Assessment Framework for Mitigation Actions: A proposed tool to support development and management of NAMAs Marcos Castro Climate Change Group, World Bank UNFCCC Regional Workshop on CDM and NAMAs for Latin America and the Caribbean 31 August – 2 September, Bogota, Colombia Table of Contents 1. Introduction: why an assessment framework? 2. Objectives, goals and structure of the Assessment Framework 3. Mitigation Action Assessment Modules, Areas and Key Indicators 4. Consultation Process and Next Steps 5. Conclusions This presentation builds on presentations prepared by DNV, as part of work commissioned by World Bank.. 2 Case 1: Developing Country Challenge • It has implemented different mitigation programs for which the country aims at securing international finance. The programs are different in nature and scope. • It is challenging to prioritize the programs to start first in the absence of an uniform system • Different new carbon regimes have different standards/regulations • The country (CE) can scan the different programs based on a set of preselected assessment criteria. It can analyse how the rating changes for different programs as the weight for different rating criteria changes. • The rating is applicable to a broad number of programs which will obtain different rating during the assessment. • Self assessment tool of different alternatives to prioritize implementation based on a country level accepted evaluation/rating criteria. • Show international investors prioritization process and value of each program (e.g., based on an agreed weight system for the assessment criteria) • Self assessment of programs allows for improvement and a 'race to the top' which permits wider market access and higher value • Broad range of programs are assessed. It is no longer a yes/no process. Assessment approach Value 3 Case 2: Donor Country Challenge • It is presented with multiple investment opportunities. There is a broad range of cases, from projects to multisectoral policy implementation programs. • Some of these ER could be used for country pledges accounting. It is required to find an equivalence system among those ER from the different NAMAs/programs to make sure there is an standardized equivalence among them. • Evaluates programs at the design stage, implementation stage and execution stage providing an assessment output based on preselected criteria. Weight for assessment criteria can be changed based on cooperation/investment approach. Assessment approach • Value • Prioritize diverse interventions based on pre set range of criteria • Self selection of acceptable rating output instead of a yes/no output • The rating allows for having an equivalence system among different regimes. 4 Case 3: Private Investor • It is presented with multiple investment opportunities. There is a broad range of cases, from projects to multisectoral policy implementation programs. • Each opportunity is in a country with different criteria for ER accounting and it is difficult to compare among them. • Evaluates programs at the design stage, implementation stage and execution stage providing a rating output based on preselected criteria. • Weight for rating criteria can be changed based on investment approach. • Prioritization of investment opportunities. • Comparability among different program types. Challenge Assessment approach Value 5 Objectives of the Assessment Framework The main objectives of the design of this assessment system are: Develop a mechanism for comprehensive assessment of GHG mitigation actions Establish a common framework to screen, evaluate and compare different mitigation programs Provide confidence to donors/investors on viability and level of risk of different mitigation programs Facilitate benchmarking and identify areas for continuous improvement 6 Goals and Assessment Structure Establish framework to enable: • Program-level assessment of ‘environmental integrity’ (GHG management) and ‘development benefits’ • Common set of key indicators to promote comparability of mitigation programs (depending on user needs); • Use a probabilistic approach to the rating of variables leading to aggregate risk numbers for each of the (risk) modules • Allow the user of the assessment framework (jurisdictions, investors, donors, etc) to make overall rating based on their weighting of the risk variables; • As applicable, market participants to assign a value to carbon assets generated by mitigation programs, based on performance against key indicators 7 Goals and Assessment Structure Key Considerations In order to ensure broad acceptance and use: • Be independent, transparent, and accountable, with engagement by key players; • Provide as much certainty and predictability around evaluation/ratings, as is practicable; • Review and apply existing rating methodologies, in order to facilitate implementation and learn from previous experiences (credit, ESG and carbon ratings and their relative merits and limitations); • Clearly define functions and framework for assigning responsibilities (gathering of information, operation of the rating system, etc.); • Address legal and regulatory components; • Address operating components. Title of Presentation 8 Mitigation Actions Assessment Protocol Assessment modules The assessment protocol for Mitigation Actions / NAMAs is formed by six independent modules. Four modules are applicable to the mitigation action program itself (program-level assessment), while two other cover the level of ambition of the executing jurisdiction, and are only relevant if carbon assets are intended to be eventually traded internationally. 