Tackling the Business Case For Energy Storage Energy Storage - Ready to Help Manage Renewables, Demand Response, and Improve T&D Alaska Energy Storage Workshop Anchorage, AK June 20, 2012 America’s Cooperative Research Network Membership established CRN to Monitor, Evaluate and Apply Technologies that: • • • Over 900 co-ops Serves 42 million Americans in 47 States Covers 75% of nation’s land mass Owns 42% of all Distribution Line Totals 2.4 Million Line Miles Powered by 55,000 MW Delivers 178 billion kWh of generation annually Improve Productivity Enhance Service Control Cost Timely Energy Innovations 2 Safety Information Regulations 3 NRECA Technical Teams are Member Driven Our Goal is to Help Clear the Hurdles We start by listening – what challenges are faced? Next we find and vet solutions and identify the hurdles Research is then directed at moving the solutions past the hurdles through support for Development Demonstration 4 Deployment 6 Solar Options DFA Advanced conductors Solar PV Deployment Renewable & Distributed Energy DG Interconnection Edge Voltage Control Compressed Air Storage Superhydrophobic Coatings Electricity from biomass Electric Vehicles Energy Innovations Distribution Operations Dist. Automation Advanced Batteries LED Lamps Multipollutant Control Energy Efficiency Program Design Cycling Damage to Coal Plants Demand Response Models Coal Ash Refining Center for Energy Innovation0 Fuel Cells Generation & Fuels Microturbines MultiSpeak® SCADA Transmission & Substation CVR Remote Sensor Technology Integral Disconnect Secure Software Development Smarter Grid Fuzz Testing Cloud Computing Open Modeling Framework 7 Research Pure science Development To Applied science Applied science and bench and bench To Prototypes and 1st generation products Demonstration Refinement, “hardening” of technology and the mechanics of getting technology to the grid Deployment Accelerating wise adoption – Making the technology practical and accessible 8 Multi-Pollutant Control Distribution Fault Anticipation Superhydrophobic Coatings LED Agriculture Lighting Estimated Life of EE Improvements Next Generation Utility IT Secure Software Development 2012 Research Projects Energy Storage Breakthroughs Longer Life - 5,000 to 10,000 cycles now possible Costs have decreased by over 50% with multiple value streams now providing payback in less than five years Large battery complexes are being built in >1 MW Acceptable efficiency of 70% or more Multiple value streams are possible – Peak shaving – Frequency regulation – T&D asset deferral – Minimize cycling and two-shift damage from renewables to fossil plants Renewable Energy Hurdles Economics Relative to Traditional Intermittency Integration Location, Location, Location Regulatory Mandates Member Expectations 11 Energy storage has huge potential, but there are too many choices and not enough knowledge. 12 Cooperatives and Energy Storage History of ES Projects – – – Recent projects – – – – McIntosh CAES Golden Valley NiCad system Crescent Electric BESS Kauai PV firming Kotzebue wind integration Midwest EC distributed energy storage Others Ongoing research efforts – – Energy Storage Handbook in coordination with DOE / Sandia / EPRI Co-op specific Energy Storage Toolkit There is a groundswell of interest, but lack of in-ground demonstration is a hurdle. 13 Energy Storage Hurdles Technical uncertainty, changing technology Business case is not well understood Limited experience in real-world systems Specific utilities require specific solutions 14 National Cooperative Energy Storage Deployment Initiative Standardized Designs Consolidated Financing and Purchasing • Listen to co-op needs • Work with vendors to develop a set of designs • Optimize install requirements Experience transfer to the entire cooperative network through dedicated outreach Nationwide pilot program across a range of applications • Work with CFC, Co-Bank others to develop business models • Use National Purchasing Program to get economies of scale Leverage cooperative strengths and existing resources to gain experience for the whole community. 