ManEc 300 Day 1 Bryson 1. This daily outline is subject to revision and upgrading. It might be wise to rely on the syllabus as an agenda 2. Review syllabus 3. On the significance of economics. Review Power Point presentation on the methodology and power of microeconomics ManEc 300 Day 1 Bryson (Cont’d) 3. Personal introduction and testimony 4. Feedback on concerns. What concerns do you have about ManEc 300? Course Objective I: Help you understand the firm in its competitive environment and its internal organization by mastering these concepts. My objectives will be achieved by understanding. Bounded rationality and private information Central economic planning vs. markets. Competitive markets Competitive advantage How markets work Elasticities Isoquants and Isocost curves Industrial regulation Isoquants and isocosts Coordination and motivation in organizations Course Objective II: Help you gain the conviction through class activities that all these concepts are useful in application. Mathematics and Micro-economics Market models: competition and imperfect comp. Contracting and opportunistic behavior Performance Incentives Porter’s five competitive forces. Strategy and Economics Production and Costs Property Rights and Ownership For Tomorrow’s (Second) Session Look over syllabus Read Chap. 1, pp. 14-19, 34-39, Chapter 3 and Chapter 4. Get accustomed to web site See online: Markets, 300.ppt ManEc 300 Day 2 Bryson 1. Make seating chart 2. Discuss student presentations (Review syllabus) 3. Introduce TA for the course, Plarent Sinamati sinamati@hotmail.com 4. Sign up for The Wall Street Journal ManEc 300 Day 2 Bryson Discuss markets and the market economy by reviewing concepts in “Markets, 300” Non-price variables Substitute products Change in supply Equilibrium Consumer surplus Market automaticity Demand curve Ceteris paribus Change in q supplied Surplus/shortage Producer Surplus Government intervention ManEc 300 Day 2 Bryson Review of first text reading assignment and Markets, 300.ppt. Look at the end of Chapter 4, “Demand Estimation.” Review Econometrics.ppt For Tomorrow’s (Third) Session Finish reading (or review) chapter 4 and brush up on elasticities No quizzes yet. Just do the homework assignment due on Thursday. TEAMS, Summer, 2004 Group 1: CEO Compensation Scott Brinkerhoff, Jason Greenwood, Rob Murtagh, Jonathan Nielsen Group 2: Intellectual Property Rights Hayden Arnold, Shaun Bailey, Sunne Drinkwater, David Stevens Group 3: K-Mart Bryan Barney, Brian Cooley, Andrea Everts, David Jensen TEAMS, Summer, 2004 Group 4: Microsoft as a Monopoly Nathan Palki, Travy Ka Ying Wong, Sabrina Wu, Sandra Woodruff Group 5: Apple Computers and Technology Corey Davis, Aubrey Duncan, Rich Hamilton, Will Kearl Team Organization Introductions. Choose team spokesman. Exchange phone numbers, etc. Team meeting time. Team name? Team Organization Choose three issues your team would like to present. If there are no conflicts, you will be assigned your first preference. o Choose a major firm and explain its strategies and describe its performance, o Describe the problems of an entire industry, o Talk about an important problem in the environment of the economy or Team Organization Spokesman. Meeting time. Team name? Select presentation topic priorities: Choose three issues to present. If there are no conflicts, you will be assigned your first choice. o A major firm o An industry, o An important micro problem ManEc 300 Day 3 Bryson Elasticity, Alfred Marshall • Consumer response to price change • ($1 off on gum/washing machine) ∆p0, ceteris paribus The Definition %∆Quantity %∆Price ManEc 300 Day 3 Bryson Another way to write that ∆Q x 100 Q (mean) ∆P x 100 P (mean) or, point elasticity is: η = (P/Q)(dq/dp) %∆Quantity %∆Price ∆Q x 100 Q (mean) ∆P x 100 P (mean) = -[∆Q/(Q1+Q2)/2] / [∆P/P1+P2)/2] P2=40 =-[-67/(200+133)/2] / [10/(30+40)/2] P1=30 = 1.4 Q1=133 Q2=200 or, point = (P/Q)(dq/dp) ManEc 300 Day 3 Bryson 4. Elasticity and revenues >1 P TR Inelastic <1 P TR 5. Elastic Unitary =1 TR max *Diagrams showing each as well as summary diagram “Elastic”: >1 P TR “Inelastic”: <1 P TR Unitary: =1 TR max Summary diagram s, Elasticity of Supply %∆ in Q supplied %∆ in price (∆Q/Q)/(∆P/P) Note positive sign Cross of Demand (∆Qx/Qx) % change in Q of X % change in P of Y (∆Py/Py) + sign: substitutes - sign: complements Closer relationships indicated by higher coefficient Income of Demand (∆Qx/Qx) % change in Q of X % change in income I neg (∆I/I) zero low unit High (i>1) Q For tomorrow’s (fourth) session 1. Review Power Point Presentation: Markets vs. Hierarchies (“Hierarchies”) 2. Complete first homework assignment, which is due tomorrow. 