Internet Stocks Jugroop Kullar Nicole Taylor Presentation Outline Examples of Internet Stocks Types of Internet Stocks How Stocks are Evaluated P/E Ratio Tech Wreck IPOs Examples Juniper Networks, Amazon.com, Yahoo! Lessons Learned What are General Examples of Internet Stocks? AMZN EBAY AOL YHOO JNPR CSCO ORCL Types of Internet Stocks E-commerce – consumer E-commerce – business Content Connectivity Software Services Source: “212 and Counting.” 18 August 1999. 11 November 2001 <http://fundpilot.net/stockbrief.htm> Types of Internet Stocks E-commerce – consumer Companies that sell goods/services to consumers over the Internet Examples: Amazon.com Ebay.com Autobytel.com E-trade.com Source: “212 and Counting.” 18 August 1999. 11 November 2001 <http://fundpilot.net/stockbrief.htm> Types of Internet Stocks E-commerce – business Companies that sell goods/services to businesses over the Internet Examples: Stamps.com Hotjobs.com Allscripts Inc. Claimsnet.com Source: “212 and Counting.” 18 August 1999. 11 November 2001 <http://fundpilot.net/stockbrief.htm> Types of Internet Stocks Content Companies that provide information or community services via the Internet to consumers and/or businesses Examples: Yahoo! Lycos Homestore.com Ask Jeeves Inc. Source: “212 and Counting.” 18 August 1999. 11 November 2001 <http://fundpilot.net/stockbrief.htm> Types of Internet Stocks Connectivity Internet service providers (ISPs), Application service providers (ASPs), hosting/co-location, backbone providers Examples: AOL Juno Online Digex Inc. Earthlink Source: “212 and Counting.” 18 August 1999. 11 November 2001 <http://fundpilot.net/stockbrief.htm> Types of Internet Stocks Software Companies that design and sell software for use on the Internet, Intranets, or Extranets Examples: Ariba Verisign Macromedia Inc Broadvision Source: “212 and Counting.” 18 August 1999. 11 November 2001 <http://fundpilot.net/stockbrief.htm> Types of Internet Stocks Services Companies that provide services to businesses operating on the Internet, including consulting, advertising, and marketing Examples: Network Solutions Modem Media Cobalt Group Doubleclick Source: “212 and Counting.” 18 August 1999. 11 November 2001 <http://fundpilot.net/stockbrief.htm> How are Stocks Evaluated? By Research By Stock Market Indices Stock Market Index # of Stocks Types of Stocks Dow Jones Industrial Average 30 Large, growing companies. Chosen by editors of the Wall Street Journal S & P 500 500 Largest, most widely held ISDEX 50 50 Internet Stocks Nasdaq Composite 5000+ All stocks traded on the Nasdaq Exchange Russel 2000 2000 Smallest 2,000 of the largest 3,000 by market cap Sources: www.biz.yahoo.com and Group 5 presentation on Internet Stocks from Winter 2001 Semester How are Stocks Evaluated? Company’s Financial Standings/Performance P/E Ratio P/E Ratio P/E = price of stock stock earnings (how much you’re willing to pay for a company’s earnings) Source: Interview with Ben Worley, Investment Rep. From Edward Jones, Sept. 7, 2001. What does it mean? “The Idea behind P/E Ratio is that it is a prediction or more likely an expectation of the company’s performance in the future. A company with a P/E higher than the market or industry average means the market is expecting big things over the next few months or years. A company with a high P/E ratio will eventually have to live up to this high rating by either substantially increasing its earnings, or the stock price will need to drop.” Source: www.investopedia.com “ Understanding the P/E Ratio”. The Risk Factor and P/E Beware! Even in stocks, there are speed limits. Pfizer drives at 30 – 40 MPH Juniper Networks was speeding at 400 MPH at the highest peak Source: Interview with Ben Worley, Investment Rep. From Edward