The evolution of HIV Why is HIV fatal? Lethal strains are favored, due to • “Short sighted” evolution within hosts • Transmission rate advantages “Short-sighted” evolution of HIV cripples the immune system • Through natural selection for strains that evade immunity • By favoring the fastest-replicating strains • By selecting for “coreceptor switching” “Short-sighted” evolution of HIV cripples the immune system Through natural selection for strains that evade immunity Seletion for epitope diversity in HIV strains evades immune response • Epitopes are fragments of molecules • They elicit immune responses image from NIH • The epitopes below are a fragment of the HIV capsid protein p24 T = Thr N = Asn • One amino acid change in this epitope greatly reduces immune response From Leslie et al. 2004 N favored T favored • Natural selection within patients favors strains with epitopes less recognized by the immune system • Direction of evolution changes, depending on host genotype* *B57 and B5801 are alleles at HLA loci (involved in immune repsonse) Fig. 1.17 Evolutionary change in HIV population within one patient (from Shankarappa et al. 1999) (in DNA coding for the gp120 surface protein) Note: • steady, rapid evolution of genetic differences • slows down at 6-8 yrs. Did HIV evolution slow down due to decline in mutations? Virus concentration remained high, so reduced number of mutations is unlikely More likely that selection for gp120 epitope diversity slowed due to collapse of the immune system Reduced variation in antibodies and T-cells no longer selected for high epitope diversity “Short-sighted” evolution of HIV cripples immune system By favoring the fastest-replicating strains Evolution of fast-replicating strains in competition • Competition within patients should select for more rapidly-replicating strains • Troyer et al. (2005) sampled HIV from several patients over months • They grew them in competition with control strains on lymphocytes in vitro each colored line represents the HIV population of a single host “Short-sighted” evolution of HIV cripples immune system By favoring “coreceptor switching” and infection of naive T cells Infection requires CD4 + coreceptor Naive T cells • Progenitors of effector and memory cells Naive T cells • Bear CXCR4 coreceptors instead of CCR5 Coreceptor switching • In ~ 1/2 of all patients, HIV switches from CCR5 to CXCR4 late in the chronic stage • Blaak et al. (2000) monitored T cells in patients over 2 years, some with, some without “X4 virions” Coreceptor switching hastens immune system collapse! “Short-sighted” selection for lethal HIV • Natural selection by immune system within patients favors – HIV strains with novel epitopes – Rapid replication of competing strains – Switching to new coreceptors on naive T cells • Together, these exhaust immunity, leading to fatal AIDS within a patient, HIV “evolves itself out of existence” The transmission rate hypothesis High virulence, high mortality High transmission rate per encounter X Low virulence, low mortality Low transmission rate per encounter X HIV-2 geographic range remains restricted to West Africa •Phylogenetic trees show sooty mangabeys to be the source of HIV-2 •Sooty mangabey: found in coastal forests from Senegal to Cote D’Ivoire • Kept as pets throughout this range •HIV-2 is less virulent, and its restricted range may reflect poor transmission Sooty Mangabey (Cercocebus atys) Modifed from T. Quinn, M.D., NIAD, NIH The evolution of HIV Why are some people resistant to HIV infection and disease progression? HIV resistance genes • CCR5-32 alleles contain a 32 bp deletion in the CCR5 coreceptor gene • These alleles were recovered from patients showing long survival times • Patients exposed that remain HIV (-), and lymphocytes in vitro show protective effect of CCR5-32 – lymphocytes from CCR5-32 / CCR5-32 homozygotes cannot be infected by HIV – infection rates for heterozygotes? Fig. 1.1 Global incidence of HIV/AIDS. CCR5-32 is uncommon in high-prevalence regions...why has there been no evolutionary response? The evolution of HIV Where did HIV come from? Hahn and coworkers: phylogeny of HIV and SIV strains, based on DNA sequences of reverse transcriptase (1999) Nature 397: 436-441 (2000) Science 287: 607-614 Parts of HIV phylogenetic trees Strain 1 A, B, C, and D are “ancestral” strains. Strain 2 A C Strain 3 New mutations caused these to “split” into two or more descendant B strains. Strain 4 D Strain 5 Strain 6 Strain 1 Strain 2 A C Branches connect descendants to ancestors. Branches represent lineages, and represent time periods of independent evolution. Strain 3 B Strain 4 D Strain 6 Time More ancient Strain 5 More recent Present day “Reading” HIV phylogenetic trees Strain 1 Closely related A strains descend from an ancestral strain that was B transmitted to each of their hosts Strain 2 C Strain 3 Strain 4 D Strain 5 Strain 6 “sister strains,” each other’s closest relative Inferring transmission events Strain 1 Chimpanzee A, B and C must have infected chimps. D most likely is an ancestral strain transmitted from chimps to humans Strain 2 Chimpanzee A C Strain 3 Chimpanzee B Strain 4 Human D Strain 5 Human Strain 6 Human HIV-1 and HIV-2 form distinct lineages • HIV-2 is closely related to mangabey SIV • HIV-1 is closely related to chimp SIV • Independent crossspecies transmission! Cross-species transmission of HIV-1 • Expanded analysis of surface protein DNA sequences confirms – Cross-species transmission from chimps – At least 3 times, independently