3. For subscribers, the Journal is available on line. When it starts to come, get on line and go to http://services.wsj.com/ Enter your account number, which is on the address sticker. ManEc 300 Day 4 Bryson See Power Point Presentation: Markets vs. Hierarchies (“Hierarchies”) Day 4 For the next (5th) Session See Power Point presentation: The Firm’s Coordination of Plans and Activities (“Firm Coordination”) Be prepared in class to discuss or take a quiz on the following: Should there be market coordination within the corporation? What are design attributes? Firms don’t always have dispatchers or coxswains, so what organizational problem do they have? Day 4 (Cont’d) Preparation for next session What problems of information flow does the firm have in its planning? What is brittleness? When can the firm not rely on organizational routine for proper functioning of productive processes? How do economies of scale and scope affect the firm’s coordination? ManEc 300, Day 5 Review Questions from Session 4 What problems of information flow does the firm have in its planning? What is brittleness? When can the firm not rely on organizational routine for proper functioning of productive processes? How do economies of scale and scope affect the firm’s coordination? What problems of information flow does the firm have in its planning? What is brittleness? When can the firm not rely on organizational routine for proper functioning of productive processes? How do economies of scale and scope affect the firm’s coordination? ManEc 300 Day 5, cont. Review “The Principle-Agent Problem” For tomorrow, you should be well into the reading of Chapter 5 of the text. When you get a chance, review Coase and transactions costs. (See the last part of Chapter 4 and the ppt, “Markets vs. Hierarchies”). ManEc 300 Day 6 Bryson The Neo-classical Theory of the Firm, Part II, Production and costs. Start with an unspecified production function: Q = f(a,b,...n) = f(X1, X2,…Xn) ManEc 300 Day 6 Bryson A specific production function may appear as suggested in the text. Q = S1/2 A1/2, where S = steel and A = Aluminum. Reminder: S1/2 =S and S1/n = n S Production Functions and costs. Law of Diminishing Returns: holding all inputs constant but one, increasing variable inputs will give rise first to increasing returns, but ultimately, additional units of the input will bring less than proportional returns. Production Functions and costs. Diminishing returns can be shown by exponents that add to less than one. S1/2(S 1/2) = S S1/3(S 1/3) = S2/3 Stages of Production Begin with a Total Product (TP) curve. With two geometric “tricks,” find Average Product (AP) and Marginal Product (MP) curves. Discuss these concepts. Relationship between average and marginal values. Stages of Production At boundary of stages I/II, AP = MP, at boundary of stage II/III, MP = 0. Discuss other characteristics. Why we produce in stage II of production. Geometric Trick 1 Holding land constant and adding labor leads to a growth of TP until diminishing returns set in. APL = TP/labor. MPL = the change in TP when labor (a) increases by 1 unit. Geometrically, APL = TP/a or the slope of a ray from the origin, intersecting the TP curve at some level of output. Geometric Trick 1 Land Labor TP 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 APL 0 0 2 2 5 2 /2 9 3 12 3 14 2 4/5 15 2 1/2 15 2 1/7 14 1 12 3/4 1 1/3 MPL .. 2 3 4 3 2 1 0 -1 -2 Geometric Trick 1, the old ray from the origin trick. Slope = rise/run = T/a APL = TP/a Draw a ray from O through the relevant point on the TP curve. Notice that this slope rises to point E, then falls again at larger outputs. Geometric Trick 2, the old tangency trick. MPa = ∆TP when we use one more unit of a. MPa = ∆TP/∆Q Geometric Trick 2, the old tangency trick. Find the slope of TP at a given output to determine the MPa at at that output.. Find the slope geometrically by drawing a tangent line to the TP curve at the interesting output. The Stages of Production Let us draw these and conclude by showing why we operate in Stage II of production. In stage I, we keep going for more inputs because it results in growing average and marginal productivity. In stage III we are experiencing diminishing returns (negative MPa) ManEc 300 Day 7 Bryson Review of Costs 1. Show: TVC, TFC, TC What are these? What are their slopes? ManEc 300 Day 7 Bryson 2. Review two geometric tricks: 1. Find SR: AVC, AFC, AC, 2. Find MC. 3. Relationship between average and marginal values. Total Costs At first, TVC and TC rise gradually, Q rises faster than cost because of increasing returns. Then, TVC and TC rise rapidly. Costs rise faster than output because of diminishing returns. Average variable, average total costs We can find the average costs from the totals, using geometric trick #1, the old ray trick. Draw a ray from the origin through a point on the TC or TVC curve. The slope of the ray is the average cost Average variable, average total costs (Rise/Run = TC/Q = AC. First it declines (increasing returns, then rises (diminishing returns. Marginal Costs Marginal cost is the change in TC or TVC when output is increased by one unit. Or, it is the slope of TC or TVC. Therefore, we can find it by taking the derivative of a TC function. Marginal Costs Or, we can use geometric trick #2, the old tangency trick. Draw a tangency to the TC (or TVC) curve. The slope of the tangent is MC. First, MC declines (increasing returns), but ultimately rises (decreasing returns). Relate AVC to APP Note that the APP rises and falls in correspondence with the decline, then increase of AVC. AP increases (AVC) falls as increasing returns to the variable factor occurs. But as diminishing returns set in, APP falls, which means that AVC rises. ManEc 300 Day 7 Prof. Bryson (Cont’d) Discuss LR Costs 1. No fixed factors 2. Unlimited number of conceptual SRAC curves ManEc 300 Day 7 Prof. Bryson (Cont’d) Discuss LR Costs 3. Envelope curve 4. “For any output, min cost by using the scale of plant whose SRAC curve is tangent to the LRAC curve.” ManEc 300 Day 7 Bryson (Cont’d) 5. Why is it U-shaped? Economies of scale vs. Law of diminishing returns Economies of scale: division and specialization of labor, advanced technology, large machines, digitalization and electronics. Diseconomies of scale: control and coordination problems ManEc 300 Day 7 Bryson (Cont’d) 6. Learning curve 7. 