PowerPoint Presentation by Mehdi Arzandeh, University of Manitoba International Trade 17 LEARNING OBJECTIVES LO17.1 LO17.2 LO17.3 LO17.4 LO17.5 LO17.6 List and discuss several key facts about Canada’s international trade. Define comparative advantage, and demonstrate how specialization and trade add to a nation’s output. Describe how differences between world prices prompt exports and imports. Analyze the economic effects of tariffs and quotas. Analyze the validity of the most frequently presented arguments for protectionism. Identify and explain the objectives of GATT, WTO, EU, Euro Zone, and NAFTA, and discuss offshoring and those hurt by free trade. © 2016 McGraw‐Hill Education Limited 17-2 FIGURE 17-1 International Linkages Goods & Services Canadian Economy Capital & Labour Info & Technology Other National Economies Money LO1 © 2016 McGraw‐Hill Education Limited 17-3 17.1 Canada, International Linkages, and Globalization Canada and World Trade • Volume • Exports are about 28% of Canadian GDP • Imports are about 29% of Canadian GDP LO1 © 2016 McGraw‐Hill Education Limited 17-4 17.1 GLOBAL PERSPECTIVE China has the largest share of world exports, followed by the United States and Germany. The eight largest export nations account for over 40 percent of world exports. LO1 © 2016 McGraw‐Hill Education Limited 17-5 FIGURE 17-2 LO1 Canadian Trade as Percentage of GDP © 2016 McGraw‐Hill Education Limited 17-6 17.1 Canada, International Linkages, and Globalization • Dependence • Canada almost entirely dependent on other countries for bananas, cocoa, coffee, spices, tea, raw silk, tin, and natural rubber. • Many Canadian industries rely on sales abroad: agricultural products, computers, chemicals, aircraft, automobiles, etc. LO1 © 2016 McGraw‐Hill Education Limited 17-7 17.1 Canada, International Linkages, and Globalization • Trade Patterns • A trade surplus occurs when exports exceed imports. Canada had a trade surplus in goods in 2014. • A trade deficit occurs when imports exceed exports. Canada had a trade deficit in services in 2014. • Canada imports some of the same categories of goods that it exports, called intra-industry trade. • Canada’s export and import trade is mainly with other industrially advanced nations. LO1 © 2016 McGraw‐Hill Education Limited 17-8 TABLE 17-1 Exports Principal Canadian Exports and Imports of Goods, 2014 % of total Imports % of total Machinery and equipment 16 Machinery and equipment 10 Automotive products 22 Automotive products 17 Industrial goods and materials 18 Industrial goods and materials 10 Forestry products 7 Consumer goods 20 Energy products 24 Agricultural and fishing products 3 Agricultural and fishing products 7 Energy products 8 Source: Statistics Canada. At: http://www.statcan.gc.ca/tables-tableaux/sum-som/l01/cst01/gblec04-eng.htm and http://www.statcan.gc.ca/tables-tableaux/sum-som/l01/cst01/gblec05-eng.htm. Accessed May 28, 2015 LO1 © 2016 McGraw‐Hill Education Limited 17-9 TABLE 17-2 Exports to Canadian Exports and Imports of Goods by Area, 2014 % of total Imports from % of total United States 76 United States 67 United Kingdom 8 United Kingdom 9 European Union 3 European Union 2 Japan 2 Japan 2 Other countries 11 Other countries 20 Source: http://www.statcan.gc.ca/tables-tableaux/sum-som/l01/cst01/gblec02a-eng.htm Accessed May 28, 2015 LO1 © 2016 McGraw‐Hill Education Limited 17-10 17.1 Canada, International Linkages, and Globalization Rapid Trade Growth • Transportation Technology • Communications Technology • General Decline in Tariffs LO1 © 2016 McGraw‐Hill Education Limited 17-11 17.1 Canada, International Linkages, and Globalization Participants in International Trade • Germany, the United States, China, and Germany had combined exports of over five trillion in 2014. • Along with Germany, other western European nations such as France, Britain, and Italy are major exporters. • Southeast Asian countries of South Korea, Taiwan, and Singapore have combined exports which exceed those of France, Britain, or Italy. • China with its increased reliance on the market system and reintegration of Hong Kong, has quickly emerged as a major international trader. LO1 © 2016 McGraw‐Hill Education Limited 17-12 17.2 GLOBAL PERSPECTIVE Comparative Exports LO1 © 2016 McGraw‐Hill Education Limited 17-13 The Economic Basis for 17.2 Trade Why do nations trade? •The distribution