Managed Care in the US: Under New Management Robert E. Hurley, Ph.D. Department of Health Administration Virginia Commonwealth University Public Private Employer Government Employee and dependents 1.Aged (>65) 2. Poor 3. Disabled Direct Purchase Insurance/ Managed Care Company Direct Purchase Health Care Providers Hospitals Physicians Others Public Private 85 mil. 175 mil. Employer Government 1.Aged (>65) 2. Poor 3. Disabled Employee and dependents Insurance/ Managed Care Company Direct Purchase Direct Purchase Health Care Providers Hospitals Physicians Others Public Private 85 mil. 175 mil. Employer Government 1.Aged (>65) 2. Poor 3. Disabled Employee and dependents Insurance/ Managed Care Company Direct Purchase Direct Purchase Health Care Providers Hospitals Physicians Others 45 mil.--Uninsured Medicare--Aged • 1965--Federal (national) program created to cover most persons 65 years of age and older • Modest benefit package; no Rx benefit till 2006 • Expanded later to cover permanently disabled • Government pays health services providers for directly in most cases • Payment methods and payment rates are set by the Medicare program--non-negotiable Low Income Programs • Typically jointly administered and financed by national, state, and local governments • Focus on persons under 65 who are unable to afford to buy private coverage • Benefit packages vary by program type: some are generous, others limited • Provider payment methods vary but rates usually below private insurance and Medicare Employment Based Health Insurance Coverage 180 160 145 140 120 160 150 170 120 100 80 80 60 40 20 21 0 1945 1955 1965 1975 1985 1997 Source: Center for Risk Management and Insurance Research, 1999 1999 Coverage in the US--< age 65 (approx. 250 million) Employer-Based Individual Medicaid/other public Uninsured 17% 5% 14% Source: Kaiser Family Foundation, 2004 63% Employers Sponsored Health Insurance: “The Accidental System” • Reliance on employer as sponsor for health insurance evolved over time in U.S. • Employers may voluntarily offer health care coverage as a form of benefit or non-cash compensation • Participation among employees is voluntary • Health benefits are not subject to income tax • Employer selects types of health insurance available and benefits to be covered • Employer pays all or part of premium on behalf of employee and dependents Real Numbers for Health Care Coverage, 2005 • Annual Cost for Single Coverage = $ 4025 • Pct of Premium Paid by Worker= 16% • Annual Cost for Family Coverage = $ 10880 • Pct of Premium Paid by Worker = 26% Gabel et al, KFF, 2005 Employer sponsored health insurance-implications • Tax incentives encouraged generous benefits with limited “out-of-pocket” expenses • Presence of insurance has encouraged demand for service--some say “cost-unconscious use” • But many small employers are not willing or able to offer health benefits to their workers • Many low income workers are not willing or able to pay for their share of the employer-based coverage Rising Health Care Costs 1970 1980 Total expenditures $73 (in billions) Percent of GDP 7% Source: Levitt et al 2005 $246 8.8% 1990 1995 2000 2004 $696 $987 $1309 $1880 12.0% 13.3% 13.0% 16% Managed Care • Historically, most employers relied on insurance companies to arrange health benefits • Employer concerns about rising costs led many to look for new arrangements • Managed care was effort by employers to try to influence on providers to control their costs • HMO (health maintenance organization) was the most well-known form of managed care Health Maintenance Organization (HMO) • Combines both insurance and provider role into a prepaid health care organization • Assumes risk for specified set of services • Arranges with providers (employment or contract) to delivery services to predetermined rates • Believed to be a more efficient model of financing and delivery • HMOs expected to compete against one another on price and quality Managed Care Organization (MCO) Enrollment 1982-2005 Participants in millions 250 PPO HMO 200 150 100 50 96 19 98 20 00 20 02 20 04 SOURCE: AAHP 94 92 90 88 86 84 19 82 0 Managed Care Methods • Create provider networks through contracts and negotiate favorable payment rates • Promote appropriate service provision and encourage appropriate consumption • Standardize medical practice and promote use of appropriate treatments • Encourage provision of preventive services and care management programs for chronically ill Increases in Health Insurance Premiums Compared to Other Indicators, 1988-1996 HI Premiums Overall Inflation 18% 12.7% 8.5% 8.3% 4.8% 3.4% 02 20 1 0 99 98 97 96 94 94 93 92 91 90 89 1.6% 19 88 20 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 Workers Earnings Gabel et al, KFF, 2002 Increases in Health Insurance Premiums Compared to Other Indicators, 1988-2005 HI Premiums 19 Overall Inflation 18% 13.9% 11.2% 9.2% 8.5% 8.3% 4.8% 2.3% 2.2% Gabel et al, KFF, 2004 4 2 0 98 96 94 92 .8% 90 88 20 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 Workers Earnings Current Challenges for Managed Care • Unable to sustain cost control • HMOs became very unpopular with public given restrictions on choice of provider • Providers resent controls on practice and payments • Financial distress for some providers led them to refuse to contract with HMOs • Politicians and policymakers have imposed many constraints on managed care Percent of Groups with “Unfavorable” Rating (Kaiser Family Foundation, National Survey of Prescription Drugs, Sept. 2000) 71% Tobacco Cos HMOs 57% Oil Cos 57% 44% Pharm Cos 28% Airlines Banks 26% Hospitals 25% 17% Doctors 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% Contemporary Pressures • Premium increases remain in double-digits • Providers demanding higher payments • Continued increases in labor, technology, pharmacy, malpractice, and administrative costs • Private purchasers losing faith in managed care • Coverage expected to decline as costs rise • Increased consumer cost participation Managed Care—Under New Management • Many employers believe employees must share more of cost of their health benefits • Employers decide to reduce some of their support for health benefits • Health insurance companies developing new products with much more cost sharing • Patients paying for care with own money are expected to consume less and demand more information to an effective buyer Percentage of Large Employers (>200 workers) Planning Selected Benefit Changes in Next Year Likely Raise employee premium Not likely 83 17 55 Increaser Rx Costs 45 Increase Deductibles 52 48 Increase office copays 52 48 Reduce dependent subsidy Restrict eligibility 41 9 59 91 Gabel et al, KFF, 2004 Likely= Very/Somewhat likely; Not=Other Consumer Directed Health Products • Growing interest in offering “consumer directed health plans” • Federal tax law changes allow consumers to put money into “health savings accounts” (HSA) and avoid taxation, if they purchase a high deductible insurance policy • $ in HSAs can meet routine expenses and cover cost of high deductible • HSAs can build up over time and be used for any health-related expense Consumer Directed Health Plan Design EMPLOYEE’S Health Savings Account Routine/ Discretionary Care $ EMPLOYER $ High Deductible Insurance Policy High Cost Care Policy Concerns with Consumer Directed Products Information to support consumer decision making remains badly underdeveloped Deferred/forgone care could lead to higher costs Uncompensated care could rise sharply Healthy likely to opt out of conventional insurance Less healthy maintain comprehensive coverage Risk-pooling undermined; premiums could soar Consumer Directed Health Products: Inspiration or Desperation? Some experts predict 40% of Americans could move to the products in next 5 years Growth in products will increase demand for more and better price and quality information Impact on utilization and cost is largely unknown Unclear if consumers will accept the additional financial risk of these products—especially lower income consumers Some experts predict products will remind Americans why they wanted comprehensive health insurance in the first place “You can always count on the Americans to do the right thing, after exhausting all other alternatives.” Winston S. Churchill