COMET Briefing to CNMOC
30 October2013
New COMET Business Model
Implementing Formal Project Management to Ensure Effectiveness and Efficiency
COMET Capacity Trends
New Staffing Model
• Core Staff = 24 ~ $4.3M
– ~60% of $6.3M
– (Focused on Sponsors)
Budget Down $2.3M/YR
Over 3 YRS
• Temp/Casual Staff = 10 ~ $2M
– ~40% of $6.3M
– (Focused on New Business Partners)
• New Sponsors Development
– Univ/Private/Public = $2M
Staff Decreased 41-24 Over 3 YRS
• Projected Budget in 3 to 5 years
= $6-7M and COMET will utilize
the 60/40 model
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COMET FY13 Milestones/Accomplishments
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Total Modules = 489 (FY-13 = 58)
Modules translated = 143 (FY-13 = 27)
Total Registered Users = 300,000+
(Sep 13)
Total Education Users = 102,873
Total International Users = 101,781
Total U.S. Private Sector Users =
34,705
Modules Completed FY13 = 195,581
Number of Quizzes FY13 = 111,964
AVG Improvement between pre and
post tests=59% (pre) to 81%(post)
COMET Budget is stable for FY-14 at $4.3M with a 7 person staff reduction
and a 20% Reduction in Capacity
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Funding Sources By Sponsor
$200,000.00
$100,000.00
$100,000.00
$15,000.00
Funding
NWS
$75,000.00
MSC
Navy
BOM
$1,325,000.00
$1,332,000.00
Reclamation
NESDIS
NOS
EUMETSAT
$551,000.00
$362,000.00
Commercial
Misc
$50,000
$397,000.00
FAA
Module Content/Recorded Lectures
By Year
Losing Capacity
5
MetEd Support and Upgrades
6
FY12-FY14
Budget
Summary
FY12
FY13
FY14
$ 5,210,000
$ 4,680,000
$ 4,300,000
NWS NWP (*)
$ 1,376,000
$ 191,000
$ 1,000,000
$
-
$
$
50,000
NWS Module Updates (O&M)
NWS PNS funding
NWS Aviation
NWS Hydrology
NWS Climate
$
$
$
$
$
125,000
62,000
300,000
74,000
18,000
$
$
$
$
$
32,000
300,000
50,800
52,000
$
$
$
$
$
6,000
300,000
-
NWS International Activities
NWS AWIPS II Validation
$
414,000
$
$
127,000
83,000
$
$
329,000
172,000
NWS Sandy Supplmental Potential Projects*
NESDIS GOES-R
NESDIS JPSS
$
$
$
400,000
275,000
$
$
$
400,000
325,000
$
$
$
475,000
400,000
425,000
NESDIS (Hilding + GOESR Outreach Reallocation)
NOS
NMOC
$
$
408,000
$
$
$
90,435
100,000
473,000
$
$
$
125,000
75,000
425,000
MSC (includes supplemental contracts)
$
342,000
$
505,000
$
551,000
Bureau of Reclamation
EUMETSAT
UCAR Climate Model Module
FAA Safe Skies
$
$
$
$
250,000
70,000
83,000
300,000
$
$
$
$
263,000
73,000
332,000
$
$
$
$
362,000
100,000
333,000
Bureau of Meteorology of Australia
$
44,000
$
52,525
$
50,000
Commercial Sector (Ball, Fugro, etc.)
WMO
$
$
$
104,000
$
200,000
One Time Projects (NWS NEEF NSF,etc)
Total Funding
Balance
$ 523,000
$ 5,255,000
$
45,000
Spending Plan (no Outreach)
Funding Assumption (no Outreach)
NWS Base Funding
-
$ 267,800
$ 4,630,560
$ (49,440)
$
15,000
$ 4,393,000
$
93,000
* Some FY14 NWP Support and other potential project may be received through a contract for the Sandy Supplemental
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FY13 Accomplishments
and FY14 Plans
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Aviation
FY13
Published projects:
• Updated NAS Lesson (NWS)
• Aeronautical Continuing Professional
Development Course for Caribbean (NWS IAO)
• Safe Skies for Africa Year Two (DOT)
FY14
Projects may include:
• Update to DLAC 2 (NWS)
• Convective Lesson (NWS)
• Safe Skies for Africa Year Three (DOT)
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Climate and
Water
Published projects:
FY13
• Held two 3-day residence courses for water resource
practitioners (Reclamation)
• Developed curriculum outlines for 1) Water Temperature
Impacts and 2) Sedimentation and River Hydraulics
(Reclamation)
• Complete first pilot video project (Reclamation)
• Initiate conversion of HIUCC course to virtual format
(Reclamation)
• Initiate business development activities leading to
offering registration courses with CEUs (Reclamation)
• Climatology for the Operational Forecaster (Navy)
• Hold 1 CVCVC offering and publish select lectures (NWS)
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Climate FY14
Plans
Projects may include:
FY14
• Develop training lessons/courses for Water
Temperature Impacts topic area (Reclamation)
• Complete additional videos (Reclamation)
• Deliver HIUCC course in virtual format (Reclamation)
• Further business development leading to registration
courses with CEUs
• Will require development of curriculum outlines for
remaining PCUs, Landcover Response, and Water
Quality Impacts (Reclamation)
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Emergency
Management
Published projects:
FY13
FY14
• Aerial Surveillance of Oil Spills Lesson
(NOS)
Projects may include:
• Conversion of SOS Course [Science of Oil
Spills] to distance learning (NOS)
12
Fire Weather
Published projects:
FY13
FY14
• Severe Fire Weather Patterns in
Southeastern Australia (BoM Australia)
• Possible new Fire Weather Pattern lesson