Jones, Sept. 7, 2001. Tech Wreck “When Good Stocks Go Bad” These companies did not live up to the high expectations, so inevitably, the stock price had to fall…crash. How Did it Happen? “Sticker Shock” People overpaid for these stocks and couldn’t get rid of them once they started losing value Source: Interview with Ben Worley, Investment Rep. From Edward Jones, Sept. 7, 2001. What is an IPO? Initial public offering (IPO) — The first time a company sells stock to the public. An IPO is a type of a primary offering, which occurs whenever a company sells new stock, and differs from a secondary offering, which is the public sale of previously issued securities, usually held by insiders. Some people say IPO stands for "Immediate Profit Opportunities." More cynical observers say it stands for "It's Probably Overpriced." http://moneycentral.hoovers.com/msn/basics/0,2980,6,00.html IPOs Over Time IPOs by the quarter from 1998 to present 160 # of IPOs 140 120 100 80 60 40 1Q 19 2Q 98 19 3Q 98 19 9 4Q 8 19 1Q 98 19 2Q 99 19 3Q 99 19 9 4Q 9 19 1Q 99 20 2Q 00 20 3Q 00 20 4Q 00 20 1Q 00 20 2Q 01 20 3Q 01 20 4Q 01 20 01 20 0 Time Period Source: http:.//moneycentral.hoovers.com/msn/ipo_performance/recent_ipos/0,2980,3_101,00.html IPOs Over Time IPO's by year from 1998 to 2001 500 # of IPO's 400 300 200 100 0 1998 1999 2000 2001 Year Source: http:.//moneycentral.hoovers.com/msn/ipo_performance/recent_ipos/0,2980,3_101,00.html Dot Com Graveyard August 2000 10 September 2000 22 October 2000 35 November 2000 46 December 2000 40 January 2001 44 Source: Battery, Jim. “Dot-Com Details: The Numbers Behind the Year’s E-Commerce Shake-out.” InfoWorld. 26 March 2001. Case Studies Juniper Networks Inc A provider on Internet infrastructure solutions that enable Internet service providers and other telecommunications service providers to meet the demands resulting from the rapid growth of the Internet Source: “Standard & Poor’s Corporate Descriptions plus News.” The McGraw-Hill Companies. Lexus-Nexis Academic. 8 November 2001. Juniper Networks Incorporated in 1996 in CA IPO of common stock in June 1999 $34/share of 4.8 million shares Net proceeds = $163 million Has 927 Employees Operates out of Sunnyville, CA Offices in 30 countries around the world Source: “Standard & Poor’s Corporate Descriptions plus News.” The McGraw-Hill Companies. Lexis-Nexis Academic. 8 November 2001. Juniper Networks Name Title Age Scott Kriens Chairman, President, CEO 43 Pradeep Sindhu, PhD Marcel Gani Peter Wexler Vice Chairman, CTO CFO VP of Engineering 48 48 45 Source: “Standard & Poor’s Corporate Descriptions plus News.” The McGraw-Hill Companies. Lexis-Nexis Academic. 8 November 2001. Juniper Networks Main Product is: M Series Internet backbone routers Customers include: Cable & Wireless Qwest Communications Verio MCI WorldCom Top Competitors are: Nortell Networks Cisco Systems Avici Systems Source: “Standard & Poor’s Corporate Descriptions plus News.” The McGraw-Hill Companies. Lexis-Nexis Academic. 8 November 2001. Juniper’s Finances (in thousands) 1998 1999 2000 Revenues 3,807 102,606 673,501 Net Income (30,971) (9,034) 147,916 Total Assets N/A 513,378 2,103,129 Source: “Standard & Poor’s Corporate Descriptions plus News.” The McGraw-Hill Companies. Lexis-Nexis Academic. 8 November 2001. Juniper’s Performance Source: www.quicken.com Case Studies Amazon.com Inc World’s leading online retailer. Company directly offers for sale millions of distinct items in categories such as books, music, DVDs, videos, toys electronics, software, video games and home improvement products. Source: “Standard & Poor’s Corporate Descriptions plus News.” The McGraw-Hill Companies. Lexis-Nexis Academic. 