of resources is uneven. •Efficient production requires different technologies or resource combinations. •Products are differentiated as to quality and other non-price attributes. LO2 © 2016 McGraw‐Hill Education Limited 17-14 The Economic Basis for 17.2 Trade •Labour-intensive goods •Land-intensive goods •Capital-intensive goods LO2 © 2016 McGraw‐Hill Education Limited 17-15 The Economic Basis for 17.2 Trade •Absolute Advantage • A country is said to have an absolute advantage over other producers for a product if it is the most efficient producer of that product •Comparative Advantage • A country is said to have a comparative advantage over other producers of a product if it can produce the product at a lower opportunity cost LO2 © 2016 McGraw‐Hill Education Limited 17-16 The Economic Basis for 17.2 Trade The Basic Principle • Specialization according to comparative advantage reduces costs • This is true even if a nation has an absolute advantage LO2 © 2016 McGraw‐Hill Education Limited 17-17 The Economic Basis for 17.2 Trade Specialization and Comparative Advantage Two isolated nations (Canada and Brazil) 1. Constant Costs • 2. Different Costs • 3. LO2 straight-line production possibilities curves different technology & resources Canada has absolute advantage in both steel and soybeans © 2016 McGraw‐Hill Education Limited 17-18 FIGURE 17-3 (a) Canada 45 45 40 40 35 35 30 30 Soybeans (Tonnes) Soybean s(Tonnes) Production Possibilities Curve 25 20 15 12 10 A LO2 25 20 15 10 5 4 5 0 (b) Brazil 5 10 15 18 20 Steel (Tonnes) 25 30 0 © 2016 McGraw‐Hill Education Limited Z 5 8 10 15 20 Steel (Tonnes) 17-19 The Economic Basis for 17.2 Trade Specialization Based on Comparative Advantage • Self-sufficiency output mix • Specialization and trade • Produce the good with the lowest domestic opportunity cost • Opportunity cost of 1 tonnes of steel: LO2 • 1 tonnes of soybeans in Canada (1St = 1Soy). • 2 tonnes of soybeans in Brazil (1St = 2Soy) © 2016 McGraw‐Hill Education Limited 17-20 International Specialization According to Comparative Advantage and the Gains from Trade (in tonnes) TABLE 17-3 Country Canada Brazil Total output (steel and soybeans) LO2 (1) Outputs before specialization (2) Outputs after specialization 18 steel 12 soybeans 8 steel 4 soybeans 30 steel 0 soybeans 0 steel 20 soybeans 42 50 (3) Amounts exported (–) and imported (+) –10 steel +15 soybeans +10 steel –15 soybeans © 2016 McGraw‐Hill Education Limited (4) Outputs available after trade 20 steel 15 soybeans 10 steel 5 soybeans (5) Gains from specialization and trade(4) – (1) 2 steel 3 soybeans 2 steel 1 soybeans 50 8 17-21 The Economic Basis for 17.2 Trade Terms of Trade • What will the terms of trade be? • Canada 1St = 1Soy • Canada will sell 1St for more than 1Soy • Brazil 1St = 2Soy • Brazil will pay less than 2Soy for 1St • For trade to be mutually beneficial the terms of trade must be between each nation’s opportunity costs. • Settle between the two, depends on supply/demand factors (assume trade 1St for 1.5Soy). LO2 © 2016 McGraw‐Hill Education Limited 17-22 The Economic Basis for 17.2 Trade Gains from Trade • • • Trading possibilities line Slope equals terms of trade Improved options • Complete specialization • More of both goods • More efficient resource allocation LO2 © 2016 McGraw‐Hill Education Limited 17-23 FIGURE 17-4 KEY GRAPH - Trading Possibilities Lines and the Gains from Trade (a) Canada 45 45 (b) Brazil V’ 40 40 35 30 30 V Soybeans (Tonnes) Soybeans (Tonnes) 35 Trading Possibilities Line 25 20 A’ 15 12 25 20 Trading Possibilities Line v 15 A 10 10 Z’ 5 0 LO2 5 4 B 5 10 15 18 20 Steel (Tonnes) 25 W 30 © 2016 McGraw‐Hill Education Limited 0 Z 5 b 8 10 b’ 15 Steel (Tonnes) 20 17-24 The Economic Basis for 17.2 Trade • Trade with Increasing Costs • Concave production curve • Resources not perfectly substitutable • Incomplete specialization LO2 © 2016 McGraw‐Hill Education Limited 17-25 The Economic Basis for 17.2 Trade The Case for Free Trade Restated • Through free trade based on the principle of comparative advantage, the world economy can achieve a more efficient allocation of resources and a higher level of material wellbeing than without free trade. • Side benefits: LO2 • Promotion of competition, deterrence of monopoly • Linking of national interests, reduction of national animosities © 2016 McGraw‐Hill Education Limited 17-26 