7. Four LRAC curves Textbook U (Range of) constant returns Constant returns through replication Continually increasing returns ManEc 300 Day 7 Bryson (Cont’d) For the next session, review pp. 111-117 on Isoquants and Isocost lines. ManEc 300 Episode 8 Bryson Isoquant/Isocost approach to production, trade, equilibrium and efficiency. ManEc 300 Episode 8 Bryson Isoquants--purpose for use Get up to speed on diagrams. Tight logic (and math) vs. Scientists prize -- skepticism, -- rigorous reasoning, and -- empirical experimentation.) Learning Objectives Appreciate and understand Tradeoffs Budget constraints Logic of maximization Representation of efficiency Get ready for a quiz next session on the production box. ManEc 300 Day 8 (Cont’d) The analysis 1. Intuition on isoquants: Movement NE = improvement. Discovering substitutability of inputs. MRTSlk = ∆ K/ ∆ L one unit of L will compensate. ManEc 300 Day 8 (Cont’d) The analysis 2. Characteristics of isoquants a. No intersection b. Downward slope MRTSlk = amount of K lost for which one unit of L will compensate. Budget line Total Cost = C = wL + rK Rewrite: rK = C - wL K = C/r - (w/r)L Intercept ratio of factor prices = slope of budget line Budget line Slope of isoquant = MRTSlk = MPl/MPk = ∆ K/ ∆L Discuss diminishing MRTSlk Notion of tradeoff ∆Q = MPl(∆L) ∆Q = MPk(∆K) ManEc 300 Day 8 Bryson On the isoquant MPl (∆ L) + MPk(∆K) = 0 At equilibrium Slope of Isoquant = Slope of isocost ManEc 300 Day 8 Bryson Mpl /MPk = w/r Mpl /w = MPk/r (Mpl /Pl = Mpk/Pk) 4. Show changing slope of isocost line 5. Show changing isocost line (shift when budget changes) ManEc 300 Day 9 Bryson Preparation for quiz on isoquants and the Edgeworth Box: 1. Review the effect of price changes 2. Explain the Edgeworth-Bowley Box Trading from any point off the contract curve to a point on the contract curve. ManEc 300 Day 9 Bryson Preparation for quiz on isoquants and the Edgeworth Box: 3. Gains of trade. Efficiency is being on the contract curve. ManEc 300 Day 9 Bryson (Cont’d) 4. How does one move on the contract curve? Theft, violence, opportunism-Elaborate according to time on “economic man” as rational optimizer vs. more modern problem of opportunism. ManEc 300 Day 9 Bryson (Cont’d) Contrast utility maximization to opportunism 5. Show connection of points on the contract curve to points on PPF. Begin with a Total Product (TP) curve. With two geometric “tricks,” find Average Product (AP) and Marginal Product (MP) curves. Discuss these concepts. Relationship between average and marginal values. Show TP, AP, and MP Diagram At boundary of stages I/II, AP = MP, at boundary of stage II/III, MP = 0. Discuss other characteristics. Why we produce in stage II of production. Geometric Trick 1 Holding land constant and adding labor leads to a growth of TP until diminishing returns set in. APL = TP/labor. MPL = the change in TP when labor (a) increases by 1 unit. Geometrically, APL = TP/a or the slope of a ray from the origin, intersecting the TP curve at some level of output. Geometric Trick 1 Land Labor 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 TP 0 2 5 9 12 14 15 15 14 12 APL 0 2 2 1/2 3 3 2 4/5 2½ 2 1/7 1 3/4 1 1/3 MPL .. 2 3 4 3 2 1 0 -1 -2 Geometric Trick 1, the old ray from the origin trick. Slope = rise/run = T/a APL = TP/a Draw a ray from O through the relevant point on the TP curve. Notice that this slope rises to point E, then falls again at larger outputs. Geometric Trick 2, the old tangency trick. MPa = ∆TP when we use one more unit of a. MPa = ∆TP/∆Q Geometric Trick 2, the old tangency trick. Find the slope of TP at a given output to determine the MPa at that output. Find the slope geometrically by drawing a tangent line to the TP curve at the interesting output. Draw the stages of production why operate in more Stage II InShow stage I, we we keep going for inputs because it results in growing average and marginal productivity. In stage III we are experiencing diminishing returns (negative MPa). Show: TVC, TFC, TC and their slopes Total Costs At first, TVC and TC rise gradually, Q rises faster than cost because of increasing returns. Then, TVC and TC rise rapidly. Costs rise faster than output because of diminishing returns. Average variable, average total costs We can find the average costs from the totals, using geometric trick #1, the old ray trick. Average variable, average total costs Draw a ray from the origin through a point on the TC or TVC curve. The slope of the ray is the average cost (Rise/Run = TC/Q = AC. First it declines (increasing returns, then rises (diminishing returns). Marginal Costs Marginal cost is the change in TC or TVC when output is increased by one unit. Or, it is the slope of TC or TVC. Therefore, we can find it by taking the derivative of a TC function. Marginal