Improving adherence and quality of care and prevention through mobile technology and patient education. IAS Workshop Rome 2011 Linda-Gail Bekker The Desmond Tutu HIV Centre UCT Todays workshop….. • The Importance of ART Adherence in HIV Treatment and Prevention • Adherence Interventions - What the Science Tells Us • Panel Discussion • Presentation of An Adherence Counseling Program (Life Steps) • Key Components of Adherence Programming • Panel Discussion Panel • • • • • • Conall O’Cleirigh, PhD Kenneth Mayer, MD Francois Venter, MD Ian Sanne, MD Daniella Mark, PhD Linda-Gail Bekker, MD,PhD. Delivering high quality care is a necessary, but not sufficient, factor in achieving optimal outcomes High quality care delivered High quality care RECEIVED Optimal outcome Adherence • • • • • To Prevention To Testing To Care To Treatment To Programs Why would poor adherence be a problem? • Poor outcomes on the individual level – Treatment failure • • • • • Resistance and fewer treatment options Viral rebound Illness Death Poor outcomes in prevention effectiveness • Risk inhibition • Condom migration • Increased susceptibility • Poor outcomes on the population level – Resistant virus emergence and fewer treatment options – Increased transmission – Higher morbidity and mortality burdens The Challenge of Adherence % Patients with viral load >400 copies/ml MEMS Adherence and Incomplete Viral Suppression 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 82.1 71.4 66.7 54.6 21.7 <70 70-80 80-90 % Adherent Paterson DL et al. Ann Intern Med. 2000:133:21 90-95 95 Adherence to therapy is a strong predictor of viral load suppression, immune recovery, lack of disease progression, and reduction in mortality. Poor adherence can cost lives… Mellors JW, Munoz A, Giorgi JV, et al. Ann Intern Med. 1997;126:946-954. Near perfect adherence is required to maintain low viral load….. • Clinical trials 80-90% remain undetectable at one year • Only 50 % undetectable in clinical practice (Deeks et al Toronto 1997). Adherence, Viral Load, and Resistance Log10 HIV RNA copy numbers 7 6 5 Resistant* 4 Sensitive 3 2 1 0 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Pill count percent adherence Bangsberg D, et al. AIDS. 2000:14:357 *Primary Drug Resistant Mutation IAS-USA Adherence and AIDS-Free Survival 10% Adherence difference = 21% reduction in risk of AIDS Proportion AIDS-Free 1.00 0.75 0.50 0.25 P = .0012 0.00 0 5 10 15 Months from entry Bangsberg D, et al. AIDS. 2001:15:1181 20 25 30 Adherence O 90–100% O 50–89% O 0–49% Summary of Mean Adherence Using Objective Measures Bangsberg AIDS 2000 67% MEMS 73% Unannounced pill count Paterson Annals Int Med 2000 74% MEMS Liu Annals Int Med 2001 63% MEMS 83% Clinic pill count CID 2001 53% CID 2001 80% 53% MEMS (drug exposure) Clinic pill count MEMS McNabb Arnsten “[some] claim that a lack of compliance is the only reason for a treatmentnaïve patient to fail therapy within the first 6 months” [Don Smith 2000] Will “widespread, unregulated access to antiretroviral drugs in sub-Saharan Africa, [in the absence of directly observed therapy] lead to the rapid emergence of drug resistant viral strains, spelling doom for the individual, curtailing future treatment options, and [leading] to transmission of resistant virus?” Harries AD, Nyangulu DS, Hargreaves NJ, Kaluwa O, Salaniponi FM. Preventing antiretroviral anarchy in sub-Saharan Africa. Lancet 2001; 358:410-4. There is an expectation that patients in Africa will be poorly adherent to antiretroviral therapy: “One of the barriers in the expansion of ARV programmes is the widely held prejudicial view that, due to poverty and lack of education, individuals in Africa may be less likely to maintain adherence to antiretroviral therapy