3.0 Chapter 3 McGraw-Hill/Irwin Working With Financial Statements ©2001 The McGraw-Hill Companies All Rights Reserved 3.1 Key Concepts and Skills Know how to standardize financial statements for comparison purposes Know how to compute and interpret important financial ratios Know the determinants of a firm’s profitability and growth Understand the problems and pitfalls in financial statement analysis McGraw-Hill/Irwin ©2001 The McGraw-Hill Companies All Rights Reserved 3.2 Chapter Outline Standardized Financial Statements Ratio Analysis The Du Pont Identity Internal and Sustainable Growth Using Financial Statement Information McGraw-Hill/Irwin ©2001 The McGraw-Hill Companies All Rights Reserved 3.3 3.1 Standardized Financial Statements McGraw-Hill/Irwin ©2001 The McGraw-Hill Companies All Rights Reserved 3.4 Standardized Financial Statements In order to make comparisons we must standardize the financial statements We convert dollars to percentages The resulting financial statements are called: Common-Size Statements: A standardized financial statement presenting all items in percentage terms. Balance Sheet items are shown as a percentage of assets and Income Statement items as a percentage of sales. McGraw-Hill/Irwin ©2001 The McGraw-Hill Companies All Rights Reserved 3.5 Standardized Financial Statements PRUFROCK CORPORATION FINANCIAL STATEMENTS Page 31 - Table 3.1: Balance Sheet Page 32 - Table 3.2: Common-Size Balance Sheet Page 33 – Table 3.3: Income Statement Page 33 – Table 3.4: Common-Size Income Statement McGraw-Hill/Irwin ©2001 The McGraw-Hill Companies All Rights Reserved 3.6 Standardized Financial Statements Standardized statements make it easier to compare: Companies of “Different Sizes”, particularly within the same industry Organizations with “Currency Differences” Financial information over time “as a company grows” Once we standardize the financial statements (i.e. convert dollars to percentages, resulting in commonsized statements), we can make comparisons: perform “Ratio Analysis” . McGraw-Hill/Irwin ©2001 The McGraw-Hill Companies All Rights Reserved 3.7 3.2 Ratio Analysis McGraw-Hill/Irwin ©2001 The McGraw-Hill Companies All Rights Reserved 3.8 Ratio Analysis Another way of avoiding the problems involved in comparing companies of different sizes is to calculate and compare financial ratios. Financial Ratios: Relationships determined from a firm’s financial information and used for comparison purposes. McGraw-Hill/Irwin ©2001 The McGraw-Hill Companies All Rights Reserved 3.9 Ratio Analysis A few problems to consider: Different people and different sources frequently don’t compute ratios in exactly the same way, which leads to confusion. If comparing your numbers to those of another source, be sure you know how their numbers are computed. Be careful to document your calculations when using ratios as a tool for analysis. McGraw-Hill/Irwin ©2001 The McGraw-Hill Companies All Rights Reserved 3.10 Ratio Analysis Financial ratios are traditionally grouped into the following categories: 1. Short-Term Solvency: Liquidity Ratios 2. Long-Term Solvency: Financial Leverage Ratios 3. Asset Management (Utilization): Turnover Ratios 4. Profitability Ratios 5. Market Value Ratios Table 3.5, Page 61: Common Financial Ratios McGraw-Hill/Irwin ©2001 The McGraw-Hill Companies All Rights Reserved 3.11 Short-Term Solvency: Liquidity Ratios Short-term solvency ratios are intended to provide information about a firm’s liquidity Liquidity measures Focus on the firm’s ability to pay its bills over the short run without undue stress. Focus on current assets and current liabilities Book values and market values are likely to be similar for current assets and liabilities Of particular interest to short-term creditors of the firm McGraw-Hill/Irwin ©2001 The McGraw-Hill Companies All Rights Reserved Short-Term Solvency: Liquidity Ratios 3.12 Current Ratio = Current Assets / Current Liabilities 708 / 540 = 1.31 times Measure of short-term liquidity The unit of measure is either dollars or times $1.31 in current assets for every $1 in current liabilities or Current liabilities are covered 1.31 times over The higher the current ratio the better – indicates liquidity (however, may indicate an inefficient use of short term assets) Should expect to see a current ratio of at least 1 Less than 1 indicates negative working capital McGraw-Hill/Irwin ©2001 The McGraw-Hill Companies All Rights Reserved 3.13 Short-Term Solvency: Liquidity Ratios