Strip Price in USD Regular/Gallon *****$26.50**** Nation Price in USD Regular/Gall on Bolivia $1.95 Turkey $11.18 Iraq $1.44 Netherlands $9.97 Ecuador $1.40 Norway $9.95 Egypt $1.24 Zambia $9.88 Oman $1.18 Denmark $9.29 Findland $9.27 Yemen $1.14 Italy $9.09 Qatar $0.73 Belgium 9.03 Liby $0.50 Portugal $8.85 Saudi Arabia $0.47 Sweden $8.69 Iran $0.41 Iceland $8.68 http://www.portfolio.com/interactive-features/2008/08/Gas-Prices-Around-the-World The winner goes to…. Venezuela: $0.12 per gallon Venezuela has the world's cheapest gas. • Motorists love it. They're buying cars at a record pace. BUT • The nation's capital, Caracas, is having a problem with clogged streets and air pollution. Why Such a big difference? • The main factor in price disparities between countries is government policy, Many European nations tax gasoline heavily, with taxes making up as much as 75 percent of the cost of a gallon of gasoline. • Many of the low prices such as in Venezuela are the result of a big government subsidy. • In a few Latin America and Middle-East nations, such as Venezuela and Saudi Arabia, oil is produced by a government-owned company and local gasoline prices are kept low as a benefit to the nation's citizens. What now? • Since many consumers around the world are paying outrageous prices for gas, they are urging for o o Changes in policies Finding and investing in alternative sources for fuel • Besides the economic need there is also needs because of environmental, geopolitical and sustainability concerns . o Environmental groups have for years been arguing that we shall all have to live radically different lives when the oil reserves are finally exhausted. The benefit of the present oil price hikes could be to focus attention on the possibility of a world less dependent on oil. The truth is that they probably never will be. Oil will simply become too expensive to compete with other fuels. Renewable Resources • Renewable energy is energy generated from natural resources which are renewable (naturally replenished) • Success Stories • Germany Hydropower Solar Power Wind Biomass Requiring utilities to buy renewable power A good idea 80% A bad idea 20% Ethanol • Ethanol is a renewable fuel made from various plant materials, which are called "biomass.” o Examples: Switchgrass, hemp, corn, willow, sugarcane o biofuels emit far fewer greenhouse gasses • United States o corn grain o Food versus fuel debate • Brazil o sugar cane Using more biofuels A good idea 45% A bad idea 55% Total responses to this question: 41876 Hybrids • A hybrid vehicle is a vehicle that uses two or more distinct power sources to propel the vehicle. Power sources include: o On-board or out-board rechargeable energy storage system (RESS) o Gasoline o Hydrogen • The term most commonly refers to Hybrid-electric vehicle (HEV) which includes internal combustion engines and electric motors Nuclear Power • Some people still put their hopes in nuclear power, which makes far less of a contribution to global warming • Today, more than 15% of the world's electricity comes from nuclear power • The long-term radioactive waste storage problems of nuclear power have not been solved. o Concerns about health risks • The world's nuclear industry has had serious accidents. Many people therefore reject new nuclear plants in the belief that more accidents are inevitable. Building more nuclear plants A good idea 79% A bad idea 21% Total responses to this question: 43308 Conservation • Some people suggest that greater concentration on conservation is key o Most of us all over the world still waste fuel on a excessive scale, and the savings we could make by greater efficiency, and by just switching off, are immense. QuickTime™ and a TIFF (Uncompressed) decompressor are needed to see this picture. The Heated Debate on Drilling The heated debate on drilling: • The debate on drilling has been going on since 2004. When Americans began weighing the pros and cons to offshore and Alaskan drilling. • A few pro's: – Lower fuel prices – Less dependency on foreign oil • Con's: – Continue to destroy the environment • • Natural disasters here has spurred even more talk on this debate. Generally because hurricanes in the paths of oil production rigs because they create imbalances to supply and demand which affect the price of gas. Political Standpoints on Drilling: Republicans: • promote supply-side solutions like drilling offshore and in an Alaska wildlife refuge. At the Republican National Conference Presidential Nominee John McCain calls for "Drill Baby Drill" and "Drill Now". Democrats: • mostly push demand-side ideas such as renewable energy sources. • opposition comes from the idea that drilling will affect natural habitats and have a small impact on gas prices. Democratic Presidential Nominee Barack Obama encouraged inflating tires to the proper level instead of drilling. But in August shifted his opposition to drilling saying he could support the new drilling proposal drafted by Congress (Saine). The Oil and Natural Gas Value Chain 1)Exploration- Seismic exploration locates hydrocarbons on land or under the sea 2) Preparing the Drill 3) Drill to receive the resources 4) Extracting the oil 5) Production and Transport:The oil and gas are then transported, either by ship or pipeline, to processing facilities. Facilities remove impurities and convert oil and gas to refined products and petrochemicals we use daily. 