CBM position paper on the post-2015 Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) global framework 1. CBM’s position on a post-2015 framework: Content and process 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.7 A revision of the current understanding and definition of poverty, progress and development beyond material living standards alone (income, consumption and wealth)1. A framework that addresses causal explanations of poverty and promotes agency rights and equality for people with disabilities2. Disability-inclusive development that adopts a human rights-based approach adhering to the principles of empowerment, participation, equality and non-discrimination, with a focus on the poorest, most excluded groups, such as people with disabilities3. Disaggregation of data4 and the collection of new datasets on disability can be used as an evidence base for global comparisons as well as monitoring against any new nationally set targets and indicators. National governance and ownership in any new structures or institutional arrangements. The involvement and participation of people with disabilities through deliberative processes that take into account the context and starting point of each country’s circumstances; the strengthening of accountability processes and mechanisms that are accessible to people with disabilities5. Any new global partnerships on poverty reduction have a more equitable relationship and mainstream disability in their international cooperation efforts6. A revision of overseas development assistance (in terms of financing channels and mechanisms, accountability contracts for donors and ‘beyond aid’ approaches) to include disability markers identifying the percentage spend for disability-inclusive development7. CBM working paper on the post-2015 Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) global framework: March 2012, subject to revision. Page 1 2. The context: Poverty, disability and development 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.4 2.5 2.6 Disability is both a cause and consequence of poverty, yet international policy-makers and stakeholders have not recognised or prioritised this issue within international development efforts such as the MDGs8. Fifteen per cent of the world’s population are people with disabilities – over one billion people9, of whom 80 per cent live in developing countries10. The current MDGs have given rise to distortions of national progress by focusing on percentages and non-universal cover rather than targeting and changing the situation of the poorest people, including those with disabilities11. Across the world, people with disabilities have poorer health, lower educational achievements, less economic participation and higher rates of poverty and inequality than people without disabilities12. The MDGs are framed by conventional ideas of development that have not recognised the importance of inequality in poverty reduction13. The shifting global distribution of poverty means that 72 per cent of the world’s poorest people (800 million) now live in middle-income countries (MICs), and most of those in stable MICs14, which are not the main recipients of overseas development assistance. CBM reducing poverty-related diseases: CBM works with its partners to tackle a group of poverty-related diseases, including the neglected tropical diseases15 (NTDs). Globally NTDs affect 1.4 billion of the poorest people and another 2 billion people are at risk. Because of their adverse affects on child development, maternal morbidity and worker productivity, the NTDs have a major impact on poverty16. 3. Emerging Issues on the post-2015 MDG agenda Since the Millennium Declaration, the global context in relation to poverty and development has changed significantly. Three key areas which are currently emerging in global post-2015 MDG debates are summarised below: increasing inequality, climate change and urbanisation. These issues are also framed by the global economic and debt crisis. 4. Inequality and global justice 4.1 4.2 Inequality affects all countries, rich or poor, and arguably mediates poverty and wellbeing to a greater extent than growth does17. Intra-country inequalities have widened18, of which people with disabilities are disproportionately represented19. Social protection mechanisms can provide safeguards for the most marginalised people20. CBM working paper on the post-2015 Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) global framework: March 2012, subject to revision. Page 1 4.3 4.4 4.5 Most of the world’s poor have shifted from low-income countries to middle-income countries21. The global burden of malnutrition, disease and mortality are middle-income concentrated22. Key explanations for escaping from poverty are largely a) equity related, for example, changes in employment, land ownership and education; b) related to social exclusion and discrimination; and c) linked to location in remote or otherwise disadvantaged areas23. High inequality can inhibit growth, discourage institutional development towards accountable government and undermine civic and social life leading to conflict24 and undermine human rights. CBM, inequality and global justice: All of CBM’s work is underpinned by disability-inclusive development. Estimates of the number of people with severe disabilities, a key group for CBM’s work, vary between 110 million and 190 million25. CBM advocates for inclusive development to improve the quality of lives for people with disabilities. It recognises the importance of other existing inequalities such as gender, age (children26 and older people), race, ethnicity, or HIV status etc.27 and their impact on the lives of people with disabilities that can lead to multiple discrimination. 