Quick (Acid Test) Ratio = (Current Assets – Inventory) / Current Liabilities (708 – 422) / 540 = .53 times Computed just like the current ratio, except inventory is omitted Inventory is the least liquid current asset with the least reliable measures of market value – may be damaged, obsolete, lost, etc. Relatively large inventories may be a sign of short-term trouble: overestimated sales, overbought, overproduced – liquidity tied up in slow-moving inventory Note: using cash to buy inventory does not affect the current ratio, but it reduces the quick ratio Inventory is relatively illiquid compared to cash McGraw-Hill/Irwin ©2001 The McGraw-Hill Companies All Rights Reserved 3.14 Short-Term Solvency: Liquidity Ratios Cash Ratio = Cash / Current Liabilities 98 / 540 = .18 A very short term creditor might have interest in the Cash Ratio McGraw-Hill/Irwin ©2001 The McGraw-Hill Companies All Rights Reserved 3.15 Long-Term Solvency: Financial Leverage Ratios Intended to address the firm’s long-run ability to meet its obligations – its financial leverage Sometimes called financial leverage ratios or leverage ratios McGraw-Hill/Irwin ©2001 The McGraw-Hill Companies All Rights Reserved 3.16 Long-Term Solvency: Financial Leverage Ratios Total Debt Ratio = (Total Assets – Total Equity) / Total Assets (3588 – 2591) / 3588 = 28% debt The firm has 28 cents in debt for every $1 of assets Therefore, the firm has 72 cents in equity ($1 - .28) for every 28 cents in debt: Two variations on the Total Debt Ratio Debt-Equity ratio = Total Debt / Total Equity Equity Multiplier = Total Assets / Total Equity McGraw-Hill/Irwin ©2001 The McGraw-Hill Companies All Rights Reserved 3.17 Long-Term Solvency: Financial Leverage Ratios Two variations of the Total Debt Ratio: Debt-Equity Ratio = Total Debt / Total Equity .28/.72 = .39 or 39% (540 + 457) / 2591 = .39 Equity Multiplier = Total Assets / Total Equity 1 /.72 = 1.39 3,588 / 2,591 = 1.39 Note: If you know one of these you can calculate the other McGraw-Hill/Irwin ©2001 The McGraw-Hill Companies All Rights Reserved 3.18 Long-Term Solvency: Financial Leverage Ratios Times Interest Earned = EBIT / Interest 691 / 141 = 4.9 times Measures how well a company has its interest obligations covered Often called the interest coverage ratio Here the interest bill is covered 4.9 times over Problem: depreciation, a non-cash expense, has been deducted from EBIT Resolved with the Cash Coverage Ratio McGraw-Hill/Irwin ©2001 The McGraw-Hill Companies All Rights Reserved 3.19 Long-Term Solvency: Financial Leverage Ratios Cash Coverage = (EBIT + Depreciation) / Interest (691 + 276) / 141 = 967/141 = 6.9 times Note: (this formula adds back depreciation - EBDIT) A basic measure of the firm’s ability to generate cash from operations Frequently used as a measure of cash flow available to meet financial obligations McGraw-Hill/Irwin ©2001 The McGraw-Hill Companies All Rights Reserved 3.20 Asset Management: Turnover Ratios Measure the efficiency with which the firm uses its assets Sometimes called: Asset Utilization Ratios Can be interpreted as measures of turnover Intended to describe how efficiently, or intensively, a firm uses its assets to generate sales McGraw-Hill/Irwin ©2001 The McGraw-Hill Companies All Rights Reserved 3.21 Asset Management: Turnover Ratios Inventory Turnover = Cost of Goods Sold / Inventory 1344 / 422 = 3.2 times The entire inventory was sold off, or turned over 3.2 times As long as we-re not running out of stock and forgoing sales, the higher this ratio, the more efficiently we are managing inventory. McGraw-Hill/Irwin ©2001 The McGraw-Hill Companies All Rights Reserved 3.22 Asset Management: Turnover Ratios If we know we turned our inventory over 3.2 times during the year (previous Inventory Turnover Calculation) then we can figure out how long it took us to turn it over on average Days’ Sales in Inventory = 365 days / Inventory Turnover 365 / 3.2 = 114 days Inventory sits 114 days on average before sold: We have 114 days of inventory on hand We have 114 days of sales in inventory It will take 114 days to deplete the available inventory McGraw-Hill/Irwin ©2001 The McGraw-Hill Companies All Rights Reserved 3.23 Asset Management: Turnover Ratios Receivables Turnover = Sales / Accounts Receivable 2311 / 188 = 12.3 times Measures how fast accounts receivables are collected Here we collected our outstanding credit accounts and reloaned the money 12.3 times during the year This ratio makes more sense if