The Global Capital Market Chapter 11

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The Global Capital Market

Chapter 11

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Functions of a Generic Capital

Market

Brings together:

Those who want to invest:

• corporations, individuals, nonbank financial institutions.

Those who want to borrow:

• individuals, companies, governments.

Market makers:

Commercial and investment banks that connect investors with borrowers.

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11-1

The Main Players in a Generic

Capital Market

Investors:

Companies

Individuals

Institutions

Figure 11.1

Market makers:

Commercial bankers

Investment bankers

Borrowers:

Individuals

Companies

Governments

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11-2

Attraction of the Global Capital

Market?

Increases the supply of funds available for borrowing.

 Borrower’s perspective

Lowers the cost of capital.

 Investor’s perspective

Provides a wider range of investment opportunities.

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11-3

Market Liquidity and the Cost of

Capital

10%

9

D SS

B

SS l

D

0

D 1 D 2

Dollars

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Figure 11.2

11-4

Risk Reduction Through Portfolio

Diversification

(a) Risk reduction through domestic diversification

1.0

Variance of portfolio return

Variance of return on typical stock

0.27

U.S. Stocks

Figure 11.3a

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Total

Risk

Systematic

Risk

1 10 20 30 40 50

Number of stocks

11-5

Risk Reduction Through Portfolio

Diversification

(b) Risk reduction through domestic and international diversification

1.0

Variance of portfolio return

Variance of return on typical stock

0.27

0.12

U.S. Stocks

International Stocks

Figure 11.3b

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1 10 20 30 40 50

Number of stocks

11-6

Net International Bank Lending

6000

5000

4000

3000

2000

1000

0

83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97

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$Billions

Figure 11.4

11-7

International Bond Issues and the

US Dollar Exchange Rate

180

160

140

120

Left-hand Scale (31

Dec 1993=100):

Exchange Rate against US$

DM

YEN

100

Right-hand Scale ($ Billion): announced Issues

US Dollar European Currencies

Yen Other

300

200

100

80

60

0 94-1Q 94-2Q 94-3Q 94-4Q 95-1Q 95-2Q 95-3Q 95-4Q 96-1Q 96-2Q 96-3Q 96-4Q 97-1Q 97-2Q 97-3Q

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Figure 11.5

11-8

International Equity Offerings and Equity Price Developments

1000

900

800

700

600

500

400

300

200

100

0

85

Left-Hand Scale (US$)

M.S.C.I. World Index

Right-hand Scale ($ Billions)

US$

Yen

86 87 88 89 90 95 96 97 91 92 93

Figure 11.6

94

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11-9

80

60

40

20

Why The Growth?

TECHNOLOGY.

Deregulation by governments of capital flows and financial services.

Risk: Nations may be more vulnerable to speculative capital flows.

Short term investing.

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11-10

Index of Capital Controls in

Emerging Markets

0.6

0.58

0.56

0.54

0.52

0.68

0.66

0.64

0.62

0 = No Capital controls

1 = Tight Capital Controls

86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96

© McGraw Hill Companies, Inc., 2000 Figure 11.7

11-11

Eurocurrency

 It’s not the Euro!

It is any currency banked outside its country of origin.

1950s. Eastern Europeans afraid US would seize deposits to reimburse claims for business losses as a result of Communist takeover of Eastern Europe.

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11-12

Growth in Eurocurrency Funds

1.5 Trillion

1600

1400

1200

1000

800

600

400

200

0

One Billion

1961

1998

1961 1998

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11-13

The Eurocurrency Market

Characterized by a lack of regulation compared to domestic financial markets.

 This means that you don’t have to pay for the cost of regulation.

Hence, cheap (or cheaper) money.

Downside:

Banks could be more likely to fail (not probable)

Because you are getting foreign money, you have currency exchange risks.

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11-14

Interest Rate Spreads in Domestic and

Eurocurrency Markets

Rate of interest

Domestic lending rate

Eurocurrency lending rate

Eurocurrency deposit rate Domestic deposit rate

Figure 11.8

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0%

11-15

The International Bond Market

Bonds tend to be fixed rate.

Foreign bonds

 Sold outside the borrower’s country and in currency of country where issued.

Eurobonds

 underwritten by an international syndicate.

 issued by large corporations, international institutions and governments.

 placed in country other than country of currency and its residents.

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11-16

Euro vs Foreign Bonds

(Billions of Dollars)

Foreign

Euro

0 50

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100 150 200

11-17

Attraction of the Eurobond

Market?

No government interference.

Few disclosure requirements.

Favorable tax status.

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11-18

Global Equity Markets

Where investors can buy/sell stocks.

Made up of many stock exchanges around the world.

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11-19

Trading in Non-US Stocks

US Billions

NASDAQ

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NYSE

500

400

300

200

100

0

1994

1995

1996

1997

11- 20

Who Uses These Markets?

Investors seeking to diversify their portfolios.

Companies seeking to

 issue stock in the country

 use stock and options as a form of employee incentives

 satisfy local ownership requirements

 create funding for future acquisitions

 increase the visibility of the company.

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11-21

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