Housing Finance in Pakistan Syed Samar Hasnain Executive Director - Development Finance Group & Islamic Banking State Bank of Pakistan Email: samar.husnain@sbp.org.pk Outline Basic Facts about Pakistan State of Housing sector in Pakistan Demand and Market Segmentation of Housing sector Main issues in Housing sector development State of Housing Finance in Pakistan o Market participants, financing structures and quality of housing portfolio SBP initiatives to promote housing sector Challenges and opportunities Way forward 2 Some Basic Facts Pakistan is a medium sized, lower middle income country General Facts • • • Size: 796,095 Sq. km. Nearly 200 million inhabitants 100 million inhabitants are below the age of 25 years Economic Facts • • • 3 Currency: Pak. Rupee. GDP: US$ 202.8 Billion in 2011 GDP Per Capita: US$ 1,145 State of Financial Exclusion The Financial Market Development Frontiers The Formally Served The Informally Served The Financially Excluded 11% 1% 0% 10% 32% 20% 30% 56% 40% Source: Access to Finance Survey 50% % 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 4 Status of Financial Services in Pakistan Population per branch stands at 16,607 people State of Financial Exclusion The Financial Market Development Frontiers The Formally Served The Informally Served The Financially Excluded 11% 1% 0% 10% 32% 20% 30% 56% 40% Source: Access to Finance Survey 50% % 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 6 Key Housing Industry Issues Weak institutional support and economic fundamentals, coupled with high transaction cost, the sector faces a number of Structural Challenges • Weak property rights due to inefficient legal framework and land information systems • Improper implementation of foreclosure laws; outdated building and zoning regulations • Embryonic property development framework o Poor master planning and governance issues at national and local government levels o Multiple institutions and administrative procedures o Restrictive building codes • Unorganized real estate agencies • Unreliable utility connections Emerging building industry • Lack of housing finance particularly developer finance •7 Rising land prices and rapid urbanization Current State of Housing sector in Pakistan There is a large and widening gap in Housing market in Pakistan • World Bank estimated a shortfall of 8 million housing units in Pakistan in 2009 • According to estimates the annual incremental demand is 600,000 units, of which 50% is met by the private/public investment The ever widening housing demand and supply gap requires huge investment • With 600,000 incremental demand and 500,000 units from the backlog, total annual housing needs comes to 1.1 million • At an average price of Rs. 3 million per unit, total funding requirement is estimated at Rs 3.3 trillion per year (around US$ 35 billion) • Assuming only 10% housing needs as effective demand, total funding needs are Rs.330 billion (around US$3.5 billion) • At 70% LTV (Loan–to-Value Ratio), this translates into Rs. 231 billion per annum housing credit requirement The situation is compounded by increased urbanization and changed demographics 8 Diversity in Housing Finance Market • Financial Institutions involved in Housing Finance • • • • • Commercial Banks Islamic Banks DFIs MFBs Islamic Banking Branches • Product Range • Construction • Outright Purchase • Renovation 9 22 5 2 2 7 Due to structural Impediments the sector is beset with anemic growth Gross Outstanding 90 80 70 84 77 76 67 64 67 61 59 60 55 Rs. Billion 53 54 51 50 46 42 41 40 35 30 20 16 17 12 14 13 13 13 12 10 0 2007 2008 Total Gross Outstanding (Rs Billion) 10 2009 2010 2011 2012 Gross Outstanding (Rs Billion) - Share of All Banks & Other DFIs 2013 2014 Gross Outstanding (Rs Billion) - Share of HBFC Mortgage Market of Pakistan Non-Performing loans 25 20 19 19 19 16 16 16 Rs. Billion 15 12 12 11 11 9 10 6 8 7 7 7 6 9 9 7 6 5 0 2008 2009 Non-Performing Loans (Rs Billion) 11 2010 2011 2012 Share of All Banks & Other DFIs (Rs Billion) 2013 2014 Share of HBFC (Rs Billion) Evolution of Housing Finance HBFC National Housing Policy 2001 1952 2001 1992 Ist HFC Islamic Banks HAG Recommendations 2007 2004 2003 2006 2008 Commercial Banks Infrastructure & Housing Finance Department MFBs SBP Role & Efforts International Housing Finance Conference Capacity Building of Financial Institutions Establishment of MRC Housing Finance Reviews 12 SBP is actively Promoting Housing Finance • Formation of Housing Advisory Group – Implementation of HAG recommendations • Development of secondary mortgage market in Pakistan by creating a Mortgage Refinance Company (MRC) • Prudential Regulations for Housing Finance • Model for Builders/Developers Finance • Capacity Development of Financial Institutions in housing finance through seminars, workshops and training programs • Effective coordination with key Stakeholders – ABAD, AMB etc 13 Housing Advisory Group HAG recommendations are actively pursued by all stakeholders including SBP: • Reforming Legal Framework affecting Foreclosure, Transfer, Tenancy, Rent Control and Credit bureaus etc. • Rationalization of Transaction Costs • Establishing an integrated land registration information system • Increasing supply of land for affordable housing • Structuring and streamlining Large Scale Developer’s Finance • Facilitate low-cost/low-income housing models and products • Facilitate Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) • Provision of long term funding for housing loans • Housing Observatory (housing market information system) • Capacity building of the mortgage banking industry in Pakistan 14 Mortgage Refinance Company SBP is facilitating the industry to put in place the missing market infrastructure • Develop the Primary Mortgage Market o Provide financial resources to enable primary mortgage lenders (PMLs) to grant more loans at fixed/hybrid rates and for longer tenure o Prepare PMLs for BASEL compliance by narrowing the gap between the maturity structure of the housing loans and the source of funds o Ensure loan standardization across primary lending institutions which is necessary for any future securitization • Develop the Capital Markets o Provide more private debt securities (Bonds) with different maturities and rates for investment of surplus funds o Promote ABS as a tool for raising funds from the capital markets 15 Large Scale Builder Finance Model Given the huge housing gap, the industry needs to find solutions for large scale developer financing particularly for the low income housing • SBP has developed the financing model to facilitate large-scale builders/developers’ access to formal financial sector. Guidelines would be issued to banks/DFIs for providing financing to builders/developers • Key stakeholders including the Association of the Builders and Developers (ABAD), Investment Bankers, Association of Mortgage bankers (AMB) and Rating Agency have been consulted • Key challenges include: o Corporatization of large-scale developers o Bankable financial statements o Credit rating (Entity and Instrument Ratings) o Fiscal issues relating to Book Value and Market Value, declared income and wealth etc. 16 Housing Finance PRs Keeping in view peculiar nature of housing finance, there is a need to give special attention to HF PRs • PRs have been revised Major changes relate to provisioning and classification o General as well as specific Separation from Consumer Finance PRs 17 Way Forward • Adopting Innovative Approaches to Affordable Housing • Exploration of Credit lines for institutions offering Housing Finance • Arranging a Credit Guarantee Scheme for low-Income Housing Finance • Promotion of Microfinance Banks to support borrowers with undocumented income • Strengthening the Regulatory Framework 18 Thank You