Introductory Statistics for Behavioral Scientists PSYC W1610 Fall 2014 Syllabus General Information Instructor: Course Hours: Course Location: Office Hours: Office Location: Phone: Email: Greg Jensen Tuesdays & Thursdays, 4:10pm—5:25pm Schermerhorn 614 [XX] or by appointment Schermerhorn 500 [XX] ggj2102@columbia.edu Teaching Assistants Name Lab Section Lab Hours Office Hours Office Email Raphael Gerraty Judy Xu rtg2116@columbia.edu jxu@psych.columbia.edu Students are welcome to attend all listed office hours, regardless of lab section. If you would like to make an appointment to meet at another time, you may do so by email, or by approaching us before or after class. Course Description This course provides an introductory overview to the basic statistical concepts and procedures used in experimental research. The focus is on becoming familiar with how to interpret and perform statistical tests, in order to design experiments and interpret their results. It is not a course on mathematical theory. No mathematical skills beyond arithmetic are required. The content of the course is instead intended to provide a basic element of scientific literacy, with an emphasis on the psychological sciences. In addition to the lectures, students are required to participate in a laboratory section that meets once a week. All students registered for PSYC W1610 must also register for one of the PSYCH W1611.00X sections. Lab activities will consists primarily of hands-on data analysis using Excel and SPSS, applying the concepts introduced in lecture. Course Requirements • Textbook: The course textbook is Introductory Statistics for the Behavioral Sciences, Seventh Edition (by Joan Welkowitz, Barry H. Cohen, and R. Brooke Lea, 2012). Required reading will consist mainly of chapters from this text. Students are strongly encouraged to obtain their own copies of the textbook. In some cases, chapters are listed as required reading more than once. Students are strongly encouraged to use this as a cue to re-read those chapters prior to the class in question, either because they are particularly important, or because they are particularly challenging. In addition to the required readings, each lecture will also have an accompanying recommended reading, available electronically. These are strictly optional and (to the extent possible) non-mathematical. You may find these supplementary readings to help make the problems of the course a bit less abstruse. • Lecture Attendance: Because each lecture builds on the material presented in previous lectures, regular attendance is crucial to success in the class. Thus, attendance will be collected at the start of every lecture. Please contact Professor Jensen or one of the TAs before class (the sooner, the better) when you become aware of an unavoidable conflict. Repeated unexcused absences will impact the class participation portion of the grade. • Laboratory Attendance & Assignments: Attendance to and participation in every lab section is MANDATORY. Each lab consists of a project, to be completed in class under the supervision of the TA. Foreseeable absences must be approved at least two weeks in advance. In cases of excused absences, as well as documented illness or family emergencies, students will have the opportunity to make up the lab assignments without penalty on their own time. In all other cases, lab assignments may be made up for partial credit provided they are completed within one week of the original lab section. • Homework: Homework assignments consist of problem sets posted to Courseworks. Typically, homework will be assigned on Tuesdays and be due by the end of class one week following. Please note the following: Homework assignments must be completed individually. Students are not allowed to share answers or to work together on problems, and doing so may result in disciplinary action on grounds of academic dishonesty. Show all work for every problem. The value, in points, of every problem will be indicated on the assignment, and points will be deducted for mistakes made, rather than based on the final answer. If, for example, a small arithmetic mistake occurs early in a problem, but the procedure is