5. Climate change 5.1 5.2 5.3 5.4 The impacts of climate change (extreme weather, sea level changes and agriculture productivity changes, leading to food insecurity) will affect the world’s poorest people28. Higher food prices due to climate change combined with urbanisation trends will lead to more households being net food consumers, this too will affect (urban) poor people more29. Most of the world’s poor (800 million) live in ten countries, six of which are listed in the top 20 countries30 most at risk of extreme weather in 2015: China, India, the Philippines, Vietnam (middleincome countries) and Bangladesh and Ethiopia (low incomecountries). Any new agreement must address climate change, sustainable consumption, climate resilient development and the protection of people with disabilities in situations of risk and humanitarian emergencies31. Climate change and CBM: In 2010, CBM’s partners provided services to over half a million people in situations of risk and humanitarian emergency. CBM works in all of the six countries where both the poorest people and those most at risk of extreme weather live. CBM has worked in partnership to ensure people with disabilities are included in food security emergency response programmes in the horn of Africa where over 4.5 million people are in need of assistance from the worst droughts experienced in the last 60 years. CBM working paper on the post-2015 Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) global framework: March 2012, subject to revision. Page 2 6. Linking climate change and urbanisation As the effects of climate change force people to move in search of food and water, migration or dislocation may increase. Significant numbers of people relocate, especially from rural to urban areas, for example people moving from the Sahel zone of West Africa to coastal areas, due to regular crop failures in their home regions32. There are an estimated 3.5 million refugees and internally displaced people with disabilities worldwide33. 7. Urbanisation 7.1 7.2 7.3 7.4 7.5 7.6 7.7 High rates of overall population growth, together with significant rural– urban migration, have contributed to rapid urbanisation and related unplanned expansion of low-income settlements on the outskirts of many large cities34. In sub-Saharan Africa two-thirds of urban dwellers live in low-income settlements35. Worldwide, approximately 900 million people live in low-income settlements, of which approximately 135 million could be people with disabilities36. Those living in urban low-income settlements lack improved water, sanitation, and durable housing, all three are harder to access for people with disabilities. Environmental conditions such as indoor air pollution from cooking fires and atmospheric pollution in urban areas lead to chronic respiratory diseases and a heightened risk of tuberculosis, which is a significant cause of disability37. With greater reliance on the monetised economy, urban populations depend on integration into informal employment markets to earn cash income to meet their ongoing consumption needs38. The rate of economic inactivity is 2.5 times higher amongst people with disabilities39. Urbanisation, CBM and the rural question: CBM advocates for disability-inclusive development in both urban and rural areas. Urbanisation is a critical issue for the post-2015 MDG agenda, however, most poor people (70%) still live in rural areas40. CBM remains committed to working for the rights of people with disabilities in both rural and urban areas. For more information please contact Diane Mulligan, the Coordinator of International Advocacy and Alliances for CBM: diane.mulligan@cbm.org CBM working paper on the post-2015 Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) global framework: March 2012, subject to revision. Page 3 Explanatory notes and references: Progress on poverty and development has traditionally been measured by income and wealth, how much money a person or family has to spend on their necessities such as food, housing, health, education and services. This way of measuring poverty does not capture the more complex situation and challenges of people living in poverty, neither does it explain the phenomenon of chronic poverty where very a number of poor families never escape poverty and their children are born into poverty that is almost impossible to leave, so called ‘generational poverty’. New research and methods on measuring poverty and development is being tested, which takes into consideration non-economic aspects of people’s lives such as access to education and health, social connections, housing, and political participation and governance, environmental conditions (current and future), personal security, economic insecurity and personal activity and work. 1 The MDGs have been heavily criticised for not addressing the root causes of poverty. Human rights were not a focus, and the equality aspect that was fundamental in the Millennium Declaration was never translated into the MDGs targets and indicators. A new framework has to address poverty as a matter of human rights and equality and universally target also the most excluded groups of the population, including persons with disabilities. The UN Convention on the Rights of Persons with Disabilities (the Disability Convention) promotes active and meaningful participation through the right to education (article 24), the right to health (article 25), the right to work and employment (article 27), and the right to adequate standards of living and social protection (article 28). People with disabilities have to be active agents of their own change and this should be one of the references that underline any framework coming out of the post-2015 process. Article 28 of the Universal Declaration of Human Rights also clearly links human rights with poverty reduction and development. 