15 Storage Evaluations Many companies and technologies choices Wide range of applications – Short-duration needs (high current inrush for motor start, frequency regulation, ramp requirement of renewables) – Long-duration needs (peak shaving, storing renewables) Focus on your needs and the value streams first, the technology choice second 16 Storage is Different Cycle life/discharge pattern of the energy storage system is critical. (i.e., map out how the storage will be used) Nomenclature – kWh, MWh, kW-h Evaluate energy storage using discounted cash flow analysis of the multiple value streams and not cost of electricity. CRN working with co-ops to develop an RFI and RFP for purchasing an energy storage system. 17 Possible Value Streams For Energy Storage Assuming low penetration of renewables Trim Daily Peaks Capacity credit or demand charge reduction Frequency regulation – (higher $$ in pay for performance for energy storage) T&D capital asset deferral Avoid new distribution transformers or transformer banks Avoid line reconductoring and new lines (big $$$$) Possible Value Streams For Energy Storage Assuming low penetration of renewables Arbitrage value Firming and Shifting Renewables Improve thermal plant efficiency/reliability Reduce CO2 emissions from thermal plants Reduce congestion and line losses Eliminate rapid ramp rate requirements Additional Value Streams For Energy Storage Assuming high penetration of wind, such as >10% wind energy Avoid damage to coal-fired power plants Prevent spilling of wind energy at night Additional need for frequency regulation Dynamic VAr support Improved service reliability Emerging Storage Technologies Lithium-Ion & Lithium Titanate Batteries - Expensive but costs dropping, acceptable cycle life, used for short bursts (spinning reserve, frequency regulation, managing high ramp rates) Advanced Lead Acid – Improved cycling vs. traditional lead acid, but still low cycle life. Potential lower cost option Zinc Air – Potentially low cost, but in early stage of development Ultra-Capacitors (UCAPs) – Potentially lowest cost option, but in early stage of development 21 Emerging Storage Technologies Dry Cell Battery Technology – Low cost for short duration storage and acceptable cycle life “Flow” Batteries – Megawatt scale, excellent cycling and low cost, but mechanically complex systems Isothermal Compressed-Air Energy Storage (ICAES) – Potentially very low cost that could make 100 MW+ scale storage possible 22 Silent Power Customer-Sited Distributed Energy Storage (Smart Grid Demo) Modular units -- 5/10 kW power with 10/20 kW-hr storage (2 hours) Cycle life of 1000 -5,000 cycles (80/10) Customer benefits include backup power as a UPS and renewable integration Potential utility benefits include ability to store excess renewable energy and be dispatched for short- term demand response and peak shaving (for two hours), and manage motor start-up loads 23 KEA-CRN Demonstration Objectives Manage the intermittency of Wind to reduce the number of diesel generator startups Eliminate the spilling of wind Reduce diesel fuel consumption Provide local voltage and frequency regulation support Provide spinning reserve Increase the Penetration of wind to nearly 100% CRN monitoring performance, economics, and documenting the value proposition ASSESSING SMART GRID BENEFITS: THE OPEN MODELING FRAMEWORK and STORAGE 25 Hurdle: What’s the ROI? Technical uncertainty, changing technology Lack of consistent analytical tools – Period modeled – Factors considered – Underlying assumptions – Algorithms – Metrics Different approach necessary for different technologies – e.g., DG vs. CVR vs. Storage Comparing analyses done with different models is inherently risky. 26 Open Modeling Framework Source Data Module Reference Input Module Technology Modules Grid Modules Reference Output Module 27 Monetization & Visualization Module OMF: Technology Modules Source Data Module Reference Input Module Technology Modules Grid Modules Reference Output Modules Monetization & Visualization Module The Technology Modules are being derived from existing models, refined to use the same or similar inputs and to produce common engineering outputs. 28 OMF: Reference Input Module Source Data Module Reference Input Module Technology Modules Grid Modules Reference Output Module Monetization & Visualization Module The Reference Input Module contains a refined superset of the data used by the complete set of technology modules – refined to remove duplicative data. 29 OMF: Source Data Module Source Data Module Reference Input Module Technology Modules Grid Modules Reference Output Module Monetization & Visualization Module The Source Data Module provides links to basic source data such as the National Climatic Data Center and F.W. Dodge. 