Panel 5 Solvency - Valuation of Liabilities & Value at Risk Methodology IAIS-ASSAL Training Seminar 24 November 2009, Lima Peru Jason Park – Principal Administrator International Association of Insurance Supervisors (IAIS) Presentation Overview • Part I : Introduction of the IAIS • Part II : International Solvency Requirements (ISRs) within the IAIS Framework for Supervision • Structure of regulatory capital requirements • Use of internal models for regulatory capital purposes • Value at Risk Methodology in IAIS document • Valuation of assets and liabilities for solvency purposes November 2009 Jason Park Solvency - Valuation of Liabilities & Value at Risk Methodology 2 IAIS: a global forum for insurance regulators • • Founded in 1994 Members from more than 190 jurisdictions in over 140 countries Membership classes Members Insurance Supervisors November 2009 Jason Park The NAIC Observers International Governmental/ Statutory bodies Other interested parties Solvency - Valuation of Liabilities & Value at Risk Methodology 3 Standard setting activities aim at global convergence of supervisory practices Application papers Standards Guidance papers Issues papers Insurance Core Principles (ICPs) Supervisory papers November 2009 Jason Park Supporting papers Solvency - Valuation of Liabilities & Value at Risk Methodology 4 ICPs provide globally-accepted framework for insurance regulation and supervision Principles Assessment criteria Essential criteria November 2009 Jason Park • Benchmark for insurance supervisors • Used to establish new regimes • Used to improve existing regimes • Used in evaluation of supervisory regimes – FSAPs • Applies to all insurers and reinsurers but not intermediaries, unless indicated Explanatory notes Advanced criteria Solvency - Valuation of Liabilities & Value at Risk Methodology 5 ICPs cover all insurance supervisory aspects November 2009 Jason Park Solvency - Valuation of Liabilities & Value at Risk Methodology 6 Presentation Overview • Part I : Introduction of the IAIS • Part II : International Solvency Requirements (ISRs) within the IAIS Framework for Supervision • Structure of regulatory capital requirements • Use of internal models for regulatory capital purposes • Value at Risk Methodology in IAIS document • Valuation of assets and liabilities for solvency purposes November 2009 Jason Park Solvency - Valuation of Liabilities & Value at Risk Methodology 7 Solvency requirements are integral in the Framework for insurance supervision LEVEL 3 LEVEL 2 Supervisory assessment Supervisory assessment and intervention Common Solvency Structure and Standards Regulatory requirements Financial LEVEL 1 Preconditions Governance Market conduct the insurance supervisory authority Basic conditions for the effective functioning of the insurance sector and insurance supervision Framework for Insurance Supervision November 2009 Jason Park Solvency - Valuation of Liabilities & Value at Risk Methodology 8 ISRs: a comprehensive and cohesive set of solvency assessment documentation International Solvency Requirements (ISRs) STANDARDS GUIDANCE PAPER November 2009 Jason Park ISR 1 ISR 2 ISR 3 ISR 4 ISR 5 ISR 6 Capital requirements Capital resources Investments (adopted in 2009) Enterprise risk management Internal models (adopted) Valuation of assets & liabilities (due Oct 2010) (due Oct 2010) (adopted) (adopted) ISR 1 ISR 2 ISR 3 ISR 4 ISR 5 ISR 6 Capital requirements Capital resources Investments (adopted in 2009) Enterprise risk management Internal models (adopted) Valuation of assets & liabilities (due Oct 2010) (due Oct 2010) Solvency - Valuation of Liabilities & Value at Risk Methodology (adopted) (adopted) 9 ICPs related to Prudential Requirements ICP 23 Capital adequacy and solvency • Requires insurers to comply with the prescribed solvency regime. This regime includes capital adequacy requirements and requires suitable forms of capital that enable the insurer to absorb significant unforeseen losses. – Capital Requirements – Capital Resources – Internal Models November 2009 Jason Park Solvency - Valuation of Liabilities & Value at Risk Methodology 10 ICPs related to Prudential Requirements ICP 18 Risk assessment and management • Requires insurers to recognise the range of risks that they face and to assess and manage them effectively. – Internal Models ICP 21 Investments • Requires insurers to comply with standards on investment activities. These standards include requirements on investment policy, asset mix, valuation, diversification, asset-liability matching, and risk management. ICP 22 Derivatives and similar commitments • Requires insurers to comply with standards on the use of derivatives and similar commitments. These standards address restrictions in their use and disclosure requirements, as well as internal controls and monitoring of the related positions. – November 2009 Jason Park Investments Solvency - Valuation of Liabilities & Value at Risk Methodology 11 ICPs related to Prudential Requirements ICP 20 Liabilities • Requires insurers to comply with standards for establishing adequate technical provisions and other liabilities, and making allowance for