The Global Education Challenge: A View from the World Bank Global Seminar Series 18 October 2006 Washington DC 1 Overview The Education For All Challenge (EFA) The Education for the Knowledge Economy Challenge (EKE) The World Bank’s New Education Strategy (ESSU) 2 The Education Challenge Evidence is overwhelming that education – particularly for girls– can break the cycle of poverty, halt the spread of AIDS, and create more stable and prosperous nations Around the world, over 100 million children are out of school, of which 58 million girls (primary school fees a barrier in some 89 countries) 3 Many countries will not reach UPC by 2015 if past trends continue 4 The Global EFA Challenge Quality –1/3 drop out before last grade, poorly trained teachers, 800 million illiterate, TIMSS –most did not reach the lowest mark in math Economic growth undermined by HIV/AIDs, armed conflict, weak governance 5 The Global EFA Challenge Resource needs for all countries to reach UPC (between US$5.6 and 10 billion per year for all developing countries) UK has pledged 15 billion $ over next ten years 6 The global EKE challenge education stimulates economic growth through increased productivity (skilled labor, technical and managerial innovations) contributes to poverty reduction and achievement of the MDGs increases countries’ capacity to cope with natural emergencies 7 economic development is increasingly linked to a nation’s ability to acquire and apply knowledge 8 knowledge is a key factor in explaining the difference between poverty and wealth 8 GDP Thousands of 1985 US dollars Rep. of Korea Difference attributed to knowledge 6 4 2 0 Ghana 1958 1962 1966 1970 1974 1978 1982 1986 1990 Difference due to physical and human capital 9 To improve competitiveness and welfare… : Strong human capital base (secondary education, tertiary education, lifelong learning) National innovation system (training of graduates and contribution to knowledge generation, adaptation and dissemination) 10 11 evolution of Nokia sales 12 knowledge for safety 13 changing education and training needs higher skill levels flexibility need to adapt to change for continuing education learning to learn and unlearn continuously 14 changes in job task-skill demands in the USA (1960 – 1998) 16 14 Expert Thinking 12 Percentile Change 10 8 Complex Communication 6 4 2 Routine Manual 0 1969 1974 1979 1984 1989 1994 1998 -2 Routine Cognitive -4 -6 Non-Routine Manual -8 Source: Autor, Levy, and Murnane (2003) “The Skill Content of Recent Technological Change: An Empirical Exploration,” Quarterly Journal of Economics. -10 15 Cumulative % of learners PISA results for selected developing countries 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Peru Indonesia Brazil Mexico Thailand OECD total OECD Average <1 1 2 3 4 5 Pisa Proficiency Levels 16 Education Sector Strategy Update Broadening our Perspective Maximizing our Effectiveness Integrating education into a country-wide perspective Applying a sector-wide approach Becoming more results-oriented 17 Integrating Education into a Country Perspective Macro-economic dimensions Linkages with other sectors (health, water, transport, etc.) Focus on service delivery 18 Progress towards one MDG depends on progress achieved on others Some 200 million school years are lost each year as a result of ill health iron-replete children performed 100-400% better on standardized tests than anemic children Each year Zambia loses half as many teachers as it trains to HIV/AIDS In Morocco, existence of paved road more than doubles girls’ attendance at school Mothers who have completed primary education are 50% more likely to immunize their infants In Africa, access to piped water increased school attendance by 216% by lowering collection time In South America, bringing water and sanitation coverage to 100% would decrease under five mortality due to diarrhea by 22% 19 Applying a Sector-Wide Approach From pre-school to tertiary education Intra-sectoral dimensions Supply and demand factors Determinants of quality, equity, efficiency Public-private partnerships 20 Korea and Senegal: balanced expansion of education attainment? 26% 2000 2000 55% 2% 8% 89% 18% 9% 1980 1980 49% 1% 6% 42% 93% 0.5% 3% 1960 1960 17% 80% 4% 95% 21 Education for Innovation and Competitiveness To improve growth and welfare: 22 Becoming more Results-Oriented Establishing key outcomes and indicators Analyzing what drives outcomes Carrying out learning assessments Systematically engaging in impact evaluation Developing sound education information systems (EMIS) with attention to data quality Using results effectively to reform policy and inform project design 23 Education Sector Strategy Update ONE SIZE DOES NOT FIT ALL 24 Education Sector Strategy Update THINKING GLOBALLY ACTING LOCALLY 25 “The only person who is educated is the one who has learned how to learn…and change” Carl Rogers 26