Basics of Engineering Economy Chapter 1 Foundations of Engineering Economy Slide to accompany Blank and Tarquin Basics of Engineering Economy, 2008 1-1 © 2008 by McGraw-Hill All Rights Reserved Chapter 1 - Foundations PURPOSE TOPICS Definition and study Understand the fundamental concepts of engineering economy Slide to accompany Blank and Tarquin Basics of Engineering Economy, 2008 1-2 approach Interest rate, ROR, and MARR Equivalence Interest – simple and compound Cash flow diagrams Rules of 72 and 100 Spreadsheet introduction © 2008 by McGraw-Hill All Rights Reserved Sec 1.1 – Definition of Engineering Economy Sec 1.2 – Elements of a Study DEFINITION: Techniques that simplify comparison of alternatives on an economic basis Most project decisions consider additional factors – safety, environmental, political, public acceptance, etc. Fundamental terminology: Alternative -- stand-alone solution Cash flows -- estimated inflows (revenues) and outflows (costs) for an alternative Evaluation criteria -- Basis used to select ‘best’ alternative; usually money (currency of the country) Time value of money -- Change in amount of money over time (Most important concept in Eng. Econ.) Slide to accompany Blank and Tarquin Basics of Engineering Economy, 2008 1-3 © 2008 by McGraw-Hill All Rights Reserved Sec 1.3 - Interest Rate, ROR, MARR Interest is a manifestation of time value of money Calculated as difference between an ending amount and a beginning amount of money Interest = end amount – original amount Interest rate is interest over specified time period based on original amount Interest rate (%) = interest accrued per time unit x 100% original amount Interest rate and rate of return (ROR) have same numeric value, but different interpretations Slide to accompany Blank and Tarquin Basics of Engineering Economy, 2008 1-4 © 2008 by McGraw-Hill All Rights Reserved Sec 1.3 - Interest Rate and ROR Interpretations Borrower’s perspective Investor’s perspective Take loan of $5,000 for one year; repay $5,350 Invest (or lend) $5,000 for one year; receive $5,350 Interest paid = $350 Interest earned = $350 Interest rate = 350/5,000 = 7% INTEREST RATE Rate of return = 350/5,000 = 7% RATE OF RETURN Slide to accompany Blank and Tarquin Basics of Engineering Economy, 2008 1-5 © 2008 by McGraw-Hill All Rights Reserved Sec 1.3 - ROR and MARR Cost of capital (COC) – interest rate paid for funds to finance projects ROR MARR – Minimum ROR needed for an alternative to be justified and economically acceptable. MARR ≥ COC. If COC = 5% and 6% must be realized, MARR = 11% Always, for acceptable projects ROR ≥ MARR > COC Slide to accompany Blank and Tarquin Basics of Engineering Economy, 2008 1-6 © 2008 by McGraw-Hill All Rights Reserved Sec 1.4 - Equivalence Different sums of money at different times may be equal in economic value Interest rate = 6% per year -1 $94.34 last year 0 1 $100 now $106 one year from now Interpretation: $94.34 last year, $100 now, and $106 one year from now are equivalent only at an interest rate of 6% per year Slide to accompany Blank and Tarquin Basics of Engineering Economy, 2008 1-7 © 2008 by McGraw-Hill All Rights Reserved Sec 1.5 – Simple and Compound Interest Simple interest is always based on the original amount, which is also called the principal Interest per period = (principal)(interest rate) Total interest = (principal)(n periods)(interest rate) Example: Invest $250,000 in a bond at 5% per year simple Interest each year = 250,000(0.05) = $12,500 Interest over 3 years = 250,000(3)(0.05) = $37,500 Slide to accompany Blank and Tarquin Basics of Engineering Economy, 2008 1-8 © 2008 by McGraw-Hill All Rights Reserved Sec 1.5 – Simple and Compound Interest Compound interest is based on the principal plus all accrued interest Interest per period = (principal + accrued interest)(interest rate) Total interest = (principal)(1+interest rate)n periods - principal Example: Invest $250,000 at 5% per year compounded Interest, year 1 = 250,000(0.05) = $12,500 Interest, year 2 = 262,500(0.05) = $13,125 Interest, year 3 = 275,625(0.05) = $13,781 Interest over 3 years = 250,000(1.05)3 – 250,000 = $39,406 Slide to accompany Blank and Tarquin Basics of Engineering Economy, 2008 1-9 © 2008 by McGraw-Hill All Rights Reserved Sct 1.6 - Terminology and Symbols t = time index in periods; years, months, etc. P = present sum of money at time t = 0; $ F = sum of money at a future time t; $ A = series of equal, end-of-period cash flows; currency per period, $ per year n = total number of periods; years, months i = compound interest rate or rate of return; % per year Slide to accompany Blank and Tarquin Basics of Engineering Economy, 2008 1 - 10 © 2008 by McGraw-Hill All Rights Reserved Sct 1.6 - Terminology and Symbols Example: Borrow $5,000 today and repay annually for 10 years starting next year at 5% per year compounded. Identify all symbols. Given: P = $5,000 i = 5% per year n = 10 years Find: A = ? per year t = year 1, 2, …, 10 (F not used here) Slide to accompany Blank and Tarquin Basics of Engineering Economy, 2008 1 - 11 © 2008 by McGraw-Hill All Rights Reserved Sec 1.7 – Cash Flow Estimates Cash inflow – receipt, revenue, income, saving Cash outflows – cost, expense, disbursement, loss Net cash flow (NCF) = inflow – outflow End-of-period convention: all cash flows and NCF occur at the end of an interest period Slide to accompany Blank and Tarquin Basics of Engineering Economy, 2008 1 - 12 © 2008 by McGraw-Hill All Rights Reserved Sec 1.7 – Cash Flow Diagrams Year 1 0 Year 5 1 2 Time, t 3 4 5 Typical time scale or 5 years + Cash flow P=? 0 1 2 3 4 5 Find P in year 0, given 3 cash flows - Cash flow Slide to accompany Blank and Tarquin Basics of Engineering Economy, 2008 1 - 13 © 2008 by McGraw-Hill All Rights Reserved Sec 1.7 – Cash Flow Diagrams Example: Find an amount to deposit 2 years from now so that $4,000 per year can be available for 5 years starting 3 years from now. Assume i = 15.5% per year Slide to accompany Blank and Tarquin Basics of Engineering Economy, 2008 1 - 14 © 2008 by McGraw-Hill All Rights Reserved Sec 1.8 – Rule of 72 ( and 100) Approximate n = 72 / i Estimates # of years (n) for an amount to double (2X) at a stated compound interest rate e.g., at i = 10%, $1,000 doubles to $2,000 in ~7.2 years For simple interest, doubling time is exact, using rule of 100 n = 100/i or Solution for i estimates compound rate to double in n years i = 100/n Approximate i = 72 / n $1,000 doubles in 10 years at 10% simple interest Slide to accompany Blank and Tarquin Basics of Engineering Economy, 2008 1 - 15 © 2008 by McGraw-Hill All Rights Reserved Sec 1.9 – Introduction to Spreadsheet Functions To display Present value, P Future value, F Annual amount, A # of periods, n Compound rate, i i for input series P for input series Slide to accompany Blank and Tarquin Basics of Engineering Economy, 2008 Excel Function = PV(i%,n,A,F) = FV(i%,n,A,P) = PMT(i%,n,P,F) = NPER(i%,A,P,F) = RATE(n,A,P,F) = IRR(first_cell:last_cell) = NPV(i%,second_cell: last_cell)+first_cell 1 - 16 © 2008 by McGraw-Hill All Rights Reserved