than their HIV-positive counterparts in the developed world.” Orrell et al, Barcelona 2002 “Ask Africans to take their drugs at a certain time of day, and they do not know what you are talking about” [Natsios, USAIDS,2001]. The Back Story: 1990s - early 2000 “Adherence seen as potential barrier to ART in RLS” Directly Observed vs Self Administered Therapy During Incarceration: Proportion with < 50 Copies/ml 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 DOT <50 SAT <50 w4 w8 w16 w24 w48 w64 w72 w80 w88 Fischl et al 8th CROI, 2001 abstract 528 HIV DOT in Haiti • 60 patients with late stage clinical disease – Enteropathy with severe weight loss – CNS dysfunction or severe neuropathy – Repeated opportunistic infections unresponsive to antimicrobials • Excellent clinical response • Toxicity uncommon • Promoted as a model for resource poor settings Tuberculosis Witnessed Therapy vs Self Administered Therapy • South Africa Zwarenstein Lancet 1998; 352:1340-3. – No difference • Thailand Kamolratanakul Trans R Soc Trop Med Hyg 1999; 93:552-7. – Rural areas: DOTS better than SAT – Urban areas: no difference • Pakistan Walley Lancet 2001; 357:664-9. – Clinic DOTS, family DOTS, SAT: no difference • Self report mean Adherence = 90% • UDVL = 71% Compared to Avg US Adherence ~70-80% AIDS 2003 Somerset Hospital data, Cape Town (Orrell et al): • Adherence assessed by counting tablet returns. – Increasing adherence significantly associated with reduction in VL. Correlation: r = -.2855, p< 0.0001 3 2 1 0 -1 -2 95% confidence V L c h a n g e (L o g 1 0 c o p ie s -3 -4 -5 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 Adherence at week 48 (General cohort) 1.2 1.4 Somerset Hospital data, Cape Town (Orrell et al): Discontinuations • 16.2% discontinued therapy over 48 wks -were younger, had higher viral loads, lower CD4 counts. • Socioeconomic status, gender, home language, WHO stage not associated with discontinuation • only 4% dropouts were due to adverse events Somerset Hospital data, Cape Town (Orrell et al) Factors predicting poor adherence: • Three times a day dosing • Younger age • Not speaking English (language of site staff) Factors NOT predicting adherence: • Socio-economic status • Gender • Symptomatic HIV disease/baseline viral load Somerset Hospital data, Cape Town (Orrell et al) Factors predicting virological failure: • • • • Adherence <95% Complex dosing (food, 3 times a day) Dual nucleoside regimens High baseline viral load / low baseline CD4 South Africa Clinical Trials: 63% VL<400 Sanne I, Ive P, Mcintyre J 1st IAS Conference on HIV Pathogenesis and Treatment, Buenos Aires, 2001 #321 Data from Senegal: Good adherence in 87.9% accessing ART through a government treatment programme. [AIDS 2002, 16: 1361] The Response 2. Resistance patterns are different with similar adherence to different regimens • NNRTI Resistance develops quickly and nearly linearly • Boosted PI Resistance develops more slowly and in a bell shaped curve Bangsberg NY PRN 2009 %VL below detection Adherence and virological outcome – PIs 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 <70 70-80 80-90 90-95 95-100 %adherence Ann Intern Med 2000;133:21 Rate per 100 person years Relationship between resistance & adherence -NNRTIs 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 100 90-99 80-89 70-79 60-69 <60 % adherence Clinical Infectious Diseases 2003; 37:1112–8 Adherence declines over time Most recent meta-analysis Review of Adherence at 2 years Rosen et al. PLoS 2007 – 32 studies in SSA 1996-2007 – ~75,000 patients in non-research ART programs – Average follow-up time reported 9.9 mo, 77% retention – 6 mo = 80% pts retained – 12 mo = 60% pts retained – At 2 Years*: • BEST CASE = 84% • WORST CASE = 