(BoM Australia)
13
Numerical
Weather
Prediction
FY13
Published Projects:
• Introduction to Climate Models (UCAR)
• Introduction to Ensemble Forecasting
Hurricane Sandy (Navy)
Note: NWS NWP funding and work suspended
FY14
Plans include:
• Completion of NWP Course 3 (contingent
on NWS funding)
• Updates to the NWP Model Matrix
(contingent on NWS funding)
• Ensembles lesson (MSC)
14
Satellite
Meteorology
FY13
Published projects:
• GOES-R ABI: Next Generation Satellite Imaging
• Advances in Space-Based Nighttime Visible Observation (on DNB)
• Significant Updates to 4 NPOESS/JPSS modules
• Satellite Monitoring of Atmospheric Composition (with EUMETSAT)
• Monitoring the Climate System with Satellites (with EUMETSAT)
• 3 ASMET 7 case-study lessons (EUMETSAT)
• 2 Satellite Feature Identification lessons: Jet Streams and Inferring Three
Dimensions from Water Vapor Imagery (MSC)
•
•
•
Infused GEO and LEO data and products into all applicable lessons
Designed, hosted, and facilitated first Virtual Satellite Science Week event
Published ESRC in French, moved site from behind registration, and continued to
populate with content
Initiated projects:
• How Satellite Data Inform NWP lesson
• Imaging with VIIRS, 3rd edition (with new VIIRS data)
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Satellite
Meteorology
•
•
•
•
•
•
FY14
•
•
•
•
•
Continue infusion of GEO and LEO data into all applicable lessons
Develop and publish, GOES-R GLM lesson
Complete How Satellite Data Inform NWP lesson
Complete Imaging with VIIRS, 3rd Edition
Update additional NPOESS/JPSS modules (based on sponsor priorities)
Facilitate additional Satellite Proving Ground virtual events (per
sponsor request)
Initiate lesson on Polar Communications and Weather Satellite to
become part of a new “Are you Advanced Satellite Ready?” DL Course
Continued support of the ESRC
Develop and offer Satellite Meteorology Virtual Courses (tentative)
Initiate EUMETSAT Webcast, Topic TBD
Satellite Feature Identification: Conveyor Belts (MSC)
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WMO
Related
Funding for VCP projects held up in legal tangle between
WMO and State Department
FY13
*pending VCP funding
WMO provided separate funding for priority projects
which includes:
• Limited Spanish translations
• Facilitation of Basic Hydrologic Science DL Course for
Africa
• Ongoing support for hydrology DL courses offered by
RTCs
• Completion of AeroCPD modules
• Internationalization of Volcanic Ash lessons
• Completion of Tropical Synoptic Meteorology Course
Package
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WMO
Related
FY14
*pending VCP funding
• Spanish translations
• Ongoing hydrology Dl course support
• Climate and Climatology Course Package:
Year 1 of 2
• Critical Training for RA-V: Year 1 of 3 (RAM-DL for
Australia, Island Meteorology, Island Hydrology)
• Tropical Synoptics Online Course Adoption
Workshop (with WMO)
• Global Campus Prototype***
* Assumes VCP funding issues are resolved and
FY12-13 work proposals are still valid
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Winter
Weather
FY13
Winter Weather Course, Fall 2012
(MSC)
FY14
Winter Weather Course, Fall 2013
(MSC)
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Other
FY13
•
•
•
•
•
FY14
• Heliophysics (NASA)
• Electromagnetic/Electro-optic Propagation
(Navy)
• Weather Observing: Shore and at Sea
(Navy)
• Storm Surge lesson*
• Tropical Meteorology lessons*
Spark collaboration
GLOBE collaboration
Heliophysics demonstration project (NASA)
Dynamics Learning Objects: PGF (UCAR)
Radiation Learning Object (BoM)
*Contingent on NWS Sandy Supplemental Funding
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MetEd Updates
21
Meted Support and Upgrades
22
Most Viewed Description Pages
(May 2012 – May 2013)
Courses
S-290 Intermediate Wildland
Fire Behavior Course
SKYWARN Spotter Training
Course
105,502 Visits
64,669
Modules
Role of the Skywarn Spotter
26,158 Visits
Skywarn Spotter Convective
Basics
21,691
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Certificate Cost Recovery Program
MetEd Annual Support
Costs ~ $400k
Cost Recovery Focused
on S-290 Wild Land Fire
and Skywarn Spotter
Course
Fee for Certificate is
Optional and Does Not
Affect Report of Course
Completion
Fee’s Collected Will Be
Used As Cost Recovery
To Support MetEd
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Proposals and
Business
Development
25
- P ro p o s a l s N ew B u s i n e s s D eve l o p m e n t
Climate
Partner with NCAR on five climate proposals
Teledyne, Campbell Instruments, Weather Metrics
Training Video Productions
Ball Aerospace
Satellite training module on OMPS and Others
AADT Weather Service East Africa
Full Aviation Weather Service Capability – COMET doing training needs assessment
Weather Decision Technologies
Installation of Weather Radar Systems in SE Asia – COMET doing training.