17.3 Supply and Demand Analysis of Exports and Imports • When world prices increase relative to domestic prices, domestic exports will increase, resulting in an upward sloping export supply curve • When world prices decrease relative to domestic prices, domestic imports will increase, resulting in a downward sloping import demand curve LO3 © 2016 McGraw‐Hill Education Limited 17-27 FIGURE 17-5 Canadian Export Supply and Import Demand Surplus = 100 (b) Canada Export Supply and Import Demand Sd 1.50 1.50 Surplus = 50 1.25 c Canadian Export b Supply 1.25 1.00 1.00 .75 Shortage = 50 .50 Dd Shortage = 100 0 50 75 100 125 Quantity of Aluminum (Millions of Kilograms) LO3 Price (Per kilogram; Canadian. Dollars) Price (Per Kilogram; Canadian Dollars) (a) Canada Domestic Aluminum Market 150 a .75 x Canadian Import Demand .50 y 0 50 100 Quantity of Aluminum (Millions of Kilograms) © 2016 McGraw‐Hill Education Limited 17-28 FIGURE 17-6 U.S. Export Supply and Import Demand (b) U.S. Export Supply and Import Demand Price (Per kilogram, Canadian Dollars) Price (Per kilogram, Canadian Dollars) (a) U.S. Domestic Aluminum Market 1.50 1.50 Surplus = 100 Sd 1.25 1.25 Surplus = 50 s 1.00 1.00 .75 .50 Shortage = 50 Dd 0 50 75 100 125 150 .75 r q .50 t 0 Quantity of Aluminum (Millions of Kilograms) LO3 U.S. Export Supply © 2016 McGraw‐Hill Education Limited 50 U.S. Import Demand 100 Quantity of Aluminum (Millions of Kilograms) 17-29 Price (Per Kilogram; Canadian Dollars) FIGURE 17-7 LO3 Equilibrium World Price and Quantity of Exports and Imports Canadian Export Supply U.S. Export Supply 1.25 1.125 1.00 e Equilibrium Canadian Import Demand U.S. Import Demand 0 25 50 100 Quantity of Aluminum (Millions of Kilograms) © 2016 McGraw‐Hill Education Limited 17-30 17.3 Supply and Demand Analysis of Exports and Imports Equilibrium World Price, Exports and Imports, Two-Nation Model • International equilibrium occurs when one nation’s demand curve intersects another nation’s export supply curve. • Americans will pay more for aluminum with trade than without it. • Americans are willing to export aluminum to Canada because they can gain from the trade (to import other goods). • Canadians pay less for aluminum with trade. Canadians gain from the trade. LO3 © 2016 McGraw‐Hill Education Limited 17-31 Trade Barriers and Export 17.4 Subsidies • Tariffs • Revenue tariffs • Protective tariffs • Nontariff Barriers (NTB) • Import Quotas • Voluntary Export Restrictions (VER) • Export Subsidy LO4 © 2016 McGraw‐Hill Education Limited 17-32 Trade Barriers and Export 17.4 Subsidies Economic Impact of Tariffs •Direct effects • Decline in consumption • Increase in domestic production • Decline in imports • Tariff revenue •Indirect effects LO4 © 2016 McGraw‐Hill Education Limited 17-33 Trade Barriers and Export 17.4 Subsidies Economic Impact of Quotas • Decline in consumption • Increase in domestic production • Decline in imports • Quotas do not provide for any government revenue but instead transfer it to foreign producers LO4 © 2016 McGraw‐Hill Education Limited 17-34 FIGURE 17-8 The Economic Effects of a Protective Tariff or an Import Quota Sd Price Sd + Q Pd Pt Pw Dd 0 LO4 a b q c d Quantity © 2016 McGraw‐Hill Education Limited 17-35 Trade Barriers and Export 17.4 Subsidies Net Costs of Tariffs and Quotas • Consumer costs • price of imported product goes up • some consumers shift purchases from imports to higher-priced domestic goods • prices of domestic goods rise • Gains to protected industries and workers come at the expense of much greater losses for the entire economy. LO4 © 2016 McGraw‐Hill Education Limited 17-36 17.5 The Case for Protection: A Critical Review • Military Self-Sufficiency Argument • Diversification for Stability Argument • Infant Industry Argument Counter-arguments: • • • LO5 which industries? how long? other methods which are better © 2016 McGraw‐Hill Education Limited 17-37 17.5 The Case for Protection: A Critical Review • Protection Against Dumping Argument • • Driving Out Competitors Price Discrimination • Increased Domestic Employment Argument • • • • Job creation from imports Fallacy of composition Possibility of retaliation Long-run feedbacks • Cheap Foreign Labour Argument • • LO5 What actually matters is labour costs per unit, not per hour Differences in productivity typically mean that labour costs per unit are often nearly