Singapore Inc. MBA 290G Case 2 September 12, 2007 Sarah Boyd, Vincent Escobedo, Gayathri Raghavendra, Jay Taneja Outline • Singapore Today – How is it similar to or different from the SF Bay Area? • How did Singapore become the success story it is? – Metrics of success – Porter’s Diamond – Other factors • Where does Singapore want to be tomorrow? Are they on the right trajectory? Singapore – A Snapshot Singa Pura, Malay for “Lion City” • Area: 699sq km • Population: 4 million+ • Demographics: 76% Chinese, 15% Malay, 6% Indian • Government: Parliamentary Democracy Singapore & SF Bay Area: The Numbers Metric Singapore Bay Area Population 4.55 million1 6.9 million2 GDP $141.2 billion3 $401 billion4 Annual Real Growth Rate 2005: 6.6% 2006: 7.9%3 2005: 3.9%5 International Exports $271 billion 3 $44 billion4 1. Conutryreports.org; 2. http://abag.ca.gov; 3. http://www.state.gov/r/pa/ei/bgn/2798.htm ; 4. http://www.bayareacouncil.org ; 5. http://www.beaconecon.com/products/Presentations/BAWTC01_11.pdf Singapore and SF Bay Area: Similarities Major Industry Clusters: Semiconductor and Biotech Major Ports Singapore: 24,792,400 TEUs in 2006(16) Oakland: 2,391,598 TEUs in 2006(7) (10-15% of US container cargo) (6) www.mpa.gov.sg (7) www.portofoakland.com, Singapore and SF Bay Area: Differences Bay Area Singapore R&D, Design Manufacturing, Trade Industry clusters grow out of academic research: semiconductors in the 50’s, 60’s and 70’s, biotech and internet software in the 80’s and 90’s, nurtured by venture capital. Industry clusters created and nurtured by government (EDB, Temasek) Innovation Efficiency The Rise of Singapore • • • • Per capita GDP growth ~ 5% from 1975-1999 2000: 10.1% 2001: Worldwide slump, -2.2% 2004: Major turnaround, 8.8% Real GDP Growth Rate 15 % 10 Singapore 5 US 0 -5 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 Year (8) Asian Economic Journal 16 (3), 267–283, (9) United Nations Statistics Div. http://unstats.un.org, (10) US Bureau of Economic Statistics The Rise of Singapore: Why and How? The Rise of Singapore: Why and How? Factor Conditions • Location (heart of major sea lanes) • NO natural resources – had to be smart, depend on trade • Infrastructure (Physical, financial) • IP Policy • Labor pool (work ethics, trained vs untrained, skill level, foreign vs domestic) Government • Strong ties between pro-business state & industry • Govt. is consistent and not corrupt • Govt. anticipates infrastructural needs • Actively built/crafted IP environment • Strong handling of unions, wage policies, education, policies to attract foreign students & workers The Rise of Singapore: Why and How? Demand Conditions • Small domestic market led to pro-business, pro-foreign, export oriented policy • Positive for electronics, communications: early adopters, “technology crazy”, discerning and demanding • Negative for biotech: relatively new industry, no stress test for bioethics issues Government • Encourages widespread use of technology • Tablet PCs in school • Curbs freedom of expression/media The Rise of Singapore: Why and How? Related and Supporting Industries • For biotech => Chemical Island • For hi-tech => Electronics Manufacturing • Broad based benefits from shipping and transportation industry, legal and IP services, logistics, data management, and more recently brand management Government • Following cluster model for industry development • Targets entire value chain in an industry to offer a stronger value proposition to individual firms The Rise of Singapore: Why and How? Firm Structure, Strategy, Rivalry, • Structure: Gradually moving away from state-owned • Strategy: Attract foreign investment with business friendly environment • Rivalry: Intense rivalry faced by Singapore Inc, but very low level of domestic competition for firms Government • Primary driver of growth; salaries of policy makers tied to GDP growth The New Singapore: What next? Current Strategy Goals Measures • Transform Singapore into a knowledge-based economy • Move up the value chain • Encourage innovation • Focus on education, creative learning • Move from dual pronged approach to Triple Helix model (State-Industry State-Industry-Academia) • Encouraging VC & PE • Focus on specific clusters like biotech; media The New Singapore: Comments and Recommendations Labor and Talent Pool • Increasing dependence on foreign contribution – Young Singaporeans moving away (overbearing state, inflation) – Shortage of home-grown entrepreneurs • Focus on increasing local skill set and skill levels The New Singapore: Comments and Recommendations Focus on Biotech Strengths • Chemical • Lax regulation • Gateway to Asia Weaknesses • Depending on foreign talent • Local market is a poor predictor of world market Opportunities • High Growth • Early mover Threats • Direct competition with SV • Very risky The New Singapore: Comments and Recommendations Creating an entrepreneurial mindset is a long term project, especially in a society where conformity is the form • Increase contribution from non-governmental sources • Give universities more autonomy • Reduce government stake in companies, encourage more local competition • Deregulation is a serious challenge (11) Giving Singapore a SV Mindset, BusinessWeek, August 2000 The New Singapore: Comments and Recommendations Other Concerns with current strategy • Social backlash - widening gap between rich and poor - locals feel (43%)(12) government cares more about foreign professionals than local population - aging population that cannot support itself • High Savings Rate -Reduces available pool of capital - Could be diverted to stem property market inflation or invest in skill enhancement programs (12) Singapore goes back to its Roots, Financial Times, Aug 07 The New Singapore Growth thus far has mostly been achieved by increasing inputs • More labor, more capital, more investment, more education, more training • This cannot go on! Need new strategy! (12) Singapore goes back to its Roots, Financial Times, Aug 07 Singaporeans and Saving(13) Age 35 and below 35-45 45-55 55-60 60+ Unspecified Total # of Members Balance $/Member Contribution (%) 877531 20.4 $23,247.04 36 823353 32.6 $39,594.20 36 626934 31.4 $50,085.02 36 148726 4 $26,895.10 18.5 416647 3.6 $8,640.41 11 29482 0.1 $3,391.90 2922673 92.1 $31,512.25 Gross National Savings: 46% in 2001 (13) 2001 CPF Annual Report via case study