Chapter 3 The Time Value of Money: An Introduction to Financial Mathematics Copyright 2009 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 10e by Peirson Slides prepared by Farida Akhtar and Barry Oliver, Australian National University 3-1 Learning Objectives • Understand simple interest and compound interest, including accumulating, discounting and making comparisons using the effective interest rate. • Value, as at any date, contracts involving multiple cash flows. • Calculate and distinguish present and future values of different annuities. Apply knowledge of annuities to solve a range of problems, including problems involving principal-andinterest loan contracts. Copyright 2009 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 10e by Peirson Slides prepared by Farida Akhtar and Barry Oliver, Australian National University 3-2 Fundamental Concepts • Cash flows — fundamental to finance, the funds that flow between parties either now or in the future as a consequence of a financial contract. • Rate of return — relates cash inflows to cash outflows. (Equation 3.1) • Interest rate — special case of rate of return (used when the financial agreement is in the form of debt). Copyright 2009 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 10e by Peirson Slides prepared by Farida Akhtar and Barry Oliver, Australian National University 3-3 Time Value of Money • Money received now can be invested to earn additional cash in the future. • Relates to opportunity cost of giving up money or resources for a period of time — either forgone investments or consumption. • Consider time significance — significant amount of time may elapse between cash outflows and inflows. • Cash flows that occur at different points in time cannot simply be added together or subtracted — this is one of the critical issues conveyed in this chapter. Copyright 2009 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 10e by Peirson Slides prepared by Farida Akhtar and Barry Oliver, Australian National University 3-4 Simple Interest • Typically used only for a single time period. Interest is calculated on the original sum invested: – Where S is the lump sum payable Interest Principal P periods t rate r S P Ptr P 1 rt Present Value: • Typically present cash equivalent of an amount to be paid or received at some future date, calculated using simple interest. S P 1 rt Copyright 2009 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 10e by Peirson Slides prepared by Farida Akhtar and Barry Oliver, Australian National University 3-5 Compound Interest • Compounding involves accumulating interest on previous interest payments, which will generate further interest. • This earning of interest on interest is one of the key differences between simple interest and compound interest. • The backbone of many time-value calculations are the present value (PV) and future value (FV) based on compound interest. • The sum or future value accumulated after n periods is: S P 1 i n • The present value of a future sum is: P S 1 i n • Note: The PV and FV formulas are the inverse of each other! Copyright 2009 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 10e by Peirson Slides prepared by Farida Akhtar and Barry Oliver, Australian National University 3-6 Nominal and Effective Interest Rates • Nominal rate: – Quoted interest rate where interest is charged or calculated more frequently than the time period specified in the interest rate. • Effective rate: – Interest rate where interest is charged at the same frequency as the interest rate quoted. – Used to convert different nominal rates so that they are comparable. Copyright 2009 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 10e by Peirson Slides prepared by Farida Akhtar and Barry Oliver, Australian National University 3-7 Nominal and Effective Interest Rates (cont.) • The distinction is important when interest is compounded over a period different from that expressed by the interest rate, e.g. more than once a year. • The effective interest rate can be calculated as: m j i 1 1 m where: j nominal rate per period m number of compounding periods which occur during a single nominal period Copyright 2009 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 10e by Peirson Slides prepared by Farida Akhtar and Barry Oliver, Australian National University 3-8 Example: Effective Annual Interest Rate • Example 3.7: – Calculate the effective annual interest rates corresponding to 12% p.a., compounding: (a) Semi-annually =m j i 1 1 m 2 2 0.12 1 1 1.06 1 0.1236 (12.36%) 2 (b) Quarterly = 0.125509 (12.55%) (c) Monthly = 0.126825 (12.68%) (d) Daily = 0.127475 (12.7475%) Copyright 2009 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 10e by Peirson Slides prepared by Farida Akhtar and Barry Oliver, Australian National University 3-9 Real Interest Rates • The real interest rate is the interest rate after taking out the effects of inflation. • The nominal interest rate is the interest rate before taking out the effects of inflation. • The real interest rate (i*) can be found as follows: where: 1 i i* real interest rate i* 1 i nominal interest rate 1 p p expected inflation rate Copyright 2009 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 10e by Peirson Slides prepared by Farida Akhtar and Barry Oliver, Australian National University 3-10 Continuous Interest Rates • Continuous interest is a method of calculating interest in which it is charged so frequently that the time period between each charge approaches zero. • Continuous interest is an example of exponential growth: where: S future sum jn P principal j continuously compounding interest rate per period n number of periods e 2.718 281 828 46 (constant) S Pe Copyright 2009 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 10e by Peirson Slides prepared by Farida Akhtar and Barry Oliver, Australian National University 3-11 Geometric Rates of Return • The rate of return between two dates, measured by the change in value divided by the earlier value. • The average of a sequence of geometric rates of return is found by a process that resembles compounding. • Average geometric rate of return is also referred to as the average compound rate of return. 