Costs Or, we can use geometric trick #2, the old tangency trick. Draw a tangency to the TC (or TVC) curve. The slope of the tangent is MC. First, MC declines (increasing returns), but ultimately rises (decreasing returns). Find SR: AVC, AFC, AC, and MC, using two geometric tricks. Note that the APP rises and falls in correspondence with the decline, then increase of AVC. AP increases (AVC) falls as increasing returns to the variable factor occurs. But as diminishing returns set in, APP falls, which means that AVC rises Discuss LR Costs 1. No fixed factors 2. Unlimited number of conceptual SRAC curves. Choose your output, then the SRAC that produces it at the lowest cost. Discuss LR Costs 3. Envelope curve 4. “For any output, min cost by using the scale of plant whose SRAC curve is tangent to the LRAC curve.” Why is it U-shaped? Economies of scale vs. Law of diminishing returns Economies of scale: division and specialization of labor, advanced technology, large machines, digitalization and electronics. Diseconomies of scale: control and coordination problems Learning curve. Four LRAC curves Textbook U (Range of) constant returns Constant returns through replication Continually increasing returns Isoquant/Isocost approach to production, trade, equilibrium and efficiency. Isoquants--purpose for use Get up to speed on diagrams. Tight logic (and math) vs. Isoquant/Isocost approach to production, trade, equilibrium and efficiency. Scientists prize -- skepticism, -- rigorous reasoning, and -- empirical experimentation.) Appreciate and understand Tradeoffs Budget constraints Logic of maximization Representation of efficiency Get ready for a quiz next session on the production box. 1. Intuition on isoquants: Movement NE = improvement. Discovering substitutability of inputs. MRTSlk = ∆ K/ ∆ L 2. Characteristics of isoquants a. No intersection b. Downward slope MRTSlk = amount of K lost for which one unit of L will compensate. Total Cost = C = wL + rK Rewrite: rK = C - wL K = C/r - (w/r)L Intercept ratio of factor prices (or slope of budget line) Slope of isoquant: MRTSlk = MPl/MPk = ∆ K/ ∆L Discuss diminishing MRTSlk (and tradeoffs) ∆Q = MPl(∆L) ∆Q = MPk( ∆ K) On the isoquant MPl(∆ L) + MPk(∆K) = 0 At equilibrium Slope of Isoquant = Slope of isocost Mpl /MPk = w/r Mpl/w = MPk/r (Mpl/Pl = Mpk/Pk) 4. Show isocost line Preparation for quiz on isoquants and the Edgeworth Box: 1. Start with the two-producer barter case of production: the EdgeworthBowley Box Gains of trade. Efficiency is being on the contract curve. Trading from any point off the contract curve to a point on the contract curve. Labor (Clothing Producer Origin) 0 Capital Capital C O Labor (Food Producer Origin) Labor (Clothing Producer Origin) 0 Capital B C O Labor (Food Producer Origin) Capital Observe a movement from point A to a point on the A Contract Curve. here? IsWho this ahas netgained social gain? Labor (Clothing Producer Origin) 0 Capital Capital Observe a different movement from point A to a point on the A Contract Curve. here? IsWho this ahas netgained social gain? D C O Labor (Food Producer Origin) Labor (Clothing Producer Origin) 0 Capital Capital Observe a more reasonable movement from point A to A point D on the Contract Curve. here? IsWho this ahas netgained social gain? D C O Labor (Food Producer Origin) Movement along the contract curve To move to the contract curve is to achieve efficiency. What does movement along the curve represent? Theft, violence, opportunism– “economic man” as rational optimizer vs. opportunism. The market production case. Isoquants and Isocost lines. TC = Pl(L) + Pk(K). The easy way to draw it. Say we have a budget of $100, Pl = $.50 and Pk = $1 $100 = .50L + K K = 100 – 0.5L 100 is the Y intercept, the slope is -1 times the ratio of the two prices (Pl/Pk). Show input prices varying and resultant isocost lines. ManEc 300 Day 10 Bryson Ownership and Property Rights.ppt, 1. Review slide (power point) presentation for chapter 5. 2. The ppt presentation reviews Millgrom & Roberts notes. ManEc 300 Day 11 Bryson Ownership and Property Rights, II 1. Complete property rights discussion (& “tragedy of commons”) Coase Theorem 2. Read about government actions and other solutions to externalities problem. A. Cooperation and Group Ownership B. Reputation C. Taxes and Subsidies ManEc 300 Day 11 Bryson (Cont’d) 2. a. Discuss overhead “The Nature of Profits”. b. Millgrom & Roberts on “Ownership of Complex Assets”. ManEc 300 Prof. Bryson Day 12 The Profit Motive Definition I. Normal Profit (as opposed to accounting profits) assumes a return high enough to include: A. Normal (opportunity cost) return to stockholders ManEc 300 Prof. Bryson B. Normal (opportunity cost) return to management (and all other factors). II. Economic Profit or “Pure” Profit is any profit in excess of normal profit. Day 12 The Profit Motive The Function of Profit Pure or Economic Profit permits: 1. Higher than normal returns (dividends) to owners 2. Increase in value of owners’ holdings (Or, profits “plowed back” into investments) The Function of Profit 3. Higher than normal (opportunity cost) returns for other factors of production. Profit can be a vitally important market signal of great social benefit. The Origins of Profit Profits may result from -- the exploitation of a monopoly position, -- from innovative entrepreneurship and the effective introduction of new technologies (cost-cutting or revenue generating) in the face of risk, or The Origins of Profit Profits may result from --from a new and superior means of satisfying consumer demands Profit Maximization and Other Theories 1. Profit maximization, say most economists, is the best general theory. It has to work in pure competition. 