“Footloose” or Hi-Tech Industry • Returning to Manufacturing Industry Orientation: (1) resource - tr. costs - product < inputs (2) market - tr. Costs - product > inputs (3) “footloose” - two situations: (a) transport costs are a small share of value (b) they are balanced in product & inputs • Footloose at startup vs. later in firm life-cycle • High-tech as footloose industry • Alternative definitions of high-tech (coming) “Industry” as a set of equivalent products versus similar products Examples - Product - Boeing PACCAR Intermec Fluke Corp. Quinton Instru. Micron Physio Control Tektronix Microsoft Columbia Machine aerospace trucks bar-code equipment measuring instr. Medical eq. chips/computers medical electronics electronic eq. diversified CS concrete block eq. Location Seattle area Seattle area Mt. Terrace Everett Seattle Boise Redmond Portland area Redmond Vancouver Attributes • Product Diversity • Most are small firms • Many are indigenous, but in Oregon there is a significant FDI presence • Role of incubators - existing firms & formal institutions (e.g. Fluke Hall on campus- UW Center for Commercialization’s New Ventures Facility & Washington Nanofabrication Facility) • Locational determinants - founders & employee preferences • University linkages Rapidly Changing Product Cycles • Frequently rapid changes in product and process technology • One result - mergers, acquisitions, deaths, and new startups – Quintessential examples - Microsoft • Office Suite, WWW strategy, Alliances – Boeing • Airline models, acquisitions & divestitures over time. • A tendency towards continuous “reinvention” of enterprises. Developed by Heike Mayer, Ph.D. from Portland State Boeing : An Atypical Case Study • • • • • Early History Product Innovation in the 1920’s and 1930’s Catapulting the corporation in WW-II Jet-liner technology: waves of development Cycles in demand and structural shifts in procurement patterns, and in manufacturing technology • Role of Boeing in the regional economy Source: The Boeing Logbook 1916 1929 1934 1940 1950 1960 Source: The Boeing Logbook 1970 1980 1990 Source: The Boeing Logbook Source: The Boeing Logbook 1954 1952 1950 1948 1946 1944 1942 1940 1938 1936 1934 1932 1930 1928 1926 1924 1922 1920 1918 1916 Boeing Employment 80,000 70,000 60,000 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 0 2013 2011 2009 2007 2005 2003 2001 1999 1997 1995 1993 1991 1989 1987 1985 1983 1981 1979 1977 1975 1973 1971 1969 1967 1965 1963 1961 1959 1957 1955 Boeing Employment Fluctuations Boeing Employment 120000 100000 80000 60000 40000 20000 0 Boeing’s Long-Run Outsourcing Trend Regional Purchases are about 7% of total, mostly services Source: Washington State Input-Output Tables History of Boeing Purchases in Washington State 9% 8% % of Total Purchases 7% 6% 5% Other WA Purchases 4% Intra-aerospace 3% 2% 1% 0% 1963 1967 1972 1982 1987 1997 2002 2007 Boeing Employment Impact as a Share of Total State Employment Washington Aerospace Job Impacts 787 Production Components 787 Production System Modified 747 to carry 787 parts Does Boeing Spin Out New High Tech Firms? 120000 90 80 100000 70 80000 60 50 Boeing Employment 40 High Tech Startups 60000 40000 30 20 20000 10 0 19 58 19 61 19 64 19 67 19 70 19 73 19 76 19 79 19 82 19 85 19 88 19 91 0 Source on High - Tech Startups: Gary Schweikhardt The Waning Influence of Boeing? 2000000 1800000 1600000 1400000 1200000 1000000 800000 600000 400000 200000 0 Boeing downturn vs. other tech? Much weaker impact of downturn Aerospace 1998 1993 1988 1983 1978 1973 1968 1963 1958 Total Puget Sound Jobs Big Aerospace Drop in Jobs Source: Puget Sound Regional Council Step 2030 Database