“Teaching a Unified Account of the Past” David Christian San Diego State University September, 2008 A Problem for Educators • Fragmentation of knowledge – We teach different disciplines but not the links between them • A sense of meaningless: – For students this creates a sense of a world without meaning A problem unique to the modern world • In all societies we know of, children were taught an account of reality that was – – – – Unified Meaningful Based on the best available knowledge Contained in Creation Stories • Was Australia 500 years ago (think about it!) – Educationally ahead of the US today? Francis Firebrace, a storyteller of the Yorta Yorta Nation, N.S.W. Things are changing! • Now we are once again within reach of an account of reality that is – More unified – More meaningful – Based on the best of modern scientific knowledge • I’ve taught such a course for 20 years – I call it “big history” – Others call it “the evolutionary epic” or “a modern creation story” – A fundamental educational breakthrough? Why the change? One vital factor: The “Chronometric Revolution” • Before the mid 20th century all absolute dates based on written records • As History became more “scientific” it needed rigorous chronologies – – – – These used written evidence Could only reach back 5,000 years History came to mean “human history” History and the Science split into C.P. Snow’s famous “Two Cultures” History and Science were no longer talking to each other! X There seemed to be no history to Science There seemed to be little science in History! NO DATES MEANT NO DATES! Enter the “Chronometric Revolution” Dating the Undateable! • 1950s, Willard Libby pioneers C14 dating – 1953, Claire Paterson dates the earth – New Radiometric techniques • Other techniques including dendrochronology • New techniques in – Biology (genetic dating) – Cosmology A Unified Chronology for the whole of Time! • New Paradigms: – In Big Bang Cosmology, Plate Tectonics & Genetics – Made the sciences more historical • The Chronometric Revolution: – Provided absolute dates for the whole of time! – Linked cosmology, astronomy, chemistry, geology, biology, human history – Within a single timeline Can History and Science get back together? Now that dating was possible Was dating possible? A unified and meaningful Map of Time and the Universe • Like traditional creation stories • The emerging scientific creation story can help students – Map themselves onto reality – Understand their place in reality – See that modern knowledge is unified • The story is saturated with meaning! The Story • You’ll meet it during this course of lectures • Today: – an introduction and a “taster” to Big History (aka the Evolutionary Epic) The whole of time in 11 dates 1. The Universe appeared c. 13.7 bys ago 2. The Earth, c. 4.5 bys ago 3. First living organisms c. 3.8 bys ago 4. First multi-celled organisms c. 600 mys ago 5. Dinosaurs wiped out c. 67 mys ago 6. First “hominines” appeared c. 7 mys ago 7. Our species, Homo sapiens, c. 200,000 ys ago 8. First agricultural societies, c. 10,000 ys ago 9. First civilizations and written documents c. 5,000 ys ago 10. Industrial Revolution (and the USA!) c. 250 ys ago 11. Humans enter space c. 50 ys ago Another way of seeing time: If the Universe began 13 years ago, then … – the earth would have existed for about • five years [4.5 billion ys] – large organisms with many cells for • 7 months [600 million ys] – the asteroid that killed the dinosaurs would have landed • 3 weeks ago [67 million ys] – Hominines would have existed for just • 3 days [c. 7 million ys] – our own species, Homo Sapiens, for • 53 minutes [c. 200,000 ys] – agricultural societies would have existed for • 5 minutes [c. 10,000 ys] – the entire recorded history of civilization for • 3 minutes [c. 5,000 ys: that’s when most world history courses start!] – modern industrial societies (and the USA!) for • 6 seconds [c. 250 ys] – 1st humans in space and on the moon • 1 second [c. 50 ys] Is there unity or meaning in this story? • Many students feel it belittles them, and deprives them of meaning … • After all our earth looks small from space … Apollo 8 photograph of Earth from lunar orbit: Dec 24 1968 