2. Where a firm has little competition, or competitive “slack”, it may be at liberty to pursue other objectives, while “satisficing” profits. Profit Maximization and Other Theories Other objectives might include: A. Maximizing Sales Revenues B. Maximizing Market Share C. Ensuring Long-term Survival D. Pursuing growth and Diversification for the firm E. Pursuing Social Objectives The Simple Mathematics of Micro Production theory. Begin with a production function: showing output, Q, a function of the variable input, labor, a. Marginal product of labor (MPa) is a) the addition to total product resulting from the use of one more unit of a. The Simple Mathematics of Micro Marginal product of labor (MPa) is b) the slope of the total product curve, and c) the first derivative of a total product, TP, function, thus, dQ/da = MPa = 21 + 18a - 3a2* _______________________ Taking Derivatives *You will remember about first derivatives that: to get the derivative of a constant, dQ/da = 0. For example, in the expression Q = 21 + 7a - a2 + 3a3, the number 21 is a constant, for which dQ/da = 0. Taking Derivatives To get the derivative of a variable “a” preceded by a coefficient m, or ma, dQ/da = m. For example, in the expression Q = 21 + 7a - a2 + 3a3, the term 7a consists of the coefficient 7 and the variable a, for which dQ/da = 7. Taking Derivatives To get the derivative of a variable with an exponent, an, dQ/da = nan-1. For example, in the expression Q = 21 + 7a - a2 + 3a3, the term a2 consists of the variable a and the exponent 2, for which dQ/da = 2a. Taking Derivatives (By the formula, this would read 2a1, but any number or variable taken to the first power, i.e., having an exponent of 1, is not changed. So we need not write the 1.) Taking Derivatives To get the derivative of a variable with both coefficient m and exponent n, such as man, we have dQ/da = n(m)an-1 For example, in the expression Q = 21 + 7a - a2 + 3a3, the term 3a3 consists of the variable a with the coefficient 3 and exponent 3, for which dQ/da = 9a2. Taking Derivatives For the entire expression, Q = 21 + 7a - a2 + 3a3, we get the derivative dQ/da = 7 - 2a + 9a2. For average product, AP, we have APa = (TP/a) = (21a + 9a2 - a3)/a = 21 + 9a - a2 Cost Analysis Now consider costs, using the same kind of analysis. We recall the simple short-run relationships, specifically that total cost, TC, equals total fixed costs (TFC) plus total variable costs (TVC) or TC = TFC + TVC Cost Analysis TC = TFC + TVC Dividing both sides by Q, or quantity of output, we have TC/Q = TFC/Q + TVC/Q, or AC = AFC + AVC. Cost Analysis For total cost, consider the expression TC = 128 + 69Q - 14Q2 + Q3. Here, TFC = 128 and TVC = 69Q - 14Q2 + Q3. Cost Analysis MC = dTC/dQ = dTVC/dQ = 69 - 28Q + 3Q2 AVC = TVC/Q = (69Q - 14Q2 + Q3)/Q = 69 - 14Q + Q2 The Demand Function Consider now a demand function such as P = 3200 - 13Q. It will be recalled that demand = average revenue, AR, so we also have AR = 3200 - 13Q The Demand Function Note that in this expression of a linear demand function, 3200 is the intercept, -13 the slope. To get total revenue, TR, we observe that TR = P x Q, so TR = 3200Q - 13Q2 Marginal Revenue Marginal revenue, MR, is simply the slope of a total revenue curve, or the first derivative of a TR function, so from P = 3200-13Q. TR = PQ = 3200Q – 13Q2 MR = dTR/dQ = 3200 26Q. Marginal Revenue It will be noticed that the MR has the same intercept (3200) as the demand or average revenue curve, while the slope (-26 rather than -13) of MR is twice as great as the slope of AR, i.e., the MR curve falls twice as fast as the demand curve. Maximizing Profits Now, maximizing the firm’s profits. TR = PQ = 3200Q - 13Q2 MR = 3200 - 26Q. Assume: TC= 24,000 + 500Q - 13Q2 + Q3, MC = 500 - 26Q + 3Q2. Maximizing Profits To get profit maximization, we simply equate MC and MR, so MC = MR 3200 - 26Q = 500 - 26Q + 3Q2 2700 = 3Q2 900 = Q2 Q = 30 Optimal Price with Quantity = 30 Looking back at the demand function again, we have P = 3200 - 13(30) P = 3200 - 390 P = 2810. This is the right price to charge for sales of 30 units of output in the pursuit of maximal profit. FOR THE NEXT SESSION Don’t forget the group math homework due next session. 1. Math assignment Hints: Problem 3: plug value of Q into formula up front, not after you have differentiated. FOR THE NEXT SESSION Note that dp/dq = 1/(dQ/dP), dQ/dP = 1/(dP/dQ) No quadratic equation used. Follow problem 4's hint. Factor Q2 so (...Q)(...Q) ManEc 300 Conclusion, Day 12 Prof Bryson As soon as the next discussion (on competition) Is complete, we will have a quiz on that topic. Please look at the reading for the next session.. Pure Competition The assumptions of pure competition. – A large number of buyers and sellers – Product homogeneity – Free entry and exit The assumption that makes for perfect competition – Rapid dissemination of low-cost, accurate information Pure Competition Discuss the standard, market/firm, double diagram of competition. Short-term profits lead to entry, which can impact costs: constant, increasing, decreasing. ManEc 300 Prof. Bryson Day 13 Pure Competition 3. Review of pure competition. a. TC, TR and NR diagrams for NR>0, NR=0, NR<0. b. When making losses? When shut down? (Go fishing) ManEc 300 Prof. Bryson Day 13 Pure Competition 3. Review of pure competition. c. Why is perfect competition efficient? d. Show constant & increasing (then decreasing) costs. 