2 Comprehensive accessibility for people with disabilities would need to be integral to a human rights-based approach, namely: physical, communication, policy and attitudinal barriers are all identified and addressed. Additionally, a human rights-based approach would serve to highlight areas neglected by the MDGs, such as equal access to justice (article 13 of the Disability Convention), the rule of law (article 12 of the Disability Convention) and democratic governance (article 29 of the Disability Convention: the right to participation in political and public life; as well as notions of entitlements and accountability into the development process. 3 Inclusive Development happens when the entire community, including people with disabilities, benefit equally from development processes. Inclusive development encourages awareness of, and participation by, all marginalised groups. Disability-inclusive development adopts a twin-track approach. It should support the capacity of people with disabilities to claim their rights and concern and to be politically involved, to hold governments and donors accountable, as well as ensuring that development programmes in health, education, employment, social protection, environment and humanitarian aid do not discriminate against people with disabilities and equally benefit from the outcomes. Article 32 of the Disability Convention makes signatory countries obliged to adopt inclusive development to achieve equality of human rights for people with disabilities as well as full participation in, and access to, all aspects of society. Article 31 of the Disability Convention states that countries that have ratified the Disability Convention will collect statistics and data about people with disabilities and disseminate it in accessible formats. To collect disability-aggregated data means to identify and include people with disabilities when collecting data at local, national and international level. Indicators need to be defined that take into account the situation of people with disabilities, women and girls, men and boys, elderly, rural and urban population, indicators in gender, age, geographic location etc. The current MDGs target, goals and indicators do not specify data on disability and it is imperative that a new framework does so. This will ensure that disability becomes visible in statistics, and ensure evidence-based programming and policies. International agreement on indicators and systems of data collection is vital if global comparisons are to be made in order to measure progress. 4 Any new global partnerships are more balanced in terms of their relationships and accountability between donor countries and developing countries. Currently donor countries hold the balance of power, and developing countries rarely hold them to account. National governments have to be involved and take the ownership of any new global framework replacing the MDGs. The lack of ownership of developing countries has been another major criticism of the MDGs, as the targets have not taken into account the specific context of each country, there was no national baseline to measure against and most governments in low-income countries were not involved in defining the 5 CBM working paper on the post-2015 Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) global framework: March 2012, subject to revision. Page 4 MDG targets. Clear ownership and participation of developing countries will strengthen the accountability and responsibility of the national governments towards its people. At the same time, national governments need to put in place people-centred development strategies, where both elected representatives, parliamentarians and civil society participate in consultations and discussion on any new development framework. People with disabilities and their organisations must have access to on-going post-2015 consultations, dialogues and meetings at local, national and international levels for discussing different forms of development mechanisms. This means that information have to be provided in accessible format such as Braille, audio and easy-read; meeting venues should be accessible, consultations and dialogues should be held at both urban and rural locations and budget should be available to facilitate participation of people with disabilities. The Disability Convention is the only international human rights instrument to have an article on international cooperation, article 32, which provides a comprehensive normative framework for mainstreaming disability in the development agenda. Countries that have ratified the Disability Convention will ensure that international cooperation, including international development programmes, is inclusive of, and accessible to people with disabilities. Article 32 states that countries that have ratified the Disability Convention should make their development cooperation programmes (including aid, debt, trade, tax, corporate regulation and accountability, fiscal policy and foreign policy support to national, regional and global human rights mechanisms, diplomatic support, and military assistance) inclusive of and accessible for persons with disabilities. Global agreements, such as the MDGs, or other development frameworks should mainstream disability and measure outcomes based on indicators that take into account persons with disabilities’ rights. The UN Resolution “Realising the Millennium Development Goals for Persons with Disability” (A/RES/64/131) adopted by the United Nations General Assembly in 2010 explicitly commits to the inclusion of, and accessibility for, persons with disabilities in MDG policies and programmes. 