Chapter 9, 4th edition Chapter 10, 3rd edition Banking and the Management of Financial Institutions Depository Institutions: The Big Questions • Where do commercial banks get their funds and what do they do with them? • How do commercial banks manage their balance sheets? • What risks do banks face? Balance Sheet of Commercial Banks: Assets, Liabilities, and Capital • The balance sheet identity: Bank Assets = [Bank Liabilities + Bank Capital] • When one side changes, the other side must change as well. • A bank’s balance sheet lists sources of bank funds (liabilities) and uses to which they are put (assets) Balance Sheet of All Commercial Banks (items as a percentage of the total, June 2011 © 2012 Pearson Prentice Hall. All rights reserved. 17-3 Table 1 Balance Sheet of All Commercial Banks (items as a percentage of the total, June 2014) © 2012 Pearson Prentice Hall. All rights reserved. 17-4 Liabilities – Sources of Funds Checkable Deposits: Referred to as transactions deposits, includes all accounts that allow the owner (depositor) to write checks to third parties; ─ Include non-interest earning checking accounts (known as - demand deposit accounts), ─ Interest earning negotiable orders of withdrawal (NOW) accounts, and ─ Money-market deposit accounts (MMDAs), which typically pay the most interest among checkable deposit accounts ─ About 11% of bank source of funds Liabilities – Sources of Funds Non-transaction Deposits: generally a bank’s highest cost funds. Banks want deposits which are more stable and predictable and will pay more to attract such funds. Also the largest source of funds ~ 58% Liabilities – Sources of Funds Borrowings: Banks borrow from: ─ the Federal Reserve System: discount loans ─ other banks: Fed funds and repos ─ Corporations: Repos and commercial paper ─ About 20% of bank source of funds Bank Capital – Source of Funds Bank Capital: the source of funds supplied by the bank owners, ─ either through purchase of ownership shares or retained earnings Bank capital provides a cushion, thus capital levels are important. About 11% of bank source of funds Currently a very important topic in bank regulation Assets – Uses of Funds Reserves: funds held in account with the Fed (vault cash and cash in the ATM machine is included). Required reserves represent what is required by law - reserve requirement or required reserve ratios. Any reserves beyond this are called excess reserves. About 19% of bank assets. Assets – Uses of Funds Securities: includes U.S. government debt, agency debt, municipal debt, and other (non-equity) securities. About 19% of assets. Short-term Treasury debt (Treasury Bills) is often referred to as secondary reserves because of its high liquidity. Assets – Uses of Funds Loans: business loans, auto loans, and mortgages. Generally not very liquid. About 53% of bank assets. Most banks tend to specialize in either consumer loans or business loans, and even take that as far as loans to specific groups (such as a particular industry). Assets – Uses of Funds Other Assets: bank buildings, computer systems, and other equipment. Trend in Commercial Bank Liability • Checkable Deposits (11%, up from 6% in Dec 2008) • Transactions deposit available on demand • Have declined substantially in importance • Transactions deposits were 61% of bank funds in 1960. Commercial Bank Liability Trend • Nontransaction Deposits (55%) • Borrowing (23%, around 31% in 2008) Discount loans for the Fed Reserves from other banks in the Federal Funds Market (unsecured) Repurchase agreements • Bank Capital (12%) Balance Sheet of Commercial Banks: Changes in Liabilities over time •Transactions deposits were 61% of bank funds in 1960, 6.0% in 2008. •Borrowings provided only 2% of bank funds in 1960, up to 31% in 2008. © 2012 Pearson Prentice Hall. All rights reserved. 