Status of AROME Physics Sylvie Malardel Yann Seity, Gwenaëlle Hello, Christine Lac, Valery Masson, Patrick Lemoigne et al Météo-France/CNRM et Laboratoire d’aérologie 1 AROME Aladin dynamical core 2 AROME Physics Current ECMWF radiation scheme called every 15 min (F.M. for SW and RRTM for LW) Microphysics (vapor+5 hydrometeors) Turbulence (CBR, pronostic TKE) Shallow convection (KFB) + a subgrid representation of clouds Externalised surface Isba Simple schemes for sea and lakes TEB 3 The Daily Arome prototype This Arome is running every day on different domains MIDPYR since june 2005, SUDE since september 2005 Replaced by NORE this winter (plots on ALADIN2 WebSite) 4 AROME domains over FRANCE PARI BRET NORE MIDPYR SUDE 5 Deep Clouds •Microphysics •Coupling with the dynamics 6 An AROME good forecast : 21 June 2005 7 21 June 2005 Case 21 24 15 18 12TU TU TU Inst. AROME rainfalls L41 AROME wind 8 21 June 2005 Case 15 TU AROME coupled with Aladin oper AROME coupled with Aladin 3DVAR 9 Microphysical retrievals : IOP 2A (intense convection) Simulation (Meso-NH) 12 km Deep clouds (x) hail + graupel (o) hail ( ) rain (x) hail + graupel Z > 60 dBz graupel (o) hail ( ) rain 100 km Tabary, 2002 10 Deep clouds Microphysical retrievals : IOP 3 (moderate convection) 18:10 UT dry snow hail + graupel rain 18:30 UT hail + graupel snow rain Meso-NH simulation Pujol et al., 2005 11 Deep clouds Quasi-stationnary MCS 13-14 Oct. 1995 OBSERVATIONS MESO-NH,x=2.5km x=10km MESO-NH, m m MESO-NH, x=2.5km mm max max: : 99 25 mm mm Initialisation Ducrocq et al (2000)’s max : 135 mm max: 31 mm Initial conditions: ARPEGE analysis at 18UTC Cumulated precipitation 01 UTC to 06 UTC the 14th Oct. 1995 12 (Ducrocq et al, 2002) Deep clouds As Méso-NH, Arome is able to simulate correctly the organisation of mesoscale convective organisation Sensitivity to coupling and initial condition For AROME in 2006 Use diagnostics to evaluate more objectively and statisticaly precipitating events Adaptation of numerical aspects of the sedimentation parametrization (time splitting) to longer time steps (> 60s) 13 Fog (and low clouds) •Microphysics •Radiation •Vertical resolution •Turbulence in stable layers 14 First case of Fog : 7 January 2005 09 TU AROME 2 last levels cloud cover 15 First case of Fog : 7 January 2005 15 TU AROME 2 last levels cloud cover 16 Fog just a few studies with Meso-NH … But A PRIORITY for AROME Scientist Bergot et al., 2005, submitted : Intercomparison of 1D numerical models for prediction of the fog ( mp, turbulence, z) 2 events at Paris-CdG. 4 sets of initial conditions (RS): 18UTC (onset), 21 (thickening), 00 (mature) and 03 (disspation) Model Levels <50m Levels <200m E.Terradellas Hirlam-INM (1D version used in Spain) 1 3 O. Liechti tBM 2 7 N.W. Nielsen Hirlam-DMI 13 20 T. Bergot Cobel-Isba 13 20 M. Mueller Cobel-Noah 18 30 J.Cuxart/A.Mira MesoNH 50 89 17 Cumulated liquid water content Fog Crude test : Modification of the autoconversion threshold Meso-NH without sedimentation of small droplets Initialization at 03UTC Late dissipation due to excessive rc : lack of gravitational settling Meso-NH with sedimentation 18 Bergot et al., 2005, submitted Fog For AROME in 2006 Microphysics : Implementation of the sedimentation for small droplets Tests on the sensitivity to vertical resolution Additional levels to L41 ? (Cobel-Isba with L41 shows degradation) Evaluation on CAPITOUL and on several international airports. Run of AROME on Ile-de-France on