Marketing Strategy Recommendation Expansion into Trinidad and Tobago Team A1 April 21, 2006 Company Overview “World’s largest home improvement retailer” • Founded in 1979 in Atlanta, GA by Bernie Marcus and Authur Blank • Robert L. Nardelli- president/chairman/CEO • Over 2000 stores throughout US, Canada, Mexico, Puerto Rico and St. Thomas – Approx. store size-108,000 sq ft, – 40,000+ SKUs • 2005 Revenue- 73.1 billion Trinidad and Tobago Target Market Strategy Emphasis on home appliance items for new and replacement purchases. • Customer base – Do-it-yourselfers – Contractors • Age – 18-60 years • Profile – Middle aged singles – Young families with dual incomes – Professionals Expansion into Trinidad & Tobago Recommendations • Start-up Cost – 16M • Format – Renovated 108,000 square ft structure • Product selection – 25,000 products • Type of sales – In-stock and installed sales Expansion into Trinidad and Tobago Recommendations • Operations – 6:00am- 11:00pm-M-S – 10:00-9:00pm S • Personnel – 100 Pt & FT Employees (All local residents) – Mgmt- 1 GM, 4 Asst. Mgrs., 6 Spvs. • Promotion/Advertising Budget – $500,000 • Community Sponsorship – Kids in Need of Direction- K.I.N.D. Trinidad and Tobago at a Glance •Principal Government Officials –President-George Maxwell Richards –Prime Minister-Patrick Manning –Attorney General-John Jeremie –Chief Justice-Satnarine Sharma •Two-Island Republic •Total area of 1,980 square miles • 1.3 million people share a culture • Experienced tenth straight year of economic growth • GDP reached $11.48 billion www.fas.usda.gov/info/fasworldwide/2005/12-2005/TrinidadTobagoretail.htm Souers, Michael, 2006. Home Depot Solid Foundation; Business Week Tourism and Travel Industry •5.2% growth next 10 yrs • Contribute 15% of GPD • 2nd fastest T&T economy in Caribbean • 15 Billion Mass Transit system to link East & West 3rd largest city Port of Spain 2/6/06 Sun Sentinel http://www.gov.tt/ttgovnews/files/cms/WorldTravelTourismCouncil.pdf http://www.gov.tt/news/news_article.asp?id=3803 http://www.trinidadexpress.com/index.pl/article_opinion?id=125832459 SWOT ANALYSIS Strength •Solid cash reserves •Existing structure and systems Weakness •Brand new market •No local contacts within government could result in favoritism for local biz •Solid company Opportunity •Could expand throughout Caribbean •Local product usage could result in new line of product for US Threats •Established local competition •Backlash from locals due to Depot size •Lowes enter the market if successful Economic Environment Has earned a reputation as an excellent investment site for international businesses •The leading Caribbean producer of oil and gas •The economy benefits from low inflation and a growing trade surplus •Prospects for growth in 2006 are good as prices for oil, petrochemicals, and liquefied natural gas are expected to remain high, and foreign direct investment continues to grow to support expanded capacity in the energy sector http://www.cia.gov/cia/publications/factbook/geos/td.html#Econ Market Attractiveness and Competitive Position MarketAttractiveness factors Weight Rating 0-10 Total Customer Needs and Behavior .5 8 4.0 Segment Size and Growth Rate .3 10 3.0 Macro Trends .2 8 1.6 Total market Attractiveness 1.0 8.6 Competitive Position Factors Opportunity for Competitive Advantage .5 6 3.0 Capabilities & Resources .2 6 1.2 Industry Attractiveness .3 7 2.1 Total Competitive Position 1.0 6.3 BHAGWANSINGH’S • Bhagwansingh (BHSI) was founded in 1974 and currently has over 800 employees • Revenues for this private company were $687 million • BHSI are distributors and manufacturers of plastic water tanks, rounds, flats, wooden doors, chain link wire and welded mesh fabric and nails • BHSI has four locations on the island and is a well known local/regional