17-16 Balance Sheet of Commercial Banks: Changes in Assets over time 1947-2006 Securities Down Secondary Markets, Increased Liquidity Security holdings down from 70% in 1947 to 19% in 2014. Loans( C&I, mortgage, and consumer loans) over 50%. Basic Banking Transaction Cash Deposit of $100 in First National Bank First National Bank Assets Vault Cash +$100 First National Bank Liabilities Checkable deposits +$100 Assets Reserves Liabilities +$100 Checkable deposits +$100 • The above example presents 2 ways to record the same transaction. • Opening of a checking account leads to an equal increase in the bank’s reserves. • NOTE: vault cash counts as reserves Basic Banking Transaction Check Deposit of $100 into FNB written on SNB First National Bank Assets Reserves +$100 Second National Bank Liabilities Checkable deposits +$100 Assets Reserves -$100 Liabilities Checkable deposits -$100 FNB gains reserves and SNB loses reserves Basic Banking - Making a Profit First National Bank Assets First National Bank Liabilities Required reserves +$10 Checkable deposits Excess reserves +$90 +$100 Assets Liabilities Required reserves +$10 Checkable deposits Loans +$90 +$100 • 10% Reserve Requirement • Bank use excess reserves to make loans or invest in bonds. • Bank makes a profit because it borrows short (at a relatively low interest rate) and lends long (at a relatively high interest rate) General Principles of Bank Management • The basic operation of a bank - • Make profits by: Selling liabilities with one set of characteristics (liquidity, risk ,size, return). [Source of Funds] Buying assets with a different set of characteristics. (liquidity, risk ,size, return). [Use of Funds] Process known as “asset transformation” also referred to as maturity transformation General Principles of Bank Management How does a bank manage its assets and liabilities. Four primary concerns: 1. Liquidity management 2. Asset management ─ ─ Managing credit risk Managing interest-rate risk 3. Liability management 4. Managing capital adequacy Principles of Bank Management Liquidity Management Reserves requirement = 10%, Excess reserves = $10 million Deposit outflow = $10 million With 10% reserve requirement, bank has excess reserves of $1 million: no changes needed in balance sheet Liquidity Management No excess reserves - Deposit outflow of $10 million With 10% reserve requirement, bank has $9 million reserve shortfall Liquidity Management - Shortfall in Reserves: Borrow from other banks or corporations. Assets Reserves Liabilities $9M Deposits $90M Loans $90M Borrowing $9M Securities $10M Bank Capital • Other banks - Federal Funds Market • Corporations - CP or Repo • There’s a cost - interest rate paid on the borrowed funds $10M Liquidity Management: Borrow from the Fed Assets Reserves Liabilities $9M Deposits Loans $90M Borrow from Fed Securities $10M Bank Capital $90M $9M $10M • There’s a cost - payments to Fed based on the discount rate Liquidity Management: Sell Securities Assets Reserves Loans Securities Liabilities $9M Deposits $90M Bank Capital $90M $10M $1M • There are costs: transaction costs and possible capital loss. Liquidity Management: Reduce Loans Assets Reserves Liabilities $9M Deposits Loans $81M Bank Capital Securities $10M $90M $10M • Reduction of loans is the most costly way of acquiring reserves Calling in loans (not renewing short-term loans) antagonizes customers Loans are not a liquid asset. Other banks may only agree to purchase loans at a substantial discount Asset Management Asset Management: the attempt to earn the highest possible return on assets while minimizing the risk. 1. Get borrowers with low default risk, paying high interest rates 2. Buy securities with high return, low risk 3. Diversified portfolio 4. Manage liquidity Asset Management - Credit Risk: Overcoming Adverse Selection and Moral Hazard • Screening and information collection • Specialization in lending (e.g. energy sector) • Diversification - by industry and geography • Monitoring and enforcement of restrictive covenants • Long-term customer relationships • Collateral and