Examining Data From the Smarter Balanced Summative Assessment Presented to the Leadership Convening – October 1, 2015 Deb Sigman, Deputy Director, Assessment & Standards Development Services WestEd.org WestEd.org Topics for Discussion 1. Making use of Summative Assessments 2. Tools available for analysis 3. Moving beyond the scores a) Templates and Guiding questions b) Practice and reflections WestEd.org Learning Outcomes • Gain knowledge of types of scores – new vocabulary • Make use of the summative assessment data • Knowledge of and practice with analysis tools • Draft your own data template WestEd.org Making the Most of the Smarter Balanced Summative Assessments Statewide Summative Assessments are Like Icebergs It Pays to Pay Attention On the Surface… • Summative tests provide information not to be ignored • May offer clues about what to do next • • • • Slow Down Go Back Change Direction Full Speed Ahead How Summative Tests Can Add Value • Rarely provide definitive answers, but raise • • • • • many questions allowing reflection on practice Provide a general direction Provide an entry point into a collaborative, honest conversation Provide a necessary story Must dig deeper to determine cause Focus on groups, programs and disaggregation (not individuals) Types of Scores – New Terms, New Vocabulary Smarter Balanced Hierarchy of Scores • . Overall Scaled Score Claim Target Types of Information • Overall Scaled Scores • ELA/Literacy • Mathematics • • • • Claims Targets Performance levels Percentages in each level Overall Scores • Scaled scores in English language arts/literacy and mathematics • 4-digit number on scale from 2000 to 3000 • Group means within a grade level • Each score corresponds to a performance level on the scale Performance/Achievement Levels • Scaled scores divided into 4 performance/achievement levels by the standard setters • Smarter Levels California Levels – – – – Level 1 Standard Not Met Level 2 Standard Nearly Met Level 3 Standard Met Level 4 Standard Exceeded • Within each level can divide into high, medium, low performance Assessment Claims • Assessment claims are broad evidence-based statements about what students know and can do as demonstrated by their performance on the assessment. • Grades 3–8 and Grade 11 each have one overall claim encompassing the entire content area for ELA/literacy and one for mathematics. • For ELA, there are four specific content claims. • For math, there are three specific claims Claim Descriptors Claim #1 – Concepts and Procedures “Students can explain and apply mathematical concepts and interpret and carry out mathematical procedures with precision and fluency.” Claims #2 and #4 – Problem Solving and Modeling and Data Analysis “Students can solve a range of complex well posed problems in pure and applied mathematics, making productive use of knowledge and problem solving strategies. Students can analyze complex, real world scenarios and can construct and use mathematical models to interpret and solve problems.” Claim #3– Communicating Reasoning “Students can clearly and precisely construct viable arguments to support their own reasoning and to critique the reasoning of others.” Claim Score Performance Descriptors • Below Standard • At or Near Standard • Above Standard Assessment Targets • Assessment targets connect the content standards to evidence that will be collected from the assessment. • Targets map the common core state standards (CCSS) onto assessment evidence that is required to support the content categories and claims. • Targets are used to guide the development of items and tasks that will measure the CCSS. Documents to Aid in the Analysis of the Smarter Summative Results Mathematics – Reporting Level Descriptors Grade Level Standard Exceeded Standard Met Standard Nearly Met Standard Not Met Grades 3 –5 The student has exceeded the achievement standard and demonstrates advanced progress toward mastery of the knowledge and skills in mathematics needed for likely success in future coursework. The student has met the achievement standard and demonstrates progress toward mastery of the knowledge and skills in mathematics needed for likely success in future coursework/ The student has nearly met the achievement standard and may require further development to demonstrate the knowledge and skills in mathematics needed for likely success in future coursework. The student has not met the achievement standard and needs substantial improvement to demonstrate the knowledge and skills in mathematics needed for likely success in future coursework. Grades 6 –8 The student has exceeded the achievement standard and demonstrates advanced progress toward mastery of the knowledge and skills in mathematics needed for likely success in entry-level, creditbearing college coursework after high school. The student has met the achievement standard and demonstrates progress toward mastery of the knowledge and skills in mathematics needed for likely success in entry-level, creditbearing college coursework after high school. The student has nearly met the achievement standard and may require further development to demonstrate the knowledge and skills in mathematics needed for likely success in entry- level, credit-bearing college coursework after high school. The student has not met the achievement standard and needs substantial improvement to demonstrate the knowledge and skills