brand throughout the Caribbean. COURTS • Courts’ is a distributor and seller of home furnishings, electronic items and appliances • The current count is now 18 peaking at 19 in 2002. • Revenues for Courts Trinidad LTD are reported to be over 828 million. SISSONS PAINT • • Prior to becoming incorporated Sissons Paint were manufacturing and marketing its paints in Trinidad for several years until 1956 when they became incorporated. Sissons Paints was the first company to successfully introduce products such as Siscolac Chinese Lacquer, polyurethane varnish, oil varnish stain (stain and varnish in one), non-drip ceiling white, weather guard exterior emulsion and a water based enamel. There are seven Infinity Colour Shops currently on the island of Trinidad. PRICESMART • Sol Price created the discount store industry in the United States by launching FedMart in 1954 • Sol and Robert Price subsequently developed the membership merchandising business with the first Price Club in 1976 • PriceSmart now operates 23 warehouse clubs in 11 countries and one U.S. territory • 618 million in revenues 2005 Emphasis on New Product-Market Growth Heavy No emphasis Analyzer Home Depot Defender Sissons Paints and Small Mom and Pop stores that rely on loyal customers. Advertisment- word of mouth Kmart Ace Hardware Lowe's Low cost offering Mullins, W and Larreche, B, 2006. Marketing Strategy Chapter 3. Reactor PriceSmart, Dansteel, Courts and Bhagwansingh Home Depot Cost Leadership Competitive Strategy Differentiation Prospector PriceSmart, Dansteel, Courts, and Bhagwansing. Lower current prices to match Home Depot Regulatory Environment • Trinidad and Tobago achieved independence from Britain in 1962 followed by republican status in 1976. • The twin-island nation is currently a member of the Commonwealth • Fully democratic elections are held every five (5) years, since 1956. Universal adult suffrage, with a minimum voting age of 18. • The Tobago House of Assembly is responsible for administrative governance within Tobago. City and county councils are responsible for local governance. Regulatory Environment cont. • The Judiciary comprises a Supreme Court and district courts. • The Supreme Court consists of the High Court of Justice and the Court of Appeals. • The High Court is presided over by the Chief Justice and ten (10) judges. • The district courts are presided over by a chief magistrate and seven (7) senior and eighteen (18) stipendary magistrates. Tariffs-Trade Agreements -Imports • Member of CARICOM started in 1973 • CARICOM was established “for the purpose of facilitating the economic and social development of member states and unifying the Caribbean” • Ultimate goal is to become a Single Market for members • CARICOM imports from NAFTA up 9.5 billion to 12.5 billion from 19962001 • NAFTA imports from CARICOM down from 44.7% to 43.6% from 1996-2001 • Value Added Tax (VAT) 15% import/export • Common External Tariffs (CET) 0-20% range with some products at 40% (Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Foreign Trade, 2001). Break-even Analysis Break Even Analysis Assumptions Average per year unit revenue Average per unit year variable cost Gross margin per unit Estimated yearly fixed cost Year 1 $ 56.42 $ 39.50 $ 16.93 $ 9,590,817.83 $ $ $ $ Break-even point in units Break-even point in dollars 566,601 $ 31,969,392.75 $ Year 2 60.25 42.18 18.08 9,590,817.83 530,574 31,969,392.75 Year 3 $ 64.35 $ 45.04 $ 19.30 $ 9,590,817.83 $ $ $ $ 496,810 $ 31,969,392.75 465,195 $ 31,969,392.75 UNITS Break-Even Analysis 700,000 600,000 500,000 400,000 300,000 200,000 100,000 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 0 1 2 3 Year Year Year Year Year Year 1 2 3 4 5 0 566,601 530,574 496,810 465,195 4 5 6 Year 4 68.72 48.11 20.62 9,590,817.83 Pro-forma Income