The Firm and Its Goals • • • • • The Firm Economic Goal of the Firm Goals Other Than Profit Do Companies Maximize Profits? Maximizing the Wealth of Stockholders • Economic Profits The Firm • A firm is a collection of resources that is transformed into products demanded by consumers. • Profit is the difference between revenue received and costs incurred. Economic vs. Accounting Profits • Accounting Profits – Total revenue (sales) minus dollar cost of producing goods or services. – Reported on the firm’s income statement. • Economic Profits – Total revenue minus total opportunity cost. Cost • Accounting Costs – The explicit costs of the resources needed to produce produce goods or services. – Reported on the firm’s income statement. • Opportunity Cost – The cost of the explicit and implicit resources that are foregone when a decision is made. • Economic Profits – Total revenue minus total opportunity cost. Economic Goal of the Firm • Primary objective of the firm (to economists) is to maximize profits. – Profit maximization hypothesis – Other goals include market share, revenue growth, and shareholder value • Optimal decision is the one that brings the firm closest to its goal. • Short-run vs. Long-run – Nothing to do directly with calendar time – Short-run: firm can vary amount of some resources but not others – Long-run: firm can vary amount of all resources At times short-run profitability will be sacrificed for long-run purposes Goals Other Than Profit – Market share maximization (as measured by sales revenue or proportion of quantity sold to total market – Growth rate maximization (increasing size of the firm over time. Higher rates of growth in other variables than profit) – Profit margin – Return on investment, Return on assets – Shareholder value – Technological advancement – Customer satisfaction – Maximization of managerial returns (manager’s own interest subject to generating sufficient profits to keep their jobs) • Non-economic Objectives – Good work environment – Quality products and services – Corporate citizenship, social responsibility Do Companies Maximize Profit? • Criticism: Companies do not maximize profits but instead their aim is to “satisfice.” – “Satisfice” is to achieve a set goal, even though that goal may not require the firm to “do its best.” – Two components to “satisficing”: • Position and power of stockholders • Position and power of professional management • Position and power of stockholders – Medium-sized or large corporations are owned by thousands of shareholders – Shareholders own only minute interests in the firm – Shareholders diversify holdings in many firms – Shareholders are concerned with performance of entire portfolio and not individual stocks. – Most stockholders are not well informed on how well a corporation can do and thus are not capable of determining the effectiveness of management. – Not likely to take any action as long as they are earning a “satisfactory” return on their investment. • Position and power of professional management – High-level managers who are responsible for major decision making may own very little of the company’s stock. – Managers tend to be more conservative because jobs will likely be safe if performance is steady, not spectacular. – Management incentives may be misaligned • E.g. incentive for revenue growth, not profits • Managers may be more interested in maximizing own income and perks – Divergence of objectives is known as “principal-agent” problem or “agency problem” • Counter-arguments which support the profit maximization hypothesis. – Large number of shares is owned by institutions (mutual funds, banks, etc.) utilizing analysts to judge the prospects of a company. – Stock prices are a reflection of a company’s profitability. If managers do not seek to maximize profits, stock prices fall and firms are subject to takeover bids and proxy fights. – The compensation of many executives is tied to stock price. • Company tries to manage its business in such a way that the dividends over time paid from its earnings and the risk incurred to bring about the stream of dividends always create the highest price for the company’s stock. • When stock options are substantial part of executive compensation, management objectives tend to be more aligned with stockholder objectives. Maximizing the Wealth of Stockholders • Views the firm from the perspective of a stream of earnings over time, i.e., a cash flow. • Must include the concept of the time value of money. – Dollars earned in the future are worth less than dollars earned today. • Future cash flows must be discounted to the present. • The discount rate is affected by risk. • Two major types of risk: •Business Risk •Financial Risk • Business risk involves variation in returns due to the ups and downs of the economy, the industry, and the firm. • All firms face business risk to varying degrees. • Financial Risk concerns the variation in returns that is induced by leverage. • Leverage is the proportion of a company financed by debt. • The higher the leverage, the greater the potential fluctuations in stockholder earnings. • Financial risk is directly related to the degree of leverage. Timing 2 types of models 1. Static model:– describe the behaviour at a single point in time. Disregards differences in the sequence of actions and payments 2. Dynamic models:- focus on the timing and sequence of actions and payments The Time Value of Money • Present value (PV) of a lump-sum amount (FV) to be received at the end of “n” periods when the perperiod interest rate is “i”: PV • . FV 1 i n • Examples: – Lotto winner choosing between a single lumpsum payout of $104 million or $198 million over 25 years. – Determining damages in a patent infringement case Present Value of a Series • Present value of a stream of future amounts (FVt) received at the end of each period for “n” periods: PV FV1 1 i 1 FV2 1 i 2 ... FVn 1 i n Net Present Value • Suppose a manager can purchase a stream of future receipts (FVt ) by spending “C0” dollars today. The NPV of such a decision Is NPV FV1 1 i If 1 FV2 1 i 2 ... FVn 1 i Decision Rule: NPV < 0: Reject project NPV > 0: Accept project n C0 Present Value of a Perpetuity • An asset that perpetually generates a stream of cash flows (CF) at the end of each period is called a perpetuity. • The present value (PV) of a perpetuity of cash flows paying the same amount at the end of each period is CF CF CF PVPerpetuity ... 2 3 1 i 1 i 1 i CF i Firm Valuation • The value of a firm equals the present value of current and future profits. – PV = S pt / (1 + i)t • If profits grow at a constant rate (g < i) and current period profits are po: 1 i PVFirm p 0 before current profits have been paid out as dividends; ig 1 g Ex Dividend PVFirm p0 immediately after current profits are paid out as dividends. ig • If the growth rate in profits < interest rate and both remain constant, maximizing the present value of all future profits is the same as maximizing current profits. Marginal (Incremental) Analysis • Control Variables – – – – – Output Price Product Quality Advertising R&D Net Benefits • Basic Managerial Question: How much of the control variable should be used to maximize net benefits? • Net Benefits = Total Benefits - Total Costs • Profits = Revenue - Costs Marginal Benefit (MB) • Change in total benefits arising from a change in the control variable, Q: B MB Q • Slope (calculus derivative) of the total benefit curve. Marginal Cost (MC) • Change in total costs arising from a change in the control variable, Q: C MC Q • Slope (calculus derivative) of the total cost curve Marginal Principle • To maximize net benefits, the managerial control variable should be increased up to the point where MB = MC. • MB > MC means the last unit of the control variable increased benefits more than it increased costs. • MB < MC means the last unit of the control variable increased costs more than it increased benefits. The Geometry of Optimization Total Benefits & Total Costs Costs Slope =MB Benefits B Slope = MC C Q* Q Conclusion • Make sure you include all costs and benefits when making decisions (opportunity cost). • When decisions span time, make sure you are comparing apples to apples (PV analysis). • Optimal economic decisions are made at the margin (marginal analysis). Maximizing the Wealth of Stockholders • Another measure of the wealth of stockholders is called Market Value Added (MVA)®. • MVA represents the difference between the market value of the company and the capital that the investors have paid into the company. Maximizing the Wealth of Stockholders • Market value includes value of both equity and debt. • Capital includes book value of equity and debt as well as certain adjustments. – E.g. Accumulated R&D and goodwill. • While the market value of the company will always be positive, MVA may be positive or negative. Maximizing the Wealth of Stockholders • Another measure of the wealth of stockholders is called Economic Value Added (EVA)®. – EVA=(Return on Total Capital – Cost of Capital) x Total Capital • If EVA is positive then shareholder wealth is increasing. If EVA is negative, then shareholder wealth is being destroyed.