Celestial Biologicals Limited

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Valuation of IPR

Presented by Deepika Maheshwari

Financial Advisory Services

Deloitte Haskins & Sells, Ahmedabad

Audit.Tax.Consulting.Financial Advisory

This document is confidential. No part of it may be be reproduced without express approval of Deloitte.

© Deloitte 2008.

9 th Feb 2008

1

Overview

•Basics of Intellectual property rights

•Importance of Intellectual property rights

•Management of IPR

•Valuation of IPR

Intellectual Property Rights- Basics

•Increasing investment in Intangibles.

• Shift in focus from Physical capital to

Intellectual capital

• “

Value of firm= Value of physical

Assets+ Value of intangible assets”

Value of Intangible Assets

Value of future growth opportunities that are already in place

Value of future growth opportunities from new assets

Intellectual Property Rights- Importance

•Source Of unexpected revenue

•Increases Shareholders Value

•Establishes Proprietary Market advantage

•Enhances Competitiveness

•Exploits new market opportunities

•Reduces risk

Intellectual Property Rights- Management

Identify

Design

Process

Method

Software

Trade Secrets

Know-how

Trademarks

Brand names

Formulations

Literary work

Patents

Copyrights

Design

Trademarks

Publishing rights

Source: Deloitte Research

To be able to reap benefits out of IP, a sound IP management programme is required

Valuation Approaches:

Accounting

Residual Value

Cost

Market value

Income

Real option

IP Trading

M&A

IPO/Fund raising

Financial Reporting

Licensing-In

Licensing-Out

Contract/ Royalty rates

Transfer Pricing

Litigations

Technology transfer

Valuation

“ The intangibility of a company’s most important assets makes it extremely hard to figure out what the company is really worth.”

Valuation Parameters

What

Whom

Why

How

What is the IP to be valued

For whom the valuation is being done

Why the firm has decided to value IP rights

(Purpose)

Patents, Copyrights, Designs, Trade secrets, Know how, Trade marks,

Brand name

Shareholders, Management,

Licensor/Licensee, Investor, Court of

Law, Acquiror , Investment banker

Corporate valuation for shareholders,

M&A, Management buy-out or buyin, IPO/Fund raising, Financial

Reporting, Acquisition/Licensing of

IP, Litigations,, and reorganization

How the valuation would be done in given circumstances

Different approaches to valuation may be used

While valuing IP…

•Understand the value chain of business and understand how profits are generated

Patent Manufacturing Distribution Sales Brand

•Understand Important features of IP and how it adds value to business

•Obtain Adequate knowledge of trends in the industry and technology

•Consider scope & Strength of IP asset

•Assess the availability of competing IP in the market

•Ascertain the unpredictability of future returns

Valuation- A Daunting task

•No active market for trading of intangible assets

•Difficult to identify the potential earnings and profits that can be generated

•Uniqueness of each IPR – Non Comparability

•Difficult to Segregate profits generated from tangibles and intangibles.

•Difficult to ascribe appropriate economic benefit to an individual IP Asset if there are more than one IP.

•Inadequate disclosure of Intangibles in financial reports

•Most valuation methods ignore managerial flexibility

Valuation Methods

Valuation Methods

Static valuation models

Accounting Approach

Cost Approach

Market Approach

Dynamic valuation models

Income

Approach/Discounted cash flow

Decision tree Analysis

Real Option Model

Monte carlo Simulation

Accounting Approach

•IPRs are subset of Intangible Assets

•As per AS-26 issued by ICAI, the recognition of an item as an intangible asset requires an enterprise to demonstrate that the item meets the:

• “ definition of an intangible asset and

• recognition criteria set out in the standard”

•As per definition Intangible asset should be

Identifiable

Controllable

• Able to generate economic benefits

•An intangible asset should be recognized if, and only if:

• it is probable that the future economic benefits that are attributable to the asset will flow to the enterprise; and

• the cost of the asset can be measured reliably.

Accounting Approach- Acquisition

Separate

Acquisition

Valuation

• Cost of intangible would be the purchase consideration paid either in form of cash or in Fair value of shares or assets exchanged

• Cost =Purchase consideration+ Import Duty+ Taxes+

Any direct attributable exp.

As a part of

Amalgamation

Valuation

• Allocation of purchase consideration to individual identifiable assets (including IPs) and liabilities based on their fair values at amalgamation date

• Valuation method must:

• Estimate Fair Value, and

• Reflect current transactions and practices in industry

Accounting Approach – Valuing Internally Generated IP

Research Phase

ECONOMIC BENEFITS

Commercial Phase

Expensed

Development Phase

EXPENSES

Direct + Indirect

Capitalized Expensed

1.

Technical feasibility

2.

Intention to complete and use/sell

3.

