Climate change and the media in the USA A comparison of media appearances of both anthropogenic climate change sceptics and anthropogenic climate change acknowledgers Vivian Hartlief - 3828107 Liberal Arts and Sciences - Sustainability & Developing Countries Bachelor Thesis MMW Supervisor: C.A. Barnes MSc Words: 5977 7,5 ECTS Abstract Research has shown that media is one of the major influences towards the public concern or national mood in a society, and this in turn can influence the policy output of the government of this society. The media influences the public concern in two ways, with the amount of publications and with the actual content of these publications. This research is focussed on the link between media and climate change, since less than 50 per cent of United States citizens believes in anthropogenic climate change. The Washington Post and the New York Times for the year 2014 are examined and a comparison is thereby made of two groups: those who acknowledge anthropogenic climate change and those who are sceptic. The difference between the two groups on the amount of media appearances was 34%. Articles that acknowledge anthropogenic climate change appeared 186 times in both of the newspapers in 2014, while only 51 published articles were sceptic. The amount of publications is hereby not in line with the amount of Americans in doubt towards climate change, since the group of articles where anthropogenic climate change is acknowledged is a vast majority, and research showed that a greater coverage leads to a higher public concern and this is not the case. On the content side, there were a lot of differences visible between the two groups in 2014; the cause of climate change is explained with scientific knowledge in the articles where anthropogenic climate change is acknowledged, whereas there was little use of scientific knowledge in the sceptic group. In line with this; the actors mentioned mainly in the ‘acknowledged group’ were scientists; while in the sceptic group, politicians and big companies were most often seen. Mentioning politicians and big companies seem to have more influence than the mentioning of scientists has on the public opinion. In the acknowledge group the cause of climate change was often mentioned quickly and implicitly; while in the sceptical articles there were often explicit and direct statements made towards the existence and cause of climate change, this could be an explanation of the lack of public concern as well. In the acknowledged group there was more often a negative tone present in the newspaper articles, while in the sceptic group the majority was written in a more neutral tone. There could hereby be said that the usage of a neutral tone seems to have a bigger influence than a negative tone on the public concern. There are five framing themes indicated since research showed these are of influence (Industrialized countries’ economic policies, Sustainability, Technological optimism, Emerging economies’ responsibility, Global understanding of ecology). These themes often appeared in the acknowledge group, while these rarely appeared in the sceptic group, hereby this way of framing seem less of an influence than expected. Not all the findings are inline with the amount of doubt in the USA towards the existence of anthropogenic climate change. Consequently, further research is necessary, since this research only focuses on newspaper coverage. Nonetheless, this research has found some interesting possible explanations. Abbreviations IPCC: International Panel of Climate Change MSF: Multiple Streams Framework NYT: New York Times UNFCCC: United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change USA: United States of America WP: Washington Post 1 Table of Contents Introduction ........................................................................................................... 3 Theoretical framework ........................................................................................... 4 Climate Change ................................................................................................. 4 Public and policy................................................................................................ 4 Influences on public concern towards climate change ....................................... 6 Use of framing in the media ............................................................................... 6 Methodology .......................................................................................................... 8 Part A ................................................................................................................ 8 Part B ................................................................................................................ 8 Results Part A: amount of appearances .............................................................. 10 Conclusion part A ............................................................................................ 10 Results Part B: framing........................................................................................ 11 Acknowledgers ................................................................................................ 11 Sceptics ........................................................................................................... 12 Conclusion part B ............................................................................................ 12 Conclusion .......................................................................................................... 14 Discussion ........................................................................................................... 15 Recommendations & action horizon .................................................................... 15 Literature ............................................................................................................. 16 Appendix A .......................................................................................................... 18 New York Times - Acknowledged .................................................................... 18 New York Times - Sceptic ............................................................................... 27 Washington Post - Acknowledged ................................................................... 35 Washington Post – Sceptic .............................................................................. 44 2 Introduction About fifty per cent of United States citizens are in doubt or are sceptical about the existence of anthropogenic climate change (Mommers, 2015). Nonetheless there is a paradox towards this 50 per cent, since there is 97,2 per cent consensus among all research done towards climate change, and acknowledges that there is a human influence (Cook et al., 2013). The public concern towards this subject is relatively small, but it is very important that the citizens of the United States of America acknowledge the anthropogenic climate change, since they partly determine the US policy towards climate change. When researching climate change and public concern, ‘public concern’ is most often discussed instead of national mood, however in this research they are assumed to be the same (Brulle et al., 2011). The importance of the role of the public becomes clear in the different literature about public concern and policy output. Public concern appears to be one of the core influences of policy output (Zahariadis, 2006; Walgrave et al., 2008). This makes it important to take a better look at the influences on this public concern. There are several different effects influencing public concern. For instance Brugge and colleagues (2011) indicated various different influences, such as media, on the public concern of climate change, which in turn influences the policy output. This research had its focus on one of these influences: the media. The media plays an important role in the formation of the public concern and therefore researched tried to contribute towards an understanding of the fact that fifty per cent of US citizens are in doubt or sceptical about the existence of (anthropogenic) climate change (Brüggemann and Engesser, 2013). The leading question for this research was: What are the differences between the use of media of climate sceptics and those who acknowledge the anthropogenic climate change in the United States of America? To answer this question the research was separated into two parts, on the one hand how often both groups appeared in leading newspapers, and on the other hand how they appeared in these newspapers, ergo what kinds of ‘framing’ were used by both groups. Framing is an organizational idea for news content to supply context and provides suggestions about what the issue is (Tankard et al., 1991). The focus of this research was the USA, due to the fact that the USA plays a very important role concerning climate change. In the past the USA has made some decisions that still have enormous consequences for the rest of the world, for instance not participating in the Kyoto Protocol (Manne & Richels, 2001). By looking at the differences between media appearances (amount of appearances and substantively) of the two groups this thesis contributed to the debate concerning anthropogenic climate change and its consequences. There has already been a great deal of research conducted regarding the shifting opinion on climate change (Antilla, 2005; Carvalha, 2007; Mazur & Lee, 1993). A direct comparative research between those who acknowledge anthropogenic climate change and those who do not has not recently been conducted. This research will therefore contribute to an overview of the differences between the two groups in 2014 in the United States of America and thus also contributed toward the scientific knowledge on the different usage of media regarding climate change. A review of the existing literature on media coverage and climate change is followed by an elaboration on the methods used, followed by an analysis of the data. The analysis of one year of articles on climate change leads to a conclusion directly followed by a discussion and further research recommendations and an action horizon towards the main theme, media and climate change. 3 Theoretical framework To answer the main question the differences between the use of media by ‘anthropogenic acknowledgers’ and the use of media of ‘climate change sceptics’, were compared, based on the amount of appearances in the media and based on the subject-matter with the use of framing. This theoretical framework points out most of the theories regarding media public concern and climate change. However before doing this the definition of climate change is made clear, as this forms the basis of this research. This definition is followed by an explanation of the existing connection between the public opinion and the policy output. To gain a better understanding of this public opinion, the different influences towards it are examined. With a proper idea of public opinion and its influences, this will be specified towards the general theme of this research; climate change and the media. While explaining the importance of the media appearances, framing is also explained in general and with respect to climate change. To conclude this information has been included in a conceptual model to give a visual perspective on this research. Climate Change The main theme of this research is climate change. Before starting it is essential to get an understanding of what climate change is. The definition of the IPCC will be used: “Climate change in IPCC usage refers to a change in the state of the climate that can be identified (e.g. using statistical tests) by changes in the mean and/or the variability of its properties, and that persists for an extended period, typically decades or longer. It refers to any change in climate over time, whether due to natural variability or as a result of human activity. This usage differs from that in the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC), where climate change refers to a change of climate that is attributed directly or indirectly to human activity that alters the composition of the global atmosphere and that is in addition to natural climate variability observed over comparable time periods.” (IPCC, n.d.) This definition of the IPCC directly mentions the definition used in this research of ‘anthropogenic climate change’; it is the definition of the UNFCCC as mentioned in the IPCC definition above. Contrary to these anthropogenic acknowledgers there are the climate change deniers or sceptics. The definition is: “those who deny there is such a thing as an upward trend in global temperatures, or they accept that the world's climate may be changing but do not think that it is caused by human activity” (Poortinga et al., 2011). 