compensating balances Liability Management Managing the source of funds: from deposits, to CDs, to other debt. 1. Important since 1960s 2. No longer primarily depend on deposits 3. More dependent on non-transactions deposits and borrowing. ─ Growth in borrowing from 2% in 1960 to 31% in 2008. ─ Negotiable CDs at 19% Bank Capital (Equity) • Assets – Liabilities = Net Worth • Called Bank Capital. The value of the bank to its owners. • In Jan 2007, commercial bank capital was $860 billion equal to 8.8% of total assets of $9.77 Trillion) • June 2011 bank capital at 12% of assets Capital Adequacy Management • Bank capital is a cushion that helps prevent bank failure. As banks write down assets, bank capital takes a hit. • Regulatory requirement – regulators set minimum capital requirements. Capital Adequacy Management High Capital bank has a 10% capital ratio. Low Capital bank has a 4% capital ratio. Capital Adequacy Management: Preventing Bank Failure When Assets Decline Scenario: Borrower defaults on $5 million loan and minimum capital requirement is 5%. High Bank Capital Assets Low Bank Capital Liabilities Assets Liabilities Reserves $10M Deposits $90M Reserves $10M Deposits Loans $90M Bank Capital $10M Loans $90M Bank Capital High Bank Capital Assets $10M Deposits Loans $85M Bank Capital $4M Low Bank Capital Liabilities Reserves $96M Assets $90M Reserves $5M Loans Liabilities $10M Deposits $96M $85M Bank Capital -$1M Capital Adequacy Management: Return to Equity Holders Return on Assets: net profit after taxes per dollar of assets net profit after taxes assets Return on Equity: net profit after taxes per dollar of equity capital ROA = ROE = net profit after taxes equity capital Relationship between ROA and ROE is expressed by the Equity Multiplier: the amount of assets per dollar of equity capital Assets EM = Equity Capital net profit after taxes net profit after taxes assets equity capital assets equity capital ROE = ROA EM Capital Adequacy Management Tradeoff between safety (high capital) and ROE If Equity Capital ↑ => EM ↓ => ROE ↓ Prudent to hold equity capital. Unfortunately, banks aren’t very prudent. Banks required to hold capital to meet minimum capital requirements imposed by regulators. © 2012 Pearson Prentice Hall. All rights reserved. 17-37 Basic Strategies for Managing Capital What should a bank manager do if she feels the bank is holding too little capital (i.e., the capital ratio is too low)? Issue stock to attract new capital Decrease dividends to increase retained earnings which adds to equity Slow asset growth (retire debt) © 2012 Pearson Prentice Hall. All rights reserved. 17-38 Basic Strategies for Managing Capital What should a bank manager do if she feels the bank is holding too much capital? Use equity capital to buy or retire stock Increase dividends to reduce retained earnings Increase asset growth using debt (like CDs) Equity Multiplier and Capital Ratio Total Assets CapitalRatio Equity Capital EM Assets Equity Capital • EM is actually a measure of leverage • EM = 10, means $1 of equity supports $10 in assets. The bank borrows $9. • EM = 25, means $1 of equity supports $25 in assets. The bank borrows $24. • EM is the inverse of the capital ratio Bank Profitability ROA is typically 1.2 to 1.3% ROE is 10 to 12 times ROA. Let’s take a look: https://www2.fdic.gov/qbp/2014dec/cb1.html Bank Capital • Currently, U.S. commercial banks combine about $1.5 trillion in bank capital (equity) with $11.0 trillion of borrowed funds to purchase $12.5 trillion in assets. • Ratio of Assets/Equity = 12.5/1.5 = 8.33 (down from over 11) Flip: 1.5/12.5 = 12% • Government guarantees contributes to banks ability to hold so much debt. Leverage of Various Financial Institutions prior to Financial Crisis Assets Liabilities $Trillion $Trillion Equity $Trillion Leverage Assets/Equity Commercial Banks 10.8 9.7 1.1 9.8(10.2%) Savings Inst. 1.91 1.68 .23 8.4(11.9%) Credit Unions 0.75 .66 .09 8.4(11.9%) Investment