in mathematics needed for likely success in entry-level, credit-bearing college coursework after high school. Grade 11 The student has exceeded the achievement standard and demonstrates the knowledge and skills in mathematics needed for likely success in entry- level, credit-bearing college coursework after high school. The student has met the achievement standard and demonstrates progress toward mastery of the knowledge and skills in mathematics needed for likely success in entry-level, creditbearing college coursework after high school. The student has nearly met the achievement standard and may require further development to demonstrate the knowledge and skills in mathematics needed for likely success in entry- level, credit-bearing college coursework after high school. The student has not met the achievement standard and needs substantial improvement to demonstrate the knowledge and skills in mathematics needed for likely success in entry-level, credit-bearing college coursework after high school. Early Assessment Program Status EAP status will provide an indicator of a student’s predicted readiness to take college-level English and mathematics courses when student begins college. Standard Exceeded: Ready for English and/or mathematics college-level coursework. Standard Met: Conditionally Ready for English and/or mathematics college-level coursework. Standard Nearly Met: Not yet demonstrating readiness for English and/or mathematics college-level coursework. Standard Not Met: Not demonstrating readiness for English and/or mathematics college-level coursework. Math Claim Achievement Level Descriptors Area (Claim) Descriptors Above Standard Concepts and Procedures Applying mathematical concepts and procedures. The student demonstrates a thorough ability to consistently explain and apply mathematical concepts and interpret and carry out mathematical procedures Problem Solving/Modeling and Data Analysis The student demonstrates the thorough ability to consistently solve a range of complex, well-posed problems in pure and applied mathematics, making productive use Using appropriate tools and of knowledge and problem-solving strategies to solve real strategies. The student demonstrates the world and mathematical ability to consistently analyze complex, problems real-world scenarios and can construct and use mathematical models to interpret and solve problems. Communicating Reasoning Demonstrating ability to support mathematical conclusions The student demonstrates the thorough ability to clearly and precisely construct viable arguments to support their own reasoning and to critique the reasoning of others. At or Near Standard The student demonstrates some ability to explain and apply mathematical concepts and interpret and carry out mathematical procedures with precision and fluency. The student demonstrates some ability to explain and apply mathematical concepts and interpret and carry out mathematical procedures with precision and fluency. Below Standard The student does not demonstrate the ability to explain and apply mathematical concepts and interpret and carry out mathematical procedures with The student does not demonstrate the ability to solve a range of complex, wellposed problems in pure and applied mathematics, making productive use of knowledge and problem-solving strategies. The student does not demonstrate the ability to analyze complex, real-world scenarios and construct and using mathematical models to interpret and solve problems. The student demonstrates some ability to The student does not demonstrate the explain and apply mathematical concepts and ability to clearly and precisely construct viable interpret and carry out mathematical procedures arguments to support their own reasoning and with precision and fluency. to critique the reasoning of others. Summative Assessment Blueprints Target Sampling Mathematics Grade 5 Claim Content Category Problem Solving (drawn across content domains) 2. Problem Solving 4. Modeling and Data Analysis 3. Communicating Reasoning Assessment Targets CAT A. Apply mathematics to solve well-posed problems arising in everyday life, society, and the workplace. 2, 3 2 B. Select and use appropriate tools strategically. C. Interpret results in the context of a situation. D. Identify important quantities in a practical situation and map their relationships (e.g., using diagrams, two-way tables, graphs, flow charts, or formulas). 1, 2, 3 1 2, 3 1 A. Apply mathematics to solve problems arising in everyday life, society, and the workplace. D. Interpret results in the context of a situation. Modeling and Data Analysis (drawn across content domains) Communicating Reasoning (drawn across content domains) Items DOK 1–2 8-10 B. Construct, autonomously, chains of reasoning to justify mathematical models used, interpretations made, and solutions proposed for a complex problem. E. Analyze the adequacy of and make improvements to an existing model or develop a mathematical model of a real phenomenon. 2, 3, 4 C. State logical assumptions being used. F. Identify important quantities in a practical situation and map their relationships (e.g., using diagrams, two-way tables, graphs, flow charts, or formulas). 1, 2, 3 1 G. Identify, analyze, and synthesize relevant external resources to pose or solve problems. 3, 4 0 A. Test propositions or conjectures with specific examples. D. Use the technique of breaking an argument into cases. 