4. Why all cost curves are equal in competition As soon as the next discussion (on competition) Is complete, we will have a quiz on that topic. Please look at the reading for the next session.. The assumptions of pure competition. A large number of buyers and sellers Product homogeneity Free entry and exit The assumption that makes for perfect competition Rapid dissemination of low-cost, accurate information P Discuss the standard, market/firm, double diagram of competition. Q q q q Short-term profits lead to entry. P S P S’ P=MR=AR D 0 Q q Entry can impact costs: constant, increasing, decreasing. First, consider an increasing cost industry in pure competition Demand Increases Price rises Entry Occurs, pushing S out to the right Costs change as a result of entry, here they rise 1. 2. 3. 4. P S P=MR=AR D 0 q Consider now a decreasing-cost industry in pure competition Demand Increases Price rises Entry Occurs, pushing S out to the right Costs change as a result of entry, here they fall 1. 2. 3. 4. P S P=MR=AR D 0 q Finally, consider a constant-cost industry Demand Increases Price rises Entry Occurs, pushing S out to the right Costs usually change as a result of entry, but here they remain the same 1. 2. 3. 4. P S P=MR=AR D 0 q TC, TR and NR diagrams for NR>0, NR=0, NR<0. TC TC TC TR NR NR NR When making losses? TC When shut down? (Go fishing) TR Total Fishing Costs! TFC If we shut down, we must pay? If we produce, we suffer only our operating losses NR Why is perfect competition efficient? The consumer pays only the minimal average costs of production. All factors of production get normal opportunity cost returns. Why all cost curves are equal in competition Firm B and Firm manyAothers will try to bid that that factor Assume has a production factor away from A. If A doesn’t paylowering that factor more, reduces production costs, cost curves It will leave. So A’s cost curves go back up. Firm A Firm B ManEc 300 Day 14 Bryson (Cont’d) Quiz on competition Begin monopoly See Power Point presentation Day 15 Review session before midterm. Day 16 Midterm at Testing Center. ManEc 300 Day 17 Bryson 1. PowerPoint presentation of monopoly. 2. There will be a multiple choice quiz next class session on monopoly. ManEc 300 Days 18, 19 Prof. Bryson Discussion on monopoly regulation and contestable markets. Announcements: In the File Directory, see “Practice Multiple Choice Questions.doc.” At the bottom of the file are references to on-line multiple choice questions for practice and tips on doing them. ManEc 300 Day 19 Bryson Competition from a spiritual perspective. . Discussion on Price discrimination Monopolistic competition ManEc 300 Day 20 Bryson Begin oligopoly, which will cover The Kinked Demand Curve (see ppt) Baumol’s model of Sales Maximization with a profit constraint, and Game theory Profit constrained sales maximization Goal: maximize total revenue (dollar sales, not physical volume), while making sufficient profit. Sufficient profit – Pays satisfactory dividends – Provides net investment for growth – Ensures financial safety, and – Retains capital market confidence. Baumol on Sales Maximization Oligopoly and the real world $ TC TR We used this model for Monopoly, and it Aapplies = NR orhere. Π max C = Sales max, but with big losses. NR 0 A B C B = greatest sales that still yield Min Π sufficient and X minimally required profit. Baumol: conclusions This is not really like cost-plus pricing, which produces some output, figures the cost and adds a profit markup. Baumol’s model pre-determines output B as the greatest one that yields sufficient profit. Baumol: conclusions This model incorporates interdependence, which can shift around the TR curve greatly. Lack of emphasis on profit here may help avoid anti-trust action and entry. ManEc 300 Day 20 Bryson 2. Kinked Demand Curve PowerPoint presentation ManEc 300 Session 22 Bryson Conclusion of Oligopoly. Power Point Presentation on Game Theory ManEc 300 Session 22 Bryson BOUNDED RATIONALITY AND CONTRACTING The motivation problem. The question here is motivation. Management must assure that the various actors and contract participants actually do their parts, both acting and reporting appropriately. ManEc 300 Session 22 Bryson BOUNDED RATIONALITY AND CONTRACTING Incentive Compatibility People will do only what they perceive to be in their interests. Affairs need to be arranged so that while pursuing their own interests, peoples’ actions also promote the interests of the corporation and (from the standpoint of the economist) the interests of the society as well. BOUNDED RATIONALITY Perfect, complete contracts. Contracts (or at least voluntary agreements) are the means by which mutual