otherwise followed correctly, you can still get most of the points even though the answer will be wrong. If, however, you only write the answer, then the TAs will be unable to follow your reasoning and therefore be unable to give you partial credit. Staple all sheets of your homework together. Unstapled homework will have points deducted. It is also a good idea to write your name on each sheet. Homework not turned in by the end of class will be considered late. Points will be deducted as a function of how late the homework is, so the sooner you are able to turn in a late homework, the better. Homework must be turned in as a hard copy to be considered for credit. Although electronic submission may be allowed (at the discretion of the TAs) in order to minimize the lateness of the assignment, it will be counted as a zero until such time as a hard copy is also provided. • Exams: There will be a midterm and a final exam. Each will consist of a mixture of computational problems to be solved by hand and written conceptual problems. As with the homework, credit will be given for partial work, and for work that displays knowledge of the correct procedure, so show all work as clearly as you can. Calculators will be allowed only if they do not include statistical or programmable functions. Thus, most scientific and graphing calculators are not suitable. Students should obtain a basic calculator that includes a square root button (the Canon LS-82Z, for example) as soon as possible. Students who are unable to attend an exam must make arrangements to take a make-up exam as far in advance as possible, and must be taken as close to the exam date as possible (no later than 5 days after the exam date). Absence from an exam will be excused at the sole discretion of Professor Jensen. Vacation travel plans, for example, are not grounds for missing an exam. Make-up exams for unexcused absences will require permission from both the professor and the student’s dean. • Grading: Letter grades are defined by the following intervals: 97 93 90 87 83 80 77 73 70 67 63 60 > > > > > > > > > > > > A+ A AB+ B BC+ C CD+ D DF ≥ ≥ ≥ ≥ ≥ ≥ ≥ ≥ ≥ ≥ ≥ ≥ 97 93 90 87 83 80 77 73 70 67 63 60 The overall class score is based on the following breakdown: Midterm Final Homework Labs Participation 30% 35% 25% 5% 5% Neither exam grades nor overall course grades are “curved” in the traditional sense, and students will not be competing for a limited pool of each letter grade. If every student scores a 95 on the final, every final gets an A. However, exam scores and final letter grades are corrected upward on the basis of the median and interquartile range of class performance. This correction can only ever improve your score, so the letter grades listed above represent the minimum letter grade that your raw score can earn, prior to the calculation of the corrected score. The raw scores for homework and labs are not adjusted. Participation is partially, but not wholly, a function of class attendance. It reflects overall student engagement, and every student is assumed from the outset to have full participation points. Thus, a student who comes to class and does the work will get the full 5%. Participation credit can be lost in various ways (such as unexcused absences from lecture or sleeping in class), but extra effort (such as regularly attending office hours) will also be taken into consideration. Students with Disabilities Students with disabilities registered for this course and who require classroom accommodations should get in touch with me as soon as possible. Additionally, stop by the Office of Disability Services (ODS), located in Wien Hall, Suite 108A, to register for support services, if you have not already done so. Students who are eligible for extra exam time and other accommodations should fill out the appropriate paperwork at ODS early in the semester, as the professor requires the confirmation of ODS in order for the appropriate arrangements to be made. Note that ODS may require up to 2 weeks to process an application, so register with plenty of time in advance. Schedule of Classes Date 9/2/14 9/4/14 Topic “Why am I here?” Variables & Measurement 9/9/14 Data