Ability to use/sell

4.

Probable future economic benefits

5.

Resource availability

Available for use

6.

Ability to measure

• Internally generated goodwill can not be recognized as an intangible asset

Cost Approach

Value

(Rs)

Historical cost trending

Method

Recreation

Cost Method

Assumptions :

 Cost to purchase or develop new property is commensurate with the economic value of service

 An investor would pay no more to purchase an asset than would be required to reproduce the asset

Replacement cost method

This method seeks to measure the future benefits of IP assets by calculating the amount of money that would be required to replace the future service capability of the subject intellectual property

Cost Approach- Examples

Historical Cost

•Example : Cost incurred on R&D to develop a new technology know-how:

INR 100 for Y1 and INR

200 for Y2

•Inflation index: Y1 = 100,

Y2=105, Current = 110

•Estimated Value of IP

100 x 110/100 + 200 x

110/105 = INR 320

Replacement Cost

•Example : Cost incurred on R&D to develop a new technology know-how:

INR 100 for Y1 and INR

200 for Y2

•Inflation index: Y1 = 100,

Y2=105, Current = 110

•Chances of Success : 60%

•Estimated value of IP would be (100 x 110/100

+ 200 x 110/105)/0.6 = Rs

533

Cost Approach- Pros & Cons

Pros

•Good for internally developed intangibles or in liquidation scenario

•When comparable market data is not available

•When intangible is not income producing

Cons

•Requires numerous adjustment to financial data

•Difficult to apply if historical records are not there

•No direct correlation between price and value

•Risk is not factored

Market value Approach – Comparable Market value

•Value of an IP = prices paid for comparable IP as part of arm’s length transactions

•The transaction price, as a ratio of an asset attribute such as sales, is used to derive a market multiple

•This market multiple is then applied to the attribute of the asset being valued

Requirements

•Active market involving comparable property

•Past transactions of comparable property

•Access to price information at which comparable property exchanged

•Arm’s length transactions between independent parties

Market value Approach – Comparable Market value

•Factors to be considered while comparing

– Industry

– Market Share

– Profits

– Impact of New Technologies

– Barriers to Entry

– Growth Prospects

– Strength of Legal Protection

– Remaining Economic Life

Market value Approach – Comparable Market value

Objective: To value a trademark ‘XYZ’ of a pharma co. ‘Pharma Co.’.

•Annual sale of products with ‘XYZ’ trademark = INR 100

•Comparable transaction: Purchase of 32 medical remedy trademarks by

M&J Labs for INR 5000. Annual sale of all 32 trademarked products just prior to purchase was INR 4000

Solution

•Value-to-sales multiple of comparable trademark = 5000/4000 = 1.25

•Value of ‘XYZ’ trademark = Annual sale from ‘XYZ’ trademarked products x Value-to-Sales multiple of comparable trademarked products

= INR 100 x 1.25

= INR 125

Market value Approach- Pros & Cons

Pros

•Relatively easy to apply

•Conceptually attractive

•Provides evidence of value

Cons

•Most of the information is not publicly available

•Low Frequency of comparable transactions

•Each intangible transaction is unique.

Residual Value Approach

Assumption : Markets are efficient. i.e, all future economic benefits from assets

(tangible and intangible) and IP of the firm are factored into the market price of firm’s equity and debt

•Starts with the company’s value of equity (as measured by its stock price) plus the value of its liabilities.

•From such amount, value of the company’s tangible assets, plus the value of any intangibles not transferred (Unidentifiable Intangible

Assets) is reduced. The result is the lump-sum value of the intangibles being valued.

•Value of IP = MC-(N+U)

– Where MC= Market Capitalization

N= Net Tangible Assets as shown in book (Total assets- total liabilities)

U= Unidentifiable Intangible Assets

Drawback: Valuation would fluctuate with market. IP assets would not be valued individually. Is the market really efficient to factor in all the benefits

Income Approach

Variations Method

Premium Pricing method

Excess Profit method

Royalty saving method

Premium over generic product/services

Excess earnings over the company that does not possess intangible

License fee/ Royalty saved by owning the intangible

Cost savings method Cost saved by owning the asset

Value of IP = Present Value of expected future economic benefits from ownership of IP

Approaches

Direct Capitalization

• Estimate an appropriate measure of economic benefit for one period future to the valuation date and multiply it by an appropriate capitalization rate (r) r = 1/discount Rate

•Where, r is a measure of economic benefit

• Does not consider future economic benefits

Discounted Future Economic Benefits

Value of IP

= Economic Benefit Period 1 Economic Benefit Period 2

(1 + k) 1 (1 + k) 2

Plus

The terminal value of the business at the terminal year

TV = Economic Benefit n

(K - growth)*(1+k)^n

..