we convert it to days McGraw-Hill/Irwin ©2001 The McGraw-Hill Companies All Rights Reserved 3.24 Asset Management: Turnover Ratios Days’ Sales in Receivables = 365 days / Receivables Turnover 365 / 12.3 = 30 days On average, credit sales are collected in 30 days Frequently called the average collection period (ACP) We have 30 days’ worth of sales currently uncollected. McGraw-Hill/Irwin ©2001 The McGraw-Hill Companies All Rights Reserved 3.25 Asset Management: Turnover Ratios Total Asset Turnover = Sales / Total Assets 2311 / 3588 = .64 For every dollar in assets, we generate $.64 in sales. Big Picture Ratio Measure of “total” asset use efficiency For every dollar in assets, we generate .64 in sales Not unusual for Total Asset Turnover to be < 1, especially if a firm has a large amount of fixed assets Closely related ratio of the Total Asset Ratio is the reciprocal of the Total Asset Turnover: Capital Intensity Ratio McGraw-Hill/Irwin ©2001 The McGraw-Hill Companies All Rights Reserved 3.26 Asset Management: Turnover Ratios Capital Intensity Ratio = 1 / Total Asset turnover (previously calculated) 1 / .64 = $1.56 It takes $1.56 in assets to create $1 in sales Its the dollar investment in assets needed to generate $1 in sales High values correspond to capital intensive industries McGraw-Hill/Irwin ©2001 The McGraw-Hill Companies All Rights Reserved 3.27 Profitability Ratios Probably the best known and most widely used of all financial ratios Intended to measure how efficiently the firm uses its assets and how efficiently the firm manages its operations. The focus in this group is on the bottom line, “Net Income”. McGraw-Hill/Irwin ©2001 The McGraw-Hill Companies All Rights Reserved 3.28 Profitability Ratios Profit 363 / 2311 = 15.7% Generates a little less than 16 cents in profit for every dollar in sales A high profit margin is desirable Margin = Net Income / Sales Corresponds to low expense ratios Note: lowering the sales price will “usually “ increase unit volume, but will normally cause profit margins to shrink. “Total” $ profit may go up (or down) The fact that margins are smaller isn’t necessarily bad “if” the bottom line increases. McGraw-Hill/Irwin ©2001 The McGraw-Hill Companies All Rights Reserved 3.29 Profitability Ratios Return on Assets (ROA) = Net Income / Total Assets A measure of profit per dollar of assets 363 / 3588 = 10.12% A measure of profit per dollar of assets However: this is return on “Book” Assets Not “Market” Value Inappropriate to compare this result to, for example , an interest rate observed in the financial markets Should properly be called: Return on “Book” Assets McGraw-Hill/Irwin ©2001 The McGraw-Hill Companies All Rights Reserved 3.30 Profitability Ratios Return on Equity (ROE) = Net Income / Total Equity 363 / 2591 = 14% For every $ in equity, the firm generated 14 cents in profit A measure of how the stockholders fared during the year Sometimes called: Return on Net Worth Since benefiting shareholders is our goal, ROE is, in an accounting sense, the true bottom-line measure of performance However: this is return on “Book” Equity Not “Market” Value Inappropriate to compare this result to, for example, an interest rate observed in the financial markets McGraw-Hill/Irwin ©2001 The McGraw-Hill Companies All Rights Reserved Should properly be called: Return on “Book” Equity 3.31 Market Value Ratios This group of measure is based, in part, on information not necessarily contained in financial statements: The “market” price per share of the stock These measures can only be calculated directly for publicly traded companies. McGraw-Hill/Irwin ©2001 The McGraw-Hill Companies All Rights Reserved 3.32 Market Value Ratios Assume: Prufrock has 33 million shares outstanding The stock sold for $88 per share at the end of the year Recall that Prufrock’s net income was $363 million Earnings Per Share (EPS) = Net Income / Shares O/S 363 / 33 = $11 McGraw-Hill/Irwin ©2001 The McGraw-Hill Companies All Rights Reserved 3.33 Market Value Ratios Price-Earnings or PE Ratio = Price per share / Earnings per share 88 / 11 = 8 times (info assumed or calculated on previous slide) Shares sell for 8 times earnings or you could say Prufrock shares have or “carry” a PE multiple of 8 Measures how much investors are willing to pay “per dollar of current earnings” Higher PE’s indicate significant prospects for future growth Note: if a firm had no or almost no earnings, its PE ratio would probably be quite large, so care is