6 Overseas development assistance (ODA) is the aid and part of loans provided by the OECD (Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development) member countries. These are official financing mechanisms from governmental donor agencies and specific loans destined for economic development and welfare in developing countries or to multilateral institutions (such as UN agencies, the World Bank, and others). Until now it is not possible to track how much of this assistance that reaches persons with disabilities, either as mainstream aid or disability-specific initiatives. A revision of the current development schemes is likely to take place and new mechanisms and strategies for aid need to include disability markers, so that development interventions can be assessed in terms of the contribution they make to equal opportunities for people with disabilities and strengthening of their rights. 7 Based on the social and human rights model of disability enshrined in the Disability Convention disability is defined as the negative interaction between impairment and environmental barriers. This can be used to explain the negative cycle of disability and poverty. People with disabilities have limited access to health care and education; have difficulty finding employment; face high levels of stigma and discrimination and are commonly denied their rights. These factors all contribute to economic vulnerability and social exclusion. In turn, poor households rarely have access to adequate food, shelter, hygiene and sanitation facilities, potable water, and preventive health care services; characteristics known to exacerbate poverty and increase the risks of disability. The MDGs and other international development efforts have failed so far to address this negative cycle even though it can affect up to 15 per cent of the population in developing countries. 8 World Health Organization and World Bank (2011) World Report on Disability. Geneva: WHO Press. 9 10World Bank. Disability and Poverty: a Survey of World Bank Poverty Assessments and Implications’. Jeanine Braithwaite and Daniel Mont, SP discussion paper No. 0805, World Bank, February 2008. The MDGs measure progress based on an average percentage and does in fact not target all people living in poverty as it aims only to halve the population living on poverty. They leave out close to a billion people of the most poor, including those with disabilities. When looking at the MDG indicators, they are consistently worse for disadvantaged groups in each region (Kabeer, N., 2010, Can the MDGs provide a pathway to social justice? The challenge of intersecting inequalities, IDS/UN MDG Achievement Fund). Various proposals for measuring progress based on equality are 11 CBM working paper on the post-2015 Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) global framework: March 2012, subject to revision. Page 5 being discussed, and there is a need to base them on national targets and contexts and be universal in their coverage, thus forcing to measure progress also among excluded groups. Persons with disabilities face additional challenges to access basic services such as health care (curative and preventive), education (World Health Organization and World Bank (2011) World Report on Disability. Geneva: WHO Press. p. 225) and formal and informal employment and livelihood opportunities, due to discrimination, lack of comprehensive accessibility and continuing stigmatisation. The reasons are complex but can be comprehensively addressed with an inclusive development approach. A school that is accessible for children with disabilities is more childfriendly and increase access for children in general and a health care centre that makes their prevention program fully accessible also for women and children with disabilities will reach as well other marginalised groups. Of an estimated 650 million people with disabilities, 470 million are of working age (International Labour Organisation). They are more likely to be unemployed or earn less than non-disabled people and be in jobs with poor promotional prospects and working conditions, especially if they are women. Many work in the unprotected, informal economy. 12 Development in the MDGs largely reflects a basic needs agenda, but has failed to integrate the wider dynamic of human development, especially growth and employment, human rights, empowerment and dignity. As development has been primarily based on measuring income poverty, the economic growth has often been elite driven while unemployment has increased hand in hand with raising inequalities in many societies. “New” issues such as trade and transfer of technology as well as migration were not defined in the MDGs but are important for development. The MDGs focus on basic needs while recent understanding of poverty defined by poor people themselves is more dynamic and not only income related but also concerns assets, what people have in order to protect themselves against risk and economic shocks and/or climate related disasters etc. While employment is part of the MDG targets, it has not been the focus of most donors while poor people themselves as a priority often mention it. 13 Sumner, A. & Tiwari, M. (2011) Global Poverty Reduction to 2015 and Beyond. Journal of Global Policy. 