4 Public and policy The role of the public is important for policy, because the public concern is partially responsible for the policy outcome on a national level. Nowadays the USA performs a small role in the combat against climate change, partly because of the disagreement of its citizens towards anthropogenic climate change (Schwartz, 2015). Ironically, the US contribution to climate change is rather high. The role of the public is very important for a policy outcome, and this becomes clear for instance in The Multiple Streams Framework of Nikolaos Zahariadis (2006). Zahariadis states that there are three streams identified flowing through the policy system: problems, policies and politics (Zahariadis, 2006, p. 65). This Multiple Stream Framework (MSF) deals with policy making under conditions of ambiguity. Ambiguity hereby refers to “a state of having many ways of thinking about the same circumstances or phenomena” (ibid, p. 66). Politics, as a third stream of the influences on policy, is the part where the public concern becomes visible. The political influence on policy is divided into three elements: the national mood, pressure group campaigns, and administrative or legislative turnover (ibid, p. 37). Zahariadis states: “the national mood refers to the notion that a fairly large number of individuals in a given country tend to think along common lines and that the mood swings from time to time” (ibid). For the government it is important to follow these mood swings, by mainly monitoring it since it is one of the most powerful effects on formatting a policy (ibid). This national mood is also represented in the diagram of the MSF: Model 1: Zahariadis (2006) Besides Zahariadis’ research, this linkage between national mood (or public concern) and policy output becomes clear in several studies (Walgrave et al., 2008; Cohen et al., 1972; McCombs, 2004; Kennamer, 1992). The ‘agenda-setting theory’ is a wellknown theory where this is also encountered (Walgrave et al., 2008). In this theory it becomes clear that the media inter alia, influences the public concern and the public concern in turn influences the policy output (ibid). The literature about this influence is not completely in consensus yet, but it is shown that there is at least some influence. 5 Influences on public concern towards climate change In a research from 2011 by Brulle and colleagues, it became visible that the main influences on the public concern can be grouped into three areas 1. Media Coverage 2. Issue Space 3. Elite Cues Media coverage is the first mentioned influence. This influence means the mention of a problem in the media is one of the most important influences on the public concern. The second influence, issue space – simply explained, meaning there is no space to solve every problem – is not easy to change since that is a part of a greater whole. The third influence, elite cues, or, those problems that the elite sees as problems, are mainly dependent on the different interests of these elites. Brulle and colleagues (2011) hereby quote McDonald: “When elites have consensus, the public follows suit and the issue becomes mainstreamed. When elites disagree, polarization occurs, and citizens rely on other indicators, such as political party or source credibility, to make up their minds.” (Brulle et al., 2011, p. 17). Due to the different interests of the two most important political parties in the United States, democrats and republicans, there is a great existing polarization concerning climate change. The choice is made to focus on one of these influences, the media, to get a complete and clear overview on this influence. Brulle and colleagues (2011) showed the connection between media and public concern, where the media has an important influence on the public. In their research they mainly focussed on the quantity of media coverage towards climate change. They found that the greater the quantity of media coverage is towards climate change, the bigger the level of public concern level will be. Use of framing in the media Besides counting the amount of appearances, since this influences the public opinion it is also useful to research the articles substantively. Framing is a useful concept for analysing substantively. Framing is defined as “a bridging concept between cognition and culture” (Brüggemann & Engesser, 2013). News frames are “conceptual tools which media and individuals rely on to convey, interpret and evaluate information”, thereby this is also an influence towards public concern (Neuman et al., 1992, p. 60). Brüggemann and Engesser (2013) conducted research about the framing of climate change and indicated five frames used in climate change news coverage. These are: - Industrialized countries’ economic policies Sustainability Technological optimism Emerging economies’ responsibility Global understanding of ecology The ‘industrialized countries’ economic policies’ frame has a perspective that climate change causes problematic consequences for society, and the responsibility for solving the problem lays within these countries policies. ‘Sustainability’ displays a causal interpretation that sees ‘capitalism’ as a structure, and consumption behaviour at the root of the problem. ‘Technological optimism’ is, with regards to climate change seen as a solution for the climate change, and supports the development of new 6 technologies. This could be a frame more on the side of the anthropogenic climate change deniers, and the technology will solve it. ‘Emerging economies’ responsibility’ is based on a single idea; namely that the emerging economies are a case for concern, as their future growth will prevent a solution to the climate problem. ‘Global understanding of ecology’ is the last frame indicated by Brüggemann and Engesser (2013), and it differs from the other four. In this frame the deficient communication of the climate change problems is the cause for current failure, so it promotes a better public understanding of ecology (Brüggemann and Engesser, 2013). The five frames indicated by Brüggemann and Engesser is one of the options to perform framing analyses on climate change. Since climate change is a continuously developing research subject and this is the most recent research addressing it, this is the most up to date way. Once these themes can be indicated there has to be a research towards the way of contemplating these themes. According to Tankard and colleagues (1991, p. 3) a media frame is described as ‘‘the central organizing idea for news content that supplies a context and suggests what the issue is through the use of selection, emphasis, exclusion, and elaboration’’. This is a clear view towards media and framing. Ghanem (1997) elaborated this further and presented framing mechanisms such as placement and size, the tone (positive, neutral or negative), and other dimensions, such as the social actor(s) (people or agencies) involved (in Runhaar, 2015). This way of analysing towards framing is used by inter alia; Segvic (2005), Kang (2006), van Ruler (2004). All these theoretical findings in framing and amount of appearances are combined into ‘the use of media’, so that it is in line with the central question of this research. All the literature is combined into a conceptual model (model 2). The players that are irrelevant for this research are not included, such as the other influences on policy that came out of the model of Zahariadis (2006). The arrows represent an influence, from one player to another. Use of media by anthropogenic acknowledgers Elite Cues Public Concern Use of media by climate change sceptics Policy Output Space Issue Model 2 The main question of this research was focussed on the left part of this model. The comparison was made between those two influences on public concern, to possibly declare the low public concern. 7 Methodology To saw the differences in the use of media between the different groups concerning the debate on the cause of climate change, a two-way research was conducted. The two newspapers that have been looked into are the New York Times (NYT), and the Washington Post (WP). These newspapers are considered two of the biggest in the USA, based on readership. Hereby it was possible to get a representative overview of the media coverage of climate change. To narrow the scope of this research the year that was looked into is 2014. In that way this research tried to be as relevant and up to date as possible. For the collection of newspaper articles, the database of LexisNexis was used (http://academic.lexisnexis.nl). This is a digital database that consists of newspaper articles since 1980. Using the term ‘climate change’, in the year 2014 in the two newspapers, gave all the possible relevant articles. Part A Climate change as a search term is considered to be a neutral term and hereby it was possible to get an as small as possible biased collection of newspaper articles. An article was considered relevant as soon as the main subject of the newspaper article was climate change or there was something specifically mentioned about the existence, or the cause of climate change/global warming. Once the item met the requirements, it was placed in one of the two groups, sceptic or acknowledged. Global warming and climate change are used interchangeably in the US newspapers (Tatarski, n.d.). In this research the term climate change was used. Of course there is a difference between the two terms, but global warming is mentioned in some of the newspapers as if it is the same. Therefore when an article mentioned the cause of global warming, the article was then included in the group mentioning the cause of climate change. Since climate change is a more general term than global warming, climate change was the used term (ibid). An article was placed in the ‘sceptic’ group as soon as there was some doubt of the cause of climate change, or climate change as a whole was questioned. On the other hand there is the group ‘acknowledgers’. This group contains those articles that explicitly mention the existence of man-made climate change, or those who implicitly mention it by elaborating on the need of for instance cutting emissions, since these are widely accepted factors influencing climate change. For greater clarity, there are two extra groups created since not all relevant articles could be allocated in one of these two groups (completely). These two groups have been given the titles ‘no position towards cause’ and ‘existence acknowledged, but focus on combat’. The group ‘no position towards cause’ spoke about climate change and possibly also on its causes, but did not take a stand towards what the correct cause is. The group ‘existence acknowledge, focuses on combat’ contains all the articles that made it clear that it is needed to address climate change and mentions that humans are the ones that can act against climate change, but the cause of it is not mentioned. These articles were not further researched, since the focus of this research could only be regarding the acknowledgers and the sceptics. At last it became visible that not all articles could be allocated in just one of the two groups, because some articles discussed more parts or actors who mentioned different things. Thereby some of the articles are put into more than one group. Part B 8 For the content part of this research (part B), forty newspaper articles have been used, chosen from those articles that are deemed relevant in part A. From both of the newspapers twenty articles were analysed, where ten of them were in the group ‘acknowledged’ and ten were in the ‘sceptic’ group (based on the findings in part A). In this way the possible differences became apparent. The articles used, are to be found in appendix A. These twenty articles per newspaper were also chosen based on their publication date to cover the whole year of 2014, because in this way 2014 is examined in its entirety. In this part the articles were categorised in the five framing themes (Industrialized countries’ economic policies, Sustainability, Technological optimism, Emerging economies’ responsibility, Global understanding of ecology) coming from the literature of framing in climate change. Within these theme-appearances the method of analysing is based on the findings of Ghanem (1997). The themes will be analysed on how they are set; by indicating the social actors mentioned (local people, research institutes, politicians, scientists, etc.), tone (negative, positive, neutral, etc.) and substantively what specifically is mentioned regarding it. Tone was researched on the specific words used; for a negative tone these words were for instance ‘bad’, ‘horrible’, ‘degradation’ etc. While for a positive tone these words were for instance ‘good’, ‘better’, or ‘improvement’. For the ‘doubt’ tone the indicated words were ‘not sure’, ‘not convinced’, doubt, etc. When none of these words were to be seen, the tone was indicated as neutral. Besides tone the argumentation or background towards the claim on the cause of climate change was highlighted if the article mentions the existence of it. It became quickly visible that in the articles in the ‘sceptic group’ the indicated themes were not mentioned. These articles mostly mention the debate regarding climate change, or mention a specific person that denies or is a sceptic. Hereby in these articles, the arguments or statements towards (the cause of) climate change are analysed for tone and the actors mentioned. 