46% • AVERAGE = 61% 61% at 24 months Virological failure vs. single breakthrough? First HIV RNA > 1000 copies/ml 0.15 0.20 First and second consecutive HIV RNA > 1000 copies/ml 0.05 0.10 75% 0.00 Proportion of patients on program 0.25 Kaplan-Meier failure estimate for time to first, then second consecutive HIV RNA level > 1000 copies/ml. 0 4 8 12 16 20 24 28 32 86 51 36 Duration on Treatment (months) 929 641 421 328 229 162 127 Patients at Risk of starting Second Line therapy Antiviral Therapy 2007; 12: 83-88 Nonadherence Predicts Early Treatment Discontinuation Initial 30 Day Adherence Discontinue w/in 6 Months <50% (40/52) 77% 50-80% (4/43) 9% 81-90% (0/24) 0% >90% (0/33) 0% Total (44/152) 29% REACH unpublished data Retention in care • Adherence is more than just beginning therapy, it is sticking to it. LTFU rates are high… Proportion remaining in care (Kaplan-Meier) Censored Complete Cumulative proportion remaining in care 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0 1 2 3 4 5 Time (years) 6 7 8 9 no breakthrough re-suppressed failed Resistance at fist-line failure Susceptible Possible low level resistance Low level resistance Intermediat e resistance High resistance Lamivudine / emtricitabine 22 (20%) - - 4 (4.0%) 86 (78%) Abacavir 20 (18%) 55 (50%) 15 (14%) 20 (18%) - Zidovudine 98 (89%) 1 (1.0%) 6 (5.5%) 3 (2.7%) 2 (1.8%) Stavudine 87 (79%) 6 (5.5%) 12 (11%) 5 (4.5%) - Didanosine 76 (69%) 9 (8.1%) 9 (8.1%) 14 (13%) 2 (1.8%) Tenofovir 97 (88%) 1 (1.0%) 4 (3.6%) 8 (7.3%) - Efavirenz 10 (9.0%) 2 (1.8%) - 13 (12%) 85 (77%) Nevirapine 10 (9.0%) 2 (1.8%) 1 (1.0%) 4 (4.0%) 93 (85%) Etravirine 10 (9.0%) 15 (14%) 49 (45%) 32 (29%) 4 (4.0%) Protease Inhibitors 93 (84%) 16 (15%) 1 (1.0%) - Of 110 people, most had dual class resistance. Only 7% wild-type. Orrell, Antiviral Therapy , 2009 Results from Gugulethu Susceptible Possible low level resistance Low level resistance Intermediate resistance High resistance Lamivudine / emtricitabine 43 (98%) - - - 1 (2%) Abacavir 41 (93%) 2 (5%) - - 1 (2%) Zidovudine 42 (95%) - 2 (5%) - - Stavudine 42 (95%) 1 (2%) 1 (2%) - - Didanosine 41 (93%) 1 (2%) 1 (2%) - 1 (2%) Tenofovir 44 (100%) - - - - Efavirenz 29 (66%) - - 3 (7%) 12 (27%) Nevirapine 29 (66%) - 1 (2%) - 14 (32%) Protease Inhibitors 38 (86%) 6 (14%)* - - - * T74S Probability of virologic failure stratified by the interval of time between 1st-line ART failure and 2nd-line ART initiation. Levison, AIDS 2011, in press So we know adherence is key….. • How do we then ensure it ? – At initiation – In a sustainable way • How do we measure it – In the treatment setting – In the prevention setting Objective vs. Subjective Adherence Measurement Tools Subjective Measures • Patient interview – – – – – Pill recognition 3, 4, 7, 30 day patient report Visual-analog scale Rating scale Computer assisted self interview (CASI) In the absence of viral loads – use adherence measures as a marker. Objective Measures • Electronic monitoring • Announced pill count -- Clinic/Private Practice • Unannounced pill count – Home or usual place of residence – Telephone a la Kalichman • Pharmacy refill • Drug/biomarker levels – Plasma – Hair – Breath Monitoring adherence • Physician assessment - poor (no better than random!) • Questionnaires - specific, insensitive (only last 3 days) • Pill counts - good (overestimate in general; pill dumpers) • Pharmacy records – fair (monthly medicine collection) • Drug levels - single time points only • Electronic monitoring – better but expensive! … use a combination Physicians Predict Adherence Not Much Better Than Random Bangsberg Paterson Haubrich Steiner Bosely Charney Caron Gilbert Blowey Mushlin 2001 2000 1999 1995 1995 1967 1978 1980 1997 1977 JAIDS Annals Int Med AIDS Arch Int Med