International Finance Lecture 1 Page 1 International Finance • Course topics – Foundations of International Financial Management – World Financial Markets and Institutions – Foreign Exchange Exposure – Financial Management for a Multinational Firm Page 2 Foundations of International Financial Management • Globalization and the Multinational Firm • International Monetary System • Balance of Payments • The Market for Foreign Exchange • International Parity Relationships Page 3 Globalization and the Multinational Firm • International vs __________ finance • Goals for international financial management • __________ • Multinationals • Comparative advantage Page 4 International vs Domestic Finance • Foreign __________ and Political Risk • Differences in regulations, tax laws, __________ policies • Greater opportunity set for production and/or __________ Page 5 Additional Risks • Foreign Exchange Risk – Cost of __________ goods changes for you, price of your product changes for foreign customers as FX changes • Political Risk: Macro, Micro – Changes in foreign laws/taxes, __________ • Additional risks increase cost of capital of multinational firms, __________ the required rate of return by investors and third parties. Page 6 Additional Opportunities • __________ opportunities • __________ costs for resources • New product __________ Page 7 Managerial objectives • Consensus in North America – Long-run __________ wealth maximization • In other countries – Shareholder wealth – __________ wealth – Corporate wealth – Market share, et c. • Long-term owner wealth maximization is the only sustainable _______ for running a business – Who are the owners? Are home country owners’ interests superior to those of foreign country owners? Page 8 Managerial objectives • The goal of MNE should be shareholder • • • • wealth maximization. However in Europe and Asia some companies follow __________ wealth maximization rule. In France, Germany and Italy banks are the major shareholders, also generally companies are private __________. In Japan Keiretsus are important. All multinationals’ main operating objective should be to maximize consolidated after tax __________. Page 9 Recent Trends in the World Economy • Globalization • Introduction of __________ • Trade liberalization • __________ Page 10 Multinational Enterprise • MNE: Multinational firm is a company that has operating branches, subsidiaries and affiliates located in __________ countries. • It has both domestic and foreign __________ • Go to World Investment Report and look for the list of largest transnational corporations (Largest TNCs). • Multinationals face two __________ of risks in addition to normal risks faced by domestic companies. (Fx and political) Page 11 Why do firms become multinational? • __________ Seekers • Raw __________ Seekers • Production __________ Seekers • __________ Seekers • Political __________ Seekers Page 12 Comparative advantage • A brief overview of the theory is here • Idea: – Situation 1: countries try __________ by themselves all products they need, no international trade occurs – Situation 2: countries produce only what they can produce __________ (efficiently as compared with the other countries), sell their products, and buy what they need but do not produce – According to the theory of comparative advantage, in Situation 2 all participating countries are _________ than in Situation 1, under a set of assumptions Page 13 Comparative advantage US Japan Workers, millions 200 50 Productivity, # items / worker per day Food Clothing 2 1 3 9 US Japan Output per day if only 1 product produced 400 150 Constructing production possibilities frontier Clothing Food 0 400 200 0 USA 0 150 450 0 Japan Page 14 200 450 No trade exists Production Possibilities 500 450 Clothing (millions of units) 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 0 100 200 300 Food (m illions of units) USA Page 15 Japan 400 500 Terms of trade Terms of trade: 1 unit of food = 2 unit of clothing Exchange possibilities USA Maximum food produced = Equivalent amount of clothing = Maximum clothing produced = Equivalent amount of food = 400 800 200 100 Japan Maximum food produced = Equivalent amount of clothing = Maximum clothing produced = Equivalent amount of food = 150 300 450 225 Consumption possibilities Clothing Page 16 Food 0 800 0 450 400 0 225 0 USA Japan Comparative advantage Production and Counsumption Possibilities for USA with Trade 900 Clothing (millions of units) 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 0 100 200 300 400 Food (m illions of units) Page 17 Production and Trade Consumption 500 Comparative advantage Production and Consumption Possibilities for Japan with Trade 500 450 Clothing (millions of units) 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 0 50 100 150 200 Food (m illions of units) Page 18 Consumption Production and Trade 250 Comparative advantage • If countries specialize in producing certain goods because they can do it more ___________ than the others, they use their comparative advantage over the other countries • In general, countries that specialize and trade are ___________ than those that do not – This effect is ___________ automatic, all depends on the terms of trade (open the spreadsheet and see if dashed lines are always ___________ the solid lines for each country) • A constant need for international transactions = constant need for / interest in international finance Page 19 Foundations of International Financial Management • Globalization and the Multinational Firm • International Monetary System • Balance of Payments • The Market for Foreign Exchange • International Parity Relationships Page 20 International Monetary System • … is the institutional __________ within which international payments are made, movements of __________ are accommodated and exchange rates among currencies are determined. Page 21 International Monetary System • History of the international monetary system • Current currency __________ • Major events Page 22 History of the International Monetary System • Bimetalism: Before __________ • The Gold Standard, __________ • The Interwar Years and World War II, __________ • Bretton Woods and the International Monetary Fund, __________ • Fixed Exchange Rates, 1945-1973 • 1973- Present Page 23 Current Currency Regimes • Exchange Arrangements with no separate • • • • • • • legal tender Currency Board Arrangements Fixed __________ Pegged Rate within Horizontal Bands Crawling Pegs Crawling __________ Managed Float Independent Float Page 24 Fixed versus Flexible Exchange Rate • Fixed exchange rate brings foreign exchange, trade, and investment __________, may be very expensive to implement, creates currency arbitrage __________. • Flexible exchange rate allows to conduct __________ monetary policy, is cheaper for the government to implement, eliminates arbitrage opportunities, but introduces __________ that may adversely affect trade and investment. Page 25 Major Events after 1973 • Oil Crisis • Asian __________ • European __________ and the Euro • Russian Crisis • Emerging __________ Crisis Page 26 The Economics and Currencies of Asia, July–Nov 1997 Page 27 Daily Exchange Rates: Russian Rubles per U.S. Dollar Page 28 The European Union, 1999 Page 29 Financial Markets in the Brazilian Crisis, January 11–15, 1999 Page 30 Daily Exchange Rates: Brazilian Real per U.S. Dollar Page 31