Economic Benefit Period n

(1 + k) n

Illustration

• The book is expected to generate

$150,000 in after-tax cash flows for the first three years and $100,000 a year for the following two years. These are the cash flows after author royalties, promotional expenses and production costs.

About 40% of these cash flows are from large organizations that make bulk orders and are considered predictable and stable. The cost of capital applied to these cash flows is 7%. The remaining 60% of the cash flows are to the general public and this segment of the cash flows is considered much more volatile. The cost of capital applied to these cashflows is 10%.

1

2

3

4

5

Year Stable

Cash flows

Present value @

7%

60,000 56,075

60,000 52,406

60,000 48,978

40,000 30,516

40,000 28,519

Volatile

Cashflows

90,000

90,000

90,000

60,000

60,000

Present value @

10%

81,818

74,380

67,618

40,981

37,255

Total 216494 302053

Source: Damodaran online

DCF Approach- Pros & Cons

Pros

•Captures economic benefit flowing due to Intangibles

•Considers appropriate risk based rate of return at which to discount cash flows and estimates economic life

Cons

•Reliable financial projections

•Estimating income attributable to intangibles, its economic life, appropriate discount rate/ cost of capital

•Use of same discount rate in

R&D as well as Market phase

•Managerial flexibility is completely ignored

•No accommodation to option like nature of investments

Matrix- Accounting for Risk & flexibility

Source:Crystal ball confrence

Real option model

•Investment in intangibles does not generate immediate payoff

•Each intangible may have a bundle of options

Source:Crystal ball confrence

Decision Tree Analysis

Patent failed

P = 0.70

NPV5= (0.20 x NPV1 + 0.80 x NPV2)

Patent

Application

Cost

Product fails

P = 0.20

NPV10 = NPV9 x0.3 - Cost

Patent granted

P = 0.30

Low

Revenue

P = 0.40

NPV8= NPV7 x0.8

Product

Success

P = 0.80

NPV7= NPV5 x0.4 + NPV6 x 0.6

High

Revenue

P = 0.=60

Lapse

P = 0.20

Renew

P = 0.80

Status Quo

P = 0.60

NPV6 = (0.60 x NPV3 + 0.40 x NPV4)

File patent in UK

P = 0.40

Application to Grant

Grant to

Commercialization

PHASES

End of first year of commercialization

NPV1

NPV2

NPV3

NPV4

Real Option Technique

• Valuation under uncertainty

• Use Black-Scholes (1973) Option Pricing Model

• Option parameters

Value of Underlying = Present Value of Economic Benefits

Exercise Price = PV of investment in IP

Time to Expiry = Remaining economic life of IP

Standard Deviation = Standard Deviation of Economic Benefits

Risk free Rate = Riskless interest rate that corresponds to the economic life of IP

Dividend (Value Leakage) = 1/Economic Life of IP

Patent Payoff Diagram

PV of Cost of developing and commercializing the

Patent

Net payoff from Patent

Present Value of Economic

Benefits from Patent

Problems

•Estimation of future economic benefits

•Economic benefits may not follow a continuous process

•Variance may be unknown and may change over the economic life of IP

•Exercise may not be instantaneous

•Compound options

Categorizing Valuation

Independent and Cash flow generating intangibles

Not independent and cash flow generating to the firm

No cash flows now but potential for cashflows in future

Examples

Valuation approach

Copyrights, trademarks, licenses, franchises, professional practices

(medical, dental)

Brand names, Quality and

Morale of work force,

Technological expertise,

Corporate reputation

Undeveloped patents, operating or financial flexibility (to expand into new products/markets or abandon existing ones)

Estimate expected cash flows from the product or service and discount back at appropriate discount rate.

Compare DCF value of firm with intangible with firm without (if you can find one)

Assume that all excess returns of firm are due to intangible.

Compare multiples at which firm trades to sector averages.

Option valuation

Value the undeveloped patent as an option to develop the underlying product.

Value expansion options as call options

Value abandonment options as put options.

Challenges

Life is usually finite and terminal value may be small.

Cashflows and value may be person dependent (for professional practices )

With multiple intangibles (brand name and reputation for service), it becomes difficult to break down individual components.

Need exclusivity.

Difficult to replicate and arbitrage

(making option pricing models dicey)

Source: Damodaran website

Concluding Remarks

•IP valuation calls for co-ordinated efforts from a CA, IP attorney, and a technology person

•Adopt as many appropriate valuation techniques as possible, understand the pros and cons of each valuation method, and make a best estimate

Deloitte Haskins & Sells

‘Heritage’, 6th Floor

Near Gujarat Vidhyapith

Off Ashram Road

Ahmedabad-380 014

Gujarat

Thank You

Deepika Maheshwari

Assistant Manager

Email: dmaheshwari@deloitte.com

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