9 Results Part A: amount of appearances All of the newspaper articles in the NYT and the WP of 2014 that met the requirements to be indicated as relevant can be found in table 1. The search in LexisNexis for the term ‘climate change’ presented 980 articles for the NYT and 710 for the WP. After checking all of those articles there were 293 articles relevant from the NYT and 194 of the WP. New York Times Acknowledge anthropogenic climate change Acknowledge existence, human influence not mentioned Sceptic/In doubt of existence, or human influence No position towards cause Total 293 114 239 30 31 Percentage 100% 38,91% 81,57% 10,24% 10,58% Washington Post Acknowledge anthropogenic climate change Acknowledge existence, human influence not mentioned Sceptic/In doubt of existence, or human influence No position towards cause Total 194 72 153 16 8 Percentage 100% 37,11% 78,87% 8,25% 4,12% Table 1 In both newspapers, the group that acknowledges the existence of climate change and states that there is action needed, is the largest. This is an amount of 80 per cent of the total for both newspapers. The second largest group acknowledges the existence of anthropogenic climate change, with a percentage of approximately 37 per cent. The third group is the sceptic group, equal to around 10 per cent of the total appearances in both newspapers. The smallest group is the group without any position towards the cause of climate change; this is equal to 10 per cent and 4 per cent respectively. Conclusion part A Based on the amount of appearances we can see that there is a vast majority of newspaper articles that spread the word that climate change has to be addressed; however not all of these articles address the cause of climate change. The group of articles where the cause of (anthropogenic) climate change is doubted or there is scepticism towards the existence of climate change is, in any case, rather small. Furthermore all of the articles considered to be ‘sceptic’, are mostly, but not completely denying climate change. Mostly these articles just mentioned the existence of doubt or deniers, and did not explicitly acknowledge (anthropogenic) climate change. When we strictly compare the ‘acknowledge’ and the ‘sceptic’ group, the group that acknowledges is larger than the sceptic group. The total amount of newspaper articles of NYT and WP addressing climate change is 392. The acknowledge group contains 186 articles, and the sceptic group contains 51 articles. This is a difference of 135 articles, which is a difference of 34%. There are no major differences evident between the two newspapers. The only apparent difference is that the NYT featured a hundred more newspaper articles about climate change compared to the WP. 10 Results Part B: framing Appendix A includes all forty articles put into a table that features all of the information needed for this analysis. The findings of the analyses are split per group (sceptic and acknowledged), with occasional examples of articles included, and followed by a small combined conclusion. Acknowledgers Climate change opinions In all twenty articles of the newspapers in the group ‘acknowledge anthropogenic climate change’ there is a clear conviction that humans are the cause of climate change. In most of the articles, the scientific background towards the existence of humans as a cause of climate change is mentioned, by inter alia NYT: Frank, Gillis (a and b), Davenport, Sellers and WP: Philips, Warrick & Mooney, Eilperin (although small implicitly), Editorial Board (a&b), Eilperin & Mufson and the Bloomberg news article that appeared in the WP. The article of Becker (NYT) is the only article that acknowledges anthropogenic climate change but still mentions the fact that there is an unresolved doubt. On the contrary the articles of inter alia Frank and Gilles mention explicitly that there is no need for any doubt or uncertainty. Some of the articles mention the human inducement rather briefly and, with little or no elaboration (WP: Elliott, Eilperin). Tone The general tone differs widely per article, mostly based on the specific subject. The most common tone seen (eight out of twenty) is a neutral tone, by objectively stating the facts. The second tone used most often is negative (eleven out of twenty). Within this negative tone there are certain noticeable differences. There is a negative and pessimistic tone (WP: Warrick & Mooney) where the writer does not see a bright future towards combatting climate change. On the other hand there is a negative but still optimistic tone (NYT: Riordan) where the writer does have a negative way of describing the whole climate change phenomena, but nonetheless foresees a positive outlook in the battle against climate change. The third negative tone seen in the articles is somewhat indifferent, in that it describes climate change in a negative way, but is not convinced of the capabilities towards combatting it, describing it thereby indifferently (NYT: Satija). A positive or optimistic tone is not often encountered. Indeed this tone was present, only two times out of the twenty articles researched. Themes It was not always possible to categorise the articles into five of the themes indicated in advance; this is mainly dependent on the specific subject of the article. The theme ‘Industrialized countries economic policies’ mentioned most often pollution regulations and policies, since 2014 was a year were some of these policies were created. Sustainability was the least mentioned theme. In the technological optimism theme there is a differentiation visible between faith and trust in technology including the assurance that it will be/is possible (NYT: Editorial Board, Sellers), and on the other side wishful thinking that it hopefully will/could be possible (NYT: Frank, Gilles (b)). In the ‘emerging economies’ theme there was no line visible. It is evident that this theme depends completely upon the subject. The Global Understanding of Ecology is often supported with the scientific present in the articles. The meaning of this theme was the promotion of public understanding, but in the articles this is not always the case. Thereby an extra row has been created in the tables: ‘scientific 11 knowledge’ which is a big part in most of the articles. This made clear if there was a lot of scientific knowledge used, although not in favour of the cause of climate change. Actors The actors mentioned in all of the articles are scientists and politicians. Besides that there is the occasional mention of some environmental groups (Greenpeace for instance) mentioned, or specific research institutes. Sceptics Climate change opinions In the twenty analysed articles the group sceptics was mainly written about people who very explicitly made a statement towards climate change. Only two times, in the article of Unger (NYT) and Krauthammer (WP), science was mentioned in favour of the denial of human caused climate change. In the rest of the articles some scientists are mentioned, but not in favour of the denial of anthropogenic climate change. In most of the articles the doubt or denial is focussed on one specific component of climate change. The best illustration of one of these components is the hiatus in the heating of the earth (NYT: Cone). This is not clearly explained by scientists, and thereby the sceptics directly used this to rule out climate change completely. Tone In the sceptic group we see with an enormous majority (ten out of twenty) purporting a neutral tone was evident, by mentioning those people or findings regarding the doubt towards (anthropogenic) climate change without any additions in tone. The second most common used tone was the one of doubt (seven out of twenty). In articles where this doubtful tone was present it was mostly because they mention those in favour and in doubt of anthropogenic climate change, followed by a short conclusion of being unconvinced about the cause of climate change. Other tones besides neutral or doubtful rarely appeared. Themes It is clearly visible that almost none of the themes are discussed. The only thing clearly mentioned in the deniers group is the resistance towards some of the climate policies. Hereby people are mentioned (mostly politicians), that explicitly deny the existence of (anthropogenic) climate change to justify the criticism towards the climate policies. Actors In every article in this group there are politicians mentioned or some local people concerning the specific subject. Mostly there are statements cited of explicit deniers such as Marco Rubio an American republican politician or Tony Abbott the Australian prime minister, whom explicitly deny anthropogenic climate change. On the other hand there are also those companies or people mentioned who will face trouble with the policies discussed, since they often do not agree with the policies created (WP: Robinson). Conclusion part B 12 In the explanation of climate change there was a difference visible in the use of scientific knowledge. In the acknowledge the use of scientific knowledge was often most evident, to create a statement towards the existence of anthropogenic climate change; while in the sceptic group there were mainly opinions stated or the debate was explained with a lack of knowledge regarding this opinion. In a sceptic article, only when a specific part of climate change discussed, was the scientific knowledge towards this part included; however, climate change as a whole denied with scientific knowledge is never to be seen. The themes are often mentioned in the acknowledged group, but not in the sceptic group. This could be explained by the fact that the acknowledged group describes the phenomena more comprehensively and completely compared to the articles in the sceptic group. Based on the findings there are differences between the two groups visible on the used tone. The acknowledged group more often presented a negative tone, while in the sceptic group the negative tone was more prevalent. The actors mentioned do differ slightly, per group. Scientists and politicians are most often used in the acknowledged group, while scientists are used less and big companies were mentioned more in the sceptic group. The most striking difference visible is the fact that in the acknowledged group very often the cause of global warming is mentioned implicitly, while in the sceptic group the doubt or denial is mentioned very explicitly. 13 Conclusion This research has been conducted to present a better explanation for the fact that many US citizens are in doubt on the existence of (anthropogenic) climate change. Hereby was a central question created: what are the differences between the use of media of climate sceptics and those who acknowledge the anthropogenic climate change in the United States of America? To make these differences visible a comparison was made on the newspaper coverage in 2014 of those who acknowledge anthropogenic climate change and those who are sceptic about it. This comparison was based on the amount of appearances and substantively while looking at framing. The difference between the two groups on the amount of appearances is 34%. Those articles that acknowledge anthropogenic climate change appear 186 times in 2014, while only 51 articles were sceptical towards (anthropogenic) climate change. On the content side there were many other differences apparent. In the explanation towards climate change the difference in the acknowledge group was a use of knowledge, while this did not appear in the sceptic group. The framing themes often appeared in the acknowledged group, while this did not appear either in the sceptic group. Researching the tone of the articles it became visible that in the acknowledged group there was more often a negative tone present, while in the sceptic group the majority was written in a more neutral tone. In line with the explanation towards climate change the actors mentioned mainly in the acknowledged group were scientists; while in the sceptic group, politicians and big companies were the most often seen actor. The implicit and explicit manner of mentioning the cause of climate change also differs. In the acknowledged group it was often seen that this was mentioned quickly and implicitly. While in the articles of the sceptic group there was more often an explicit and direct a statement made towards climate change. The differences between the two groups are now visible, but when we look at these differences this does not automatically explain why so many American citizens are not convinced about climate change. The amount of appearances is not in line with the amount of Americans convinced by climate change, since the acknowledged group is a great majority, and this is not in line with the findings of Brulle and colleagues (2011). Regarding the content side there are some explanations evident. The negative tone is often utilized in newspaper articles acknowledging climate change, while the sceptic group is presented in a more neutral way. Based on these findings and considering that the newspapers have an influence on the public opinion, it is implied that the mentioning of politicians and big companies have more influence, than the mentioning of scientists on the public opinion, since politicians are more often mentioned in the sceptic group and most often scientists are mentioned in the acknowledged group. A further explanation could be the implicit mention of anthropogenic climate change in the acknowledged group, while the sceptic group makes a more explicit statement. Therefor this could have a bigger influence on the public opinion. Nonetheless not all the findings are inline with the amount of doubt in the USA towards climate change. Consequently, further research is necessary to get a complete insight on the influences towards the public opinion towards climate change. 