INTRODUCTION TO SHORT-TERM LIQUIDITY ANALYSIS Chapter 8 CHAPTER 8 OBJECTIVES Define liquidity and explain its role in financial statement analysis. Relate financing and investing decisions to the elements of the balance sheet. Distinguish between short-term and long-term financing and investing activities. CHAPTER 8 OBJECTIVES (CONT.) Identify, calculate and interpret liquidity measures for working capital, current account activity, and inventory-related conversion cycles. Conduct a preliminary short-term liquidity analysis of a company or industry. THE OBJECTIVE OF SHORTTERM LIQUIDITY ANALYSIS Liquidity--an entity’s ability to pay its obligations when they are due Short-term liquidity conventional meaning of liquidity connotes payment of short-term obligations with cash produced from operations does not disrupt productive capacity THE OBJECTIVE OF SHORTTERM LIQUIDITY ANALYSIS Objective—determination of an entity’s ability to reimburse the contributors to the core earning processes in a timely manner FINANCING AND INVESTING ACTIVITIES Balance sheet reports the status of financing and investing activities at a point in time Financing activities (liabilities and shareholders’ equity) provide capital for investing activities (assets) FINANCING AND INVESTING ACTIVITIES (CONT.) Primary business model (Exhibit 8-1) Captures the essence of the initial funding of an entity Company acquires funds from investors and allocates them to productive resources FINANCING AND INVESTING ACTIVITIES (CONT.) Operating business model (Exhibit 8-2) Captures the essence of the continual funding of an entity Distinguishes between long and short-term financing activities Relates long and short-term financing activities to long and short-term investing activities Examines the convertibility of current assets into cash in the near-term TERMS AND CONCEPTS Operating cycle (Exhibit 8-3) Length of time required to convert a current asset into cash Measures inventory transfer into receivables and ultimately cash for manufacturers and merchants TERMS AND CONCEPTS (CONT.) Operating cycle Measures length of time a service entity needs to collect on services rendered (absence of inventory) Conversion time is usually less than one year (this text makes this assumption) TERMS AND CONCEPTS (CONT.) Current accounts Current assets—cash or resources that will be converted into cash (or consumed in the case of prepaid expenses) within one year Current liabilities—obligations paid in cash or otherwise satisfied within one year TERMS AND CONCEPTS (CONT.) Working capital Initial measure of short-term liquidity Computation: current assets – current liabilities LIQUIDITY MEASURES (CONT.) Current (working capital) ratio Computation: average current assets / average current liabilities General interpretation—large ratio indicates sufficient liquidity; small ratio could mean liquidity problems LIQUIDITY MEASURES (CONT.) Factors affecting current ratio Industry in which the firm operates Ability to sell inventory and collect receivables Timing of cash collections and payments LIQUIDITY MEASURES (CONT.) Quick ratio Computation: (average current assets less inventory and prepaid expenses) / average current liabilities General interpretation—conservative measure of short-term liquidity Drawback—unrealistic assessment of the value of inventory LIQUIDITY MEASURES (CONT.) Activity measures Activity (turnover) ratio—quantifies the number of times a liquid account turns over in the ordinary course of business Number of days in a current account—measures the length of time needed to sell, collect, or pay for a current account Complementary measures: activity measures and number of days both report an aspect of a current account’s liquidity LIQUIDITY MEASURES (CONT.) Inventory activity measures Inventory turnover—number of times inventory is sold during a reporting period Computation: cost of goods sold / average inventory General interpretation—the greater the turnover the better Number of days in inventory—length of time needed to sell inventory Computation: 365 days / inventory turnover General interpretation—the lower the number of days the better LIQUIDITY MEASURES (CONT.) Accounts receivable measures Accounts receivable turnover—number of times accounts receivable are collected in a reporting period Computation: revenues / average accounts receivable General interpretation—the greater the turnover the better LIQUIDITY MEASURES (CONT.) Number of days in accounts receivable inventory—length of time needed to collect accounts receivable Computation: 365 days / accounts receivable turnover General interpretation—the lower the number of days the better LIQUIDITY MEASURES (CONT.) Inventory conversion cycle Quantifies the operating cycle Computation: days in inventory + days in accounts receivable General interpretation—the lower the number of days in the cycle the better as current assets are quickly converted into cash LIQUIDITY MEASURES (CONT.) Accounts payable turnover—number of times accounts payable are paid in a reporting period Computation: cost of goods sold / average accounts payable General interpretation—the lower turnover the better Number of days in accounts payable—length of time needed to pay vendors Computation: 365 days / accounts payable turnover General interpretation—the greater the number of LIQUIDITY MEASURES (CONT.) Net cash conversion cycle Quantifies the financing period of current accounts Computation: days in inventory + days in accounts receivable – days in accounts payable General interpretation—the lower the number of days in the cycle the better as less capital is invested in working capital eSTUFF’S SHORT-TERM LIQUIDITY RATIOS Liquidity Ratios Working capital Working capital ratio Quick ratio Inventory turnover Days in inventory Accounts receivable turnover Days in accounts receivable $ 2003 2002 2001 481 $ 442 $ 257 4.45 5.42 2.80 2.21 2.74 1.17 2.64 2.77 2.93 138.02 131.99 124.43 7.82 7.87 9.23 46.67 46.36 39.54 eSTUFF’S SHORT-TERM LIQUIDITY RATIOS (CONT.) Liquidity Ratios Inventory conversion cycle Accounts payable turnover Days in accounts payable Net cash conversion cycle 2003 184.69 8.42 43.34 141.34 2002 2001 178.35 163.97 11.06 6.29 33.00 58.07 145.35 105.91 LIQUIDITY ANALYSIS OF THE PC INDUSTRY Working capital analysis Working capital accounts dominate the industry’s balance sheets (Exhibit 8-5) Current ratios decreased over the period examined (Exhibit 8-6) LIQUIDITY ANALYSIS OF THE PC INDUSTRY (CONT.) Activity and cycle analysis Increases in inventory turnover (decreases in days needed to sell inventory) was the primary reason for the decline in the current ratios (Exhibits 8-7 and 8-8) Inventory conversion and net cash conversions cycles decreased over time Exhibits 8-12 and 8-13) Days in Inventory Exhibit 8-7 Days in Inventory for the PC Industry 1994-1998 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 1994 1995 1996 1997 Apple Computer, Inc. Compaq Computer Corp. Dell Computer Corp. Gateway 2000 Inc. 1998 Inventory Conversion Cycle (days) Exhibit 8-12 Inventory Conversion Cycles for the PC Industry 1994-1998 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 Apple Computer, Inc. Compaq Computer Corp. Dell Computer Corp. Gateway 2000 Inc. Net Cash Conversion Cycle (days) Exhibit 8-13 Net Cash Conversion Cycles for the PC Industry 1994-1998 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 -20 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 Apple Computer, Inc. Compaq Computer Corp. Dell Computer Corp. Gateway 2000 Inc. 75 100 125 150 50 25 0 Conversion Cycles (Days) Exhibit 8-14 Conversion Cycles for Apple Computer 1994-1998 1994 1995 Apple's Inventory Conversion Cycle 1996 1997 1998 Apple's Net Cash Conversion Cycle LIQUIDITY ANALYSIS OF THE PC INDUSTRY (CONT.) Overall assessment Data suggest that all firms were able to meet their maturing obligations Dell and Gateway were in more favorable liquidity position than Apple and Compaq, according to the evidence