Rough Draft Stage Two The year 2008 saw an unprecedented change in the economic status of our country. This crisis was caused by the dismantling of governmental regulations that were put in place to stabilize the economy and prevent the disastrous consequences of speculation from recurring in the future. George Orwell’s dystopian novel, 1984, illustrates a world in which the government has complete totalitarian power over its inhabitants. Orwell’s novel serves as a social commentary on the expansion of governmental power and corruption that occurred during the post World War II era. Though Orwell’s novel was written well before the occurrence of the recent financial crisis, the Party’s manipulative rise to power still shares many parallels with the growth of governmental deregulation and corruption of the American financial system. 1984 was meant to serve as a forecast of the future, and through observation of actions of the government and the financial sector, it is easy to note many modern-day similarities to Orwell’s novel. Deregulation of the economy has created a destructive and immoral financial system that mimics major facets of the corrupt inner workings of Orwell’s fictitious dystopian society. After the Great Depression, the American economy remained relatively stable due to the tight governmental regulations that were put in place to stabilize the economy and prevent the disastrous consequences of speculation from recurring in the future. The introduction of deregulation in the 1980’s marked the beginning of a new economic plight. The traditional investment bank consisted of a small group of wealthy partners who pooled their money collectively in order to invest in stocks or bonds. Their collective investing minimized any losses that each individual member might incur (Knight). Before becoming publically traded, these banks invested only with the money of the partners. In the 1980’s, many investment banks began to transition toward becoming publically traded corporations, giving them a massive increase in funds, and vastly bolstering their investment power (Morrison and Wilhem 4). In 1981, Ronald Reagan chose the CEO of the investment bank MerrillLynch, Donald Regan, as the Secretary of the Treasury. Regan began to initiate the first steps of a thirty-year long period of deregulation, believing that it would provide “a long-term solution for troubled thrift institutions” (Krugman). He passed the Monetary Control Act of 1980, effectively eliminating caps on interest rates (Atlas). Regan also passed the Garn-St Germain Act of 1982, allowing banks to utilize adjustable-rate mortgages loans. This meant that lenders could increase and decrease the interest rate of their loans at their own discretion. It also resulted in a reduction in the size of down payments required for a loan, and increased monthly repayment periods, leaving loaners in debt for a much longer period of time (Campbell and Hercowitz). These steps of deregulation formulated the basis for the eventual subprime mortgage crisis. The initial phases of deregulation would allow for even larger changes to occur, setting the stages for the economic meltdown. In 1998, Citicorp, a large commercial bank, attempted a merge with Traveler’s, a large securities firm. At the time, the move was illegal due to the Glass-Steagall Act of 1933, which prevented the merge of commercial and investment banks (Gross). This act was put in place to prevent commercial banks from being able to speculate with their depositor’s money. On November 12th of 1999, the Gramm-Leach-Bliley Act was passed, eliminating the Glass-Steagall act and allowing for the consolidation of commercial banks, investment banks, and insurance agencies (Grant 374). This vastly increased the power of the banks, allowing for merges that allowed them to grow large enough that they became “too big to fail.” This meant that banks were so interconnected and large that bankruptcy would destroy the economy, causing investors and depositors to lose the entirety of their savings. This allowed banks to engage in high-risk investments and speculation without fear of repercussions, as the governmentfunded Troubled Asset Relief Program was created to provide bailout money to bankrupt companies (Grant 376). The strategic maneuverings of the banks provided them with a system of uncontrollable expansion and a guaranteed safety net. As deregulation continued, the power and profit of banks expanded, and the impending consequences worsened. Banks use a ratio known as leverage to track the ratio of their debt versus their actual fiscal assets. Initially, the Federal Reserve Bank had tight reserve requirements in place. The reserve requirement indicates a minimum reserve of deposits that a bank must not lend out. This requirement is meant to keep the ratio of leverage ratio balanced and to keep the financial obligations of banks in check (Sardi). On April 28th of 2004, financial lobbyists worked with the Securities and Exchange Commission to relax laws restricting leverage. This would allow the banks to lend out larger amounts of money, thus generating more profit for themselves. Initially, leverage was maintained at a lower ratio, near three to one. By 2007, leverage rates skyrocketed, growing to ratio of 30:1 and higher. Such a ratio, as Barth indicates, would leave only 40 billion dollars of supporting capital for a loan worth 1.2 trillion dollars (Barth et al. 17). This meant that should loans begin to default, the banks would not have near enough capital to cover their exorbitant loans. The massive borrowing of the banks led to a large increase in subprime lending, and fueled the creation of a housing bubble, an increase in home prices due to speculation and high demand. The ease of obtaining a mortgage from the increased volume of these loans initiated the housing bubble, causing home prices to rise substantially. In 2007, home prices increased to nearly double their prior price (Barth et al. 8). With their newly increased capital, banks began making loans to low-income families and families with large amounts of debt. These riskier loans were known as subprime loans, and have a higher interest rate for the loan recipient in order to account for the higher risk that the lender is supposedly assuming. This led to a sort of predation on unknowledgeable families. Banks offered adjustable-rate mortgages, which would start with low initial interest rates, and rise substantially in only a few years (Atlas). An increase in loan volume allowed for a greater increase in profit for the banks. From 2000 to 2003, the number of mortgage loans that were distributed each year rose substantially, nearly quadrupling (Barth et al. 9). From 2001 to 2005, the percentage of subprime loans in the country rose from 8% to 21% (Barth et al. 9). The sharp rise in subprime loans illustrates the effective push toward predatory lending that was caused by deregulation. Lenders were often able to pass off the risk of their predatory loans. They did this by selling the loans to investment