Visualization 9/11/14 Central Tendency 9/16/14 Variability 9/18/14 Distributions 9/23/14 Discrete Probability 9/25/14 Probability Density 9/30/14 Statistical Inference 10/2/14 Confidence Intervals 10/7/14 The Small Sample Problem 10/9/14 Testing For A Change 10/14/14 Testing For A Difference 10/16/14 Non-Parametric Tests 10/21/14 MIDTERM 10/23/14 Correlation 10/28/14 Linear Regression 10/30/14 Linear Models 11/6/14 Analysis of Variance 11/11/14 Multiple Comparisons 11/13/14 Factorial ANOVA 11/18/14 Making Sense of ANOVA 11/20/14 12/2/14 Non-Parametric Tests Redux Effect Size & Power Analysis Bayes’ Rule 12/4/14 TBD Future Directions FINAL 11/25/14 Reading (see following page) Required: Welkowitz Ch. 1 Recommended: Blastland Ch. 1 Required: Welkowitz Ch. 2 Recommended: Tufte Ch. 1 Required: Welkowitz Ch. 3 Recommended: Blastland Ch. 5 Required: Welkowitz Ch. 3 (Again) Recommended: Gonick Ch. 2 Required: Welkowitz Ch. 4 Recommended: Salsburg Ch. 2 Required: Welkowitz Ch. 16 Recommended: Blastland Ch. 3 Required: Welkowitz Ch. 4 (Again) Recommended: Salsburg Ch. 9 Required: Welkowitz Ch. 5 Recommended: Salsburg Ch. 11 Required: Welkowitz Ch. 5 (Again) Recommended: Salsburg Ch. 12 Required: Welkowitz Ch. 6 Recommended: Salsburg Ch. 3 Required: Welkowitz Ch. 6 (Again) Recommended: Gonick Ch. 8 Required: Welkowitz Ch. 7 Recommended: Gonick Ch. 9 Required: Welkowitz Ch. 8 Recommended: Salsburg Ch. 16 Homework Homework 1 Due Homework 2 Due Homework 3 Due Homework 4 Due Homework 5 Due Homework 6 Due Homework 7 Due Required: Welkowitz Ch. 9 Recommended: Blastland Ch. 12 Required: Welkowitz Ch. 10 Recommended: Gonick Ch. 11 Required: Welkowitz Ch. 10 (Again) Recommended: Dancey Ch. 12 Required: Welkowitz Ch. 12 Recommended: Salsburg Ch. 5 Required: Welkowitz Ch. 13 Recommended: Dancey Ch. 10 Required: Welkowitz Ch. 14 Recommended: Dancey Ch. 11 Required: Welkowitz Ch. 14 (Again) Required: Welkowitz Ch. 17 Recommended: Salsburg Ch. 10 Required: Welkowitz Ch. 11 Recommended: Wainer Ch. 1 Required: Stone Ch. 1 Recommended: Salsburg Ch. 13 Recommended: Salsburg Ch. 29 Homework 8 Due Homework 9 Due Homework 10 Due Homework 11 Due Homework 12 Due Homework 13 Due List of Readings Required Introductory Statistics for the Behavioral Sciences, Seventh Edition (2012), by Joan Welkowitz, Barry H. Cohen, and R. Brooke Lea. John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Note: In addition to being available on reserve in the library, students can also access an electronic version through Columbia’s “Ebrary” collection. Search for the book in CLIO and click on “Full Text Available” in the right sidebar that appears under the heading “articles.” 1 chapters in: Bayes’ Rule: A Tutorial Introduction to Bayesian Analysis (2013), by James Stone. Sebtel Press. Recommended Selections from the following books are provided as recommended, non-technical reading. Students are encouraged to obtain these books on their own if they find the provided samples helpful. The Lady Tasting Tea: How Statistics Revolutionized Science in the Twentieth Century (2001), by David Salsburg. W. H. Freeman and Company. The Tiger That Isn’t: Seeing Through A World of Numbers (2008), by Michael Blastland and Andrew Dilnot. Profile Books. The Cartoon Guide to Statistics (1993), by Larry Gonick and Woollcott Smith. Harper Perennial. Statistics Without Maths For Psychology, Fifth Edition (2011), by Christine Dancey and John Reidy. Prentice Hall. Picturing the Uncertain World: How to Understand, Communicate, and Control Uncertainty through Graphical Display (2011), by Howard Wainer. Princeton University Press. The Visual Display of Quantitative Information (2001), by Edward Tufte. Graphics Press. I also enthusiastically recommend the following book to students seeking to continue their statistical education after they’ve completed this class: Serious Stats: A Guide to Advanced Statistics for the Behavioral Sciences (2012), by Thomas Baguley. Palgrave Macmillan. Nonparametric Statistics for the Behavioral Sciences, Second Edition (1988), by Sidney Siegel and N. John Castellan Jr. McGraw-Hill. Doing Bayesian Data Analysis: A Tutorial with R and BUGS (2010), by John Krushke. Academic Press.