1 n Pn i 1 P0 where: Pn final value or price P0 initial value or price n number of periods Copyright 2009 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 10e by Peirson Slides prepared by Farida Akhtar and Barry Oliver, Australian National University 3-12 Valuation of Contracts with Multiple Cash Flows • Value additivity: – Cash flows occurring at different times cannot be validly added without accounting for timing. – Only cash flows occurring at the same time can be added. – Therefore, it is necessary to convert multiple cash flows into a single equivalent cash flow. – Cash flows can be carried either forward in time (accumulated) or back in time (discounted). Copyright 2009 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 10e by Peirson Slides prepared by Farida Akhtar and Barry Oliver, Australian National University 3-13 Valuation of Contracts with Multiple Cash Flows (cont.) • Where a cash flow of C dollars occurs on a date t, the value of that cash flow at a future valuation date t* is given by: Vt Ct 1 i * t *-t • Measuring the rate of return: – Where there are n cash inflows Ct (t = 1, ..., n), following an initial outflow of C0, the internal rate of return is that value of r that solves the equation: n 1 r t 1 Ct t C0 0 Copyright 2009 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 10e by Peirson Slides prepared by Farida Akhtar and Barry Oliver, Australian National University 3-14 Example: Internal Rate of Return (IRR) • Consider three cash flows: – $1000 today, +$1120 in 1 year, +$25 in 2 years. • What is the average rate of return on the initial investment of $1000, taking into account compounding, i.e. the IRR? • The IRR is the r that satisfies the following equation: $ 1120 $25 $1000 0 2 1 r 1 r Copyright 2009 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 10e by Peirson Slides prepared by Farida Akhtar and Barry Oliver, Australian National University 3-15 Example: Internal Rate of Return (cont.) • The answer cannot be solved for precisely, as the equation is a quadratic equation. • Alternatively, and more generally, trial and error can be used, substituting different values for r. • In practice, this would be done with a computer, using a program such as Excel or Lotus. Copyright 2009 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 10e by Peirson Slides prepared by Farida Akhtar and Barry Oliver, Australian National University 3-16 Example: Internal Rate of Return (cont.) • The solution is: IRR = 14.19%, substitute back into the equation to confirm: $1120 1 0.1419 $25 1 0.1419 2 $ 1000 $980.82 $19.17 $1000 0 • The result is zero, confirming that the IRR is 14.19%. Copyright 2009 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 10e by Peirson Slides prepared by Farida Akhtar and Barry Oliver, Australian National University 3-17 Annuities • An annuity is a stream of equal cash flows, equally spaced in time. • We consider four types of annuities: – Ordinary annuity. – Annuity due. – Deferred annuity. – Ordinary perpetuity. Copyright 2009 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 10e by Peirson Slides prepared by Farida Akhtar and Barry Oliver, Australian National University 3-18 Ordinary Annuities • Annuities in which the time period from the date of valuation to the date of the first cash flow is equal to the time period between each subsequent cash flow. • Assume that the first cash flow occurs at the end of the first time period: 0 1 $C 2 $C 3 $C 4 $C Copyright 2009 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 10e by Peirson Slides prepared by Farida Akhtar and Barry Oliver, Australian National University 5 $C 6 $C 3-19 Valuing Ordinary Annuities • Present value (PV) of an ordinary annuity: C 1 P 1 n i 1 i C A n, i where: C annuity cash flow i interest rate per compound period n number of annuity cash flows • Using the present value of annuity tables, values of A(n,i) for different values of n and i can be found. Copyright 2009 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 10e by Peirson Slides prepared by Farida Akhtar and Barry Oliver, Australian National University 3-20 Example: Ordinary Annuities Example 3.16: • Find the present value of an ordinary annuity of $5000 p.a. for 4 years if the interest rate is 8% p.a: (a) Discounting each individual cash flow. C C C C P 2 3 4 1 i 1 i 1 i 1 i $5000 $5000 $5000 $5000 2 3 1.08 1.08 1.08 1.084 $16 560.63 Copyright 2009 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 10e by Peirson Slides prepared by Farida Akhtar and Barry Oliver, Australian National University 3-21 Example: Ordinary Annuities (cont.) Example 3.16 (cont.): • Find the present value of an ordinary annuity of $5000 p.a. for 4 years if the interest rate is 8% p.a. (b) Using Equation 3.19. 