14 Discussion There are several other options to perform research on the influence of media on the public opinion regarding climate change. The first part that must be discussed is the fact that only newspaper coverage has been researched. The media is of a great influence towards the public opinion, but the media consists of much more than what has been addressed in this research. For a complete media research, other forms of media (television, internet, etc.) have to be addressed to gain a complete knowledge on the overall media influence on the public opinion. Moreover, the media influence is a continuous process and in this research only the year 2014 has been examined, as this gave the most recent and relevant understanding, but perhaps a broader period of time could give a more comprehensive understanding. That being said, a broader period of time could potentially give a more comprehensive understanding. On the other hand, there could also be something said about those people who read NYT and WP. Those who read a newspaper could perhaps be not encountered in those who are sceptic towards climate change. There was chosen for this research to not further elaborate on the second group in part A, those who acknowledge climate change but do not mention the cause, but do find it important that humans are the ones that battle against it. This is an interesting group for further research, since here framing could also play a role. A further discussion point for this research is the search term used in LexisNexis. In this research the words ‘climate change’ are used; but, as mentioned in the research, climate change and global warming are used interchangeably. Hereby it is possible that not all relevant newspaper articles were found and the overview of articles might not be fully complete. The last point of discussion towards this research is the precise subdivision of articles in the group sceptics. Some of the articles in this group could be considered as implicitly acknowledged. These articles mention sceptics, and are thus placed in the group deniers, because there is no specific mention of acknowledgement, while the general tone of the article could be somehow in line with anthropogenic acknowledged group. Recommendations & action horizon Based on the key findings of this research there are some proposals to conduct further research. Since the media, or at least the newspaper coverage, does not have a major influence towards the public opinion, it could be useful to research the other influences on public opinion. In addition, to get a complete view towards the media, the other forms of media must also be addressed, including more newspapers. It seems like that not all the authors of the articles feel the urgency to create a greater awareness about the causes of climate change. Nonetheless, it appears to be very important, since the public opinion influences the policy output. Therefore it would be beneficial if all those writers who do mention the cause of climate change mention it explicitly. This explicit indication could help to create a greater public awareness, to gain more influence on the policy output, since climate change is proven to be happening in science, and thereby it must be addressed. 15 Literature Antilla, L. (2005) ‘Climate of scepticism: US newspaper coverage of the science of climate change’ Global Environmental Change, 15, 338-352. Brüggemann, M., Engesser, S. (2013) ‘Climate Journalists as Interpretive Community: Identifying Transnational Frames of Climate Change’ National Centre of Competence in Research (NCCR) Challenges to Democracy in the 21st Century Brulle, J., Carmichael, J. and Jenkins, J.C. (2012) ‘Shifting public opinion on climate change: an empirical assessment of factors influencing concern over climate change in the U.S., 2002–2010’ Springer Science Carvalho, A (2007) ‘Ideological cultures and media discourses on scientific knowledge: re-reading news on climate change’ Public Understanding on Science, 16(2), 223-243 Cohen, M.D., March, J.G., Olsen, J.P., (1972) ‘A Garbage Can Model of Organizational Choice’ Administrative Science Quarterly 17(1), 1-25. Cook, J., Nuccitelli, D., Green, S.A., Richardson, M., Winkler, B., Painting, R., Way, R., Jacobs, P., and Skuca, A., (2013) ‘Quantifying the consensus on anthropogenic global warming in the scientific literature’ Environmental Research Letters 8(2) Gascogne, T., Metcalfe, J. (1997) ‘Incentives and Impediments to Scientists Communicating Through the Media’ Science Communication 18(3), 265-282 Ghanem S. (1997) ‘Filling in the tapestry: the second level of agenda setting’ (in Runhaar, H. (2015) ‘Reports on badgers Meles meles in Dutch newspapers 1900–2013: same animals, different framings?’ Mammal Review) IPCC definition (n.d.) accessed by: https://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/ar4/ syr/en/mains1.html Kang, S. (2006) ‘Impact of Television News on Public Opinion About the Iraq War: An Assessment of Second-Level Agenda Setting and Framing’ presented at the International Communication Association Kennamer, J.D. (1992) ‘Public Opinion, the Press, and Public Policy: An Introduction’ Praeger Publishers Kling, R., McKim, G. (2000) ‘Not just a matter of time: Field differences and the shaping of electronic media in suporting scientific communication’ Journal of the American Society for Information Science 51(14), 1306-1320 16 Manne, A.S., Richels, R.G. (2001) ‘US Rejection of the Kyoto Protocol: The Impact on Compliance Costs and CO2 emissions’ Social Science Research Network Mazur, A., Lee, J. (1993) ‘Constructing climate change: claims and frames in US news coverage of an environmental issue’ Social Studies of Science, 23(4), 681720 McCombs, M. (2004) ‘Setting the Agenda: The Mass Media and Public Opinion’ Polity Press Mommers, J. (2015) ‘Zo breng je de wereld aan het twijfelen over klimaatverandering’ accessed on 21st of April via De Correspondent https://decorrespondent.nl/2532/Zo-breng-je-de-wereld-aan-het-twijfelen-overklimaatverandering/78626975856-c96fd6e1. Neuman, W.R. Just, M.R., Crigler A.N., (1992) ‘Common Knowledge: News and the Construction of Political Meaning’ University of Chicago Press Poortinga, W., Spence, A., Whitmarsh, L., Capstick, S., Pidgeon, N.F., (2011) ‘Uncertain climate: An investigation into public scepticism about anthropogenic climate change’ Elsevier 21(3), 1015-1024 Ruler, A.A. van (2004) ‘Organisatie, media en openbaarheid: ménage à Trois’ VossiusPers UvA Runhaar, H. (2015) ‘Reports on badgers Meles meles in Dutch newspapers 1900– 2013: same animals, different framings?’ Mammal Review Segvic, I. (2005) ‘The Framing of Politics: A Content Analysis of Three Croatian Newspapers’ International Communication Gazette 67(5), 469-488 Tatarski, J. (n.d.) ‘An Overview of Climate Change/ Global Warming: How It Is Affecting the Human Community’ Loyola University New Orleans accessed on June 5th: http://www.loyno.edu/twomey/overview-climate-change-global-warmi ng-how-it-affecting-human-community Tankard, J., Hendrickson, L., Silberman, J., Bliss, K., and Ghanem, S. (1991) ‘Media frames: Approaches to conceptualization and measurement’ presented at: The Association for Education in Journalism and Mass Communication Convention Walgrave, S., Soroka, S., Nuytemans, M. (2008) ‘The Mass Media's Political Agenda-Setting Power: A Longitudinal Analysis of Media, Parliament, and Government in Belgium (1993 to 2000)’ Comparative Political Studies Zahariadis, N. (2007) ‘The Multiple Streams Framework’ in ‘Theories of the Policy Process’ Sabatier, P.A. (eds), University of California, Westview Press 17 Appendix A New York Times - Acknowledged Name article Author Length Subject Restored Forests Are Making Inroads Against Climate Change Justin Gilles (a) 2513 words Deforestation - Amazon Promoting activities (in the battle against): “Scientists are still Industrialized countries economic trying to figure out how much of a difference an ambitious forest policies regrowth strategy could make. But a leading figure in the discussion has argued for turning some 1.2 billion acres of degraded or marginally productive agricultural land into forests.” “Some countries have already pledged to restore tens of millions of acres.” “The intense pressure (by Brazil red.) resulted in a sharp drop in deforestation, by 83 percent, over the past decade.” “Costa Rica, a ''green republic'' famous worldwide for its efforts to protect forests, shows how difficult a forest restoration strategy can be in practice.“ Counteracting activities: ''Asian companies are rushing into Africa and grabbing as much land as possible,'' said Mr. Hurowitz, of Climate Advisers. ''That's kind of scary.'' The actors mentioned are different countries and politicians, and the tone is Sustainability “Moreover, the Brazilian ministry of agriculture began to focus on helping farmers raise yields without needing additional land.” Technological optimism Emerging economies Global understanding Deforestation + burning coal --> carbon cycle of ecology Scientific knowledge “A large body of scientific evidence shows that the amount of carbon in the air at any given time, in the form of carbon dioxide, largely determines the planet's temperature.” “The burning of coal, oil and natural gas effectively moves carbon out of the ground and into the active carbon cycle operating at the earth's surface, causing a warming of the globe that scientists believe is more rapid now than in any similar period of geologic history.” General tone Sarcastic/pessimistic: ''Every time I hear about a government program that is going to spend billions of dollars on some carbon capture and storage program, I just laugh and think, what is wrong with a tree?'' “saving the ones that are left, and perhaps letting new ones grow -is the single most promising near-term strategy.” 18 Actors speaking/mentioned Environment group of Greenpeace (and other environment groups) Climate Advisers Scientists World Resources Institute (think thank) Woods Hole Research Center Local people Research outpost: La Selva Biological Station Cause of climate “humans have cut down or damaged at least three-quarters of the change world's forests, and that destruction has accounted for much of the excess carbon that is warming the planet” Striking features Elaborates a lot on the urgency to leave the nature alone! Name article Author Length Subject Hydrogen Cars, Coming Down the Pike Editorial board 681 words Hydrogen cars Industrialized “The Clinton, Bush and Obama administrations invested in countries economic hydrogen research to varying degrees. “ policies “The state of California, where many of the first fuel-cell cars will be sold, plans to spend up to $200 million to build 100 fueling stations in a decade. Countries like Japan and Germany are also investing in refueling stations. And car companies like Toyota and Honda are providing loans to help their business partners build hydrogen stations.” Sustainability “Hydrogen could be produced more cleanly by using alternative energy sources like solar and wind power to split water into hydrogen and oxygen atoms. And it can be generated from renewable sources like sewage and animal waste.” Technological “The once-distant promise of clean, affordable hydrogen-powered optimism cars is starting to become a reality.” Emerging economies “There is little doubt that the world will need many transformative technologies to deal with climate change.” --> not per se optimism “The development of fuel-cell technology has been helped along by federal and state government support.” Global understanding of ecology Scientific knowledge “Most hydrogen today is created from natural gas in a process that generates carbon dioxide. But scientists say fuel cells are still good for the environment, because making hydrogen produces far fewer emissions than burning fossil fuels.” General tone Actors speaking/mentioned Neutral Environmental Protection Agency Scientists 19 Department of Energy Cause of climate “[...] in lowering emissions of carbon dioxide and other pollutants change responsible for climate change.” “Cars and other modes of transportation account for about 28 percent of greenhouse gas emissions in the United States, second only to power plants, according to the Environmental Protection Agency.” Striking features Critics are mentioned, but called short-sighted. Name article Author Length Subject Wobbling on Climate Change Piers J. Sellers (acting director of earth science at NASA's Goddard Space Flight Center) 826 words Climate change knowledge Industrialized countries economic policies Sustainability Technological “So, if you have no faith in the predictive capability of climate optimism models, you should also discard your faith in weather forecasts and any other predictions based on Newtonian mechanics.” --> technology is capable of predicting climate change Emerging economies Global understanding of ecology Scientific knowledge “A Serbian mathematician, Milutin Milankovitch, worked out the theory during the early years of the 20th century. He calculated by hand that variations in the earth's tilt and the shape of its orbit around the sun start and end ice ages. I said that you could think of ice ages as resulting from wobbles in the earth's tilt and orbit.” “This whole system of observation, theory and prediction is tested daily in forecast models and almost continuously in climate models. So, if you have no faith in the predictive capability of climate models, you should also discard your faith in weather forecasts and any other predictions based on Newtonian mechanics.” “The earth has warmed nearly 0.8 degrees Celsius over the last century and we are confident that the biggest factor in this increase is the release of carbon dioxide from fossil fuel burning. It is almost certain that we will see a rise of two degrees Celsius (3.6 degrees Fahrenheit) before 2100, and a three-degree rise (5.4 degrees Fahrenheit) or higher is a possibility.” General tone Negative, direct attack towards deniers. “So, if you have no faith in the predictive capability of climate models, you should also discard your faith in weather forecasts and any other predictions based on Newtonian mechanics.” 