identical despite huge differences in labour costs per hour © 2016 McGraw‐Hill Education Limited 17-38 17.5 The Case for Protection: A Critical Review Summing Up • The arguments for protection are not convincing. • There is compelling historical evidence that free trade has led to prosperity and protectionism has led to the opposite. LO5 © 2016 McGraw‐Hill Education Limited 17-39 17.6 Multilateral Trade Agreements and Free-Trade Zones • High tariffs a contributing cause of the Great Depression • Reciprocal Trade Agreements • LO6 Most-favoured-nation clauses © 2016 McGraw‐Hill Education Limited 17-40 17.6 Multilateral Trade Agreements and Free-Trade Zones General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT) • First signed in 1947 • equal, non-discriminatory trade treatment for all member nations • reduction of tariffs by multilateral negotiation • elimination of import quotas • Eight rounds of negotiations • LO6 Uruguay Round took effect in 1995 © 2016 McGraw‐Hill Education Limited 17-41 17.6 Multilateral Trade Agreements and Free-Trade Zones World Trade Organization (WTO) • Successor to the GATT • 155 member organization • Oversees trade agreements • Rules on trade disputes • Forum for further rounds of negotiations • LO6 Doha Round launched in 2001 © 2016 McGraw‐Hill Education Limited 17-42 17.6 Multilateral Trade Agreements and Free-Trade Zones World Trade Organization (WTO) • Trade liberalizations implemented by 2005: LO6 • tariff reductions • new rules for trade in services • reductions in agricultural subsidies • new protections for intellectual property • phasing out quotas on textiles, apparel, and replacing them with tariffs © 2016 McGraw‐Hill Education Limited 17-43 17.6 Multilateral Trade Agreements and Free-Trade Zones World Trade Organization (WTO) • GATT and WTO have been positive forces for liberalized trade • WTO is highly controversial LO6 © 2016 McGraw‐Hill Education Limited 17-44 17.6 Multilateral Trade Agreements and Free-Trade Zones The European Union (EU) • Free-trade zones, trade blocs • EU initiated in 1958 as the Common Market • Expanded to 27 countries in 2007, then to 28 nations in 2013 • Nearly all internal tariffs & import quotas abolished • Common system of tariffs on non-EU goods • Liberalized movements of capital and labour within the EU • Common internal economic policies • Euro-zone LO6 © 2016 McGraw‐Hill Education Limited 17-45 17.6 Multilateral Trade Agreements and Free-Trade Zones North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) • Canada, Mexico, United States formed a trade bloc in 1993. • Concerns about job losses not realized. • Standard of living has been enhanced in all three countries. • In 2008, Canada signed a free-trade agreement with Colombia. LO6 © 2016 McGraw‐Hill Education Limited 17-46 17.6 Multilateral Trade Agreements and Free-Trade Zones Recognizing Those Hurt by Free Trade • OFFSHORING OF JOBS Job losses because of international trade and globalization of factor markets Offshoring reflects growing specialization and international trade in services or “tasks.” Offshoring may encourage domestic investment and the expansion of firms in Canada by reducing their production costs and keeping them competitive worldwide Offshoring also increases the demand for complementary jobs in Canada LO6 © 2016 McGraw‐Hill Education Limited 17-47 The LAST WORD Petition of the Candlemakers, 1845 French economist Frédéric Bastiat (1801–1850) devastated the proponents of protectionism by satirically extending their reasoning to its logical and absurd conclusions. • Petition of candlemakers asking for protection from natural light producers such as the sun • Tongue-in-cheek argument supporting the idea of free trade © 2016 McGraw‐Hill Education Limited 17-48 Chapter Summary LO17.1 LO17.2 LO17.3 LO17.4 LO17.5 LO17.6 List and discuss several key facts about Canada’s international trade. Define comparative advantage, and demonstrate how specialization and trade add to a nation’s output. Describe how differences between world prices prompt exports and imports. Analyze the economic effects of tariffs and quotas. Analyze the validity of the most frequently presented arguments for protectionism. Identify and explain the objectives of GATT, WTO, EU, Euro Zone, and NAFTA, and discuss offshoring and those hurt by free trade. © 2016 McGraw‐Hill Education Limited 17-49