6) Market- at the gas pump 1) Seismic Exploration • Seismic waves reflect off rock formations and travel back to hydrophone receivers. • Geologists then estimate the structure and types of formations under land by measuring travel times of the returned energy. • This tells them where to drill. 2) Preparing to drill requires: • Clearing the land and building access roads. • Have a source of water nearby, or drill a water well. • Digging a reserve pit for rock and mud that comes up in the drilling process. Examples of drill ships The Discoverer Deep Seas drill ship sits off the coast of Louisiana as Chevron drills for oil in the Gulf of Mexico. Drilling off the coast of Cuba. continued value chain 3) Drilling: • Drill the surface hole, and after reaching the preset depth, cement the casing so it does not collapse. • Drilling continues in stages: They drill, then run and cement new casings, then drill again. • Run tests to make sure they are at the right depth. 4) Extracting the Oil: • Remove the drill, and place a pump on the well head.The pump system forces the pump up and down, creating a suction that draws oil up through the well. • If the oil is too heavy a second hole is drilled where steam pressure is injected. • Heat from the steam thins the oil, and the pressure pushes it up the well. . 5) Production • Gas and oil are gathered and transported, through pipelines or ships, to processing facilities. • Gasoline and natural gas are used as fuel in the transportation sector. • Oil can be stored in specially built tanks before being processed into products or exported. • Oil and gas can be used as fuel in the generation of electrical power. • Oil and gas are exported either as refined products or crude oil in specialized tankers. 6) Social and Economic Benefit The activities of the oil value chain create wealth in the form of taxes, and dividends for countries and help provide more employment opportunities. Oil Barrel Politics: Running on Volatility The ‘Oil Curse’ • 1970s o o Oil Boom Fast Growth among OPEC nations • 2005 o After decades of sluggish growth, if not recession, over 50% of countries poorer Dutch Disease • 1960s Oil’s Political Effects 1) Economic and Political Instability • Volatile prices = volatile job market • When people are out of work they are more susceptible to violence Oil’s Political Effects 2) Supports Insurgents • Steal & Sell • Extortion • Political Alliances Oil’s Political Effects 3) Increases Separatism • Massive revenues, little disbursement of wealth • Underrepresented locals bear brunt of costs The Oil Producing Countries is relatively fixed, right? Wrong! :( Countries contending for Arctic Ocean Drilling & Shipping Rights • • • • • Canada Denmark Russia Finland USA Russia staking its claim • Russia petitioned UN to extend continental shelf - seeking exclusive exploration rights • 2007, Russia planted a flag on the extreme edge of its continental shelf, under the North Pole Works Cited Freundenrich Ph.D., Craig. "How Oil Drilling Works". 2008 http://science.howstuffworks.com/oil-drilling3.htm National Gas Company of Trinidad and Tobago. "Natural Gas Value Chain". 2007 http://www.ngc.co.tt/knowledge/knowledge_value_chain.htm Reuters, Thomas. "Five Questions about U.S. offshore Drilling" 14 July 2008. http://www.reuters.com/article/newsOne/idUSN1443189420080715?s p=true Saine, Cindy. "Obama Softens His Stance on Offshore Oil Drilling" 02 August 2008 http://www.voanews.com/english/archive/2008-08/2008-08-02voa7.cfm?CFID=42787907 &CFTOKEN=5617557 UTC Energy Investment Series. "The Energy Value Chain" http://www.ttutc.com/news/article/energy/value_chain.pdf http://money.cnn.com/2008/02/01/news/companies/exxon_earnings/ http://www.energyintel.com/documentdetail.asp?document_id=218175 https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-worldfactbook/rankorder/2178rank.html http://www.washingtonpost.com/wpdyn/content/article/2008/06/09/AR2008060900714.html http://www.saudiaramco.com/irj/portal/anonymous http://library.marketlineinfo.com.proxy2.library.uiuc.edu/library/ http://www.opec.org/aboutus/history/history.htm http://www.businessspectator.com.au/bs.nsf/Article/Statement-from-149thMeeting-of-the-OPEC-Conferenc-JC58W?OpenDocument Sources • Borgerson, Scott. “Arctic Meltdown”. Foreign Affairs, March/April 2008 • Carbon-cutters.com (Oily World Image) • Ebrahim-zadeh, Christine . Finance & Development. IMF. V40, 1. March 2003. • media.washingtontimes.com (background image) • Nasa.gov (North Sea Image) • Ross, Michael. “Blood Barrels”. Foreign Affairs, May/June 2008 • Russia-ic.com • Wikimedia.org (OPEC image) • worldproutassembly.org (arctic sea image) Sources •http://72.3.136.90/NACS/Resource/PRToolkit/Ca mpaigns/prtk_gp2008_Resources.htm •http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?sto ryId=6542617 •http://money.cnn.com/galleries/2008/news/0807/ gallery.energy_solutions/13.html •http://www.eia.doe.gov/oil_gas/petroleum/info_g lance/Petroleum.html •http://www.portfolio.com/interactivefeatures/2008/08/Gas-Prices-Around-theWorld •http://www.nytimes.com/2006/04/10/world/ameri cas/10brazil.html