needed in interpreting this ratio McGraw-Hill/Irwin ©2001 The McGraw-Hill Companies All Rights Reserved 3.34 Market Value Ratios Market-to-Book Ratio = Market Value Per Share / Book Value Per Share Book Value per Share = (Balance Sheet “Total” Equity / # O/S) 88 / (2,591/ 33) = 1.12 times Since book value per share is an accounting number, it reflects historical costs The Market-to-Book Ratio compares the “market value” of the firm’s investments ($88 per share) to their cost (book historical value) A value less than 1 could mean that the firm has not been successful overall in creating value for its stockholders. McGraw-Hill/Irwin ©2001 The McGraw-Hill Companies All Rights Reserved 3.35 Ratio Analysis TABLE 3.5, Page 61 Recaps the previous Common Financial Ratios McGraw-Hill/Irwin ©2001 The McGraw-Hill Companies All Rights Reserved 3.36 3.3 The Du Pont Identity McGraw-Hill/Irwin ©2001 The McGraw-Hill Companies All Rights Reserved 3.37 The Du Pont Identity Du Pont Identity: Popular expression breaking ROE into three parts: Operating Efficiency Asset Use Efficiency Financial Leverage McGraw-Hill/Irwin ©2001 The McGraw-Hill Companies All Rights Reserved 3.38 The Du Pont Identity Remember: Return on Equity (ROE) = Net Income / Total Equity 363 / 2591 = 14% We can decompose ROE as follows: ROE = Profit Margin x Total Asset Turnover x Equity Multiplier (all previously calculated) 15.7 x .64 x 1.39 = 14% The Du Pont Identity: says that ROE is affected by three things: 1. Operating efficiency (as measured by Profit Margin) 2. Asset use efficiency (as measured by total Asset Turnover) 3. Financial leverage (as measured by the Equity Multiplier) McGraw-Hill/Irwin ©2001 The McGraw-Hill Companies All Rights Reserved 3.39 3.4 Internal and Sustainable Growth McGraw-Hill/Irwin ©2001 The McGraw-Hill Companies All Rights Reserved 3.40 Internal and Sustainable Growth A firm’s “return on assets” and “return on equity” are frequently used to calculate two additional numbers, both of which have to do with the firm’s “ability to grow”. The Internal Growth Rate The Sustainable Growth Rate First we’ll look at two basic ratios: Dividend Payout Ratio Retention Ratio McGraw-Hill/Irwin ©2001 The McGraw-Hill Companies All Rights Reserved 3.41 Dividend Payout and Earnings Retention Net Income gets divided into two pieces Cash dividends paid to stockholders (Dividend P/O Ratio) Addition to retained earnings (Retention Ratio) Payout Ratio + Retention Ratio = 1 Prufrock’s net income was $363 of which $121 was paid out in dividends If we express dividends paid as a percentage of net income, the result is the: Dividend Payout Ratio = Cash dividends / Net income 121 / 363 = 33 1/3% Prufrock pays out 1/3 of its net income in dividends McGraw-Hill/Irwin ©2001 The McGraw-Hill Companies All Rights Reserved 3.42 Dividend Payout and Earnings Retention Anything Prufrock does “not” pay out in the form of dividends must be retained in the firm: Retention Ratio = Additions to Retained Earnings / Net income Note: Additions to Retained Earnings = Net Income – Dividends 363 – 121 = 242 242 / 363 = 66 2/3% Prufrock retains two-thirds of its net income. The Retention Ratio is also known as the Plow Back Ratio the portion of net income that’s plowed back into the business Since net Income must be either paid out or plowed back, the dividend payout and plowback ratios have to add up to 1. (1 – Payout McGraw-Hill/Irwin Ratio) = 1 - 33 1/3% = 66 2/3% ©2001 The McGraw-Hill Companies All Rights Reserved 3.43 ROA, ROE, and Growth How rapidly can a firm’s sales grow? If Sales are to grow: assets have to grow as well, at least over the long run. If Assets are to grow: the firm must obtain the money to pay for the needed acquisitions Growth has to be financed! Therefore, a firms ability to grow depends on its financing policies Properly managing growth is vital! McGraw-Hill/Irwin ©2001 The McGraw-Hill Companies All Rights Reserved 3.44 ROA, ROE, and Growth Two broad sources of financing: Internal – what the firm earns and plows back into the business External – funds raised by borrowing money or selling stock McGraw-Hill/Irwin ©2001 The McGraw-Hill Companies All Rights Reserved 3.45 The Internal Growth Rate Internal Growth Rate: The maximum possible growth rate for a firm that relies only on internal financing Internal Growth Rate = ROA x b / 1 – ROA x b No borrowing No selling stock Where ROA = Return on Assets b = Retention or plowback ratio just discussed .1012 x (2/3) / 1 - .1012 