1 $5000 1 1 1 n 4 0.08 1.08 1 i $5000 3.31212684 $16 560.63 C P i (c) Using Table 4, Appendix A and Equation 3.20. P = C x A(n,i) = $16 560.50 Copyright 2009 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 10e by Peirson Slides prepared by Farida Akhtar and Barry Oliver, Australian National University 3-22 Annuity Due • Where the first cash flow is to occur immediately: 0 1 $C $C 2 $C 3 $C 4 $C 5 $C 6 $C • An annuity due of n cash flows is simply an ordinary annuity of (n – 1) cash flows, plus an immediate cash flow of C. The present value of an annuity due: C 1 PC 1 n 1 i 1 i C 1 A n 1, i Copyright 2009 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 10e by Peirson Slides prepared by Farida Akhtar and Barry Oliver, Australian National University 3-23 Deferred Annuity • Annuity in which the first cash flow is to occur after a time period that exceeds the time period between each subsequent cash flow: 0 • 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 $C $C $C $C $C $C Present value of a deferred annuity: P C A n, i 1 i k 1 where: C annuity cash flow i interest rate per compound period n number of annuity cash flows k number of time periods until the first cash flow Copyright 2009 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 10e by Peirson Slides prepared by Farida Akhtar and Barry Oliver, Australian National University 3-24 Deferred Annuity (cont.) • The present value (PV) of a deferred annuity involves taking the present value of an ordinary annuity. • This figure is a present value but, as the annuity is deferred, we need to discount the PV further. • If the first cash flow is k periods into the future, we discount the PV by (k – 1) periods. Copyright 2009 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 10e by Peirson Slides prepared by Farida Akhtar and Barry Oliver, Australian National University 3-25 Ordinary Perpetuity • An ordinary annuity where the cash flows are to continue forever: 0 1 2 3 4 5 $C $C $C $C $C 6 • The present value of an ordinary perpetuity: P C i where: C cash flow per period i interest rate per period Copyright 2009 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 10e by Peirson Slides prepared by Farida Akhtar and Barry Oliver, Australian National University 3-26 Example: Ordinary Annuities • Future value of an ordinary annuity: Example 3.20: – Starting with his next monthly salary, Harold intends to save $200 each month. – If the interest rate is 8.4% p.a., payable monthly, how much will Harold have saved after 2 years? – Solution: Monthly interest rate is 0.4/12 = 0.7%. Using Equation 3.28, Harold’s savings will amount to: C n 1 i 1 S i Copyright 2009 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 10e by Peirson Slides prepared by Farida Akhtar and Barry Oliver, Australian National University 3-27 Example: Ordinary Annuities (cont.) • Substituting the values we have: $200 24 1.007 1 S 0.007 $200 26 .03492507 $5206 .99 • Thus, at the end of 2 years, Harold will have saved $5206.99. Copyright 2009 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 10e by Peirson Slides prepared by Farida Akhtar and Barry Oliver, Australian National University 3-28 Principal-and-Interest Loans • An important application of annuities is to loans involving a sequence of equal cash flows, each of which is sufficient to cover the interest accrued since the previous payment and to reduce the current balance owing. • Such loans can be referred to as: – Principal-and-interest loans. – Credit loans. – Amortised loans. Copyright 2009 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 10e by Peirson Slides prepared by Farida Akhtar and Barry Oliver, Australian National University 3-29 Principal-and-Interest Loans (cont.) Example 3.22: • Borrow $100 000. • Make 5 years of annual repayments at a fixed interest rate of 11.5% p.a. • What is the annual repayment? • Use the PV of annuity formula: C 1 P 1 n i 1 i Copyright 2009 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 10e by Peirson Slides prepared by Farida Akhtar and Barry Oliver, Australian National University 3-30 Principal-and-Interest Loans (cont.) Example 3.22 (cont.): • Substituting values: C 1 $100, 000 1 5 0.115 1.115 $100, 000 C 3.64988 • Thus, annual repayments on this loan are $27 398.18. Copyright 2009 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 10e by Peirson Slides prepared by Farida Akhtar and Barry Oliver, Australian National University 3-31 Principal-and-Interest Loans (cont.) • Balance owing at a given date: – Equals the present value of the then-remaining repayments. • Loan term required: – Solving for the required loan term n: log C C Pi n log 1 i Copyright 2009 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 10e by Peirson Slides prepared by Farida Akhtar and Barry Oliver, Australian National University 3-32 Principal-and-Interest Loans (cont.) • Changing the interest rate: – In some loans (usually called variable interest rate loans), the interest rate can be changed at any time by the lender. • Two alternative adjustments can be made: – The lender may set a new required payment, which will be calculated as if the new interest rate is fixed for the remaining loan term. – The lender may allow the borrower to continue making the same repayment and, instead, alter the loan term to reflect the new interest rate. Copyright 2009 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 10e by Peirson Slides prepared by Farida Akhtar and Barry Oliver, Australian National University 3-33 General Annuities • Annuity in which the frequency of charging interest does not match the frequency of payment. Thus, repayments may be made either more frequently or less frequently than interest is charged. • Link between short period interest rate (iS) and long period interest rate (iL): iL 1 iS 1 m Copyright 2009 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 10e by Peirson Slides prepared by Farida Akhtar and Barry Oliver, Australian National University 3-34 Summary • Fundamental concepts in financial mathematics include rates of return, simple interest and compound interest. • Valuation of cash flows: – Present value of a future cash flow. – Future value of a current payment/deposit. • Annuities are a special class of regularly spaced fixed cash flows. Copyright 2009 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Business Finance 10e by Peirson Slides prepared by Farida Akhtar and Barry Oliver, Australian National University 3-35