Chapter Ten General Equilibrium and Economic Welfare 焦點新聞 •政院稅改方案 大幅調降營所稅綜所稅 •鋼價狂漲 暫不限制出口 – 由於國內外鋼價急驟上揚,近期陸續有營造 等相關業界建議政府希望限制廢鋼、鋼筋等 出口。經濟部工業局表示,按照 WTO精神, 禁止出口有可能損及台灣形象,同時也會打 亂台灣既有鋼鐵產銷體系,造成業界的反彈, 甚至危及單軋廠的生存,因此,是否禁止出 口尚未定論。 © 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 10–2 General Equilibrium and Economic Welfare • In this chapter, we examine five main topics – General equilibrium – Trading between two people – Competitive exchange – Production and trading – Efficiency and equity © 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 10–3 General Equilibrium • partial-equilibrium analysis – an examination of equilibrium and changes in equilibrium in one market in isolation • general-equilibrium analysis – the study of how equilibrium is determined in all markets simultaneously © 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 10–4 Feedback Between Competitive Markets • Sequence of Events – We can demonstrate the effect of a shock in one market on both markets by tracing the sequence of events in the two markets. – Whether these steps occur nearly instantaneously or take some times depends on how quickly consumers and producers react. © 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 10–5 Figure 10.1 Relationship Between the Corn and Soybean Markets (a) Corn Market Sc 0 Sc 3 ec 0 $2.15 Dc 0 ec 1 $1.9171 $1.9057 ec 3 Dc 1 8.227 8.2613 8.44 Corn, Billion bushels per year (b) Soybean Market Ss 0 es 0 $4.12 Ds 0 Ss 2 Ss 4 es $3.8325 $3.8180 2 es 4 Ds 2 Ds 4 © 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 2.0505 2.0514 2.07 Soybeans, Billion bushels per year Minimum Wages With Incomplete Coverage • Minimum Wages With Incomplete Coverage – In the absence of a minimum wage, the equilibrium wage is w1 . – Applying a minimum wage, w, to only one sector causes the quantity of labor services demanded in the covered sector to fall. – The extra labor moves to the uncovered sector, driving the wage there down to w2. © 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 10–7 Figure 10.2 Minimum Wage with Incomplete Coverage (a) Covered Sector (c) Total Labor Market (b) Uncovered Sector S w – Su w1 w1 w1 w2 Dc L c2 L c1 Lc, Annual hours © 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Du Lu1 Lu2 Lu, Annual hours D L1 = Lc1+ Lu1 L, Annual hours 10–8 Trading Between Two People • Endowments – an initial allocation of goods • Pareto efficient – describing an allocation of goods or services such that any reallocation harms at least one person © 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 10–9 Figure 10.3 Endowments in an Edgeworth Box (a) Jane’ s Endowment ej 30 I1j 0j Jane’ s candy 20 Candy, Bars © 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 10–10 Figure 10.3 Endowments in an Edgeworth Box (cont’d) (b) Denise’ s Endowment ed 20 0d Denise’ s candy I1d 60 Candy, Bars © 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 10–11 Figure 10.3 Endowments in an Edgeworth Box (cont’d) (c) Edgeworth Box 80 50 Denise’ s candy 60 0d A I1d e 30 20 f B C I1j a 0j Jane’ s candy 30 20 © 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 40 50 80 10–12 Mutually Beneficial Trades • We make four assumptions about their tastes and behavior: – Utility maximization – Usual-shaped indifference curves – Nonsatiation – No interdependence © 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 10–13 Figure 10.4 Contract Curve 80 50 60 Denise’ s candy 40 g I 0d I 1d 30 d Contract curve I 4j e 20 I 2d c I 3d f 20 B b I 1j a 0j 0d Jane’ s candy 20 © 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 40 I 2j I 3j 30 50 80 10–14 Mutually Beneficial Trades • Trades are possible where indifference curves intersect because marginal rates of substitution are unequal. © 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 10–15 Mutually Beneficial Trades • To summarize, we can make four equivalent statements about allocation f : 1.The indifference curves of the two parties are tangent at f . 2.The parties’ marginal rates of substitution are equal at f . 3.No further mutually beneficial trades are possible at f . 4.The allocation at f is Pareto efficient: One party cannot be made better off without harming the other. © 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 10–16 Mutually Beneficial Trades • Indifference curves are also tangent at Bundles b , c, and d , so these allocations, like f , are Pareto efficient. • By connecting all such bundles, we draw the contract curve: the set of all Pareto-efficient bundles. © 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 10–17 Bargaining Ability • All the allocations in area B are beneficial. • Where will they end up on the contract curve between b and c ? • That depends on who is better at bargaining. © 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 10–18 Competitive Exchange • The First Theorem of Welfare Economics – The competitive equilibrium is efficient: Competition results in a Pareto-efficient allocation—no one can be made better off without making someone worse off—in all markets. © 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 10–19 Competitive Exchange • The Second Theorem of Welfare Economics – Any efficient allocations can be achieved by competition: All possible efficient allocations can be obtained by competitive exchange, given an appropriate initial allocation of goods. © 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 10–20 Competitive Equilibrium • The initial endowment is e. a) If, along the price line facing Jane and Denise, pw $2 and pc $1 , they trade to point f , where Jane’s 2 indifference curve, I j , is tangent to the price line and to Denise’s indifference curve, I d2 . © 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 