14 There has been a shift in the number of countries classified as low-income countries. In 1990, more than 90% of the population classified as poor lived in low-income countries, while today more than 70% live in middle-income countries (Sumner, A. (2011) Poverty in Middle-Income Countries, Bellagio Initiative, IDS: Brighton). Several countries have shifted their status from lowincome to middle income due to a rise in average per capita income, which certainly does not mean that all people living in these countries have seen an increase in the income. The Gross Domestic Income as measurement of poverty masks inequalities within the country itself. What it suggests though is that more poor people live today in countries that receive less official foreign aid and assistance due to their higher domestic revenues. With less access to, and perhaps interest in, traditional aid and with inequality on the rise, there is a concern of how these countries will address the rights of their population living in poverty and which position international cooperation should take in the post-2015 discussions to respond to this new situation. Some post2015 debates indicate that these countries will most probably be less interested in traditional aid such as resource transfer, and more interested in improving trade policies, remittance policies and climate negotiations. Parasitic and bacterial infections, namely: three soil transmitted helminthiasis (ascariasis, hookworm infections, and trichuriasis), lymphatic filariasis, onchocerciasis, dracunculiasis (guineaworm disease), schistosomiasis, Chagas’ disease, human African trypanosomiasis, leishmaniasis, Buruli ulcer, leprosy, and trachoma. 15 In addition, the disease burden of NTDs is more than double that caused by tuberculosis. Hotez, PJ. Kamath, A. Neglected Tropical Diseases in Sub-Saharan Africa: Review of Their Prevalence, Distribution, and Disease Burden. PLoS Negl Trop Dis 3(8). 16 Vandemoortele, J. (2011) The MDG Story Intention Denied: Development and Change. Development and Change, Vol. 42, (1), pp. 1-21. The Hague. 17 The MDGs are consistently worse for disadvantaged groups in all regions and there is evidence that inequalities harms not only growth, but also contributes to insecurity and violence, mental illness, and political unrest. Social exclusion and its resulting inequalities are not only rooted in denial of people’s social and economic rights but also to lack of political participation and having a CBM working paper on the post-2015 Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) global framework: March 2012, subject to revision. Page 6 voice in decision-making. Political and civil rights should be placed on a par with economic and social rights in any new global development framework, which has to focus on equality and human rights if to achieve social justice and fight poverty among the poorest. Together with decent livelihood opportunities it can lead to better wellbeing. (Kabeer, N. (2010) Can the MDGs provide a pathway to social justice? The challenge of intersecting inequalities. IDS and UN MDG Achievement Fund: New York). Palma, J.G. (2011) Homogeneous Middles vs. Heterogeneous Tails, and the End of the ‘Inverted-U’: It's All About the Share of the Rich. Development and Change, Vol. 42, (1), pp. 87153. The Hague. 18 20.7 per cent of people in the poorest quintile of both lower and higher income countries have disabilities; 18 per cent of all people in lower income countries have disabilities; and 20 per cent of all people in the poorest three quintiles of lower income countries have disabilities: World Health Organization and World Bank (2011) World Report on Disability. Geneva: WHO Press p. 28. 19 Inequalities within countries have increased during the last decade, meaning that the differences in income and social inclusion between reach and poor has widened. The small groups of rich and powerful elites have increased significantly their wealth compared to people living in poverty. With increasing challenges for decent employment and the fact that a number of marginalised families might never get opportunity for decent jobs for various reasons, such as chronic illness, high dependency disabilities, or forced migration, social protection mechanisms are crucial. Social protection is a set of interventions that should improve or protect human capital, such as labour market interventions (labour law and wage setting), social insurance (pension, un-employment support, family benefits, sick-pay) or social assistance (cash transfer and subsidise, disability insurance or specific support to marginalised groups) with the aim to assist individual and families to better manage risks, take risks for improving and provide safeguard during economic crisis. Article 28 of the Disability Convention describes social protection, which should be interpreted together with the General Principles in article 3. 20 Sumner, A. and Tiwari, M. (2011) ‘Global Poverty Reduction to 2015 and Beyond’, Journal of Global Policy. 21 See Kanbur, R. and Sumner, A. (2011) Poor Countries or Poor People? Development Assistance and the New Geography of Global Poverty. Charles H. Dyson School of Applied Economics and Management Working Paper, Ithaca, NY: Cornell University; and also Glassman, A., Duran, D. & Sumner, A. (2011) Global Health and the New Bottom Billion. Center for Global Development (CGD) Working Paper, Washington, DC: CGD. 22 Many of the world’s poor live in countries that have got richer in terms of average per capita and as a result reclassified by the World Banks as middle income countries (MICs). Since 2000, 28 countries have been classified as middle-income countries and 707 million poor people now live in these countries. Despite the economic growth, the absolute numbers of poor people have not decreased sufficiently in these new MICs, which is why the majority of population facing malnutrition, disease and increased mortality today is present in MICs, where development assistance is not a priority. Dercon, S. & Shapiro, J. (2007) Moving On, Staying Behind, Getting Lost: Lessons on Poverty Mobility from Longitudinal Data. Economic and Social Research Council Global Poverty Working Group, Paper 75. 