20 Actors speaking/mentioned Cause change of White House Office of Science and Technology Policy Republican from Texas Scientists climate “The earth has warmed nearly 0.8 degrees Celsius over the last century and we are confident that the biggest factor in this increase is the release of carbon dioxide from fossil fuel burning” Striking features Sarcastic, negative tone towards deniers/sceptics. Name article Author Length Subject Why Republicans Keep Telling Everyone They're Not Scientists Coral Davenport 1047 words Republicans avoid subject climate change Industrialized “In 2012, President Obama and Mitt Romney never once countries economic mentioned climate change in their three debates.” policies “[...] and at least 67 percent said the government should limit greenhouse gas emissions.” Sustainability Technological optimism Emerging economies “Major corporations, including longtime Republican donors like ExxonMobil, Walmart and Coca-Cola, have acknowledged the science of human-caused climate change and are planning for future taxes or regulations on carbon pollution.” Global understanding “[...] detailed the ways in which climate change caused by burning of ecology coal and oil is threatening the American landscape, from rising sea levels in Florida to more wildfires in Colorado to more devastating droughts across the Southwest.” Scientific knowledge “Jon A. Krosnick, who conducts polls on public attitudes on climate change at Stanford, finds the phrase perplexing. ''What's odd about this 'I'm not a scientist' line is that there's nothing in the data we've seen to suggest that this helps a candidate,'' Mr. Krosnick said.” “Since then polls show that the political landscape has changed. A 2013 survey by USA Today and Stanford University found that 71 percent of Americans say they are already seeing the results of climate change, and 55 percent support limiting greenhouse gas emissions from power plants. Mr. Krosnick, a professor at Stanford University, analyzed polls in 46 states conducted between 2006 and 2013 and found that in every state surveyed, at least 75 percent of the population acknowledged the existence of climate change, and at least 67 percent said the government should limit greenhouse gas emissions.” General tone Neutral - takes a direct attack towards republicans calling themselves not scientists, but with arguments attacking, not to see in the tone. 21 Actors speaking/mentioned Politicians Survey methodology researcher National climate assessment Scientists Cause of climate “While the politicians debate, the scientific evidence linking weather extremes to climate change continues to mount.” change and see ‘global understanding of ecology Striking features “Voters place climate change low on the list: ''It is very difficult to find an issue that voters place lower on the list than climate change,'' Mr. Ayres said. ''It vies with gay marriage and campaign finance reform as the least important issue.” “Republicans try to avoid being called a climate change deniers, by not taking a stand and saying: “i’m not a scientist”” Name article Author Length Subject Warming Temperatures Threaten Fragile Balance in Canadian Arctic Michael Becker 1331 words Canadian Arctic and climate change Industrialized countries economic policies Sustainability Technological optimism Emerging economies Global understanding “While they are a natural part of the landscape's evolution, it is the of ecology current change in their frequency and distribution that may signify the effects of a warming climate.” Scientific knowledge “The 2013 Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change report projected that the Arctic would warm much more rapidly than the global average, with warming over the land far greater than over the ocean.” “If the duration of winter declines, Dr. Schmidt says, the population of musk oxen may gain in the short term. But ''in the long run, higher temperatures will lead to fewer musk oxen, because of more unstable winter conditions.'' 'The broader scientific community supports the idea that extreme summers like 2012 are a sign of increased global warming in polar regions,'' he said. ''One year on its own can be a simple anomaly; however, several summers within a fixed time period, about 10 years, is more likely part of a longer-term trend.'' And whether this trend is part of a natural cycle of warming or linked to human factors, he continued, ''is still difficult to resolve.'' General tone Neutral – scientific, mentioned some doubt! 22 Actors speaking/mentioned Cause of climate change Striking features IPCC Scientists Humans “The interactions among all the elements of the region are complex, especially given the added influence of human-driven climate change.” Human influence almost hidden mentioned. Name article Author Length Subject In the Ocean, Clues to Change Justin Gillis (b) 921 words Ocean warming Industrialized “At a time when people are causing profound changes on the countries economic planet, he said, governments had failed to invest enough in policies monitoring systems like satellites, causing gaping holes in the information that scientists have to work with.” Sustainability Technological “Developing robots able to go deeper has been a technical optimism challenge, but scientists think they are about to lick it, permitting temperature measurements of virtually the entire ocean -- a milestone in science.” Emerging economies “Another possibility, as strange as it may sound, is that the rapid rise of coal burning in China has temporarily slowed planetary warming. Coal releases greenhouse gases that will have a longterm warming effect, of course, but it also throws particles into the air that can reflect sunlight back to space over the short term.” Global understanding of ecology Scientific knowledge “This documented ocean warming is hard evidence that scientists have gotten the basic story right when it comes to the effects of human emissions.” General tone Negative/Sarcastic – “and the great veil of human ignorance will lift a bit further.” Direct attack towards deniers. Scientists Actors speaking/mentioned Cause of climate Humans “The greenhouse gases released by humans are still change trapping heat, and the vast bulk of it is being absorbed by the ocean, as has always been the case.” Striking features Global warming: “that scientific problem has become a political problem” Name article Author Length Subject Shattering Myths to Help the Climate Robert H. Frank - economics professor at the Johnson Graduate School of Management at Cornell University 965 words The myths around climate change 23 Industrialized “If the United States and Europe each adopted a steep carbon tax, countries economic they could elicit broader cooperation through heavy tariffs on goods policies produced in countries that failed to do likewise. India and China need access to our markets, giving us enormous leverage.” Sustainability Technological “The actual cost of reducing CO2 emissions would be only those optimism costs associated with the cleaner processes we're led to adopt, and they promise to be low.” Emerging economies Global understanding of ecology Scientific knowledge “In 2009, the respected M.I.T. global climate simulation model estimated that if we do nothing to curb greenhouse emissions, there's a 10 percent chance that temperatures will rise by more than 12 degrees Fahrenheit by century's end, causing wholesale destruction of life as we know it.” “many scientists now believe that storms and droughts caused by climate change are already causing enormous damage, so all that remains uncertain is how much worse things will get.” General tone Negative – “If we fail to act, future historians may wonder from behind high sea walls why we allowed the more effective responses we could have pursued to be blocked by an easily debunked collection of myths.” Scientists Actors speaking/mentioned Cause of climate Humans – see scientific knowledge change Striking features Mentions solution so climate change can easily be addressed! Name article Author Length Subject When Beliefs and Facts Collide Brendan Nyhan - assistant professor of government at Dartmouth College 679 words Beliefs and facts towards climate change Industrialized countries economic policies Sustainability Technological optimism Emerging economies Global understanding of ecology Scientific knowledge “scientists and advocates have concluded that many people are not aware of the evidence on these issues and need to be provided 24 with correct information.” “46 percent of Republicans said there is not solid evidence of global warming, compared with 11 percent of Democrats.” “Mr. Kahan's study suggests that more people know what scientists think about high-profile scientific controversies than polls suggest; they just aren't willing to endorse the consensus when it contradicts their political or religious views.” Positive, “One implication of Mr. Kahan's study and other research in this field is that we need to try to break the association between identity and factual beliefs on high-profile issues -- for instance, by making clear that you can believe in human-induced climate change and still be a conservative Republican like former Representative Bob Inglis or an evangelical Christian like the climate scientist Katharine Hayhoe.” – it is possible! Actors The Pew Research Centre speaking/mentioned Scientists Advocates Republicans Evangelical Christians Cause of climate “One implication of Mr. Kahan's study and other research in this change field is that we need to try to break the association between identity and factual beliefs on high-profile issues -- for instance, by making clear that you can believe in human-induced climate change and still be a conservative Republican like former Representative Bob Inglis or an evangelical Christian like the climate scientist Katharine Hayhoe.” Striking features “In other words, religious people knew the science; they just weren't willing to say that they believed in it.” “But we also need to reduce the incentives for elites to spread misinformation to their followers in the first place. Once people's cultural and political views get tied up in their factual beliefs, it's very difficult to undo regardless of the messaging that is used.” Implicitly mentions believe in human cause climate change. General tone Name article Author Length Subject A Paltry Start in Curbing Global Warming Eduardo Porter 1220 words Growth and climate change Industrialized “Humanity is hitting hard against the limit of the planet's carrying countries economic capacity. The world's leaders have yet to rise to the task.” policies “the Obama administration unveiled its much-anticipated rules to curb greenhouse gas emissions at the nation's power plants.” “The new rules call for a 30 percent reduction in emissions of carbon dioxide by the nation's power plants by the year 2030, compared with a base in 2005.” Sustainability 25 Technological optimism Emerging economies “ [...] that citizens of developing nations are entitled to become roughly as rich in 2050 as Europeans. Let's take note that the world will be home to more than nine billion people by then.” Global understanding of ecology Scientific knowledge Negative – pessimistic “Growth, he concluded, is ''ecologically unsustainable.'' We must start thinking about how to live without it.” Actors Scientists speaking/mentioned Energy Information Administration Politicians IPCC United States Climate Initiative World Resources Institute Cause of climate Humans – mentioned implicitly: “[...] preventing a global climate change disaster. [...] Advanced nations emit 60 times that much, according to the Energy Information Administration. Developing nations emit 90 times that much. It's enough to make a sustainable development expert despair.” Striking features General tone Name article Author Length Subject Don't Sell Cheap U.S. Coal to Asia Michael Riordan – physicist author of ''The Hunting of the Quark.'' 