10–21 Competitive Equilibrium b) No other price line results in an equilibrium, If pw $1.33 and pc $1, Denise wants to buy 12 (=32-20) cords of firewood at these prices, but Jane wants to sell only 8 (=30-22) cords. Similarly, Jane wants to buy 10 (=30-20) candy bars, but Denise wants to sell 17 (=60-43). Thus these prices are not consistent with a competitive equilibrium. © 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 10–22 Figure 10.5 Competitive Equilibrium (a) Price Line That Leads to a Competitive Equilibrium 80 50 60 40 Denise’ s candy 0d 40 I1d 30 e 20 I2d f 20 30 I2j I1j Price line a 0j Jane’ s candy 20 © 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 40 50 80 10–23 Figure 10.5 Competitive Equilibrium (cont’d) (b) Prices That Do Not Lead to a Competitive Equilibrium 80 50 60 43 Denise’ s candy 0d 45 I1d 30 e I2d 20 j 22 d 32 I2j I1j Price line a 0j Jane’ s candy 20 © 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 30 60 50 80 10–24 The Efficiency of Competition • In a competitive equilibrium, the slope (MRS) of each person’s indifference curve equals the slope of the price line, so the slopes of the indifference curves are equal: pc MRS j MRSd pw • We have demonstrated the First Theorem of Welfare Economics: Any competitive equilibrium is Pareto efficient. © 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 10–25 The Efficiency of Competition • The first welfare theorem tells us that society can achieve efficiency by allowing competition. • The second welfare theorem adds that society can obtain the particular efficient allocation it prefers based on its value judgments about equity by appropriately redistributing endowments (income). © 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 10–26 Production and Trading Comparative Advantage • Production Possibility Frontier – Jane’s production possibility frontier ( PPF j ; Chapter 7), which shows the maximum combinations of wood and candy that she can produce from a given amount of input. © 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 10–27 Production and Trading Comparative Advantage • Marginal Rate of Transformation – The slope of the production possibility frontier is the marginal rate of transformation (MRT). © 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 10–28 Production and Trading Comparative Advantage • comparative advantage – the ability to produce a good at a lower opportunity cost than someone else © 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 10–29 Production and Trading Comparative Advantage • Benefits of Trade – Because of the difference in their marginal rates of transformation, Jane and Denise can benefit from a trade. © 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 10–30 Production and Trading • Comparative Advantage and Production Possibility Frontiers. j PPF a) Jane’s production possibility frontier, , shows that in a day, she can produce 6 cords of firewood or 3 candy bars or any combination of the two. Her marginal rate of transformation (MRT) is -2. © 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 10–31 Production and Trading b) Denise’s production possibility 1 d frontier, PPF , has an MRT of 2 . c) Their joint production possibility frontier, PPF, has a kink at 6 cords of firewood (produced by Jane) and 6 candy bars (produced by Denise) and is concave to the origin. © 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 10–32 Figure 10.6 Comparative Advantage and Production Possibility Frontiers (a) Jane (c) Joint Production (b) Denise 9 6 1 1 1 MRT = – – 2 (Denise) PPF 6 MRT = –2 1 3 2 PPFj 2 3 Candy, Bars 2 MRT = –2 (Jane) PPFd 1 2 © 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 1 MRT = – – 2 6 Candy, Bars 6 9 Candy, Bars 10–33 Comparative Advantage • Optimal Product Mix. – The optimal product mix, a , could be determined by maximizing an individual’s utility by picking the allocation for which an indifference curve is tangent to the production possibility frontier. – It could also be determined by picking the allocation where the relative competitive price, pc / p f , equals the slope of the PPF. © 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 10–34 Figure 10.7 Optimal Product Mix I2 Price line –1 – 2 1 I1 PPF a 50 b 80 © 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Candy, Bars 10–35 Comparative Advantage • The marginal rate of transformation along this smooth PPF tells us about the marginal cost of producing one good relative to the marginal cost of producing the other good. MCc MRT MCw © 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 10–36 Comparative Advantage • Each price-taking consumer picks a bundle of goods so that the consumer’s marginal rate of substitution equals the slope of the consumer’s price line (the negative of the relative prices): pc MRS pw © 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 10–37 Comparative Advantage • If candy and wood are sold by competitive firms, pc MCc and pw MCw in the competitive equilibrium, the MRS equals the relative prices, which equals the MRT: pc MRS MRT pw © 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 10–38 Comparative Advantage • Because competition ensures that the MRS equals the MRT, a competitive equilibrium achieves an efficient product mix: The rate at which firms can transform one good into another equals the rate at which consumers are willing to substitute between the goods, as reflected by their willingness to pay for the two goods. • In this competitive equilibrium, supply equals demand in all markets. • The consumers buy the mix of goods at f . © 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 10–39 Figure 10.8 Competitive Equilibrium Price line –1 – 2 