x (2/3) = 7.23% If Prufrock relies solely o internally generated financing, it can grow at a maximum rate of 7.23% per year McGraw-Hill/Irwin ©2001 The McGraw-Hill Companies All Rights Reserved 3.46 The Sustainable Growth Rate The Sustainable Growth Rate: The maximum possible growth rate for a firm that maintains a constant debt ratio and doesn’t sell new stock. Same as the internal growth rate formula, except that ROE is used instead of ROA Sustainable Growth Rate = ROE x b / 1 – ROE x b Where ROE = Return on Equity b = Retention or plowback ratio just discussed .14 x (2/3) / 1 - .14 x (2/3) = 10.29% The firm can expand more rapidly due to new borrowing. McGraw-Hill/Irwin ©2001 The McGraw-Hill Companies All Rights Reserved 3.47 Determinants of Growth The firm’s ability to sustain growth depends explicitly on the following four factors: 1. Profit Margin Operating efficiency Generates funds internally 2. Total Asset Turnover: Increases sales generated for each dollar in assets Decreased capital intensity Asset use efficiency decreases the need for new assets 3. Financial Policy: Additional debt financing ncreases sustainable growth rate McGraw-Hill/Irwin The McGraw-Hill Rights Reserved Note these were the 3©2001 components of Companies the Du All Pont 3.48 Determinants of Growth Dividend Policy: Choice of how much to pay to shareholders versus reinvesting in the firm A decrease in the dividend pay-out will increase the retention ratio Increases internally generated equity and thus increases internal and sustainable growth McGraw-Hill/Irwin ©2001 The McGraw-Hill Companies All Rights Reserved 3.49 3.5 Using Financial Statement Information McGraw-Hill/Irwin ©2001 The McGraw-Hill Companies All Rights Reserved 3.50 Why Evaluate Financial Statements? Internal uses Performance evaluation – compensation and comparison between divisions Planning for the future – guide in estimating future cash flows External uses Creditors Suppliers Customers Acquisitions Stockholders McGraw-Hill/Irwin ©2001 The McGraw-Hill Companies All Rights Reserved 3.51 Benchmarking Ratios are not very helpful by themselves; they need to be compared to something Time-Trend Analysis Used to see how the firm’s performance is changing through time Peer Group Analysis Compare to similar companies or within industries Standard Industrial Classification (SIC) code: U.S. government code used to classify a firm by its type of business operations (TABLE 3.7, Page 68) McGraw-Hill/Irwin ©2001 The McGraw-Hill Companies All Rights Reserved 3.52 Problems with Financial Statement Analysis Industry categories are not neat Foreign Organizations may not comply to US GAAP Companies in the same line of business may not be comparable Different YE’s and accounting procedures (i.e. inventory) McGraw-Hill/Irwin ©2001 The McGraw-Hill Companies All Rights Reserved 3.53 Quick Quiz How do you standardize balance sheets and income statements and why is standardization useful? With Percentages instead of Dollars (Common-size stmts) To compare with other similar companies of different sizes and currencies To Analyze performance What are the major categories of ratios and how do you compute specific ratios within each category? Short-term solvency, or liquidity ratios 2. Long-term solvency, or financial leverage, ratios 3. Asset management, or turnover ratios 4. Profitability ratios 5. Market value ratios 1. McGraw-Hill/Irwin ©2001 The McGraw-Hill Companies All Rights Reserved 3.54 Quick Quiz What are the major determinants of a firm’s growth potential? Profit Margin Total Asset Turnover Financial Policy Dividend Policy Internal growth rate Sustainable growth rate What are some of the problems associated with financial statement analysis? Industry categories are not neat Foreign Organizations may not comply to US GAAP Companies in the same line of business may not be comparable (i.e. electric utilities) Different YE’s and accounting procedures (i.e. inventory) McGraw-Hill/Irwin ©2001 The McGraw-Hill Companies All Rights Reserved 3.55 Chapter 3: Suggested Homework Know chapter theories, concepts, and definitions Re-read the chapter Review the Power Point Presentation Slides Suggested Homework: The Chapter Review and Self-Test Problem: 3.1, Page 73 (Answers are provided in book) Critical Thinking and Concepts Review: Review Questions: 1 through 7, Page 75 & 76 Questions and Problems: Review Question 1 through 14, Page 77 & 78 McGraw-Hill/Irwin ©2001 The McGraw-Hill Companies All Rights Reserved