947 words US export of coal to Asia Industrialized “Asian nations hungry for energy have much looser pollution countries economic regulations and will pay dearly for coal, despite its noxious impacts policies on health and the environment.” “Our nation needs a new, transparent, clean-energy policy that no longer turns a blind eye to the many negative impacts of coal burning -- or to companies trying to sell coal to other nations playing catch-up in the global economy.” Sustainability Technological optimism Emerging economies “When coal companies can strip mine Western coal for less than $10 a ton and sell it in Asia for nearly 10 times as much, lucrative profits can be banked all along the global supply chain.” “But today, as utilities convert to cheap natural gas and American coal use declines, mining companies are seeking customers in China, Japan and Korea.” Global understanding 26 of ecology Scientific knowledge “The health impact of coal emissions has recently become obvious in China, where this pollution contributed to 1.2 million premature deaths in 2010, according to the Global Burden of Disease study, published in The Lancet, a British medical journal.” General tone Actors speaking/mentioned Negative Politicians Scientists Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis Cause of climate Humans “''Taxpayers are likely losing out so that coal companies change can reap a windfall and export that coal overseas, where it is burned, worsening climate change,'' said Senator Edward J. Markey, a Massachusetts Democrat, who requested the study.” Striking features New York Times - Sceptic Name article Author Length Subject California Drought Is Said to Have Natural Cause Henry Fountain 336 words Consequences of climate change Industrialized countries economic policies Sustainability Technological optimism Emerging economies Global understanding ''The drought is consistent with what can happen with natural of ecology variability,'' “But there was nothing extraordinary about the temperature patterns, the report concluded.” Scientific knowledge See ‘cause of climate change’ General tone Actors speaking/mentioned Cause of climate change Neutral – doubtfull (see quote two in ‘cause of climate change) Scientists National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration “Scientists who have analyzed California's extreme drought have concluded that it is a result of natural climate variability over the past three years and that climate change caused by humans has played little role.” --> partly denied. “In September, a series of papers on a drought that hit Australia last year unanimously agreed that it was a direct consequence of climate change. But three papers on the California drought -which, like the ones about Australia, were published in the Bulletin 27 Striking features Name article Author Length Subject of the American Meteorological Society -- were divided on a link to climate change, with only one seeing a clear connection.” --> doubt Mentions acknowledgers and deniers, especially not sure about climate change consequences. Everything Is Political Nicholas Confessore - political correspondent for The Times, covered Albany and New York State politics from 2007 to 2011. 1271 words Politics Industrialized countries economic policies Sustainability Technological optimism Emerging economies Global understanding ''but surely we must all agree that extreme weather patterns have of ecology developed.'' Scientific knowledge General tone Neutral Actors Politicians speaking/mentioned Cause of climate ''There's debate over global warming,'' change Striking features Climate change is only mentioned at the end of the article. Name article Author Length Subject China, Coal, Climate Paul Krugman 807 words Industrialized countries economic policies Sustainability Technological optimism Emerging economies Global understanding of ecology Scientific knowledge General tone Neutral – sarcastic “To understand why, you first have to understand the defense in depth that fossil-fuel interests and their 28 loyal servants -- nowadays including the entire Republican Party -have erected against any action to save the planet.” Politicians Senate Environment and Public Works Committee Actors speaking/mentioned Cause of climate change Striking features Article is in favour of battle towards climate change. Mentions deniers by negating their arguments, but leaves the question open. Name article Author To Save the Planet, Don't Plant Trees Nadine Unger – assistant professor of atmospheric chemistry at Yale Length Subject Industrialized “The science says that spending precious dollars for climate countries economic change mitigation on forestry is high-risk: We don't know that it policies would cool the planet, and we have good reason to fear it might have precisely the opposite effect. More funding for forestry might seem like a tempting easy win for the world leaders at the United Nations, but it's a bad bet.” Sustainability Technological optimism Emerging economies Global understanding While trees provide carbon storage, forestry is not a permanent of ecology solution because trees and soil also ''breathe'' -- that is, burn oxygen and release carbon dioxide back into the air. Scientific knowledge “humans have changed about 50 percent of the earth's surface area from native forests and grasslands to crops, pasture and wood harvest. Unfortunately, there is no scientific consensus on whether this land use has caused overall global warming or cooling. Since we don't know that, we can't reliably predict whether large-scale forestation would help to control the earth's rising temperatures.” “Climate scientists have calculated the effect of increasing forest cover on surface temperature. Their conclusion is that planting trees in the tropics would lead to cooling, but in colder regions, it would cause warming.” General tone Actors speaking/mentioned Cause of climate change Striking features Neutral Scientists Politicians Deforestation could be a cause of climate change, or not. Doubt! 29 Name article Author Length Subject Texas, Leader in Greenhouse Vulnerable to Their Effects Neena Satija 1164 words Texas and climate change Gases, Stands Industrialized Gov. Rick Perry and Attorney General Greg Abbott, the Republican countries economic candidate for governor, have refused to regulate greenhouse gas policies emissions, and have sued the Obama administration over its major climate change initiatives. Sustainability Technological optimism Emerging economies Global understanding “Ms. Nashed, Mr. Perry's spokeswoman, said the governor was of ecology committed to protecting the environment by reducing other ''known pollutants'' like nitrogen oxide but did not believe that greenhouse gases fell in the same category.” Scientific knowledge The state's climatologist, John Nielsen-Gammon of Texas A&M, projects that global warming will reduce Texas' water supply by as much as 15 percent in the coming decades. But state agencies have not consulted with him on such climate change data, he said. General tone Negative - ''Texas is really at the forefront of this problem,'' ''I call Texas a 'state of denial,' Indifferent - ''Given that climate change has been politicized across the board, it doesn't surprise me at all,'' Actors Senate Natural Resources Committee speaking/mentioned Politicians Scientists Cause of climate State Republican leaders, however, have questioned whether the change earth is warming and that humans are responsible. Striking features Disagreement, science acknowledge, politicians do not. Name article Author Length Subject The Amazon's Floating Fields Jer Longman; Miriam Wells and Mauricio Lima contributed reporting. 1150 words The Amazon and water Industrialized countries economic policies Sustainability Technological optimism Emerging economies 30 Global understanding of ecology Scientific knowledge “As scientists study the impact of deforestation on the Amazon basin, and the cooling and warming of the Pacific Ocean, extreme patterns observed over the last 25 or 30 years raise an important unanswered question” General tone Positive - ''I like it here, but the land is better because when you fall you don't hurt yourself,'' Actors Scientists speaking/mentioned Local people Cause of climate Doubt: Schˆngart said: ''Are these trends human-induced climate change, or can we explain this with natural variability?'' change Striking features Climate change small part of the article 31 Name article Author Length Subject How El NiÒo Might Alter the Political Climate Nate Cohn 1081 words Industrialized countries economic policies Sustainability Technological optimism Emerging economies Global understanding of ecology Scientific knowledge “Even though atmospheric temperatures are higher than at any time in the past 4,000 years, surface temperature increases seem to have slowed down since 1998. The planet has gotten warmer over the last decade, but climate change skeptics have used this so-called hiatus or pause in warming to take aim at the accuracy of the climate models, which appeared to predict more significant warming than has so far happened.” “The planet has gotten warmer over the last decade, but climate change skeptics have used this so-called hiatus or pause in warming to take aim at the accuracy of the climate models, which appeared to predict more significant warming than has so far happened.” General tone Actors speaking/mentioned Neutral Scientists Local people Politicians Cause of climate “Marco Rubio, who recently said he did not believe human activity change was causing climate change.” Striking features “There is some evidence that the number of Americans who don't believe in global warming has increased by about 7 percentage points since the pause or hiatus began to gain mainstream news media attention” “One-third of Americans don't trust climate scientists, according to Jon Krosnick of Stanford University, and they make their decisions about climate change ''based on very recent trends in warming.'' Belief in warming jumps when global temperatures hit record highs; it drops in cooler years.” 32 Name article Author Length Subject Rubio Denies Humans Have an Effect on Climate Change Emmarie Huetteman 624 words Industrialized countries economic policies Sustainability Technological optimism Emerging economies Global understanding of ecology Scientific knowledge “His comments challenged a major scientific report released Tuesday that found the effects of human-induced climate change are being felt in every corner of the United States, from dry regions where water is becoming more scarce to historically wet regions that are seeing increases in torrential rains.” General tone Neutral Actors Politicians speaking/mentioned Cause of climate ''I do not believe that human activity is causing these dramatic change changes to our climate the way these scientists are portraying it'' ''Our climate is always changing. And what they have chosen to do is take a handful of decades of research and say that this is now evidence of a longer-term trend that's directly and almost solely attributable to man-made activities.'' Striking features Name article Author Length Subject Lessons From the Little Ice Age Geoffrey Parker - history professor at Ohio State University and the author of ''Global Crisis: War, Climate Change and Catastrophe in the Seventeenth Century.'' 