The Flexibility of the Oligopoly Game By Mike Reynolds Email: M.Reynolds2@bradford.ac.uk DEE 2011 - Slide 1 Session Outline • • • • Introduction Example Game A Closer Look Extending the Game DEE 2011 - Slide 2 Introduction • Meister (1999) – Describes an oligopoly game • Students split into teams/firms – Make decisions on quantity – Complicated set up • Simpler version of game DEE 2011 - Slide 3 Game Set-Up • Class Room arranged • Each team/firm is given an envelope containing instructions – See PDF DEE 2011 - Slide 4 Example Game • Sixth-form visit – Year 12 • 8 teams • 50 minute session • Outcomes will not necessarily look like the theory – This is fine DEE 2011 - Slide 5 Round 1 - Monopoly • Teams hand in output decisions – Team 1: 2000 olives – Team 2: 2500 olives – Team 3: 3000 olives – Team 4: 900 olives – Team 5: 3000 olives – Team 6: 3500 olives – Team 7: 4000 olives – Team 8: 3125 olives DEE 2011 - Slide 6 Round 1 - Profits • Students then see profits of all firms – Team 1: £4300 (from 2000 olives) – Team 2: £3862.50 (from 2500 olives) – Team 3: £2800 (from 3000 olives) – Team 4: £3062.50 (from 900 olives) – Team 5: £2000 (from 3000 olives) – Team 6: £1112.50 (from 3500 olives) – Team 7: £-1200 (from 4000 olives) – Team 8: £2438.72 (from 3125 olives) DEE 2011 - Slide 7 Round 2 – (Cournot) Competition • All teams in same market Round 1 Monopoly Round 2 Cournot Round 3 Team 1 Team 2 Team 3 Team 4 Team 5 Team 6 Team 7 Team 8 2000 2500 3000 900 3000 3500 4000 3125 4300 2000 -700 3862.50 320 -280 2800 200 -250 3062.50 2000.00 1112.50 300 750 400 -275 -387.50 -300 -1200 300 -275 Q P - - 5020 0 2438.72 750 -587.50 Cournot Round 4 Cournot MC*2 Round 5 Cournot Collusion Total Profit 3600.00 3582.50 2550.00 2787.50 2412.50 812.50 -1475.00 2049.22 Round 3 – (Cournot) Competition • Repeat of Round 2 Round 1 Monopoly Round 2 Cournot Round 3 Cournot Team 1 Team 2 Team 3 Team 4 Team 5 Team 6 Team 7 Team 8 2000 2500 3000 900 3000 3500 4000 3125 4300 2000 -700 1000 -450 3862.50 320 -280 300 -275 2800 200 -250 700 -375 3062.50 2000.00 1112.50 300 750 400 -275 500 -325 -387.50 500 -325 -300 500 -325 -1200 300 -275 800 -400.00 P - - 5020 0 5077 0 2438.72 750 -587.50 777 -394.25 Round 4 Cournot MC*2 Round 5 Cournot Collusion Total Profit 3150.00 3307.50 2175.00 2462.50 2087.50 487.50 -1875.00 1654.97 DEE 2011 - Slide 9 Q Round 4 – (Cournot) Competition • Marginal costs double Round 1 Monopoly Round 2 Cournot Round 3 Cournot Round 4 Cournot MC*2 Team 1 Team 2 Team 3 Team 4 Team 5 Team 6 Team 7 Team 8 2000 2500 3000 900 3000 3500 4000 3125 4300 2000 -700 1000 3862.50 320 -280 300 2800 200 -250 700 3062.50 2000.00 1112.50 300 750 400 -275 500 -387.50 500 -300 500 -1200 300 -275 800 P - - 5020 0 5077 0 1793 2.76 2438.72 750 -587.50 777 -450 50 -275 210 -375 100 -325 600 -325 200 -325 50 -400.00 150 -394.25 433 -87.06 274.34 25.88 1155.25 251.75 -87.06 138.81 778.04 Round 5 Cournot Collusion Total Profit 3062.94 3581.84 2200.88 3617.75 2339.25 400.44 -1736.19 2433.01 DEE 2011 - Slide 10 Q Round 5 – (Cournot) Competition • Collusion allowed Round 1 Monopoly Round 2 Cournot Round 3 Cournot Team 1 Team 2 Team 3 Team 4 Team 5 Team 6 Team 7 Team 8 2000 2500 3000 900 3000 3500 4000 3125 4300 2000 -700 1000 3862.50 320 -280 300 2800 200 -250 700 3062.50 2000.00 300 750 -275 500 -387.50 500 1112.50 400 -300 500 -1200 300 -275 800 - - 5020 0 5077 0 1793 2.76 8933 0 -587.50 777 -275 210 -375 100 -325 600 -325 200 -325 50 -400.00 150 -394.25 433 Cournot MC*2 -87.06 274.34 25.88 1155.25 251.75 -87.06 138.81 778.04 Round 5 2000 300 500 300 300 5000 133 400 Cournot Collusion -1200 -350.00 -450.00 -350.00 -350.00 -2700 -266.50 -400 Total Profit 1862.94 3231.84 1750.88 3267.75 1989.25 -2299.56 -2002.69 2033.01 DEE 2011 - Slide 11 P 2438.72 750 -450 50 Round 4 Q Final Results • Team 4 win Round 1 Monopoly Round 2 Cournot Round 3 Cournot Team 1 Team 2 Team 3 Team 4 Team 5 Team 6 Team 7 Team 8 2000 2500 3000 900 3000 3500 4000 3125 4300 2000 -700 1000 3862.50 320 -280 300 2800 200 -250 700 3062.50 2000.00 300 750 -275 500 -387.50 500 1112.50 400 -300 500 -1200 300 -275 800 -375 100 -325 600 -325 200 -325 50 -400.00 150 -394.25 433 Cournot MC*2 -87.06 274.34 25.88 1155.25 251.75 -87.06 138.81 778.04 Round 5 2000 300 500 300 