reinsurance recoverable. The supervisory authority has both the authority and the ability to assess the adequacy of the technical provisions and to require that these provisions be increased, if necessary. ICP 21 Investments Essential criterion b) requires that investments are valued according to a method prescribed by or acceptable to the supervisory authority. ICP 23 Capital Adequacy and Solvency Essential criterion a) requires that the solvency regime addresses the following in a consistent manner: • Valuation of liabilities, including technical provisions and the margins contained therein • Quality, liquidity and valuation of assets • Matching of assets and liabilities, etc. – Valuation of Liabilities and Assets November 2009 Jason Park Solvency - Valuation of Liabilities & Value at Risk Methodology 12 Presentation Overview • Part I : Introduction of the IAIS • Part II : International Solvency Requirements (ISRs) within the IAIS Framework for Supervision • Structure of regulatory capital requirements • Use of internal models for regulatory capital purposes • Value at Risk Methodology in IAIS document • Valuation of assets and liabilities for solvency purposes November 2009 Jason Park Solvency - Valuation of Liabilities & Value at Risk Methodology 13 Standard & Guidance on the Structure of Regulatory Capital Requirements • Total balance sheet approach – Recognise interdependence between assets, liabilities, regulatory capital requirements and capital resources – Ensure that determination of available and required capital is based on consistent assumptions for the recognition and valuation of assets and liabilities for solvency purposes • Establishment of a range of solvency control levels – with appropriate supervisory interventions • Allowance of a range of approaches – standardised approaches and more advanced approaches, such as internal models • Determination of prescribed levels of RCRs – MCRs and PCRs – relationships between different levels November 2009 Jason Park Solvency - Valuation of Liabilities & Value at Risk Methodology 14 Standard & Guidance on the Structure of Regulatory Capital Requirements Total balance sheet approach to recognise interdependencies Public financial reporting Supervisory assessment of the financial position capital available capital capital requirement value of assets for supervisory purposes risk margin technical provisions assets November 2009 Jason Park liabilities liabilities current estimate policy obligations liabilities and capital requirement financial position Solvency - Valuation of Liabilities & Value at Risk Methodology assets liabilities 15 Standard & Guidance on the Structure of Regulatory Capital Requirements Solvency Control Levels and Regulatory Capital Requirements Prescribed Capital Requirement (PCR) Capital Resources (CR) Required Capital Minimum Capital Requirement (MCR) Risk Margin (RM) Technical Provisions (TP) and Other liabilities Current Estimate (CE) Other Other liabilities liabilities (OL) (OL) Insurer’s Financial Position November 2009 Jason Park Regulatory Capital Requirements Solvency - Valuation of Liabilities & Value at Risk Methodology 16 Standard & Guidance on the Structure of Regulatory Capital Requirements Progressive intervention levels to ensure timely corrective measures – an example 190% • Prescribed capital requirement (PCR) level • Supervisory intervention not required 160% • Submission of business plan to improve capital buffers • Increased on-site supervision • Additional stress and scenario testing Capital Adequacy Ratio = Capital Available Capital Required 130% • Limit shareholder dividends • Restrict new business acquisition • Delay approval of new products 100% • Minimum capital requirement (MCR) level • Winding-up of operation November 2009 Jason Park Solvency - Valuation of Liabilities & Value at Risk Methodology 17 Presentation Overview • Part I : Introduction of the IAIS • Part II : International Solvency Requirements (ISRs) within the IAIS Framework for Supervision • Structure of regulatory capital requirements • Use of internal models for regulatory capital purposes • Value at Risk Methodology in IAIS document • Valuation of assets and liabilities for solvency purposes November 2009 Jason Park Solvency - Valuation of Liabilities & Value at Risk Methodology 18 Standard & Guidance on the Use of Internal Models for Regulatory Capital Purposes • What are internal models? – A risk management system developed by an insurer to analyse and quantify its risk position and to determine the commensurate economic capital • The internal model approach is suitable only if certain preconditions are met – Level of sophistication of insurers / markets – Corporate governance structures – Competent / accountable insurance professionals and management – Supervisory resources and expertise • Standards and guidance paper applies only in jurisdictions where internal models are recognised for regulatory capital purposes November 2009 Jason Park Solvency - Valuation of Liabilities & Value at Risk Methodology 19 Value at Risk Methodology in IAIS document • Guidance on the use of Internal Models briefly comments