Banks 5.4 5.23 .17 31.7 GSEs Overall 1.63 20.5 (1/31.7) = 3.15% 1.56 18.8 .067 1.7 24.7(4.0%) 12.2(8.2%) Suppose banks are required to maintain a capital ratio of 10%. Assume times are good and loan portfolio increases by $1. National Capital Bank – January Assets Cash $10 Loans/Securities $90 Total $100 Liabilities Debt Equity Capital Total $90 $10 $100 National Capital Bank – June Assets Cash $10 Loans/Securities $91 Total $101 Liabilities Debt $90 Equity Capital $11 capital ratio is 10.89% > 10% National Capital Bank – December Assets Cash Loans Total $10 $100 $110 Liabilities Debt Equity Capital Total $99 $11 $110 The mechanism works in reverse when times are bad. Loan portfolio decreases by $1. De-leveraging the balance sheet National Capital Bank - January Assets Cash $10 Loans/Securities $90 Liabilities Debt Capital $90 $10 National Capital Bank – June Assets Liabilities Cash $10 Debt Loans/Securities $89 Capital capital ratio is 9.09% < 10% $90 $9 National Capital Bank – December Assets Cash $10 Loans/Securities $80 Total $90 Liabilities Debt Capital Total $81 $9 $90 Bank does not have to de-leverage if it can raise more equity capital and pay off some debt National Capital Bank – June Assets Cash $10 Loans/Securities $89 capital ratio is = 10% Liabilities Debt Capital $89.1 $9.9 9-46 How a Capital Crunch Caused a Credit Crunch in 2008 Housing boom and bust led to large bank losses (including losses on SIVs which had to be recognized on the balance sheet). Value of assets reduced. The losses reduced bank capital. Banks required to rebuild capital – a capital crunch! How a Capital Crunch Caused a Credit Crunch in 2008 Banks had two option: (1) raise new capital or (2) reduce lending. Guess which route they chose? Why would banks be hesitant to raise new capital (equity) during an economic downturn and a financial crisis? Banks Must also Manage Interest-Rate Risk: • Bank assets don’t match liabilities • Banks “borrow short” and “lend long” • Creates a maturity mismatch Managing Interest Rate Risk • In addition to the borrow/short lend/long mismatch, banks also have a mismatch between assets and liabilities that are interestrate sensitive and non-interest rate sensitive. • For example, • Deposit rates tied to market rates (interest rate sensitive cost) • long-term fixed rate loan ( Non-interest rate sensitive income) Managing Interest Rate Risk • What happens if interest rate rise? Deposit cost based on flexible short-term interest rates rise. Loan revenues based on fixed interest rate remain fixed. Profit reduction Interest-Rate Risk – Simple Gap Analysis First National Bank Assets Rate-sensitive assets(RSA) Liabilities $20M Rate-sensitive liabilities (RSL) Variable-rate and short-term loans Variable-rate CDs Short-term securities Money market deposit accounts Fixed-rate assets $80M Fixed-rate liabilities Reserves Checkable deposits Long-term loans Savings deposits Long-term securities Long-term CDs $50M $50M Equity capital • If a bank has more rate-sensitive liabilities than assets, a rise in interest rates will reduce bank profits and a decline in interest rates will raise bank profits Interest Rate Risk: Gap Analysis • Basic Gap Analysis • (RSA – RSL) x Δ interest rate = Δ bank profits Managing Interest-Rate Risk Basis Gap Analysis GAP = rate-sensitive assets – rate-sensitive liabilities = $20 – $50 = –$30 million When i 5%: 1. Income on assets = + $1 million (= 5% $20m) 2. Costs of liabilities = +$2.5 million (= 5% $50m) 3. Profits = $1m – $2.5m = –$1.5m = 5% (GAP) = 5% ($20 - $50) = .05x -$30 =-$1.5 4. Profits = i GAP Off-Balance-Sheet Activities 1. Loan sales 2. Fee income from ─ ─ ─ ─ Foreign exchange trades for customers Servicing mortgage-backed securities Guarantees of debt Backup lines of credit 3. Trading Activities and Risk Management Techniques ─ Financial futures and options ─ Foreign exchange trading ─ Interest rate swaps All these activities involve risk and potential conflicts