300 5000 133 400 Cournot Collusion -1200 -350.00 -450.00 -350.00 -350.00 -2700 -266.50 -400 1862.94 3231.84 1750.88 3267.75 1989.25 -2299.56 -2002.69 DEE 2011 - Slide 12 - - 5020 0 5077 0 1793 2.76 8933 0 -587.50 777 -275 210 Total Profit P 2438.72 750 -450 50 Round 4 Q 2033.01 Debrief • Need to give students a quick overview – In other groups you could go further • Depends on ability of students – In this case, I underlined the contrast between monopoly and competition • Monopolists made profits (and had high prices) • Whilst competition drove prices very low – Lots of other elements that could be teased out • Collusion DEE 2011 - Slide 13 A Closer Look • Have an idea how the game goes • But why is the game set up this way? – Ensures the game is to be successful – Can alter elements to fit the students DEE 2011 - Slide 14 Workings of the Game (1) • Recall – “It is believed that in the relatively small market in which you operate that the total demand for olives even at very low prices is unlikely to be higher than 4000 units, and that even the biggest olive lover in the market is only willing to pay a maximum of around £5 per unit.” DEE 2011 - Slide 15 Workings of the Game (2) • Sketching the demand curve: Price 5 4000 – Or the equation: • P = 5 – 0.00125Q DEE 2011 - Slide 16 Quantity Workings of the Game (3) • Only simple details given – Emphasise the intuitive aspect • Can appeal to all levels of student • Possible to make it more complicated for more advanced students • Profit maximisation – Could become welfare maximisation DEE 2011 - Slide 17 Organisation • Set up in advance – Need to have an estimate of the number of teams and the abilities of the players – Spreadsheet is set up in advance • Only requires a demand structure DEE 2011 - Slide 18 Emphasise • Non-collusion – Only allow collusion at the end of the game • Costs for firms are the same – Could change to non-symmetric DEE 2011 - Slide 19 Decision Framework • Can vary the types of competition – Start with a (relatively) simple round – Could repeat • Pre-announced game length – Final round can bring odd results (as we saw) – Good idea to change the game at this point • Feedback of results – Profits or… – Can provide hints to class DEE 2011 - Slide 20 Refereeing the Game • Set times that decisions need to be made by – Initially a longer period • Be reactive to behaviour – Warn and then punish teams • Collusion • Late decisions – Plan alterations to the game DEE 2011 - Slide 21 Linking The Game • Sixth-form conference – 5-10 minute debrief – Or an extra session talking about the results DEE 2011 - Slide 22 Extensions • Basic game is appropriate to all – Economic problem solving • Can vary for the type of student or specific learning outcome – Sixth-form conferences – 1st year modules or inductions – 2nd or 3rd years on Microeconomic modules – Postgraduates DEE 2011 - Slide 23 Extensions: Level of Information • Details of demand – More detailed information • Students calculate solutions – Could even start with a utility function DEE 2011 - Slide 24 Decision Framework • Monopoly • Cournot • Bertrand – Price becomes decision variable – Emphasis the Bertand paradox • Stackelberg – Make one team the leader • Bundling • Any firm problem with a demand structure DEE 2011 - Slide 25 Other Extensions • Can be part of a module • Focus of maximisation – Profit or collective welfare? • Length of game – 50 minute session or over several weeks • Assessment – Give marks based on profit/welfare (Meister, 1999) – Gives students the details of the game and ask them to explain them • Lab-based simulation DEE 2011 - Slide 26 References • S. R. Beckham. 2003. “Cournot and Bertrand Games”, Journal of Economic Education 2003 34(1), pp. 27-35. • J. Brauer. 1994. “Games Economists Play: NonComputerised Classroom-Games in College Economics” • S. Gächter, C. Thoni., and J-R. Tyran. 2006. “Cournot Competition and Hit-and-Run Entry and Exit in a Teaching Experiment”, Journal of Economic Education 37(4), pp. 418430. • J. Meister. 1999. “An In-Class Economic Game”, Journal of Economic Education 30(4): pp. 383-391. • A. Ortmann. 2003. “Bertrand Price Undercutting: A Brief Classroom Demonstration”, Journal of Economic Education 34(1): pp. 21-26 DEE 2011 - Slide 27