2, 3 3 2, 3, 4 3 2, 3 2 B. Construct, autonomously, chains of reasoning that will justify or refute propositions or conjectures. E. Distinguish correct logic or reasoning from that which is flawed, and—if there is a flaw in the argument—explain what it is. C. State logical assumptions being used. F. Base arguments on concrete referents such as objects, drawings, diagrams, and actions. PT Total Items 1 1–3 0-2 8-10 Range Achievement Level Descriptors • Grade and content-specific descriptors • Used by test developers to guide item writing • Describe the cognitive and content rigor that is encompassed within particular each of the achievement levels • The knowledge, skills, and processes described in the range ALDs are ones that are expected of students Range Achievement Level Descriptors (Grade 8 Example) OVERALL CLAIM: Students can demonstrate progress toward college and career readiness in mathematics. CLAIM 1: Students can explain and apply mathematical concepts and carry out mathematical procedures with precision and fluency. POLICY ALD: The Level 1 student demonstrates minimal understanding of and ability to apply the mathematics knowledge and skills needed for success in college and careers, as specified in the Common Core State Standards. POLICY ALD: The Level 2 student demonstrates partial understanding of and ability to apply the mathematics knowledge and skills needed for success in college and careers, as specified in the Common Core State Standards. POLICY ALD: The Level 3 student demonstrates adequate understanding of and ability to apply the mathematics knowledge and skills needed for success in college and careers, as specified in the Common Core State Standards. CONTENT ALD: The Level 1 student can minimally explain and in a minimal way apply mathematical concepts. The Level 1 student interprets and carries out mathematical procedures with minimal precision and fluency. CONTENT ALD: The Level 2 student can partially explain and partially apply mathematical concepts. The Level 2 student interprets and carries out mathematical procedures with partial precision and fluency. CONTENT ALD: The Level 3 student can adequately explain and adequately apply mathematical concepts. The Level 3 student interprets and carries out mathematical procedures with adequate precision and fluency. POLICY ALD: The Level 4 student demonstrates thorough understanding of and ability to apply the mathematics knowledge and skills needed for success in college and careers, as specified in the Common Core State Standards. CONTENT ALD: The Level 4 student can thoroughly explain and accurately apply mathematical concepts. The Level 4 student interprets and carries out mathematical procedures with high precision and fluency. Concepts and Procedures: Domain #1 Expressions and Equations RANGE ALD Target B: Work with radicals and integer exponents. Level 1 students should be able to identify and calculate square roots of familiar perfect squares and calculate the square of integers. They should be able to translate between standard form and Level 2 students should be able to identify and calculate the cube root of familiar perfect cubes and calculate the cube of integers. They should be able to use appropriate tools (e.g., calculator, pencil and paper) to translate large or small numbers from scientific to standard notation. They should be able to work with and apply the properties of integer exponents of degree 2 or less in order to produce or identify equivalent numerical expressions. Level 3 students should be able to identify that the square root of 2 is irrational, calculate or approximate to an appropriate degree of precision the square or cube of a rational number, solve quadratic and cubic monomial equations, and represent the solution as a square or cube root, respectively. They should be able to work with and perform operations with scientific notation and work with and apply the properties of integer exponents in order to produce or identify equivalent numerical expressions. Level 4 students should be able to use scientific notation and choose units of appropriate size for realistic measurements, solve binomial quadratic and cubic equations, and represent the solution as a square or cube root, respectively. Level 2 students should be able to compare two different proportional relationships represented in different ways. They should also be able to calculate the slope of a line and identify the y-intercept of a line. Level 3 students should understand that slope is a unit rate of change in a proportional relationship and convert proportional relationships to linear equations in slope-intercept form while also understanding when and why the y-intercept is zero. They should also be able to use repeated reasoning to observe that they can use any right triangle to find the slope of a line. Level 4 students should be able to use similar triangles to explain why the slope is the same between any two distinct points on a non-vertical line in a coordinate plane. scientific notation. RANGE ALD Target C: Understand the connections between proportional relationships, lines, and linear equations. Level 1 students should be RANGE ALD Target D: Analyze and solve linear equations and pairs of simultaneous linear equations. Level 1 students should be able to graph a proportional relationship on a coordinate