interests are pursued. The motivation problem: all relevant plans cannot be completely described in enforceable contracts. To write a perfect contract, parties would have to foresee all contingencies, then agree on an efficient course of action responding to each one. BOUNDED RATIONALITY Perfect, complete contracts. But we must contract with bounded rationality, i.e., – limited foresight, – imprecise language, In the face of bounded rationality, people act in an intentionally rational manner, doing the best they can given these limitations. Contingency Responses Especially when unforeseen contingencies arise, parties often adapt opportunistically. Incomplete and unenforceable contracts lead to problems of imperfect commitment. Contingency Responses Where contingencies are foreseen, impacts and probability of occurrence may be misperceived, so they may not be included in the contract. Contracts usually relatively inflexible, covering many provisions very broadly. Contingency Responses Relational contracting avoids comprehensive contracts – agreement about goals and objectives – general provisions broadly applicable. – Procedures are outlined for making decisions and mechanisms for appeal. Private Information and Adverse Selection In contracting, private information may prohibit a value-maximizing agreement. If private information held by one party we can incur an adverse selection problem. Private Information and Adverse Selection The most famous example of asymmetric information and adverse selection: if the seller of a used car knows it is a lemon, the selection of products (cars) offered in a market is determined in a manner adverse to the buyers’ interests. Pre-contractual Opportunism Adverse Selection Cases of Asymmetric Information Used Cars Insurance (Maternity) Gifthorse, or gifthamster Courtship Auto air-conditioner – (Nissan/CalsonicHarrison Co. A JV no. of Tokyo) Market vs. Government Solutions Where AS is strong enough, the price of insurance can be driven so high that nobody can afford it, so that market collapses. No insurer, facing costs of insurance payments, plus overhead, can afford to serve the set of customers who wish to buy insurance. Market vs. Government Solutions George Akerloff (“lemon markets”) showed that the volume of trade in markets with AS is inefficiently low. As we have seen, the market can also fail. That failure often leads to clever alternative arrangements and practices in the private sector. Too often, some advocate that the government jump in with subsidies before seeing what the private market will come up with. Adverse Selection in Bank Loans AS in Bank Loans. The interest rates that a bank charges can affect the selection of customers who apply for loans: when there is excess demand for loans, a bank may be inclined to raise its interest rates. Adverse Selection in Bank Loans But at high rates, only those customers with very risky investments may be seeking loans. The bank should ration credit in cases of excess demand, rather than raising the interest rate. Signaling and Screening Signaling is an attempt to communicate private information credibly. Example: – Talented workers may gain additional education as much for the value of credentials as to enhance their actual productivity. Signaling and Screening Screening is done to attract only desirable potential customers, workers, etc. Or, at least to sort groups into quality categories. Signaling and Screening Example: – offering some jobs with incentive pay schemes and others with fixed wages may tend to sort the workers. The most productive ones will tend to select the incentive pay jobs. ManEc 300 Session 22 Bryson Alert! For tomorrow, go through the scheduled Power Point on Moral Hazard. We will have a quiz on it. ManEc 300 Session 22 Bryson Contract Incomplete, Bounded Rationality Imperfect Commitment Reneging Holdup Problem specific assets co-specialized assets Commitment and Reneging One of the parties to an imperfect contract may try to renege -- payment won’t be made or the product won’t be delivered. Commitment and Reneging Contract ambiguity may make it difficult even to know who is reneging. Fear of reneging may cause a contract not to be completed in the first place. Contract Renegotiation A second commitment problem is that sometimes it becomes necessary to engage in ex post renegotiation of the contract. Contract Renegotiation Example: – Some firms provide incentives to executives by issuing stock options stating they can purchase stock at a specific price on future dates. The managers are supposed to work to get the stock price higher giving them a windfall gain. Contract Renegotiation Example: – But if after the options are issued a firm’s stock price falls drastically, the options are worthless and won’t provide incentives. So it will pay to renegotiate. The Hold-up Problem Where both parties to a contract need to worry about being forced to accept disadvantageous terms later, after it has sunk resources into an investment, there is a hold-up problem. The Hold-up Problem The problem: specific use of particular assets in imperfect contracting. Fearing that a big investment may lead to later vulnerability can lead to a refusal to make the efficient investment. The Hold-up Problem: Example If a coal