Or compared to the Sun? Alfred Crosby describes the Earth as a “mote of debris” left over from the formation of the Sun [Children of the Sun, p. 2] 1 million Earths could fit inside the Sun Or to the Milky Way? How many stars in the Milky Way? About 100 billion How many galaxies in the Universe? About 200 billion Cesare Emiliani: There are as many stars in the Universe as there are “sand grains in all the deserts and beaches of the earth” [Scientific Companion, 2nd ed., p. 9] We are about 2/3 from the Center An Artist’s Reconstruction of Our Galaxy Despite this, it turns out there is plenty of meaning in the modern creation story • One central theme: INCREASING COMPLEXITY • The Universe began simple – Energy, matter, expanding space • Over 14 bys more complex things appeared – Most of the Universe remains simple – But new, complex things have emerged: • New forms of complexity – – – – – Galaxies and Stars (in that order!) More chemical elements Planets Living Organisms Modern Human Society What is Complexity? A simple definition 1. Multiple Components: diverse, varied 2. Linking mechanisms: components linked together in precise patterns 3. New energy flows: and held together by flows of energy mobilized by the nature of the structure 4. New “Emergent Properties” : new rules, new types of entity appear when components are linked together in particular structures 5. Death: when the energy flows cease, the structure falls apart into its simpler components, ceasing to exist Complexity exists at many scales Figure 1 Brain tissue of a cat Walle J. H. Nauta, Fundamental Neuroanatomy, ed. Michael Feirtag (New York: Freeman, 1986), 9. Figure 2 Supercomputer simulation of a clustering of galaxies. Ron Cowen, “Galaxy Hunters: The search for cosmic dawn,” National Geographic 203, no. 2 (2003): 15. And at different levels • “There is a hierarchy, ranging from fundamental particles below the atomic level up through molecules and crystals to the macroscopic chunks which our unaided sense organs are built to appreciate. Living matter introduces a whole new set of rungs to the ladder of complexity: macromolecules folding themselves into their tertiary forms, intracellular membranes and organelles, cells, tissues, organs, organisms, populations, communities and ecosystems. ... At every level the units interact with each other following laws appropriate to that level, laws which are not conveniently reducible to laws at lower levels.” • Richard Dawkins, The Extended Phenotype: the Long Reach of the Gene, Oxford: OUP, 1982, 1999, p. 112-3 Can we measure levels of complexity? Eric Chaisson’s Idea • If forming complex things requires work • And forming more complex things requires more work, then … – We should be able to measure complexity objectively by measuring energy flows – “Free energy rate density” = ergs per second flowing through each gram Stuart Kauffman: “the maintenance of order requires that some form of work be done on the system. In the absence of work, order disappears.” [From Complexity] Some Estimated Free Energy Rate Densities Based on: Eric J. Chaisson, Cosmic Evolution: The Rise of Complexity in Nature, Cambridge, Mass.: Harvard University Press, 2001, p. 139 Generic Structure Free Energy Rate Density (erg s-1 g-1) Galaxies (e.g. Milky Way) 1 Stars (e.g. Sun) 2 Planets (e.g. Earth) 75 Plants (biosphere) 900 Animals (e.g. Human body) 20,000 Brains (e.g. Human cranium) 150,000 Society (e.g. Modern human culture) 500,000 500,000 In Graph Form: Estimated Free Energy Rate Densities 450,000 400,000 350,000 300,000 250,000 200,000 ergs/sec/gr 150,000 100,000 50,000 0 la a G s e i x s s n ts ls ins ety t r a e a n Pla m Bra oci St i a l n P S A n r de o M Payoff? Modern Human Society is a) extraordinarily complex & b) depends on extraordinarily large energy flows Interesting! Humans seem back at the center of the picture! And the picture has meaning! Humans are different • “Although we are made up of the same chemicals, with the same physiological reactions, we are very different from other animals. Just as gases can become liquids, which can become solids, phase shifts occur in evolution, shifts so large in their implications that it becomes