9 Mitigation Actions Assessment Protocol Modules and module areas Environmental Integrity Mitigation Action Program Mitigation Action Management Entity Investment Environment Ambition Index (jurisdiction level) Development Benefits Definition & Scope Objectives & Targets Management Framework Planning Roles, Responsibilities & Authorities Barriers Emissions reduction from Intervention Monitoring and Reporting Economic and political environment Level of ambition Financial and Investment Capacity Framework Climate Change Programs Management Sustainable Development Objectives & Targets Planning & Participation Climate Change Capacity Alignment and focus Monitoring of Sustainable Development 10 Mitigation Value Assessment Structure Module > Module Areas > Key Indicators Module’s rating Module area weighting Key indicators weighting average Relative importance of each risk area within a module Higher weight will assign a larger impact Key Indicators score Score range for each level of development - Default - Override score Level of confidence 11 Mitigation Actions Assessment Protocol Example: Weighting of Rating Areas Definition & Scope 14% # Key Indicators 5 Objectives & Targets Planning 20% 22% 4 7 Roles, Responsibilities & Authorities 7% 5 Barriers 7% 1 7 Monitoring & Reporting 20% 10% Management Framework 30% 2 Climate Change Program Management 33% 37% 3 3 Internationally Recognized Country Ratings 45% 4 Climate change infrastructure: program level Sustainable Dev. Objectives & Targets Planning and Participation Monitoring of Sustainable Development 55% 35% 45% 20% 4 7 8 6 Module 1. Mitigation Action Program Rating Area Emissions Reductions from Interventions 2. Mitigation Action Management Entity Financial & Investment Capacity Framework 3. Investment Environment 4. Development Benefits Weight 3 12 Mitigation Actions Assessment Protocol Example: Module – Area – Key indicators Module Area Module Area Weighting Key Indicator Scope of the NAMA and its contributions to Sustainable Development. Program Design Alignment with National priorities. Definition and scope of the NAMA 20% NAMA approval by relevant authorities Starting date, milestones and length duration of the Program Boundaries for the Program in terms of a geographical area of implementation OverKI Score ride Level of Score Range Range Score Confidence KI Weighting The scope of the NAMA is clearly defined and documented. 20% The scope of the NAMA is defined but it is not consistent along the documentation of the program. The scope of the NAMA is neither clearly defined nor documented. 20% 10% 20% The scope of the NAMA is aligned itself with the country climate change mitigation priorities as defined by the Government The NAMA contributes to climate change mitigation but does not outline how it aligns itself with the National priorities on climate change mitigation as defined by the Government The NAMA does not demonstrate how the scope is aligned with the country climate change mitigation priorities as defined by the Government The NAMAs have been developed and implemented with the approval of the relevant national authorities. (Approver in the UNFCCC NAMA Registry) The approval of the relevant national authorities has been requested but is still pending There is no evidence of the approval of the relevant national authorities. The starting date of the NAMA is clearly defined and justified in terms of when the emissions reduction can be attributed to the NAMA. Milestones are included to allow progress and effectiveness to be reviewed. The starting date is defined but it is not possible to conclude that the starting date is linked to the accounting of ER due to the NAMA implementation. The starting date is not clearly defined, is unjustified or is inconsistent across the NAMA documentation. 30% The geographical boundary of the Program is defined in accordance to the jurisdiction authority of the NAMA Implementation Entity (NIE). The boundaries analysis includes the evaluation of possible double counting risk with other ongoing programs and jurisdictions. The geographical boundary of the Program is defined but there is no justification of how it can interact with the jurisdiction authority of the NAMA Implementation Entity (NIE) and do not take into account possible double counting risk with other ongoing programs and jurisdictions. The geographical boundary of the Program is not clearly defined. Over-ride Justification KI Score 60-100 40-60 40-60 high 10.00 0-40 60-100 40-60 0-40 30 low 0-40 even when the NAMA addresses cc mitigation and other benefits, it is taking place in a sector that is not a focus sector for the country as outlined in the National Climate Change Program 6.00 60-100 40-60 0-40 60-100 high 8.00 0-40 high 4.00 60-100 40-60 0-40 60-100 40-60 0-40 40-60 40.00 high the geographical boundaries are defined. For the proposed interventions, the NAMA identifies other possible jurisdiction that can be impacted. Nevertheless, the NAMA 13 does not adress how those cross effects in ER can be quantified. 12.00 Mitigation Actions Assessment Protocol Example: Module – Evaluation Areas 14 Mitigation Actions Assessment Protocol Example: Module – Evaluation Areas Mitigation Action Program Module Definition & Scope 25 20 Monitoring and Reporting 15 Objectives and Targets 10 5 max score 0 score Emissions Reductions from Interventions Planning Barriers Roles, Responsibilities and Authorities 15 Mitigation Actions Assessment Protocol Example: Evaluation Area – Key Indicators 16 Development of framework: Consultation Process Stakeholder consultations • Carbon Expo May 2013 • Latin America Carbon Forum (Rio de Janeiro), FICCI (New Delhi), Asian Carbon Forum (Bangkok) – Fall 2013 Working Group Globally Networked Carbon Markets • WB Internal Meeting – June 2013 • Paris Working Group meeting 1 – Sept. 2013 • Webinar Update – Dec. 2013 • Paris Working Group meeting 2-February 2014 Peer review • Comments invited from the Working Group, selected individuals and organizations • 3 technical peer reviewers 17 Development of framework: Next Steps Road-testing of draft assessment framework: • …Individual NAMA proposals • … Portfolios of Mitigation Actions/NAMA proposals Development of online assessment tool, allowing for customization by users for, e.g.,: • …scanning and priorization of portfolios; • … ex ante evaluation of NAMA proposals. Excel-based draft version readily available, can be shared with interested stakeholders. 18 Evolution of the system Exchangeability… Comparability… Prioritization… …of NAMAs (nationally, regionally, best in class) …of NAMA carbon assets in carbon markets …of a NAMA portfolio 19 20 Thank you! Marcos Castro R. Climate Change Specialist mcastrorodriguez@worldbank.org Climate Change Group, World Bank