23 When talking about equity measures to escape poverty, it refers to ensure decent work opportunities with fair wages, fair distribution of land along all groups of the population and access to quality education for all. Discrimination and social exclusion needs to be actively combated through a human rights-based framework and equal opportunities and affirmative action for people with disabilities (and other marginalised groups) to access employment and other services should be considered. A focus on investing in services and opportunities in disadvantaged areas or locations at risk is a matter of equity. Birdsall, N. (2006) ‘Income Distribution: Effects on Growth and Development’ - Working Paper 118; Center for Global Development, Washington. 24 In societies where inequalities are high, where there is a big gap in living standards between rich and poor, social and economic growth can be hindered. Inequalities can be related to differences in incomes and the distribution of the resources of a country, but it goes also hand in hand with CBM working paper on the post-2015 Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) global framework: March 2012, subject to revision. Page 7 barriers to political and civil participation of socially excluded groups and the development outcomes of a country are not equally distributed. The cultural dynamics of social exclusion relate to the norms and beliefs that define some groups of society as inferior, which, apart from promoting discriminatory attitudes also erode selfconfidence and feeling of self-worth among these households and can lead to frustration and despair. Increase in crime and substance abuse is also linked to social exclusion, which in turn can lead to more insecurity and violence. Economic dynamics of exclusion is linked to discriminatory policies to distribution of productive assets (such as owning land) and livelihood opportunities, where dangerous and low-status jobs often are pre-determined for the poor. This is a brief explanation to that the advancement of the MDGs related to health, education and employment are being significantly worse for the most excluded and poor groups in society. Socially excluded and marginalised populations logically seldom have trust in governmental institutions and therefore formal democratic governance is not sufficient to tackle persistent and long-term exclusion and poverty. Any new global framework therefore needs to have a clear focus on equality and social justice and its intersecting dynamics. World Health Organization and World Bank (2011) World Report on Disability. Geneva: WHO Press, p. 29. 25 There are 93 - 150 million children with disabilities under 15 years of age worldwide (World Health Organization and World Bank (2011) World Report on Disability. Geneva: WHO Press, p 262). 26 While equally at risk of HIV/AIDS, for a variety of reasons, people with disabilities do not have equal access to HIV information, education and prevention services. UNAIDS (2009) Disability and HIV Policy Brief. 27 Eighty per cent of the 300 million people who live within 5 meters of sea level are in developing countries. Climate change can be described as “any change in climate over time, whether due to natural variability or as a result of human activity” IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) and there is already evidence of weather changes affecting food security and forcing migration. Many poor people live in areas that are at risk for important changes due to climate change, such as increase of the sea level, flooding due to living on flood banks, and low-income settings in urban areas are more prone to be affected by heavy rainfall or lack of portable water. 28 The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Debate on Sea-Level Rise: Critical Stakes for Poor Countries: February 2, 2007. http://blogs.cgdev.org/globaldevelopment/2007/02/the-ipccdebate-on-sea-level-r.php (accessed 13 February 2012). Skoufias, E., Rabassa, M. & Olivieri, O. (2011) The Poverty Impacts of Climate Change: A Review of the Evidence, Policy Research Working Paper 5622, The World Bank. 29 Prices of food have already increased threefold since the end of 2000, and might increase further partly due to climate change. Increased stress on water resources, which affects crop production and can increase diseases linked to hygiene, a higher frequency of extreme weather shocks that increase droughts and flooding, especially in Asia and several African countries where a large part of poor people live today. With more people moving from rural areas into urban cities due to economic opportunities and possible due to climate change effects, an increased number of people will depend on consumption of food rather than household production, and poor people in lowincome urban settings will be more affected by increasing food prices. Middle-income countries (China, India, the Philippines, Sri Lanka, Vietnam, Honduras, Thailand, Zambia) and low-income countries (Kenya, Somalia, Mozambique, Bangladesh, Djibouti, Ethiopia, Bolivia, Cuba, Madagascar, Colombia, Zimbabwe). UNHABITAT 2010. 