EC3302 (Provisional may change) Decision and Game Theory LECTURER: Dr Manfredi La Manna Martinmas (First) Semester 2015/16 CREDITS: 20 LECTURES 20 lectures + 2 class tests. 2 x 1 hour lectures per week. Timing of lectures and venue: TBA TUTORIALS: 5 x 1 hour tutorials likely in weeks 3, 4, 6, 8 and 9. (To be confirmed). EXAMINATION: [6] A two-hour examination (To be confirmed). CONTINUOUS ASSESSMENT: 1 x 50 minute class test, date TBA. 1 x 50 minute class test, date TBA. FINAL GRADE: [8] Examination 50% weight Class Test 25% weight Class Test 25% weight ATTENDANCE REQUIREMENTS: you must sit the examination and attend a minimum of 4 tutorials to gain credit for this class. Brief module outline Decision and Game Theory focuses on the decisions of economic agents and their behaviour in interactive situations. This course will teach the basics of strategic thinking, aiming to guide students’ understanding of the common roots of many social and economic dilemmas. Beginning with the discussion of simple games, analytic tools will be introduced progressively leading the discussion of numerous applications like auctions, bargaining, oligopoly, financing decisions, voting, and many more. Learning outcomes By the end of the course, students will be able to understand and to assess critically the strengths and limitations of key games extensively used in both micro- and macro-economics; be able to understand basic game-theoretic concepts can be used to analyse a wide variety of economic issues and problems. develop a way of thinking and acquire the skills necessary to identify the game-theoretic implications of decision-making both in economic modelling and in real-life settings. be able to extend the game-theoretical approach to decision-making to non-economic fields such as management, politics, international relations, biology. Have an improved ‘transferable skills’ set. Please see (a link here) for a further discussion of these skills. Course outline 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. Rationality and Choice Bayesian Thinking Expected Utility and Risk Aversion Prisoner Dilemmas, Cooperation and Conflict Games in Normal Form, Domination, Best Responses, Nash Equilibrium Sequential moves and backward induction 7. Repeated games 8. Information and Communication. Reading Pre-sessional reading: the flavour of the main themes explored in DGT can be tasted by reading Ken Binmore’s entertaining Game Theory. A very short introduction. 2007 OUP. Another useful introduction, with emphasis on decision-making for managers (but do not be put off – this is not a management textbook!) is Anthony Kelly’s Decision Making using Game Theory, 2003 CUP. S.O. Hanson’s Decision Theory. A brief introduction (http://people.kth.se/~soh/ decisiontheory.pdf) does what it says on the tin: 80-page survey of decision theory topics. Required textbook for DGT (supplemented by lecture notes and selected articles/chapters) is: S. Tadelis, Game Theory. An Introduction, 2013 Princeton UP. 1