mine supplies a local power plant (as its only customer) and a big investment is required, will the relationship continue after the expensive investment? What will the price of coal be in the future? The Hold-up Problem: Example Post-contractual opportunism may result, so parties can exploit loopholes to gain unfair advantage. A common response to a cospecialized assets problem is for the same party or firm ultimately to own both assets. We should critically evaluate opportunistic behavior Is this acceptable business behavior? Is this fair behavior? Is this OK behavior? Is this behavior we all engage in? Is this moral behavior? Read George Q. Cannon Statement George Q. Cannon on Informational Asymmetry Collected Discourses, Vol.5, George Q. Cannon, October 6, 1895 I might go on and speak about stealing, and dishonesty, and many other sins. I believe that the Latter-day Satins as a people are a more honest people, that they respect their obligations more than other people. George Q. Cannon on Informational Asymmetry Collected Discourses, Vol.5, George Q. Cannon, October 6, 1895 We show this in our business associations and dealing. We have the credit for it everywhere. Men who have found fault with our religion frequently acknowledge that we are an honest people, and our credit is "gilt edged." But there are some things that we are still guilty of. George Q. Cannon on Informational Asymmetry I believe, however, that the young and rising generation will outgrow them. It is a strong temptation for a man, when he has got a piece of property and he has a chance to trade or sell it, to let the buyer think it is better than it is. George Q. Cannon on Informational Asymmetry Now, if we were strictly honest, we would tell exactly the character of that which we have to sell. We would not allow a man to deceive himself; we would tell him the facts. But I know that we are all under the influence of the old traditions. George Q. Cannon on Informational Asymmetry The old traditions were that a man should have his own eyesight, and that the seller should not furnish him with anything to aid his perception or to enable him to perceive something that he would not otherwise see. It is a hard thing for men who have grown up under that system of things to refrain from it. George Q. Cannon on Informational Asymmetry You see everywhere where things are for sale the endeavor to make them appear better in the eyes of the purchaser than they are. We have got to change in this respect. Whenever a man yields to do a dishonest thing he yields to Satan, and Satan has influence and power over him to that extent. We have got to learn to overcome these things, and to have Satan bound. Suggestion: Begin Reviewing for Final In just a few days we will have an in- class review for the final. Please bring your questions to that session for discussion. Tomorrow there will be a quiz on moral hazard. Post-contractual Opportunism: Moral Hazard, Session 24 The definition: MH is the form of post-contractual opportunism that arises because actions that have efficiency consequences are not freely observable and so the person taking them may choose to pursue his or her private interests at others’ expense. Post-contractual Opportunism: Moral Hazard, Session 24 The term originated in the insurance industry, where the tendency of people was observed to change their behavior in a way that led to larger claims against the insurance company (e.g., being lax about taking precautions to avoid or minimize losses). ManEc 300 Bryson Day 24 Commitment vs. Monitoring Shirking, Fraud/Deceit . In the case of the residual claimant, who monitors the monitor? South African Hosp AMA, Doctors vs. Litigation ManEc 300 Day 24 Bryson Principle-agent relationship Case of US Savings & Loan Crisis S&L’s borrow from savers, loan for mortgages-- low interest rates FSLIC Insurance 1980’s Fed Interest Rates Deregulation (cease monitoring) ManEc 300 Day 24 Bryson S&LS CONTINUED: Fraud (25% of S&L bankruptcies) Depositors didn’t monitor (insured) Politicians wouldn’t monitor ManEc 300 Day 24 Bryson Note public insurance examples: • Gov. Nat’l Mortgage Association (GNMA)-- insurance against default • Student Loans ManEc 300 Day 25 Bryson Economic Strategy and Michael Porter See and discuss Power Point, “Bryson on Porter” The firm’s competitive advantage 2.The Gershwin-playing hamster ManEc 300 Days 26, 27 Bryson Discussion of Organizational Architecture.ppt Review for final. A little final math practice Suppose a firm’s TR is given as TR = 500Q - 4Q2 When output is 100, TR is a. $2,000. b. $20,000. c. $10,000. d. $49,600. e. None of the above. Suppose a firm’s TR is given as TR = 500Q - 4Q2 When output is 10 units, AR is a. $460. b. $560 c. More than $500 d. $360 e. None of the above When TR = 500Q - 4Q2 At an output level equal to 20, MR is a. $440. b. $340 c. More than 500. d. None of the above. Marginal revenue a. always exceeds marginal cost. b. always equals marginal cost. c. is the tangent of the average revenue curve. d. is the slope of the total revenue curve. e. is the distance between total revenue and total cost curves at optimal output. When TR = 500Q - 4Q2 Marginal revenue and average revenue are equal when a. Q = 10. b. Q = 0. c. Q > 0. d. Q < 0. e. None of the above.