Complex Power Sharing Key Sources: • The Cambridge Carnegie Project on Resolving Self-Determination Disputes Using Complex Power-Sharing [www.intstudies.cam.ac.uk/research/cps/] • Institutional Design of Conflict Settlements [www.stefanwolff.com/working-papers.htm] Complex Power Sharing • Self-governance PLUS further mechanisms for the accommodation of ethnic diversity in divided societies advocated by: liberal consociationalism integrationism power dividing • Result of the implementation of a self-governance regime whose success as a conflict settlement device requires a relatively complex institutional structure that cannot be reduced to autonomy/(ethno-)federalism, (traditional) models of power sharing or power dividing. Institutional Design in Divided Societies • Structure and organisation of the state as a whole: symmetry and asymmetry in institutional design; distribution and separation of powers; and coordination mechanisms. • Composition and powers of the executive, legislative and judicial branches of government and the relationship between them : the nature of the government system and the choice of the electoral system; power sharing; and legal entrenchment. • Relationship between individual citizens, identity groups and the state: human and minority rights provisions; and recognition and protection of identities. Main Institutional Arrangements Recommended by Different Theories of Conflict Resolution Integrative Power sharing Liberal Consociational Power sharing Power dividing Principle recomm. Interethnic cooperation and moderation induced by electoral system design Interethnic cooperation at elite level through jointness of executive Cooperation between different, changing coalitions through separation of powers Gov. system Presidential Parliamentary or Collective/Rotating Presidential system Presidential Executive power sharing Yes: voluntary Yes: guaranteed No, except in initial transition phase after civil wars Electoral system Plurality preferential PR list or PR preferential Plurality Judicial branch Independent Independent Independent Main Institutional Arrangements Recommended by Different Theories of Conflict Resolution Integrationist Power sharing Liberal Consociational Power sharing Power dividing Unitary vs. federal territorial organisation Federal: heterogeneous units Federal: units based on selfdetermining communities Federal: heterogeneous units Individual vs. group rights Emphasis on individual rights Emphasis on combination of individual and group rights Emphasis on individual rights Recognition of distinct identities Yes, but primarily as private matter Yes, but as private and public matter Yes, but primarily as private matter Legal entrenchment Yes Yes Yes Parliamentary vs. Presidential Systems Central parliamentary system Central presidential system Sub-state parliamentary system Belgium Brussels Italy South Tyrol Bosnia and Herzegovina* Sub-state presidential system Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina Macedonia Moldova Gagauzia Ukraine* United Kingdom Crimea Northern Ireland Power Sharing Institutions No power sharing Horizontal power sharing at the centre Horizontal power sharing at substate level only Horizontal power sharing at the centre and substate level Macedonia Crimea BiH/Federation of BiH Moldova Northern Ireland Belgium/Brussels South Tyrol Human and Minority Rights Provisions Constit. StateConstit. Local Local Minority wide Human Human Min. Rights Min. Rights Rights Rights Provisions Rights Provisions Legisl. Legisl. Legisl. Belgium/Brussels Yes No No Yes Yes BiH Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Italy Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Macedonia Yes Yes Yes N.A. N.A. Moldova Yes Yes No Yes No Ukraine Yes Yes Yes Yes No UK Yes No No Yes No Some Tentative Conclusions • Complex power sharing in practice combines regimes of territorial selfgovernance with a variety of other macrolevel techniques of conflict resolution power sharing and power dividing • and a range of ‘supplementary’ mechanisms specific electoral systems human and minority rights legislation coordination and arbitration mechanisms Some Tentative Conclusions • None of the three theories of conflict resolution fully capture the current practice of complex power sharing, BUT liberal consociationalism is most open to incorporation of elements of integrationist power sharing and power dividing o judicial entrenchment and enforcement mechanisms; o universally applicable and enforceable human rights legislation; o vertical division of power; o preferential electoral systems Some Tentative Conclusions • Complex power sharing practice MAY eventually lead to a synthesis of existing theories in a complex power sharing framework, BUT there is as yet not enough realworld evidence about how stable such regimes can be under varying conditions. • Examples examined here indicate that some cases have proven relatively stable over time (i.e., over ten years): Belgium, Brussels, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Crimea, Gagauzia, and South Tyrol • Others are too short-lived to provide reliable data about their long-term stability: Macedonia, Northern Ireland