Planning process Copyright © 2004 Prentice Hall. All rights reserved. 4–1 The Nature And Purpose Of Planning Plan: A method for doing or making something (in advance), consisting of a goal and a course of action. Is a systematic set of actions that will help the organization achieve its goals and objectives. Goal: A specific result to be achieved; the end result of a plan. Goal: Is a board, long-range target of the organization. Objectives: Specific results toward which effort is directed. Objective: Is a specific short-range target. Copyright © 2004 Prentice Hall. All rights reserved. 4–2 Planning as a process The process of setting goals and courses of action, developing rules and procedures, and forecasting future outcomes. Plans are devices that answers; What will we do? When will we do it? Who will do it? How much will it cost? Copyright © 2004 Prentice Hall. All rights reserved. 4–3 What Planning Entails Choosing goals and courses of action and deciding now what to do in the future to achieve those goals. Assessing today the consequences of various future courses of action. (Making tomorrow’s decisions today. So when you have a plan, it means what you are going to do in future) A trip to Paris. Copyright © 2004 Prentice Hall. All rights reserved. 4–4 What Planning Accomplishes Allows decisions to be made ahead of time. Permits anticipation of consequences. Provides direction and a sense of purpose. Provides a unifying framework; avoiding piecemeal decision making. Helps identify threats and opportunities and reduces risks. Facilitates managerial control through the setting of standards for monitoring and measuring performance. Copyright © 2004 Prentice Hall. All rights reserved. 4–5 The Management Planning Process Hierarchy of Plans A set of plans that includes the company-wide plan and the derivative plans of subsidiary units required to help achieve the enterprise-wide plan. Top management approves a long-term plan; and each department creates its own budgets The Planning Hierarchy works like that Top management formulates its plans based on upward feedback from the departments, and the departments in turn draft plans that make sense in terms of top management’s plan. Copyright © 2004 Prentice Hall. All rights reserved. 4–6 The Management Planning Process The basic process always involves; - Setting objectives, Analysing the situation and making forecasts, Determining alternative courses of action Evaluating those options and then Choosing and implementing your plan (inc. A budget) Copyright © 2004 Prentice Hall. All rights reserved. 4–7 Peter F. Drucker Market standing—Management should set objectives indicating where it would like to be in relation to its competitors. Innovation—Management should set objectives outlining its commitment to the development of new methods of operation. Productivity—Management should set objectives outlining the target levels of production. Physical and financial resources—Management should set objectives regarding the use, acquisition, and maintenance of capital and monetary resources. Profitability—Management should set objectives that specify the profit the company would like to generate. Managerial performance and development—Management should set objectives that specify rates and levels of managerial productivity and growth. Worker performance and attitude—Management should set objectives that specify rates of worker productivity as well as desirable attitudes for workers to possess. Public responsibility—Management should set objectives that indicate the company’s responsibilities to its customers and society and the extent to which the company intends to live up to those responsibilities. Copyright © 2004 Prentice Hall. All rights reserved. 4–8 Hierarchy of Goals FIGURE 4–1 Copyright © 2004 Prentice Hall. All rights reserved. 4–9 Checklist 4.1 How to Develop a Plan Set an objective. Develop forecasts and planning premises. Determine your options. Evaluate alternatives. Choose your plan, and start to implement it. Go to Level 2. Copyright © 2004 Prentice Hall. All rights reserved. 4–10 Who Does the Planning? Small businesses: Entrepreneurs do most of the planning. Large firms: Traditional: A central corporate planning group works with top management and each division to solicit, challenge, and refine the company’s plan. Current: Planning is decentralized and includes the firms’ product and divisional managers, aided by small headquarters advisory groups. Copyright © 2004 Prentice Hall. All rights reserved. 4–11 The Business Plan And Its Components Description of the business (including ownership and products or services) Marketing plan Financial plan Management and/or personnel plan. (BP provides a comprehensive Overview of the firms’s situation today and And of next 3-5 years) Copyright © 2004 Prentice Hall. All rights reserved. 4–12 The Business Plan And Its Components BP Executive Summary: 1-2 pages- brief summary of the plan inluding snap shots. The firms mission is generally 1/2 paragraphs. Who we are What we do Where we are headed, competitive strengths, financial situation A strategic plan specifies the business or businesses the firm will be in and a major step they have to take. A strategy is a course of action (HOW).. Copyright © 2004 Prentice Hall. All rights reserved. 4–13 The marketing Plan MP specifies the nature of your products / services ( quality, design, features, variety) as well as price, place, promotion and deliveries (4 P’s of marketing) Copyright © 2004 Prentice Hall. All rights reserved. 4–14 Outline of a Marketing Plan FIGURE 4–3 Source: Source: Adapted from Philip Kotler and Gary Armstrong, Principles of Marketing (Upper Saddle River, NJ: Prentice Hall, 2001), p. 70. Copyright © 2004 Prentice Hall. All rights reserved. 4–15 Acme’s Potential Market Segments Source: Business Plan Pro, Palo Alto Software, Palo Alto, CA. Copyright © 2004 Prentice Hall. All rights reserved. FIGURE 4–4 4–16 Product, Pricing, and Sales’ Forecasts Source: Business Plan Pro, Palo Alto Software, Palo Alto, CA. Copyright © 2004 Prentice Hall. All rights reserved. FIGURE 4–5 4–17 Personnel Plan Source: Business Plan Pro, Palo Alto Software, Palo Alto, CA. Copyright © 2004 Prentice Hall. All rights reserved. FIGURE 4–6 4–18 Sales Forecast by Service: Two-Month Sales Plan for Acme Consulting, 2003 FIGURE 4–7 Copyright © 2004 Prentice Hall. All rights reserved. 