banks, which packaged them into securities that they sold to investors. This passed the risk of the loans back into the hands of the public (Atlas). This process led to a highly convoluted and interweaved lending chain that was a major cause in the decline of the economy. As homebuyers began to struggle to keep up with the high-interest payments on their homes, they began to default on their payments, and were often eventually foreclosed upon. The process of deregulation allowed lenders the power to give out loans that were far beyond the capacity of many families, ultimately leaving them broke and homeless. Despite many warnings, the conglomerates of the financial sector continued their destructive endeavors. Raghuram Rajan, a Chief Economist of the International Monetary Fund, predicted that moral conflict that would occur from such massive sums of profit. He believed that banks would disregard the integrity of their job to serve the customer in order to further line their own wallets. In a paper he wrote concerning the repercussions of the housing bubble, he claimed that banks “have greater incentive to take risk” and that their actions would “create a greater probability of a catastrophic meltdown” (Rajan 4). Many banks realized the toll their actions would have on the economy and on investors, and sought to take advantage of the situation. In 2007, just before the housing bubble burst, the investment bank Goldman Sachs sold over forty billion dollars in securities backed by subprime mortgages. They then purchased insurance on the securities that essentially functioned as a bet against housing prices, as well as the securities they had just sold. This meant that they knowingly bet on the failure of the securities that they had just passed off as safe investments, allowing them to transfer any losses that they might endure to their investors (Gordon). Though the banks realized the strain that their actions were taking on the economy, they chose to proceed regardless of the consequences. The propaganda that was fed to customers of the investment banks resembles the propaganda utilized by the Ministry of Plenty in Orwell’s novel. Amidst the peak of the financial crisis, Goldman Sachs began selling securities that would become increasingly profitable as customers suffered more losses. This meant that Goldman gained more money as the customer lost more money. Three years later, in April of 2010, Goldman was brought before Congress and the Securities and Exchange Commission for fraud concerning one of these securities, known as Timberwolf (Story). During the trial, the Congress discussed emails between a sales team, in which employees had been quoted as saying, “that Timberwolf was one shitty deal.” Afterwards, Goldman continued to trade the security, and another email between the sales team stated that “the top priority is Timberwolf” (Dayen). Members of the Inner Party would use similar propaganda tactics in Orwell’s novel. Winston noted decreases in rations, and yet the Ministry of Plenty flooded the Party with reports that “the standard of living has risen by no less than twenty per cent over the past year” (58). The methods of the Party allowed them to deprive their citizens of amenities while simultaneously using falsified statistics to exploit their ignorance, creating a façade of an ever-improving society. The deceit used by both the Inner Party and the American financial sector is fueled by both greed and exploitation, elevating the status of the wealthy at the expense of the unknowing masses. Orwell’s novel establishes a hierarchical system within the party that exploits the proles and Outer Party members, leaving a concentration of wealth and power amongst a small group of individuals. After sharing real coffee and bread with Winston, Julia informs him that there is “nothing those swine don’t have” (141). The excess privilege of the Inner Party is again noted when Winston and Julia visit the home of O’Brien. O’Brien shares a glass of wine with the couple, stating that “not much of it gets to the Outer Party” (171). He also is able to turn off the telescreen, exhibiting the enormous “privilege” of freedom and party he was allowed as opposed to the other members of society (169). Orwell’s depiction of the class differentials between the Inner and Outer Party are representative of the current distinctions prevalent in society today. For example, the CEO’s of the banks that played major roles in the 2008 crisis earned massive sums of money, despite their respective company’s plunge into ruin. Joseph Cassano, CEO of the insurance firm AIG, received 34 million dollars in bonuses as his company suffered bankruptcy. Lloyd Blankfein, CEO of Goldman Sachs, earned 42.9 million dollars in 2008, cashing in on the bankruptcy of AIG (Jones). While the executives of the banks perpetuating the crisis were getting richer, the customers of the investment banks suffered fiscal devastation. The state of the American and global economies at this point in time were the worst they had been since the Great Depression, and nearly 30 million people were left unemployed globally. Orwell’s depiction of the Inner Party mirrors the power and wealth that is attainable at the expense of the general public. The process that the American government and Wall Street executives used to initiate the reforms that allowed such disastrous results mimics the Party’s slow integration of Newspeak. Both were implemented in a slow and deliberate manner that allowed for a subtle reconfiguration that suited the goals of both parties. By slowly introducing newer and more refined versions of the Newspeak dictionary, the Party was progressively destroying “the range of consciousness…the concept of freedom…[and] thought, as we understand it now” (53). This allowed the Party to gradually strip its members of any chance of resistance and knowledge, ultimately leaving them helpless, with no semblance of their original language. This is highly similar to the process that was used to introduce deregulation. Beginning with Regan, the government repealed more minor laws that prevented deregulation. As the years passed, more and more laws were repealed and replaced, until they were ultimately left with a 1.5 trillion dollar market that was completely unregulated (Atlas). The underhanded methods utilized by the Party and the financial sector allowed for the creation of systems that would benefit only the selfish members that worked to ensure the initiation of their respective reforms. The absence of strong leadership and the immoral proceedings that occurred within the financial sector demonstrates its similarities to Orwell’s dystopian society. Deregulation of the financial sector allowed for the development of a system of exploitation in which the conglomerates of the industry were free to manipulate the economy at the expense of unknowing investors. Their actions represent the moral corruption that plagued the financial industry, mimicking the exploitation and decadence that characterized the society of Orwell’s 1984.