AP Government “Presidential Leadership” (1) Presidential Personality Traits • The public assesses which presidential candidate has the best judgment and character for the office • Personality traits that are desired include trustworthiness, morality, strong self-esteem, emotional intelligence, leadership, integrity, and competence (2) Presidential Greatness Polls • Ranking presidents is a subjective task • Factors that influence the results of such rankings – Who is being polled? (historians or general public) – Recent presidents tend to get higher rankings – Political party identification skews rankings • Presidents who tend to get high ranks since Mt. Rushmore include – – – – – Franklin Roosevelt Ronald Reagan John F. Kennedy Dwight Eisenhower Harry Truman (3) Presidential Political Skills Getting the “Johnson Treatment” at the LBJ Library in Texas • Political skills determine a presidents ability to gain, lose or maintain their influence • These skills include ability to bargain, to deal with adversaries, to choose priorities (determining when to accept compromises and when to stand on principle), and to use resources available (media, staff, etc.) • Presidents who take on ambitious plans risk a lot, but can gain a lot (need considerable political skill to make these gambles pay off) (4) Presidents and Public Opinion • If a president has a high approval rating it will help him to be more aggressive in recommending legislation to Congress • Presidents then use their popularity to help them in the bargaining process to support their legislation • Presidents use ads, them media and public appearances to try to sway public opinion (appeal to the public goes over the head of Congress to gain support for legislation) “I wonder how far Moses would have gone if he’d taken a poll in Egypt” (Harry Truman) (5) Presidential Approval Ratings • Several factors explain fluctuation of presidential approval ratings – – – – – Honeymoon period Economic conditions Inflation Unemployment rates Major events that occur during their term – War (sometimes up when war starts, sometimes down when casualties mount) (6) Political Context • Personality traits, political skills and public opinion are important, but also important is the political environment that a president operates in • Divided government – when one party controls the White House while the other controls Congress • Gridlock – situation when gov’t is incapable of acting on important issues • Electoral mandate – when a president is elected they claim to have this mandate from the people to carry out their policy proposals (candidates who win by wide margins are more likely to push for major policy changes) (7) Vagueness on Stances on Issues Richard Nixon said in his campaign in 1968 that he was committed to ending the war in Vietnam without giving any details on how that would be accomplished. Nixon then announced prior to the election of 1972 that “peace was at hand,” again without any details. The U.S. finally withdrew from the war in early 1973. • Issue stances can both attract voters, but they can also drive some voters away • Candidates are often vague to maintain a middle ground between the two • A candidate that is to vague can be accused of being wishy-washy • Candidates do need to appear strongly in favor of something in order to be taken serious (8) Environments for Success • Presidents who come to power after critical elections have the most favorable environment for exerting strong presidential leadership • Presidents who are the weakest are constrained by their affiliation with a party that is perceived to stand for worn-out ideas Two viewpoints that vied in the critical election of 1932 during the midst of the Great Depression (9) Reagan Shapes Republican Agenda • The dominant New Deal coalition survived from the critical election of 1932 and the election of FDR during the Great Depression until the critical election of 1968 • With the election of Ronald Reagan in 1980, Republicans had a new hero with a new message • Reagan’s anti-New Deal message declared “government is not the solution, it is the problem” • Reagan reduced taxes, reduced spending (mostly on social programs, but not on the military) and reduced government regulations (10) When the Campaign is Over • Each president enters office with a general vison of how government should approach policy issues • Presidents spend much of their time trying to get Congress to pass legislation reflecting this vision • Thus campaigns are about visions and presidential leadership mode is handling the issues of the day while pushing through related legislation • Political realities often force a president to priorities what actions to pursue (11) Legislative Liaison Staff • Legislative liaison staff – people who compose the communications link between the White House and Congress, advising the president or cabinet secretaries on the status of pending legislation • They determine if portions of the bill need to be amended • They determine whether a bill is likely to pass or not • They also try to convince members of Congress to support legislation favored by the President (12) Presidents v. Prime Ministers • U.S. Presidents have no formal role as leader of their political party, but they unequivocally fill that role in informal ways • Prime ministers are the formal leaders of their party within the national legislature of their nation, as well as the head of state for their government • Prime ministers owe their direct allegiance to the party leaders within their British Prime Minister David Cameron legislature, and not to voters (as they are of the Conservative Party and not directly elected by them) Canadian Prime Minister Stephen • When divided government exists, Harper of their Conservative Party presidents need to compromise greatly with the other party in order to accomplish things like budget deals (which can upset members of their own party) • Prime ministers have the support of the majority in the legislature at all times and have less need to compromise Presidents and Foreign Relations • Presidents also have an important role in improving the U.S.’s relations with allies, adversaries and developing nations • In the years from the end of WWII to 1980, the Cold War dominated U.S. foreign policy • With the collapse of communism in the Soviet Union and in Easter Europe a new era of international relations has emerged • The U.S. has emerged as the only true military superpower • Still the major objectives of U.S. foreign policy remains (13) Presidents and Foreign Relations • Presidents are concerned with three fundamental objectives: – National security (direct protection of the U.S. and its citizens) – Fostering a peaceful international environment (seek to end regional conflicts throughout the world) – Protection of U.S. economic interests • The War in Iraq is a case study in balancing all of these objectives at once Presidential Personality Models • Hamiltonian: – Active president; policy initiative; should use implied powers to promote his agenda of nat’l interest • Madisonian: – Based on checks & balances; traditional model; – Prudent government…utilize concurrent majorities • Jeffersonian – Utilize strong national party system; party puts forth and implements program; utilize majority rule Raising the Minimum Wage • http://thecolbertreport.cc.com/videos/s9iccj/incomeinequality-debate • http://thedailyshow.cc.com/videos/ro5l52/world-of-classwarfare---warren-buffett-vs--wealthy-conservatives • http://thedailyshow.cc.com/videos/tprkvs/waging-bull • http://thedailyshow.cc.com/videos/ddm404/wage-againstthe-machine • http://thedailyshow.cc.com/videos/v1lzn2/the-amazing-raise • http://thedailyshow.cc.com/videos/3gmt6f/pay-mas