Eur Resp J Pediatrics Clin Pharmacol Can Med Assoc J Ped Nephrology Arch Int Med HAART HAART HAART AZT Inhaled terbutaline Penicillin Anatacids Digoxin Cyclosporin Hypertensive Wisebag, Wisecase REACH Adherence Measures • 3-day patient report • MEMS electronic cap • Unannounced pill count – home or usual place of residence Other ways to monitor Drug levels • • • • • Plasma Other body fluids PBMC breath Hair Approaches to managing adherence • Treatment readiness vs. adherence – data show that “readiness” is a distinct factor that influences adherence - Study in 828 people from Sweden (SÖdergard, Patient Educ Couns 2007) focus on individuals readiness for change, examine factors than CAN change and be changed by the individuals. Approaches to managing adherence • Psycho-social interventions: establishing provider-patient relationships. Adherence a process of negotiating a tailored plan – “flexible rigidity” (Reir, Soc Work Health Care 2006) • Treating depression improves adherence (Yun, JAIDS 2005) Approaches to managing adherence • Different population in developed world – more marginalised, homeless, drug users. • Predictors of discontinuing therapy = injection drug use and early poor adherence. (Moss, CID 2004) WATCH adherence at week 4 and 8. Viral loads highest at the beginning, so adherence then is especially key. Approaches to managing adherence • Non-nucleoside regimens are more forgiving: may suppress viral load with adherence >55%! NNRTI have much improved outcomes compared to PIs at 55-75% adherence range. • PI: only likely to have suppressed VL with adherence >95% (Bangsberg , CID 2006) Remember reduced disease progression and mortality improves with every increase in adherence level … do not drop standards!!! Technologies use in managing adherence • Pillboxes: simple and effective intervention and should be widely used – improves adherence by ~4.5% (drop VL 0.35 log) Best for intermittent non-adherence (80-90%). Not enough of a reinforcement for those with very poor adherence. Pill box of more benefit than changing to once a day therapy. (Petersen, CID 2007) Technologies use in managing adherence Examples of MEMscaps output Treatment Regimen A single tablet regimen is associated with higher adherence and viral suppression than multiple tablet regimens in HIV+ homeless and marginally housed people • Bangsberg, David Ra; Ragland, Kathleenb; Monk, Alexb; Deeks, Steven Gb Treatment Readiness Program empowers patient to be adherent…. Sizophila Treatment Support Pre-treatment Counsellor assigned to each patient. Education-group & individual treatment readiness. Home visit. Disclosure support On-treatment Individual support Group sessions Crisis management Adherence monitoring Red Alert Surprise pill counts • The counsellor visits his client at home and checks pill counts, entering data into his cell phone and transferring info directly to clinic database. Prevention: where to adherence?? HIV Prevention Efficacy Type of Intervention Positive Effect (significantly reduced HIV incidence compared with control) Adverse Effect (significantly increased HIV incidence compared to control) No Effect (no effect either way) Total Behavioural Microfinance Diaphragm Vaginal Microbicides Preexposure Prophylaxis Male Circumcision STI Treatment Vaccine ART in discordancy Total 1 1 7 1 1 11 7 1 1 13 1 - 2 3 3 1 1 1 8 1 1 8 3 34 4 9 4 1 43 "We are really groping in the dark" Salim S. Abdool Karim Quoted in the Washington Post, November 1, 2007 Efficacy vs effectiveness objectively measure adherence (receipt of vaccines) For user-dependent interventions (eg PrEP), phase III trials measure both biologic efficacy & adherence Provide unbiased measure of efficacy across average users 40% efficacy with <100% adherence implies higher efficacy Eff Measured = 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 70% 80% 90% 100% Adherence level B Receptive Anal Intercourse 100% 90% EffInt = 25% 80% EffInt = 50% Eff Measured = 1 - RR 70% EffInt = 75% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% Adherence level CAPRISA 004 assessed the safety and effectiveness of 1% tenofovir gel • BAT 24 coitally-related gel use – Insert 1 gel up to 12 hours Before sex, – insert 1 gel as soon as possible within 12 hours After sex, – no more than Two doses in 24 hours HIVNET 012 nevirapine regimen asap 72 hrs 12 hrs Onset of labour 64 Delivery CAPRISA 004 tenofovir gel regimen asap CAPRISA 004: Adherence is critical for efficacy against HIV High (>80% gel adherence) 54% efficacy n=336 (38%) Intermediate (50-80% adherence) n=181 (20%) 38% efficacy Low (<50% gel adherence) 28% efficacy n=367 (42%) Abdool Karim et al, Science 2010 HIV infection rates in the tenofovir and placebo gel groups: Kaplan-Meier survival probability Probability of HIV infection 0.20 0.18 Placebo 0.16 0.14 p=0.019 p=0.017 0.12 Tenofovir 0.10 0.08 0.06 0.04 0.02 0.00 0.0 Months of follow-up 0.5 6 1.0 12 Years 1.5 18 2.0 24 2.5 30 88 97 98 Cumulative HIV endpoints 37 65 Cumulative women-years 432 833 1143 1305 1341 6.0 vs 11.2 5.2 vs 10.5 5.3 vs 10.2 5.6 vs 9.4 5.6 vs 9.1 47% (0.069) 50% (0.007) 47% (0.004) 40% (0.013) 39% (0.017) (0.019) HIV incidence rates (Tenofovir vs Placebo) Effectiveness (p-value) The iPrEx Study • • • • High Risk MSM Randomized 1:1 Daily Oral PREP FTC/TDF vs Placebo Followed on Drug for: - HIV seroconversion - Adverse Events (especially renal & liver) - Metabolic Effects (Bone, Fat, Lipids) - HBV Flares among HBsAg+ - Risk Behavior & STIs - Adherence - If infected ‣ Drug Resistance ‣ Viral load ‣ Immune responses & CD4 Count Sampling for Case Control Study FTC/TDF Cases/Controls N=36 HIV+ 1 unavailable specimen 35 Samples 1 case > 7 days after seroconvertion 34 Samples 34 PBMC 33 Plasma 33 Both FTC TDF HIV2 unavailable specimens 1 control used for 2 cases 33 Samples Placebo Stopped testing after 26 26 Samples 2 cases off drug 31 Samples 30 PBMC 24 Plasma 23 Both 34 Samples 26 PBMC 0 Plasma 0 Both TFV-DF (fmol/106 cells) Drug Levels 17/35 Detectable Detection of Any Drug (%) Drug Detection by HIV Status 100% 75% 51% 50% 25% 0% 9% HIV+ HIV- Recorded Adherence and Efficacy % of Visits Efficacy 95% CI <50% 50-90% >90% 18% 33% 49% 16% 34% 68% -54 - 54 -20 - 64 36 - 84 Caprisa 004 and Iprex • Motivational client centered counselling • Next step counselling Partners PrEP adherence intervention Counselors: barriers to pill-taking include changes in sexual behavior, partner discord, travel, & life changes Participants: high levels of motivation to adhere to PrEP, often driven by altruism Adherence intervention for those with <80% adherence in prior 3 mos Assessment of sexual & pill-taking behaviors, motivational interviewing, & optional couples session >80% in 72% of those who went through intervention Psaros, IAPAC 2011 Conclusions Caution is warranted against placing too much confidence in indicators suggesting high adherence More confidence can be placed in estimated lower level of adherence. Validation work with measures matched on time frame and over time for patterns of adherence are needed Conclusions Self-report is critical It provides information that cannot be assessed with alternative direct measures- challenges, facilitators, intermittent patterns of use It is essential in open communication between prescribers of PrEP and those using it How can we improve self-report? Address social desirability bias and minimize memory/recall demands Create normative expectations for frank discussions over high compliance