Terraforming Mars and Venus Reasons to Terraform Henceforth I spread confident wings to space I fear no barrier of crystal or of glass; I cleave the heavens and soar to the infinite. And while I rise from my own globe to others And penetrate even further through the eternal field, That which others saw from afar, I leave far behind me. Giordano Bruno On the Infinite Universe and Worlds, 1584 Terraforming in Literature • • • • • • • • 1898, H. G. Wells, The War of the Worlds, terraforming of Earth by alien invaders 1910, Octave Beliard, La Journee d’un Parisien au XXI siecle, turn the Moon into a sanctuary for endangered species 1930, Olaf Stapeldon, Last and First Men, terraforming of Venus by Earth conquerors 1950, Robert A. Heinlein, Farmer in the Sky, family emigrating to Ganymeade which is undergoing terraforming 1952, Isaac Asimov, The Martian Way, terraforming Mars using ice from Saturn’s rings 1965+, Frank Herbert, Dune (and sequels), converting desert-world, Arra’kis, to Earth-like conditions and vice-versa 1984, James Lovelock and Michael Allaby, Greening of Mars, first realistic proposals 1992-1999, Kim Stanley Robinson, Mars Trilogy, centuries-long terraforming of Mars using contemporary scientific developments Reasons to Terraform • • • • Extreme pollution of Earth Extreme crowding on Earth The imminent destruction of Earth by impact Scarcity of raw materials; creation of permanent mining operations • Adventure; because it’s there Conditions on the Sister Planets Earth Mars Venus % O2 20.94 0.13 0 % N2 78.08 2.7 3.5 % CO2 0.04 95.32 96.5 1 atm 0.006 atm -15 C to 40 C -140 C to -15 C 450 C liquid/frozen frozen none 1.0 g 0.38 g ≈ 1.0 g adequate none none 1 day ≈ 1 day 117 days Atmosphere Chemistry Pressure Temperature Water Gravity Magnetic Field Length of Day 90 atm Conditions on the Sister Planets Earth Mars Venus % O2 20.94 0.13 0 % N2 78.08 2.7 3.5 % CO2 0.04 95.32 96.5 1 atm 0.006 atm -15 C to 40 C -140 C to -15 C 450 C liquid/frozen frozen none 1.0 g 0.38 g ≈ 1.0 g adequate none none 1 day ≈ 1 day 117 days Atmospheric Chemistry Pressure Temperature Water Gravity Magnetic Field Length of Day 90 atm Do We Need Earth-Like Conditions? • Not necessarily • Obtaining the right oxygen level might be very difficult • With the right pressure and temperature, humans could grow food and mine without spacesuits (need oxygen masks) • Different term? -- ecosynthesis (Macelroy, 1976) Goals for Terraforming Mars • Increase atmospheric pressure • Warm terrain and atmosphere • Prevent loss of atmosphere Mars Ecosynthesis • James Graham, Astrobiology, 4: 168-195 (2004) • 1000-year process • Probably have several hundred thousand years before Earth is uninhabitable Schemes for Atmospheric Warming • Pollution: manufacture and release hydrocarbons to enhance greenhouse effect • Melt CO2 at the poles through to use of space mirrors • Steer ammonia-rich asteroids or comets to impact -- decades of delay James Graham’s Model (2004) James Graham’s Model (2004) James Graham’s Model (2004) James Graham’s Model (2004) James Graham’s Model (2004) James Graham’s Model (2004) James Graham’s Model (2004) “It is concluded that a drastic modification of Martian conditions can be achieved using 21st century technology. The Mars so produced will closely resemble the conditions existing on the primitive Mars. Humans operating on the surface of such a Mars would require breathing gear, but pressure suits would be unnecessary. With outside atmospheric pressures raised, it will be possible to create large dwelling areas by means of very large inflatable structures. Average temperatures could be above the freezing point of water for significant regions during portions of the year, enabling the growth of plant life in the open. The spread of plants could produce enough oxygen to make Mars habitable for animals in several millennia. More rapid oxygenation would require engineering efforts supported by multi-terrawatt power sources. It is speculated that the desire to speed the terraforming of Mars will be a driver for developing such technologies, which in turn will define a leap in human power over nature as dramatic as that which accompanied the creation of post-Renaissance industrial civilization.” Robert M.Zubrin and Christopher P. McKay, “Technological Requirements for Terraforming Mars,” http://www.users.globalnet.co.uk/~mfogg/zubrin.htm; date unknown but after 1994. Conditions on the Sister Planets Earth Mars Venus % O2 20.94 0.13 0 % N2 78.08 2.7 3.5 % CO2 0.04 95.32 96.5 1 atm 0.006 atm -15 C to 40 C -140 C to -15 C 450 C liquid/frozen frozen none 1.0 g 0.38 g ≈ 1.0 g adequate none none 1 day ≈ 1 day 117 days Atmosphere Chemistry Pressure Temperature Water Gravity Magnetic Field Length of Day 90 atm Goals for Terraforming Venus • Reduce atmospheric temperature • Eliminate most of dense CO2 atmosphere • Add breathable oxygen • (Establish magnetic field by spin-up) • (Push Venus further from the Sun) Venus Ecosynthesis • Reduce temperature – Space-based solar shade (Paul Birch) Venus Ecosynthesis • Reduce CO2 and reduce pressure – Microbes to turn excessive CO2 into carbohydrates – Capture in carbonates by introduction of magnesium and calcium metals – Direct liquifaction – Introduction of hydrogen H2 + CO2 ⇒ C + H2O Venus Ecosynthesis • Establish magnetic field –Molten interior –Spin-up • Mass drivers ? • Rocket assist ? An Interesting Alternative to Venus Ecosynthesis • Floating colonies –50 km altitude –Pressure about 1 atmosphere –Temperature: 0 – 50 C Philosophical (Ethical?) Issues Do we have the right to alter a natural environment? Philosophical (Ethical?) Issues • Pros – Ecosynthesis would allow free movement with breathing masks – Colonists could live off local biomass – A unifying project for Earth’s people – Would provide a survival colony in the face of an Earth disaster – Stimulate technological developments – Better use of resources than building military stockpiles Technological Benefits of Space Exploration Programs • • • • • • • • solar panels implantable heart monitors cancer therapies light-weight materials water purification systems improved computing capabilities global search-and-rescue systems Etcetera, etcetera (Yul Brynner, “The King and I”) Philosophical (Ethical?) Issues • Cons – – – – Enormous time scales Very long-term economic payback Less attention to important terrestrial problems Legal and administrative roadblocks • Who gets to live there? • Who owns it? • Who controls it? Earth or the other planet? – People’s physiology would evolve in different gravity of Mars • Bone structure • Muscle mass • Internal organs?