almost impossible to think of them as having the same components.” Michael Gazzaniga, Human, Prologue The Story of increasing complexity: Eight Thresholds 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. The Universe [Cosmology] The first Galaxies & Stars [Astronomy] New chemical elements [Chemistry] Planets and our earth [Geology] Life [Biology] Human beings [History] Agriculture [History] Modern Society [History] I’ll focus on the last three steps Increasing human control of energy began deep in the Paleolithic Each migration = new ways of extracting energy New hunting techniques Adaptations to cold Arctic technologies 15-13,000 BP? c. 60,000 BP Chimp range: no change 4,000 BP? New Seagoing technologies Range of 50,000 BP? early humans 250,000 BP? 1,000 BP? New oceangoing technologies Paleolithic migrations based on comparisons of mitochondrial DNA [see http://www.mitomap.org/WorldMigrations.pdf ] Slowly at first, human numbers grew as they entered new environments Populations of Homo sapiens sapiens 100,000 BP - Now 7,000 6,000 5,000 Millions 10,000 BP-Now 6,300,000,000 humans? 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 100,000 90,000 80,000 70,000 60,000 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 0 Years Before Pesent 10,000 humans? 5,000,000 humans? Per Capita Energy Consumption increased [Smils, Energy in World History, p. 236] Modern Era Paleolithic Era Today each individual consumes c. 60 times as much as 10,000 years ago Populations have grown by 1,000 times, so total energy consumption has increased by almost 60,000 times Our control of energy has increased rapidly in the last century John McNeill, Something New under the Sun, p. 15: “We have probably deployed more energy since 1900 than in all of human history before 1900. My very rough calculation suggests that the world in the twentieth century used 10 times as much energy as in the thousand years before 1900 A.D.” On land, humans now control 25-40% of all energy from photosynthesis! [Vaclav Smil, The Earth’s Biosphere: Evolution, Dynamics, and Change, Cambridge, Mass.: M.I.T., 2002, p. 240] From Alfred Crosby, Children of the Sun, p. 162 Biomass of mammals as a measure of energy control [from Vaclav Smil, The Earth’s Biosphere, pp. 186] 120 100 80 Million tons 60 carbon 40 20 0 Non-domesticated ("Wild") Mammals (5) Humans (40) Domesticated Mammals (120) How complex is modern human society? Brains: 100,000,000,000 neurons (as many as stars in the Milky Way), each connected to hundreds of others, computing in parallel Modern Human Society: 6 billion human brains, multiply connected through language, phones, and the internet, computing in parallel Complexity is not necessarily good! Perhaps complexity = fragility Some Estimated Free Energy Rate Densities Based on: Eric J. Chaisson, Cosmic Evolution: The Rise of Complexity in Nature, Cambridge, Mass.: Harvard University Press, 2001, p. 139 Generic Structure Approximate life span (Years) Free Energy Rate Density (erg s-1 g-1) Galaxies (e.g. Milky Way) billions 1 Stars (e.g. Sun) billions 2 Planets (e.g. Earth) billions 75 Plant species (biosphere) millions 900 Animal species (e.g. human body) millions 20,000 Large Brains (e.g. human brain) millions 150,000 centuries? 500,000 Society (e.g. Modern human culture) More complexity more energy/resources for humans less for other species “Baiji”, or Yangtse Dolphin: Now thought to be extinct “Over the past few hundred years, humans have increased the species extinction rate by as much as 1,000 times over background rates typical over the planet’s history (medium certainty). Some 10–30% of mammal, bird, and amphibian species are currently threatened with extinction (medium to high certainty).” [From the Millennium Ecosystem Assessment, March 2005] Human energy use now affects the biosphere “Within a few centuries we are returning to the atmosphere and oceans the concentrated organic carbon stored in sedimentary rocks over hundreds of millions of years.” [Revelle & Suess, 1957, cited from Smils, The Earth’s Biosphere, p. 15] HOW COMPLEX ARE WE ON COSMOLOGICAL SCALES? Fermi’s question • If creatures similar to my governor are common • There should be millions in our