1 PPF s candy 40 Denise’ 50 a Ij 40 Id f 20 30 –1 – 2 0j Jane’ s candy © 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 40 Price line 1 80 Candy, Bars 10–40 Efficiency and Equity • Role of the Government – By altering the efficiency with which goods are produced and distributed and the endowment of resources, governments help determine how much is produced and how goods are allocated. – By redistributing endowments or by refusing to do so, governments, at least implicitly, are making value judgments about which members of society should get relatively more of society’s goodies. © 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 10–41 Efficiency • We can use the Pareto principle to rank allocations or government policies that alter allocations. • The Pareto criterion ranks allocation x over allocation y if some people are better off at x and no one else is harmed. • If that condition is met, we say that x is Pareto superior to y . © 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 10–42 Efficiency • The Pareto principle cannot always be used to compare allocations. • Because there are many possible Pareto-efficient allocations, however, a value judgment based on interpersonal comparisons must be made to choose between them. © 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 10–43 Equity • If we are unwilling to use the Pareto principle or if that criterion does not allow us to rank the relevant allocations, we must make additional value judgments to rank these allocations. • A way to summarize these value judgments is to use a social welfare function that combines various consumers’ utilities to provide a collective ranking of allocations. © 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 10–44 Equity • Who decides on the welfare function? • In most countries, government leaders make decisions about which allocations are most desirable. © 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 10–45 Figure 10.9 Welfare Maximization (b) (a) a UPF UPF e b W3 c W1 W2 Jane’ s utility © 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. W1 W2 W3 Jane’ s utility 10–46 Equity • Voting. – In a democracy, important government policies that determine the allocation of goods are made by voting. – Such democratic decision making is often difficult because people fundamentally disagree on how issues should be resolved and which groups of people should be favored. © 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 10–47 Equity • Unfortunately, sometimes voting does not work well, and the resulting social ordering of allocations is not transitive. © 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 10–48 Equity • Arrow’s Impossibility Theorem. • Arrow suggested that a socially desirable decision making system, or social welfare function, should satisfy the following criteria: – Social preferences should be complete (Chapter 4) and transitive, like individual preferences. © 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 10–49 Equity – If everyone prefers Allocation a to Allocation b, a should be socially preferred to b. – Society’s ranking of a and bshould depend only on individual’s ordering of these two allocations, not on how they rank other alternatives. – Dictatorship is not allowed; social preferences must not reflect the preferences of only a single individual. © 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 10–50 Equity • Although each of these criteria seems reasonable—indeed, innocuous—Arrow proved that it is impossible to find a social decision-making rule that always satisfies all of these criteria. © 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 10–51 Equity • Social Welfare Functions. – How would you rank various allocations if you were asked to vote? • Jeremy Bentham (1748-1832) and his followers (including John Stuart Mill), the utilitarian philosophers, suggested that society should maximize the sum of the utilities of all members of society. © 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 10–52 Equity • If U i is the utility of Individual i and there are n people, the utilitarian welfare function is W U1 U 2 U n . • A generalization of the utilitarian approach assigns different weights to various individuals’ utilities. • This generalized utilitarian welfare function is W 1U1 2U 2 nU n . © 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 10–53 Equity • John Rawls (1971), a philosopher at Harvard, believes that society should maximize the well-being of the worst-off member of society, who is the person with the lowest level of utility. • The Rawlsian welfare function is W min U1 ,U 2 , ,U n . Rawls’s rule leads to a relatively egalitarian distribution of goods. © 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 10–54 Efficiency Versus Equity • Given a particular social welfare function, society might prefer an inefficient allocation to an efficient one. © 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 10–55 Efficiency Versus Equity • Competitive equilibrium may not be very equitable even though it is Pareto efficient. • Consequently, societies that believe in equitable may tax the rich to give to the poor. • If the money taken from the rich is given directly to the poor, society moves from one Pareto-efficient allocation to another. © 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 10–56 Efficiency Versus Equity • Unfortunately, there is frequently a conflict between a society’s goal of efficiency and the goal of achieving an equitable allocation. • Even when the government redistributes money form one group to another, there are significant costs to this redistribution. © 2007 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 10–57