Projections Years 0 2006 1 2007 2 2008 3 2009 5 2010 Flows ( Time line of annual cash flows) Investment Outlays: Long Term Assets Building Equipment Land $ $ $ Operating Cash Flows Over the Projected Life Units Sold Sales price Sales revenue Variable Cost Fixed Operating costs Depreciation (building) Depreciation (equipment) Oper. Income before taxes (EBIT) Taxes on operating income (40%) Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT) Add back depreciation Operating cash flow Cash Flow Due to Net Operating Working Capital Net Operating Working Capital (based on sales) Cash flow due to investment in NOWC (4,050,000.00) (2,125,000.00) (6,500,000.00) $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ 636,631 56.42 35,918,707.15 22,378,574.93 9,590,817.83 105,300.00 297,500.00 3,546,514.40 1,418,605.76 2,127,908.64 402,800.00 $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ 655,730 60.25 39,510,577.86 24,392,646.67 9,590,817.83 101,250.00 605,625.00 4,820,238.37 1,928,095.35 2,892,143.02 706,875.00 $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ 675,402 64.35 43,461,635.65 26,587,984.87 9,590,817.83 101,250.00 514,781.25 6,666,801.71 2,666,720.68 4,000,081.02 616,031.25 $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ 695,664 68.72 47,807,799.22 28,980,903.51 9,590,817.83 101,250.00 460,577.81 8,674,250.07 3,469,700.03 5,204,550.04 561,827.81 $ (12,675,000.00) $ 2,530,708.64 $ 3,599,018.02 $ 4,616,112.27 $ 5,766,377.85 $ $ 3,591,870.71 $ (3,591,870.71) $ 3,951,057.79 $ (359,187.07) $ 4,346,163.57 $ (395,105.78) $ 4,780,779.92 (434,616.36) $ Salvage Cash Flows: Long Term Assets Net salvage cash flow: Building Net salvage cash flow : Equipment Total salvage cash flows Net Cash Flow (Tme line of cash flows) MIRR $ (16,266,870.71) $ $ $ 0 (16,266,870.71) $ (16,266,870.71) $ FALSE $ 3,203,912.24 $ 4,181,495.92 $ 4,474,615.38 968,000.00 5,442,615.38 $ 16,957,773.16 16% Years Culmative cash flow for payback Cum. CF>O, hence Payback Year Payback found with Excel function = Check Payback = 2,171,521.57 0 4,780,779.92 1 2 2,171,521.57 $ 3,203,912.24 $ (14,095,349.15) $ (10,891,436.90) $ FALSE FALSE 3 4,181,495.92 $ (6,709,940.99) $ FALSE 4 16,957,773.16 10,247,832.17 TRUE 3.40 Balance Sheet Assets Current Assets: Cash Receivables Inventory 2006 2,008 2009 2010 $ (12,675,000.00) $ $ $ 388,344.76 $ 734,084.23 $ 4,934,378.06 $ 427,179.24 $ 807,492.65 $ 5,181,096.96 $ 469,897.16 $ 888,241.92 $ 5,440,151.81 $ 516,886.88 977,066.11 5,712,159.40 $ 6,056,807.05 $ 6,415,768.85 $ 6,798,290.89 $ 7,206,112.39 6,500,000.00 $ 10,000,000.00 $ 4,050,000.00 $ 4,050,000.00 $ 2,125,000.00 $ 2,125,000.00 $ 10,000,000.00 $ 4,050,000.00 $ 2,125,000.00 $ 10,000,000.00 4,050,000.00 2,125,000.00 12,675,000.00 $ 16,175,000.00 $ 16,175,000.00 $ 16,175,000.00 603,846.16 $ 443,846.16 $ 363,846.16 Total Current Assets Property and Equipment @ cost Land Building Furniture/Fixtures/Equipment Construction in Progress 2007 $ $ 6,500,000.00 $ $ $ 6,175,000.00 $ Less Accumulated Depreciation $ Net Property & Equipment $ 12,343,076.92 $ 15,571,153.84 $ 15,731,153.84 $ 15,811,153.84 $ 18,399,883.97 $ 21,986,922.70 $ 22,529,444.74 $ 23,017,266.23 Total Assets $ - 331,923.08 $ Liabilities and Stock Holder's Equity Current Liabilities Accounts Payable $ 2,823,702.25 3,106,072.48 3,416,679.73 3,758,347.70 Total Current Liabiliities $ 2,823,702.25 $ 3,106,072.48 $ 3,416,679.73 $ 3,758,347.70 Stock Holder's Equity Retained Earnings Total Stock Holders Equity Total Liabilities and Stock Holders Equity $ $ $ 3,745,623.45 5,867,236.12 11,830,558.28 13,013,614.10 18,399,883.98 $ 21,986,922.70 $ 4,797,789.50 14,314,975.51 22,529,444.74 $ 3,512,445.47 15,746,473.07 23,017,266.23 Final Group Recommendation • Economic Environment • Political Environment • Financial Analysis • SWOT