4–19 Gantt Scheduling Chart for Acme Strategic Report Projects, January 1–15, 2003 FIGURE 4–8 Copyright © 2004 Prentice Hall. All rights reserved. 4–20 Copyright © 2004 Prentice Hall. All rights reserved. 4–21 Copyright © 2004 Prentice Hall. All rights reserved. 4–22 The importance of Teamwork; Creating a cohesive and cooperative top-management team is a precondition if a firm is to execute its plans and achieve its goals. Teamwork is important because; - CEO has a complex coordination task and cannot be effective unless he/she is working closely with the people who are in charge of the company’s activities, - Subordinates usually possess expertise about the operating components then CEO, - The team members: if they have a voice in decision making they can more supportive, - Cross functional communication and collaborations enables more innovations. Copyright © 2004 Prentice Hall. All rights reserved. 4–23 Types of Plans Plans differ in functional orientation According to Formats, Length, Frequency of Use: Formats: descriptive plans, budgets, graphic plans ex: descriptive =what is to be achieved and how (what to achieve, by whom, when and at what cost) ex: marketing plan ex: budget=financial plan, showing financial expectations for a specific period ex: graphical plans =shows what is to be achieved graphically and when Copyright © 2004 Prentice Hall. All rights reserved. 4–24 Types of plans according to Time Span: Strategic plans, tactical plans, operational plans Strategic plans (by top mgmt) are the actions designed to achieve strategic goals. These plans are usually long-term, defining actions over a period of 3 to 5 years. Tactical plans or functional plans(by middle mgmet) a plan that shows how top management’s plans are carried out at the departmental, short-term level. (marketing, production plan) . (the actions designed to achieve tactical objectives and to support strategic plans). These plans usually lay out actions for the next 2 to 3 years. Operational plans (by first line mgmt)are the actions designed to achieve operational objectives and to support tactical plans. These plans usually define actions for less than one year. Copyright © 2004 Prentice Hall. All rights reserved. 4–25 Types of plans according to Frequency of Use: programs, standing plans (ex: policies, procedures, rules) Program: lays out all the steps in order Standing Plan: a plan established to be used repeatedly as the need arises Policies: a standing plan, sets broad guidelines for the enterprise Procedures: spell out what to do in specific situations (ex:we sell only high fashion shoes! Hamburger not kebap –standard service not customized!) (ex:if someone complains the waiters must see their chief and manager must contact with the customer) Rules: specific guide to action (ex: after 30 days later we do not refund! If any problem occurs with our product) Copyright © 2004 Prentice Hall. All rights reserved. 4–26 Preparing your plan? Simply answer the questions 1. What are you going to do? 2. When are you going to do it? 3. Who is going to do it? 4. What will be the cost? Copyright © 2004 Prentice Hall. All rights reserved. 4–27 How to Set Objectives Checklist 4.2 Principles of GoalSetting Set SMART goals—make them specific, measurable, attainable, relevant, and timely. Choose areas (sales revenue, costs, and so forth) that are relevant and complete. Assign specific goals. Assign measurable goals. Assign doable but challenging goals. Encourage participation. Use executive assignment action plans, or management by objectives. Copyright © 2004 Prentice Hall. All rights reserved. 4–28 Goals to be SMART - - Specific: clearly stated the designed results, Measurable: answers the questions ‘How much’ they are attainable. Relevant and clearly derived from the crucial need (to turn Chrysler around) (Target and Targeting strategies) Copyright © 2004 Prentice Hall. All rights reserved. 4–29 Copyright © 2004 Prentice Hall. All rights reserved. 4–30 Management by objectives Process whereby a superior and subordinate jointly set goals for the latter and periodically assess progress toward those goals. Copyright © 2004 Prentice Hall. All rights reserved. 4–31 MBO Process – 5 Steps set organisational goals (Top management) Set departmental goals : Departments heads and their superiors jointly set supporting goals for their departents Discuss department goals: Dept. Head present department goals and asks all subordinates to develop their own individual goals. Give Feedback: Supervisor and subordinate meet priodicaly to review the subordinate’s performance and to monitor and analyse progress towards his/her goals. Copyright © 2004 Prentice Hall. All rights reserved. 4–32 Forecasting and Developing Planning Premises Sales Forecasting Techniques Quantitative Forecasting Time series, causal forecasting Qualitative Forecasting Jury of executive opinion, salesforce estimation Marketing Research Primary data Secondary data Competitive Intelligence Forecasting and Supply Chain Management Copyright © 2004 Prentice Hall. All rights reserved. 4–33 Forecasting and Developing Planning Quantitative Forecasting A statistical methods to examine data and find underlying patterns and relationships. (time series method and causal method) Qualitative Forecasting Predictive techniques that emphasise human judgement Copyright © 2004 Prentice Hall. All rights reserved. 4–34 Forecasting and Developing Planning Time Series Is a set of observations taken at specific times. Usually at equal intervals. (yearly, monthly GDP ) Causal Method Forecasting techniques that develop projections based on the mathematical relationship between a company factor and the variables believed to influence or explain that factor (advert. Exp., unemployment, ..) Copyright © 2004 Prentice Hall. All rights reserved. 4–35 Qualitative Forecasting Methods: Qualitative forecasting tools emphasize human judgement. They gather as logical unbaised and systematic a way as possible, all the information and human judgement that can be brought to bear on the factors being forecasted. Copyright © 2004 Prentice Hall. All rights reserved. 4–36