8 November 2001. Amazon.com Launched in 1995 by founder Jeff Bezos IPO of common stock in May 1997 $18/share of 3 million shares Net proceeds = $54 million Has 9000 Employees Operates out of Seattle WA Source: “Standard & Poor’s Corporate Descriptions plus News.” The McGraw-Hill Companies. Lexis-Nexis Academic. 8 November 2001. Amazon.com Name Jeffrey Bezos Title Chairman, President, CEO Warren Jenson Sr. VP, CFO Richard Dalzell Sr. VP, CIO Diego Piacentini Sr. VP, General Mgr. Intl. Source: “Standard & Poor’s Corporate Descriptions plus News.” The McGraw-Hill Companies. Lexis-Nexis Academic. 8 November 2001. Age 37 44 43 40 Amazon.com Products and Services include: Books, music,DVDs, videos, consumer electronics, toys, camera and photo items, software, computer and video games, tools and hardware, lawn and patio items, kitchen products and wireless products Customers: 30 million Worldwide Top Competitors are: Barnes & Noble CDnow eBay Source: “Standard & Poor’s Corporate Descriptions plus News.” The McGraw-Hill Companies. Lexis-Nexis Academic. 8 November 2001. Amazon’s Finances (in thousands) 1998 1999 2000 Revenues 609,819 1,639,839 2,761,983 Net Income (124,546) (719,968) (1,411,273) Total Assets N/A 2,465,850 2,135,169 Source: “Standard & Poor’s Corporate Descriptions plus News.” The McGraw-Hill Companies. Lexis-Nexis Academic. 8 November 2001. Amazon’s Performance Source: www.quicken.com Case Studies Yahoo! Inc Global internet communications, commerce and media company that offers a comprehensive branded network of services to more than 120 million users each month worldwide. WWW.YAHOO.COM was the first online navigational guide to the World Wide Web (WWW). Source: “Standard & Poor’s Corporate Descriptions plus News.” The McGraw-Hill Companies. Lexis-Nexis Academic. 8 November 2001. Yahoo! Incorporated in CA on Mar 5 1995 Again in Delaware May 18 1999 IPO of common stock in April 1996 $13/share of 2.6 million shares Net proceeds = $33.8 million Has 3259 Employees Operates out of Santa Clara CA Source: “Standard & Poor’s Corporate Descriptions plus News.” The McGraw-Hill Companies. Lexis-Nexis Academic. 8 November 2001. Yahoo! Name Terry Semel Title Chairman, CEO Jeffrey Mallett President, COO Susan Decker CFO, Sr. VP of Fin & Admin Farzad Nazem Sr. VP of Comm & Tech Serv, CTO Source: “Standard & Poor’s Corporate Descriptions plus News.” The McGraw-Hill Companies. Lexis-Nexis Academic. 8 November 2001. Age 58 36 38 39 Yahoo! Services include: Internet portal, search engine, directory for the web, allows registered users personalized web pages, free email and calendars Customers: 120 million users a month Top Competitors are: America Online Microsoft Terra Lycos Source: “Standard & Poor’s Corporate Descriptions plus News.” The McGraw-Hill Companies. Lexis-Nexis Academic. 8 November 2001. Yahoo! Finances (in thousands) 1998 1999 2000 Revenues 245,132 591,786 1,110,178 Net Income (13,641) 47,811 70,776 Total Assets N/A 1,520,129 2,269,576 Source: “Standard & Poor’s Corporate Descriptions plus News.” The McGraw-Hill Companies. Lexis-Nexis Academic. 8 November 2001. Yahoo’s Performance Source: www.quicken.com. Case Studies Pfizer Inc Anheuser Busch Companies Inc Wal Mart Stores Inc Citigroup Inc Performance Pfizer Anheuser Busch Wal Mart Citigroup Source: www.quicken.com Lessons Learned Good things can come from bad situations – the funding from investors allows us to move forward with technology. If it looks to good to be true, it probably is! Don’t put all your eggs in one basket! The 5 Pack Economically R & D Driven Consumer Driven Driven Technology Driven Consumer & Economic Driven BAC PFE PEP MSFT WAG C MRK KO CSCO WMT JPM JNJ MCD SUN HD WFC GRB BUD ORCL LOW Source: Interview with Ben Worley, Investment Rep. From Edward Jones, Sept. 7, 2001. The End! Thank You