UKMET College and EUMETSAT
Implementing Training in Aviation and Satellite Sensors (cost recovery)
AWIPS
AWIPS II algorithm validation project (Two years, funded May 2013)
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- Co n t i n u i n g P ro j e c t E x te n s i o n s i n F Y 2 0 1 4
USBR Year Three
Continue conversion to virtual courses, implement business plan, modules to
support the Climate and Water Resources PDS
DOT Safe Skies for Africa Year Three
Completion of modules, case study development and adaptations, and RAMDLAfrica Course, facilitation for RMTC implementation
Australia
Tropical cyclone intensity module, dynamic learning object: monsoon circulations,
monsoon trof migration, trade wind diurnal cycle, etc.
EUMETSAT
New modules, TBD
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Business Development
FY14
FY15
*NWS/International VCP
$380,000
$350,000
*Safe Skies for Africa Year 3 and Beyond
$330,000
TBD
*Reclamation Year 3 and Beyond
$250,000
TBD
*NASA/Heliophysics [thru UCAR VSP Program]
$100,000
$105,000
* EUMETSAT
$90,000
$90,000
* Australia
$60,000
$60,000
*National Ocean Service
$75,000
$75,000
AMDAR [WMO]
$100,000
$50,000
Climate partner w/NCAR [5 Proposals]
??
??
Private Sector [Ball, Fugro, Unisys, etc.]
$200,000
$200,000
*Assumed in FY14 plan
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Bureau of Reclamation
New CA with DOI/USBR
began in FY11 (partners
include USACE, USGS, NOAA,
EPA, Denver Water, Seattle
Public Utilities, and RISAs)
Initial Perceptions
• Initiating new projects with US Bureau of
Reclamation as lead agency
• Curriculum Development Effort
• Prerequisite DL Module
• Two Residence Courses in FY13 (Surface
hydrology and Agricultural foci)
• Great interest and need!
• Initial challenge to engage extensive water
community beyond USBR
• Off to a great start
• Ambitious timeline
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Safe Skies for Africa
Develop and adapt aeronautical meteorology training for African forecasters to meet
WMO competencies qualification requirements by November 2013
Phase 1 (2012):
Define Goals and Methods,
Produce Initial Education and
Training
• Consult with stakeholders to identify training gaps
• Develop plan to enhance African aeronautical meteorological
training
• Adapt priority training resources and publish preliminary version of
African Review of Aeronautical Meteorology Distance Learning
(RAMDL) course
Phase 2 (2013):
Refinement of the African RAMDL
Course
• Complete adaptations and develop additional RAMDL content
• Begin French translations of high priority modules
• Develop African RAMDL case studies
• Begin developing instructor resources for residence and DL courses
at RTCs
Phase 3 (2014):
Publish Revised RAMDL,
Facilitation, Implementation
• Publish final version of African RAMDL course: ~60 hours
• Complete French translations of key modules
• Help organize and facilitate a test online RAMDL-based courses
• Complete instructor guides for African RAMDL course
• Disseminate training/performance support using mobile learning
strategies
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Additional Business Development Ideas
Homeland Security
and FEMA
Bogdan and Rayder
are helping to
make inroads to
FEMA
Korea Meteorological
Administration
Jeffries and Muller
are corresponding
with KMA about
the winter
Olympics
UNESCO/JCOMM
Private Sector
USGIF/IDC/NGA
Ball
Campbell
Instruments
UNISYS
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Challenges/
Sponsor Support
32
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COMET’s Greatest Challenges and Threats
Stable/Timely funding
Sponsors
Timely SME support for projects
Meeting private sector timelines
Sponsorship for transition to APPs
Developing Decision Science Support Services
Market identification/Niche products
Integration into higher education distance learning support
Staff talent management
Development of new temporary/casual staff
Access to new geosciences SMEs
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Questions/
Discussion?
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