galaxy • Some civilizations should be millions of years more advanced than ours • Some must have left signals or objects for us to detect • After 30 years of searching we have detected none • WHERE ARE THEY? The Meaning of this Story: Human history may be one of the most complex phenomena in the Universe! • “History” tells a story of one planet • And one species’ – Accelerating control of resources and energy – Leading to levels of complexity that may be significant at cosmological scales – And may lead to our early retirement! • A conclusion full of meaning! Why so complex? a new adaptive mechanism? • Adaptive mechanisms: – How living organisms acquire and pass on new and more complex structures – How they mobilize more energy and become more complex • All other living organisms adapt genetically • Humans find new ways of mobilizing energy without waiting for genetic change – How? Why are we so good at continually adapting? New Adaptive mechanisms imply new “linking mechanisms” • Linking mechanisms: – join once independent entities into new, precisely structured and more complex, entities • The Sun: – formed when gravity bound clouds of atoms into a larger structure fuelled by fusion The Structure of our Sun Heat from the centre travels outwards (taking about 1 mys!) Fusion takes place in the core New supplies of hydrogen come from the outer layers Energy from the core sustains its structure Complexity in Human History: A Hypothesis Humans “adapt” faster than other organisms because they use a new, more powerful, adaptive mechanism that links them within the complex structures of human societies: Compare three adaptive mechanisms: 1. Natural Selection: Slow, but recorded in DNA 2. Learning: Fast change, but little communication so non-cumulative 3. Collective Learning: Fast change + linked through language cumulative change HISTORY! The Synergy of Collective Learning As populations increase, possible exchanges between individuals increase even faster, and at an accelerating rate The equation: if the no. of nodes is n, the number of possible links between them is (n x (n-1))/2. Basic Edges “Graph Theory”: No. of “Nodes” and Vertices compared to No. Synergy of possibleoflinks between “Nodes” Modelling Info-networks 1200 No. No. of of possible Edges Possible Links 1000 800 600 400 No. of No. of Vertices “Nodes” 200 0 10 20 30 40 50 Setting up a feedback loop Collective Learning more energy more people more complexity more collective learning … Compare the history of Chimp energy use over 10,000 years (1,000 Cals. Per person per day) 250 200 150 100 50 0 o o y o o g g a g g A A A A od s s s s T Y Y Y Y 0 0 0 0 10 00 00 00 , , , 0 1 0 1 0 1 1,000 Calories per individual per day NOT MUCH SYNERGY HERE IN 100,000 YEARS! With average human energy use (1,000 Cals. Per person per day) 250 200 150 100 50 0 y ic t rs r s i e ty e e e h ci c m m lit o o r r o le .S Fa r Fa d. S a d P In In rly ate . a ly E L r od a M E 1,000 Calories per person per day THIS IS SYNERGY! A SIMPLE 3-PART PERIODIZATION 1. The Paleolithic Era: feedback but limited – Collective learning migrations to new environments – Energy control increases more humans, but … – Communities remain small little increase in complexity collective learning slow 2. The Agrarian Era: increasing positive feedback – Collective learning domestication intensification – More energy from a given area: agriculture – Average community size increases population growth social complexity more collective learning feedback! 3. The Modern Era: positive feedback accelerates – Collective learning global in scale + new technologies increase number of exchanges – Energy control increases sharply; exploitation of fossil fuels – Average community size increases social complexity RESULT? SOMETHING NEW APPEARS IN THE COSMOS • All the remarkable “emergent properties” of human society and human history are products of these processes • Human Society counts as – A new phenomenon – A new level of complexity A unified and meaningful account of the past • Based on the best of modern science • Coherent • Full of meaning – Particularly if you happen to be human! • Highly teachable! Thank You! Eric Idle’s big history course