plane. Level 2 students should be able to analyze and solve Level 3 students should be able to classify systems of linear equations as intersecting, collinear, or parallel; solve linear systems of linear equations graphically by systems algebraically and estimate solutions using a variety of understanding that the solution of a system of linear approaches; and show that a particular linear equation has one equations in two variables corresponds to the point solution, no solution, or infinitely many solutions by successively transforming the given equation into simpler forms until an of intersection on a plane. They should be able to equivalent equation of the form x = a, a = a, or a = b results (where a solve and produce examples of linear equations in and b are different numbers). one variable with rational coefficients with one They should be able to solve and produce examples of linear equations in one variable, including equations whose solutions solution, infinitely many solutions, or no solution. WestEd.org require expanding expressions using the distributive property and able to solve linear equations in one variable with integer coefficients. Level 4 students should be able to analyze and solve problems leading to two linear equations in two variables in multiple representations. Threshold Achievement Level Descriptors • Threshold ALDs are used to guide standard setting. • Define the minimum performance required for meeting a particular achievement-level expectation. • Reflect the knowledge, skills, and processes that are expected of students. • The knowledge, skills, and processes in ALDs are cumulative. • The student who has achieved the threshold Level 3 is assumed to have the knowledge, skills, and processes of the range Levels 1 and 2 ALDs. Threshold Achievement Level Descriptors (Grade 8 Example) THRESHOLD ALD Expressions and Equations Targets B, C, and D WestEd.org The student who just enters Level 2 should be able to: Find the cube of one-digit numbers and the cube root of perfect cubes (less than 1,000). Use appropriate tools (e.g., calculator, pencil and paper) to translate large numbers from scientific to standard notation. Identify the y-intercept and calculate the slope of a line from an equation or graph. Graph a system of linear equations and identify the solution as the point of intersection. The student who just enters Level 3 should be able to: Solve simple quadratic monomial equations and represent the solution as a square root. Work with and perform operations with scientific notation of large numbers. Identify unit rate of change in linear relationships (i.e., slope is the rate of change). Solve linear equations with rational number coefficients, including equations whose solutions require expanding expressions using the distributive property and collecting like terms and equations with infinitely many solutions or no solution. Solve a system of linear equations with integer coefficients using an algebraic strategy. The student who just enters Level 4 should be able to: Write a system of two linear equations with two variables to represent a context. Making Sense of the Data Data Examination • Comprehensive, complex, difficult process – Not a check list – Not meant to be completed at a single staff meeting or a single PD event • Focus on improving learning – Not solely about increasing scores • Collaborative process that requires – – – – Honesty Willingness to commit the time Ability to handle ambiguity Patience Data Examination • There are multiple ways to look at data – Maximize data pictures and perspectives – Different displays can elicit different responses • Every district/site has its own culture/climate/context – – Examine data within the particular context of district/site to emphasize particular point or encourage a particular conversation • Determine what you want audience to walk away with – What’s the next conversation? Data Examination Use the tools available to manage the data. Use tools effectively to reflect on instructional practice and standards implementation. Use data to inform practice and improve teaching and learning. Develop a template to meet the needs of your school context Smarter Balanced Mathematics Threshold Scale Scores Grade Level 2 Level 3 Level 4 3 2381 2436 2501 4 2411 2485 2549 5 2455 2528 2579 6 2473 2552 2610 7 2484 2567 2635 8 2504 2586 2653 11 2543 2628 2718 31 Achievement Level Ranges Mathematics Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 Level 4 Grade Equal to or Below From To From To Equal to or Above 3 2380 2381 2435 2436 2500 2501 4 2410 2411 2484 2485 2548 2549 5 2454 2455 2527 2528 2578 2579 6 2472 2473 2551 2552 2609 2610 7 2483 2484 2566 2567 2634 2635 8 2503 2504 2585 2586 2652 2653 11 2542 2543 2627 2628 2717 2718 Managing the Numbers Comparative Template Using Threshold Scores and Claim Scores Spring 2015 Average Smarter Scale Balanced Score Grade Content or Area Group Perf. Level Threshold Score Or Range Below Above Expect ed Strongest Claim Area Weakest Claim Area 6 Math 2475 2 (Low) 2473 (2473-2551) Below Concepts Modeling 7 Math 2565 2 (High) 2484 (2484-2566) 8 Mathematics Data Template – Looking for Patterns Grade Level Group Average Scale Score and Performance Level for Score Percentage in Each Claim Performance Category Perf. Level Claims 2414 Nearly_Met Concepts and Procedures 39 41 20 Problem Solving and Modeling & Data Analysis 39 44 18 Communicating Reasoning 28 53 19 Concepts and Procedures 51 38 11 Problem Solving and Modeling & Data Analysis 52 40 8 Communicating Reasoning 37 53 10 Concepts and Procedures 29 42 29 Problem Solving and Modeling & Data Analysis 33 40 27 Communicating Reasoning 20 50 29 Concepts and Procedures 45 41 14 Problem Solving and Modeling & Data Analysis 44 44 12 Communicating Reasoning 32 54 13 Concepts and Procedures 16 39 45 Problem Solving and Modeling & Data Analysis 14 45 41 Communicating Reasoning 11 48 41 Concepts and Procedures 56 37 8 Problem Solving and Modeling & Data Analysis 56 39 5 Communicating Reasoning 42 52 6 Concepts and Procedures 45 41 14 Problem Solving and Modeling & Data Analysis 45 43 12 Communicating Reasoning 33 54 13 2388 Nearly_Met African American 2433 Nearly_Met Asian 2402 Nearly_Met Hispanic 2463 Met White 2384 Nearly_Met English Learners 2401 Socio-economically Disadvantaged % Below Standard % At/Near Standard % Above Standard Average Scale Score All Students 3rd Percentage of Students in Each Claim Performance Category Nearly_Met Mathematics Data Template – Looking for Patterns Percent of students at each performance level on 2015 CAASPP Math, by claim area and grade County: District: Claim Area 1:CONCEPTS & PROCEDURES 11 35 11 19 38 40 41 54 AA 38 32 Hispanic 22 24 White Asian AA 38 39 37 35 25 26 White Asian 34 38 57 41 17 49 Hispanic 3rd 10 25 65 AA 12 36 53 Hispanic 4th Below Standard 32 31 38 41 30 28 White Asian 26 25 49 44 26 31 White Asian 5th At or Near Standard Above Standard A=African American Information from some subgroups are suppressed and not shown on the chart due to a small sample size (<=10) Claim Area 2: PROBLEM SOLVING & MODELING/DATA ANALYSIS 8 38 54 AA 13 32 30 48 45 20 25 White Asian 48 39 Hispanic 6 43 51 AA 3rd 11 26 27 48 50 48 23 25 White Asian 6 32 62 41 Hispanic AA 10 38 52 Hispanic 4th Below Standard At or Near Standard 5th Above Standard A=African American Information from some subgroups are suppressed and not shown on the chart due to a small sample size (<=10) Guiding questions to Help Reflect on the Data - Observations Only – What do you notice about the overall scores? – What surprises you? What is consistent with your expectations or predictions? – Did you expect these scores; if not what did you expect? – How do the grade level scores compare with the Smarter threshold scores? – Which scores look most noticeably different from the population being studied? – What differences in scores exist with your sub-groups all student group? – Which claims within the content area are higher performing? – Which claims within the content area are weaker performing? – Are there any patterns that emerge, by grade level, by subgroup, by content area, by claim area? – Describe data patterns that you observe. Practice With Data Protocols and Displays Review your data and tools for analysis Use the example protocols and guiding questions to make observations about the data Draft a data template to be used with your district/site staff Moving Beyond the Scores – Reflection Improving Teaching and Learning– Moving Beyond the Numbers • Data (scores) are necessary, but not sufficient • • Data rarely provide ready answers Be aware of data stall Always consider the culture, climate and context of your school/district. • Reflect on what you can control to move beyond the scores: • • • • • Practice Policies and Procedures People Programs Guiding questions to Help Reflect on Practice and Implementation – Getting to Cause and Possible Next Steps – – – – – – – – – – – – What curriculum and materials do we have to address these areas of strength and areas of need for the coming year? What might the implications be for instructional practice? What might the implications be for student learning? How do I find examples of student work that address the target area? What evidence do I need during classroom instruction to know that my students are making progress toward meeting the targets for each claim? Where can I find examples of evidence to meet the targets for each claim? How might I use the performance tasks to illustrate student performance; to guide the direction of intervention given the data observed? How do these results affirm areas where instruction was provided? How do these results point to gaps in instruction? What would you consider is the single-most important factor contributing to the apparent successes/needs as indicated by the scores? Looking at claim area where large percentage of students are below standard, what instructional strategies might we change? How could instructional time be adjusted to meet the needs of students and close the gaps observed in the data? Data Examination – Beyond the Numbers Example Reflection Template Claim Area Concepts and Procedures Group/Grade/Program Comparison Data Observations Guiding Questions Grade 3 to Grade 4 How do these results affirm areas where instruction was provided? White to Asian What might the implications be for instructional practice? All to English learners How do I find examples of student work that address the claim and/or target area? Reflections Possible Action/Next Step Table Talks How do you propose to have your site leaders interact with the data? Think about how you might use these documents, templates and displays to advance the conversation about the data patterns you have observed.