988 words Industrialized countries economic policies Sustainability Technological optimism Emerging economies Global understanding of ecology 33 Scientific knowledge Neutral – indifference (see cause of climate change, whatever the cause of climate change, prepare for it) General tone Actors speaking/mentioned Cause of climate “So while we procrastinate over whether human activities cause climate change, let us remember the range of climate-induced change catastrophes that history shows are inevitable -- and prepare accordingly.” Striking features Name article Author Length Subject Still Stuck in a Climate Argument Henry Fountain 759 words Antarctic sea ice increase Industrialized countries economic policies Sustainability Technological optimism Emerging economies Global understanding “Unlike the Arctic, where sharp declines in recent decades in the of ecology ice that floats on sea surfaces have been linked to warming, sea ice in the Antarctic has actually increased, scientists who study the region say.” “Scientists say that increases in greenhouse gas concentration in the atmosphere, as well as depletion of atmospheric ozone, have changed temperature gradients from the tropics to the poles, which affects atmospheric circulation.” Scientific knowledge ''The truth is, we don't fully understand what's going on,'' Doubt - “there was still a lot unknown” Scientists Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution Institute of Arctic and Alpine Research climate Not convinced, indifferent? – “Whatever the explanation” General tone Actors speaking/mentioned Cause of change Striking features ''The skeptics do have a good point,'' 34 Washington Post - Acknowledged Name article Author Length Subject Study finds cutting down forests immediately harms climate Dom Philips 682 words Deforestation Industrialized countries economic policies Sustainability Technological optimism Emerging economies Global understanding "Deforestation is about much more than carbon dioxide. Forests of ecology regulate the climate in many ways, and storing CO2 is just one of them" "Tropical deforestation on many scales influences local, regional and even global climate. Deforestation-driven changes to water availability and climate variability could have strong implications for agricultural production systems and food security in some regions," Scientific knowledge General tone Actors speaking/mentioned Neutral Journal Nature Climate Change Scientists Petersburg Nuclear Physics Institute National Institute of Space Research Ministry of Science, Technology and Innovation Cause of climate “But as a report out this week argues, scientists are making the change case that cutting down these forests does more than simply release carbon into the atmosphere - it has a direct and more immediate effect on the climate, from changes in rainfall patterns to increases in temperatures.” --> implicitly! Striking features “But where scientific opinion diverges is on how forests affect climate.” Name article Author Length Subject Ancient bones tell tale of climate change Dan Elliott 578 words Ancient bones research Industrialized countries economic policies Sustainability Technological optimism 35 Emerging economies Global understanding “mastodon tusks grow a little each year, producing rings like trees of ecology do, he said. The size of each ring indicates whether times were good or bad” Scientific knowledge “The warmer weather allowed forests to reach about 2,500 feet farther up the mountainside than today's tree line, which is about 11,500 feet above sea level at the Snowmass site. Forests also may have been denser, and smaller trees and grasslands might have been more widespread amid drier conditions.” General tone Actors speaking/mentioned Neutral Scientists Earth Sciences Department Denver Museum of Nature and Science National Snow and Ice Data Center Cause of climate “It also means that figuring out the effect of human-produced change greenhouse gases combined with natural changes might be more complicated than previously thought. "The point is . . . if we haven't seen all the natural variability in the system and we are causing warming, where are we going?" Miller said.” --> small mention, like it is not a matter of debate anyhow. Striking features Name article Author Length Subject Effects of climate change 'irreversible,' panel says Joby Warrick + Chris Mooney 1235 words Report of IPCC on (irreversible) climate change Industrialized “The final document to emerge from the latest of five assessments countries economic since 1990, it is intended to provide a scientific grounding for world policies leaders who will attempt to negotiate an international climate treaty in Paris late next year.” --> scientific background for policy “Scientists and policymakers have set a goal of restraining the average global temperature increase to no more than 2 degrees Celsius, or 3.6 degrees Fahrenheit, on grounds that a higher increase would change the climate so dramatically that neither humans nor natural ecosystems could easily adapt.” Sustainability Technological optimism Emerging economies “Concentrations of the heat-trapping gas is 40 percent higher than in pre-industrial times, a level "unprecedented in at least the last 800,000 years," the report states.” Global understanding "Continued emission of greenhouse gases will cause further of ecology warming and long-lasting changes in all components of the climate system, increasing the likelihood of severe, pervasive and irreversible impacts," 36 “Most of the excess heat is absorbed by the ocean, muting the effects. Yet, climate change is having profound impacts on "natural and human systems on all continents and across the oceans," the panel concluded.” Scientific knowledge “the report lays out possible scenarios and warns that the choices will grow increasingly dire if carbon emissions continue on their current record-breaking trajectory.” Negative – “claims about a possible slowing of global warming may be swept aside by new data” "The longer we are stuck in a debate over ideology and politics, the more the costs of inaction grow and grow. Those who choose to ignore or dispute the science so clearly laid out in this report do so at great risk for all of us and for our kids and grandkids." Actors IPCC speaking/mentioned Scientists National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Policymakers Cause of climate “"Human influence on the climate system is clear," the panel states change in a 40-page summary intended for policymakers.” Striking features Some changes are irreversible Mentions the debate: “Candidates in several Senate and House races have clashed over how to respond to climate change and whether it indeed exists.” General tone Name article Author Length Subject Whistleblower over editing of climate-change reports Juliet Eilperin 928 words Climate change reports manipulation Industrialized “which in December 2007 concluded after a 16-month investigation countries economic that the Bush administration had "engaged in a systematic effort to policies manipulate climate change science and mislead policymakers and the public about the dangers of global warming” --> no policy because of manipulated information. Sustainability Technological optimism Emerging economies Global understanding of ecology Scientific knowledge General tone Actors speaking/mentioned Negative Climate Policy Analyst White House Council on Environmental Quality Politicians 37 Climate Science Watch World Wildlife Fund Cause of climate “exposed how top-level George W. Bush administration officials change edited scientific reports to minimize the link between human activity and climate change” --> proven but minimized by Bush adminisitration Striking features “The U.S. Global Change Research Program, through which U.S. government agencies coordinate their support for research on climate. He quit in March 2005, citing frustration with the Bush administration's efforts to change the testimony of federal officials and the reports they submitted documenting the impact of global warming” Name article Author Length Subject Innovators wresting Earth from human destruction Barbara J. King 925 words Book The Human Age Industrialized countries economic policies Sustainability Technological optimism Emerging economies Global understanding “Wildlife demographics have changed as a direct result of our of ecology world-tampering: Some scientists say that, by 2100, half the world's plants and animals will be extinct. Meanwhile, birds' biological clocks tick faster in cities than in the country, and coyotes are likely to roam those cities, seeking food as we encroach more and more on their natural habitat and experiencing newly close encounters with us.” Scientific knowledge General tone Positive, optimistic - "We can become Earth-restorers and Earthguardians. We still have time and talent, and we have a great many choices." Actors Climate change activists speaking/mentioned Writer of ‘The Human Age’ Cause of climate “Hand in hand with our astonishing scientific and technological change progress since the Industrial Revolution and the first significant fossil-fuel production goes the havoc our species has caused. "The world is being ravaged by record heat, drought, and floods," as Ackerman puts it.” Striking features 38 Name article Author Length Subject As the world warms Editorial Board a 659 words Climate change Industrialized countries economic policies Sustainability Technological optimism Emerging economies Global understanding of ecology “the need to slash carbon dioxide emissions over the next several decades.” --> need of policy, no policy measures mentioned. Scientific knowledge “In 2010, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration deemed this conclusion "unequivocal," pointing to multiple, independent lines of evidence, including decades of direct temperature readings [...] verified this conclusion after a two-year review of the data.” “Among many pieces of evidence is the breakneck rate of carbon dioxide accumulation in the atmosphere, coinciding with measured temperature rise. Other human "fingerprints" are becoming visible: Scientists, for example, are seeing a pattern of warming in the troposphere and cooling in the stratosphere that suggests greenhouse gases - not, say, variations in solar activity - are the cause.” General tone Actors speaking/mentioned Negative Former sceptic Scientists IPCC National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Cause of climate “For decades, they've realized humans can affect the climate by change burning coal, oil and gas.” Striking features Gives reasons for sceptics, but none of these reasons are reason enough for inaction. 39 Name article Author Length Subject EPA to seek cuts in coal plants' emissions Juliet Eilperin + Steven Mufson 1760 words EPA Industrialized “propose a regulation Monday that would cut carbon dioxide countries economic emissions from existing coal plants by up to 30 percent by 2030 policies compared with 2005 levels” “Other compliance methods could include offering discounts to encourage consumers to shift electricity use to off-peak hours.” --> possibility “The proposal, which would cut 500 million metric tons of carbon dioxide annually by 2030, ranks as one of Obama's most farreaching climate policies. His previous measures to limit carbon emissions in cars and light trucks produced between fleet years 2012 and 2025 will cut 6 billion metric tons of greenhouse gas emissions over the lifetime of those vehicles.” In doubt of best policy Sustainability “with different approaches to energy efficiency, shifting from coal to natural gas, investing in renewable energy and making power plant upgrades” “energy-efficiency measures to flatten out or even lower electricity consumption. A March report by the American Council for an Energy-Efficient Economy looked at efficiency programs in 20 states from 2009 to 2012 and found an average cost of 2.8 cents per kilowatt hour - about one-half to one-third the cost of alternative new electricity resource options, the group said.” Technological “Opponents, including coal producers, some utilities and many optimism Republicans, argue that the EPA is using a novel legal approach to demand stringent greenhouse gas cuts that are not achievable given current technology.” --> pessimism? Emerging economies Global understanding found that a carbon limit on existing plants would reduce these of ecology facilities' sulfur dioxide and mercury emissions by up to 27 percent and their nitrogen oxide emissions by up to 22 percent by 2020. Scientific knowledge The EPA has estimated that, by 2030, the public health and climate benefits of the rule will outweigh the costs by at least an 8 to 1 ratio, if not higher, according to those briefed on it. General tone Actors speaking/mentioned Neutral Environmental Protection Agency Politicians World Resource Institute Energy Information Administration Scientists Wind Energy Association Solar Energy Industries American Council for an Energy-Efficient Economy 40 Business Forward Cause of climate “the nation's greenhouse gas emissions, which are linked to climate change change” Striking features Name article Author Length Subject Hot topic Editorial Board b 513 words Climate change consequences Industrialized “The best way to cut greenhouse gases would be through a countries economic national policy that puts a price on carbon dioxide emissions.” policies Sustainability Technological optimism Emerging economies Global understanding of ecology Scientific knowledge “makes clear that global warming is changing a variety of conditions here - changes that will become more severe as the average global temperature rises.” “The country has warmed, and will continue to heat up, by between 3 and 10 degrees Fahrenheit by the end of the century, depending in part on how much the world does to slash emissions. The country is seeing more hot weather, more torrential rain and higher sea levels. The Northeast and mid-Atlantic regions have been hit with heat waves, severe rain and coastal flooding. Areas around the District are seeing rapid sea-level rise. Other regions, such as the Southwest, are dealing with pressing water scarcity.” “A group of experts found that retrofitting existing buildings to better withstand floods and storms would help in all sorts of future conditions” Negative – “Among the injustices [...] will not face the brunt of the consequences” “the trends are scary” Actors “The United States” speaking/mentioned The National Climate Assessment Journal Science Scientists Government Cause of climate “of human-caused climate change is that nations most responsible change for filling the atmosphere with heat-trapping carbon dioxide will not face the brunt of the consequences.” Shortly fast mentioned Striking features General tone 41 Name article Author Length Subject A pause in global warming does not disprove a human role in climate change Bloomberg News 368 words Climate change existence Industrialized countries economic policies Sustainability Technological optimism Emerging economies Global understanding of ecology Scientific knowledge While the science in some areas of climate change continues to evolve, man's contribution to warming, sea-level increases and the decline in Arctic sea ice is "more certain than ever" "Our expectation as scientists always was to see very complex changes in the average temperature of the planet, and that's exactly what we see," General tone Actors speaking/mentioned Cause of climate change Striking features Negative - "more certain than ever", “exactly what we see," Scientists California's Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory “A pause in the pace of global warming does not invalidate research that links climate change to human activity” Argumentation towards deniers – “Global-warming skeptics seized on what the scientific community calls a "hiatus" in warming as evidence that concerns over warming are overblown. [...] “due to natural variability, trends based on short records are very sensitive to the beginning and end dates and do not in general reflect longterm climate trends.”" 