30 Any new global framework has to involve the people that will be most affected by climate change, thus the participation of people with disabilities in climate-resilient development plans, disaster risk reduction strategies and urban planning is crucial. While there is an urgent need for a global agreement on reducing the negative effects on the climate, it is crucial to react and adapt to the already existing effects of climate change. People that are and will be affected most by climate change need to be involved in finding solutions and adaptations, including people with disabilities who will be among the groups that are at higher risks for food insecurity and emergencies. 31 Sustainable consumption in the Oslo definition refers to: “the use of services and related products which respond to basic needs and bring a better quality of life while minimizing the use of natural CBM working paper on the post-2015 Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) global framework: March 2012, subject to revision. Page 8 resources and toxic materials as well as emissions of waste and pollutants over the life cycle of the service or product so as not to jeopardize the needs of future generations”. In addition, it often includes sustainable production. (Oslo Roundtable on Sustainable Production and Consumption, http://www.iisd.ca/consume/oslo004.html) Climate-resilient development is to integrate the adaptations to climate change in the general development framework. Climate cannot be a stand-alone topic and measures to adapt have to be integrated with other development challenges. Persons with disabilities will face additional challenges due to climate change, and are adversely affected in situations of risks and humanitarian emergencies. Article 11 of the Disability Convention states that protection and safety have to be provided for people with disabilities during emergencies, disasters and risks. Inclusive disaster preparedness and management, and climate resilient reconstruction is crucial, while adopting a twin-track approach to make sure that specific needs of persons with disabilities are met. Brauch, H. G. (2002) Climate Change and Conflict Prevention. German Federal Ministry for the Environment, Nature Conservation and Nuclear Safety (BMU). 32 Women’s Commission for Refugee Women and Children (2008) Disabilities among Refugees and Conflict-Affected Populations: Resource Kit for Fieldworkers. NY: Women’s Commission for Refugee Women and Children. 33 The world population is today estimated to be 7 billion and the highest growth rate is taking place in poor countries that already struggle with providing services to their people. These countries also experience an important migration from rural to urban areas as well as inter-country migration. Cities in low- and middle-income countries are expanding rapidly and there are huge challenges with urban planning, which leads to many low-income settlements in the outskirts of the cities, with poor infrastructure, lack of quality health and education services, largely inaccessible, and where people mostly find jobs in the informal market. Although the number of people living in low-income settlements in urban areas is declining in incidence, it is rising in absolute numbers. The proportion is highest in sub-Saharan Africa where two-thirds of urban dwellers are living in low-income settlements; the number of people living in low-income settlements in this region has nearly doubled over the period 1990-2010: UNHABITAT 2010. 34 Sumner, A. (2012) A post-2015 global framework: key issues, criteria and options. Institute of Development Studies at the University of Sussex (unpublished: commissioned research by CBM). 35 http://www.unmillenniumproject.org/documents/Slumdwellers-complete.pdf quotes 900 million people, of which up to fifteen per cent (see World Health Organization and World Bank (2011) World Report on Disability. Geneva: WHO Press.) could be people with disabilities. 36 For persons with disabilities and their families, this phenomenon equally has a challenging impact. In some situations, persons with disabilities might be left behind in rural areas with less family support, or if migrating to safer areas with more opportunities, they often face challenges in poor quality settlements where access to basic services becomes an important obstacle. On the other hand, migration could lead to new opportunities also for persons with disabilities, with closer access to services and education as well as labour opportunities. European Commission (2007) Environmental Integration Handbook for EC Development Cooperation. 37 When people move from rural areas to urban settlements, the ones that used to rely on agriculture for its living, and also for part of its income become instead dependent upon on jobs in the service or urban production sector. Most people start out, or even end up in the informal sector, as street vendors, working as domestic employees, or day labourers, and do not benefit from any social protection scheme. This makes them more vulnerable to meet their daily needs for food and basic services in case of illness or unemployment. In addition, many low-income settlements in several countries are not recognised, and even considered ‘illegal’, which will need to be addressed in post-2015 debates. 38 World Health Organization and World Bank (2011) World Report on Disability. Geneva: WHO Press. 39 40 http://www.ifad.org/rpr2011 (accessed 13 February 2012). CBM working paper on the post-2015 Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) global framework: March 2012, subject to revision. Page 9