30 OMF: Reference Output Module Source Data Module Reference Input Module Technology Modules Grid Modules Reference Output Module Monetization & Visualization Module The Reference Output Module collects the output from the technology and grid modules in a standard framework. These are typically direct costs rather than ROI, IRR, or calculated metrics and engineering impacts. 31 OMF: Monetization & Visualization Module Source Data Module Reference Input Module Technology Modules Grid Modules Reference Output Module Monetization & Visualization Module The Monetization & Visualization Module takes data from the Reference Output Module and converts these into cost/benefit analyses displayed in tabular and graphical form. AND – it facilitates comparison of different analyses. 32 OMF: Grid Modules Source Data Module Reference Input Module Technology Modules Grid Modules Reference Output Module The Grid Modules are built around GridLab-D. 33 Monetization & Visualization Module Value to G&T Ex.: Value To G&T Assuming High Penetration of Wind $10,000 $9,000 $8,000 $7,000 Freq Reg Svs $6,000 NPV $/kW @2% PPC ZnBr GCAES Arbitrage $5,000 T&D def $4,000 Mitigate Cycling $3,000 Peak Shave $2,000 $1,000 $0 Low High Range of Inputs Ex.: Value of Energy Storage To Distribution Cooperatives Value to Dist Coop as LSE $14,000 $12,000 $10,000 Freq Reg Svs $8,000 Arbitrage NPV $/kW @ 2% T&D def $6,000 Mitigate Cycling PPC ZnBr GCAES $4,000 Peak Shave $2,000 $0 Low High Range of input value Conclusions Energy Storage requires multiple value steams, which can pay for the installed costs of a unit. Energy Storage offers more value to distribution cooperatives than G&Ts. Energy Storage is cost effective today when the right applications are paired with an appropriate technology. Energy Storage is essential to manage renewables. Co-ops likely to be early adopters. Possible Risks and Cautions Technologies are changing rapidly, so difficult to pick a winner Promising technologies can fail due to corporation failings If Energy Storage is sited for delaying T&D assets, it must be mobile to prevent being stranded in the future Energy Storage Resources CRN partnering with Sandia National Lab and EPRI Revision of popular Handbook – Application first, then technology – Financial analysis tools – RFP template – Database of technologies CRN to offer additional evaluation tools and sample RFPs as part of an “Energy Storage Toolkit.” 38 Timely Energy Innovations www.nreca.coop Tom Lovas NRECA/CRN Arlington, VA tom.lovas@nreca.coop Back-Up Slides 40 Lithium-Ion & Lithium Titanate Attribute Rating Capital cost Fair at $600/kW-hr or $4200/kW-7 hours Round-trip efficiency 90% to 95% Lifetime in Cycle Life 4,000 to 16,000 deep cycles Altair Nano 1 MW System Indianapolis Power & Light’s Altair Nano Lithium Titanate 2 MW/500 kW-h 42 EOS Energy Storage (Zinc Air) Attribute Rating Capital cost Excellent at $160/kW-Hr or $2000/kW-7 hours Round-trip efficiency ~65% to 70% Lifetime in Cycle Life 2,000 to 10,000 deep cycles Ultra-Capacitor 1st Lighten the Load Inc. Attribute Rating Capital cost Excellent at $50/kW-hr to $150/kW-hr or $650/kW-7 hours to $1500/kW-7 hours Round-trip efficiency ~90% Lifetime in Cycle Life >>10,000 deep cycles Xtreme Power’s Dynamic Power Resource Battery (Dry Cell) Attribute Rating Capital cost Fair at >$1000/kWhr or ~$7000/kW-7 Hr Round-trip efficiency Lifetime in Cycle Life 80% to 85% 1,000 cycles at 100% DOD and 100,000 cycles at 20% discharge Dry Cell with proprietary formulas of fundamental alloys, such as copper, lead and tellurium Xtreme Power website Premium Power Corp’s Zinc Bromide Attribute Rating Capital cost Excellent at $270/kWhr or $2000/kW-7 hr Round-trip efficiency 68% to 70% Lifetime in Cycle Life Est. 10,000 deep cycles Premium Power Corp. TransFlow-2000 Modules General Compression Isothermal Compressed Air Energy Storage (ICAES) Attribute Capital cost Rating Excellent at $1000/kW for 10 hours and $10/kW-hr Round-trip efficiency 75% to 80% Lifetime in Cycle Life No known limitation in cycle life Sited in salt beds. Seasonal wind storage possible (100+ hours). Less than 1 second response. ICAES Geologic Locations Relative to Class IV Wind Resources (in Blue) General Compression