42 Name article Author Length Subject Breathe locally, act globally Editorial Board c 340 words Pollution and climate change Industrialized See global understanding of ecology countries economic policies Sustainability Technological optimism Emerging economies Global understanding “Climate change, then, must ultimately be solved by many nations of ecology particularly the emissions behemoths, the United States and China - moving in the same direction.” --> also theme 1. “But there are dozens of cross-border environmental issues, and they will require overcoming global political tensions and short-term economic incentives that discourage different countries from cooperating.” Scientific knowledge General tone Actors speaking/mentioned Neutral National Academy of Sciences Scientists Politicians Cause of climate Implicitly mentioned – “greenhouse gases are thought of as unique change among environment-altering emissions, in part because carbon dioxide released anywhere contributes to global warming everywhere.” Striking features 43 Washington Post – Sceptic Name article Author Length Subject xxxxxx Fight on climate rules is brewing Tom Hamburger 1387 words Fight towards environmental rules of Obama administration Industrialized Mentions Obama’s administration environmental policy, but countries economic mentions groups that do not agree with that – “delay the federal policies rulemaking process”, “build public opposition to an environmental movement that once had bipartisan support” Sustainability Technological optimism Emerging economies Global understanding of ecology Scientific knowledge General tone Actors speaking/mentioned Negative/offensive – “Republicans are planning to make the Environmental Protection Agency a primary political target”, "There is a palpable anger at the EPA in America", "Mention them, and you will get laughed out of any coffee shop or feed store in my district." “ways they could undercut the credibility of the environmental movement and its leading spokesmen” "Demands green living. Flies on private jets." Politicians – republicans / (disagreement with) Obama administration American Legislative Exchange Council climate “James M. Inhofe (R-Okla.), a vocal denier of science showing a human role in climate change, sent a letter demanding that the EPA withdraw the new power-plant limits.” Striking features Battle against Obama administration environmental rules Cause change of Name article Author Length Subject Climate as a moral issue David Ignatius 800 words Climate change Industrialized Negative reaction towards policy -"carbon emission regulations are countries economic creating havoc in my state and other states around the country" policies Sustainability Technological optimism Emerging economies 44 Global understanding of ecology Scientific knowledge Doubt “Is this terrifying future really ahead of us? The honest answer is that nobody knows.” “Prominent scientists have become increasingly convinced that the connection between carbon emissions and rising temperatures is real, but skeptics have whole truckloads of studies to demonstrate the opposite.” General tone Actors speaking/mentioned Neutral Scientists Skeptics NASA's Goddard Space Flight Center Cause of climate They reject or minimize the arguments of leading scientists that change such emissions are directly linked to global warming and climate change and could have catastrophic long-term consequences. Striking features “The safe (and conservative) course is to assume the worst.” Name article Author Length Subject What the planet needed Eugene Robinson 777 words Climate policy Industrialized Negative towards policies "the latest example of the president's countries economic crusade against affordable, reliable energy that is already hurting policies jobs and squeezing middle-class families." Sen. Mitch McConnell (Ky.), soon to be the majority leader, said he was "particularly distressed" by the deal and said that carbon regulations are already "creating havoc in my state and other states across the country." “The problem for Republicans who want to stall climate action is that Obama can carry out his agenda without them.” Sustainability Technological optimism Emerging economies Doubt “Can India be persuaded to take any measures at all that might slow its rush to match China's rapid development?” Global understanding of ecology Scientific knowledge General tone Neutral Actors Politicians speaking/mentioned Cause of climate Writers position not clear, mentions deniers “James Inhofe of change Oklahoma - a state where coal is not a big industry - has called climate change a "hoax" and a conspiracy to "shut down this 45 machine called America."” "God's still up there," Inhofe said on a radio program in 2012. "The arrogance of people to think that we, human beings, would be able to change what He is doing in the climate is, to me, outrageous." Striking features Name article Author Length Subject Fears of a water crisis grow Joby Warrick 2090 words Water and drought Industrialized countries economic policies Sustainability Technological optimism Emerging economies Global understanding of ecology Scientific knowledge “Scientists are warning that the state's cyclical droughts could become longer and more frequent as the climate warms.” --> no mention of climate change Tone Actors speaking/mentioned Neutral - doubtfull Farmers Scientists Tehama Colusa Canal Authority Cause of climate Doubt if climate change is happening “But if climate change is happening, we need to invest in storage, because if we're not change seeing white mountains, we need to see blue water." Striking features Does barely speak about the cause of the drought, main focus on consequences. Name article Author Length Subject Billions of dollars in aid pledged for Africa Juliet Eilperin + Katie Zezima 1095 words Industrialized Positive towards and mentions many policies in supporting Africa countries economic energy supplies - “President Obama announced Tuesday that policies private companies are providing an additional $12 billion in aid to the administration's electrification program for Africa, while U.S. firms will invest more than $14 billion on the continent in sectors including banking, construction and information technology.” Sustainability 46 Technological optimism “The administration has earmarked $1 billion of the program's funds for off-grid and small-scale energy solutions over the next five years, which are overwhelmingly renewable Emerging economies Global understanding of ecology Scientific knowledge Tone Actors speaking/mentioned Cause of climate change Striking features Positive Politicians Companies Implicitly mentions doubt, there is debate – “because of the political debate on climate change.” Name article Author Length Subject Extreme weather brings . . . maggots Danielle Paquette 1741 words Weather changes Industrialized “Over the next five years, Chicago will spend $50 million on flood countries economic prevention, putting green touches on capital infrastructure projects.” policies Sustainability Technological optimism Emerging economies Global understanding of ecology Scientific knowledge The climate changes but: “direct cause not visible” Doubtfull – sees the changes, does not acknowledge the direct connection Actors Metropolitan Water Reclamation District speaking/mentioned City Engineers Chicago Climate Action Plan National Climate Assessment Cause of climate Doubt – “nuanced look at climate change and its effects. The report change concludes that natural disasters, like floods, are striking harder and more often. But, beyond anecdotes and weather projections, it adds, it's hard to link one specific flood to carbon emissions.” “still fights over whether or not climate change is real” "Climate change is a political term," said David St. Pierre, executive director of Chicago's Metropolitan Water Reclamation District. "But you can't ignore that our weather has changed drastically in the past five years." “we cannot attribute any particular weather event to climate Tone 47 change, some types of extreme events . . . are now more frequent." “They've seen the data and the changing weather patterns, but don't think it suggests any particular cause. They don't blame any man-made apocalypse.” Striking features Name article Author Length Subject Those right-wing Koch brothers? Closet moderates. Daniel Schulman 1184 words Koch brothers Industrialized Brothers try to influence – “The brothers have focused their countries economic advocacy largely on economic issues, such as blocking passage of policies 2009's climate bill and pushing for steep decreases in state and federal spending, but there have been subtle signs that they are trying to influence other political battles.” Sustainability Technological optimism Emerging economies Global understanding of ecology Scientific knowledge Tone Actors speaking/mentioned Cause of climate Brothers promote scepticism – “stoking skepticism about climate change change” Striking features Economy more important than climate 48 Name article Author Length Subject Marco Rubio: I am ready to be president Jamie Fuller 706 words Marco Rubio, politican Industrialized countries economic policies Sustainability Technological optimism Emerging economies Global understanding of ecology Scientific knowledge Tone Neutral Actors Politicians speaking/mentioned Cause of climate "I do not believe that human activity is causing these dramatic change changes to our climate the way these scientists are portraying it." Striking features Name article Author Length Subject Liberals helping liberals George F. Will 812 words Industrialized countries economic policies Sustainability Technological optimism Emerging economies Global understanding of ecology Scientific knowledge Sarcasm - “"The science of climate change is leaping out at us like a scene from a 3-D movie." Leaping scenes? The "absolutely certain" science is "something that we understand with absolute assurance of the veracity of that science." And "kids at the earliest age can understand." No wonder "97 percent" - who did the poll? of climate scientists agree.” Tone Sarcastic: “When a politician says, concerning an issue involving science, that the debate is over, you may be sure the debate is rolling on and not going swimmingly for his side. Obama is, 49 however, quite right that climate change is a fact. The climate is always changing” Actors Politicians speaking/mentioned Bloggers Newspapers Cause of climate “The climate is always changing” change Striking features “Secretary of State John Kerry, our knight of the mournful countenance, was especially apocalyptic recently when warning that climate change is a "weapon of mass destruction."” Name article Author Length Subject The myth of 'settled science' Charles Krauthammer 807 words ‘Settled science’ of climate change Industrialized countries economic policies Sustainability Technological optimism Emerging economies Global understanding “They deal with the fluid dynamics of the atmosphere and oceans, of ecology argues Dyson, ignoring the effect of biology, i.e., vegetation and topsoil. Further, their predictions rest on models they fall in love with” Scientific knowledge Negative towards it: “"Climate change is a fact." Really? There is nothing more anti-scientific than the very idea that science is settled, static, impervious to challenge.” “If climate science is settled, why do its predictions keep changing?” “And how is it that the great physicist Freeman Dyson, who did some climate research in the late 1970s, thinks today's climatechange Cassandras are hopelessly mistaken?” Tone Actors speaking/mentioned Cause of climate change Striking features Negative – it can not be settled! Politicians Scientists Doubt; never to be sure, debate “But even worse than the pretense of settledness is the cynical attribution any politically convenient natural disaster to climate change” 50