winter 2005 and in 1D on Casablanca and Varsovie (to be confirmed) 19 Convective boundary layers and stratocumulus •Shallow convection •Turbulence •Subgrid clouds •Microphysics •Surface 20 2005/08/20 09 TU AROME Meso-NH with SUBGRID COND + SHALLOW : Adjustment time of 3h in the closure Meso-NH with SUBGRID COND + SHALLOW 30min : Adjustment time of 30min 21 Coupling with Aladin oper (r0) Bomex : w' ' l 3h LES 1h w* 22 ARM : LES 1h w' ' l 3h w* 23 ARM : cloud mixing ratio 3h LES 1h w* 24 BL clouds : Cu For AROME in 2006 1. Modification of the KFB closure (w*, Grant et al, 1999) 2. Improvement of subgrid cloud representation (Bechtold et al, 1995, Lenderink and Siebesma, 2000) 3. Test of EDMF scheme in Meso-NH (P.Soares) 25 Stratocumulus : What’s about the resolutions of AROME ? x= y= 500m LES Cloud water mixing ratio 0h LT 12hLT SCM 0hLT 0h LT 12hLT 0hLT x= y= 2.5km I.Sandu 26 BL clouds : Sc Liquid Water Path x=500m,z=25m x=500m,z=50m x=500m,z=80m LES x=500m,z=10m I. Sandu 27 BL clouds : Sc Preliminary tests in Meso-NH at the resolutions of AROME Diurnal cycle of Sc is maintained at the resolution of Arome LWC more sensitive to lower z than lower x Main impact of z at the top of Sc (entrainment) than beneath For Arome , second part of 2006 Sensitivity tests on vertical resolution for cloud-top entrainmentAdditional levels to L41? Interest of an entrainment parametrization (Lock, 2001, 2004. ARPEGEClimat). 28 Evaluation CARBOEUROPE Dry CBL Forecasts of Meso-NH (8km) in an operational mode during the experiment La Cape Sud : Comparison MesoNH/RS of BL height (parcel method) between 6 and 17UTC 25-may Boundary Layer Height MESONH vs RS La Cape Sud 26-may 27-may 2500 31-may 06-june simulated 2000 Weak overestimation during the afternoon 07-june 08-juin 09-juin 1500 10-juin MESO-NH vs PIPER 1000 Weak underestimation during the morning 500 0 0 500 1000 1500 observed 2000 2500 29 Dry CBL BUT limitations are well-known, inherent to Eddy-diffusivity Eddy-diffusivity (local) : w' ' K z with K 2 L e3 3C p Too sharpe inversion due to lack of topentrainment Too unstable 1. The K-diffusion doesn’t take into account countergradient. 2. Entrainment is not treated explicitly in the K-diffusion approach. 3. But diffusion remains necessary, for transition to neutral or stable BL. 30 Dry CBL 1. Countergradient with Third order moments On L 2L 1L On the TOMs 2L with TOMs 2L without TOMs 31 Dry CBL 1. For AROME in 2006 TOMs on heat momentum fitted on LES already implemented in Meso-NH evaluation of the impact for AROME on CBL (needs of evaluation on test cases, impact on unreal rolls ?) 2. EDMF scheme : evaluation of the impact in Meso-NH during the 1st sem.2006 (In collaboration with P.Soares) 3. Comparison EDMF/TOMS on the same cases Under development in Meso-NH (2006-2008) 1. Improvement of EDMF scheme : entrainment, extension to momentum transport (In collaboration with P.Soares in 2006) 2. Parametrization of TOMs with an entraining plume used to find the mass-flux. 32 3. Improvement of the BL89 mixing length in the same way (V.Masson) Summary • An Arome daily prototype has been running for 6 months (without any blow up) • Some good forcasts and some less good (but only qualitative and episodic validation) • Some imperative improvement have to be done quickly on the physics before more serious validation – Shallow convection and subgrid clouds – Fog dissipation • Numerical improvement : SL sedimentation • Other preoccupations : Sc, Dry BL etc 33