about VaR – The IAIS notes that some solvency regimes which allow the use of internal models to determine regulatory capital requirements currently set a confidence level for regulatory purposes, which is comparable with a minimum investment grade level. Some examples of modelling criteria include a 99.5% VaR calibrated confidence level over a one year timeframe, a 99% VaR over one year and a 95% TVaR over the term of the policy obligations. Different criteria apply for PCR and MCR. November 2009 Jason Park Solvency - Valuation of Liabilities & Value at Risk Methodology 20 A sample target criteria – VaR at 99% confidence level, 1 year time horizon Probability Technical provision Capital requirement 1 in 100 years event Losses Current estimate November 2009 Jason Park 75% percentile Solvency - Valuation of Liabilities & Value at Risk Methodology 99% percentile 21 Presentation Overview • Part I : Introduction of the IAIS • Part II : International Solvency Requirements (ISRs) within the IAIS Framework for Supervision • Structure of regulatory capital requirements • Use of internal models for regulatory capital purposes • Value at Risk Methodology in IAIS document • Valuation of assets and liabilities for solvency purposes November 2009 Jason Park Solvency - Valuation of Liabilities & Value at Risk Methodology 22 Standard & Guidance on the Valuation of Assets and Liabilities for Solvency Purposes • Ongoing works of “Joint Valuation Working Group” (by the Solvency and Insurance Contracts Subcommittees) – Summary of Requirements / Guidance on the Valuation of Assets and Liabilities, including Technical Provisions for Solvency purposes – Appropriate valuation of assets and liabilities for solvency purposes is a fundamental part of a solvency regime and contributes to the consistent assessment of insurer strength – Characteristics of technical provisions are similar to those being considered by IASB November 2009 Jason Park Solvency - Valuation of Liabilities & Value at Risk Methodology 23 Standard on the Valuation of Assets and Liabilities for Solvency Purposes Key Principle The IAIS believes that it is most desirable that the methodologies for calculating items in general purpose financial reports can be used for, or are substantially consistent with, the methodologies used for regulatory reporting purposes, with as few changes as possible to satisfy regulatory requirements. November 2009 Jason Park Solvency - Valuation of Liabilities & Value at Risk Methodology 24 Standard on the Valuation of Assets and Liabilities for Solvency Purposes Key requirements – provisional General valuation requirements for assets & liabilities • The valuation for solvency purposes of assets and liabilities should be undertaken on consistent basis • Assets and liabilities should be valued in a reliable and transparent manner • The valuation for solvency purposes of assets and liabilities should be an economic valuation • An economic valuation of assets and liabilities should reflect the risk adjusted present values of their CFs November 2009 Jason Park Solvency - Valuation of Liabilities & Value at Risk Methodology 25 Standard on the Valuation of Assets and Liabilities for Solvency Purposes Key requirements – provisional (continued) Valuation of technical provisions • The solvency regime should require the valuation of technical provisions to exceed the current estimate of the cost of meeting the insurance obligations (Current Estimate) by a margin to reflect the inherent uncertainty of those obligations (Margin over the Current Estimate or MOCE) • The Current Estimate should reflect the expected present value of all relevant future cash flows that arise in fulfilling insurance obligations using unbiased current assumptions November 2009 Jason Park Solvency - Valuation of Liabilities & Value at Risk Methodology 26 Standard on the Valuation of Assets and Liabilities for Solvency Purposes Key requirements – provisional (continued) Valuation of technical provisions • The MOCE should reflect the inherent uncertainty related to all relevant future cash flows that arise in fulfilling insurance contract over the full time horizon thereof • The valuation of technical provisions should allow for the time value of money. The solvency regime should establish criteria for the determination of appropriate interest rates to be used in the discounting of technical provisions November 2009 Jason Park Solvency - Valuation of Liabilities & Value at Risk Methodology 27 Standard on the Valuation of Assets and Liabilities for Solvency Purposes Key requirements – provisional (continued) Valuation of technical provisions • The value of technical provisions should not reflect the insurer’s own credit standing • The solvency regime should require the valuation of technical provisions to make appropriate allowance for embedded options and guarantees November 2009 Jason Park Solvency - Valuation of Liabilities & Value at Risk Methodology 28 Asociación Internacional de Supervisores de Seguros Muchas Gracias ! www.iaisweb.org jason.park@bis.org November 2009 Jason Park Solvency - Valuation of Liabilities & Value at Risk Methodology 29