Life Cycle Assessment A product-oriented method for sustainability analysis UNEP LCA Training Kit Module e – Impact assessment 1 ISO 14040 framework Life cycle assessment framework Goal and scope definition Direct applications: Inventory analysis Interpretation - Product development and improvement - Strategic planning - Public policy making - Marketing - Other Impact assessment Source: ISO 14040 Life cycle impact assessment • ISO: Phase of life cycle assessment aimed at understanding and evaluating the magnitude and significance of the potential environmental impacts of a product system – International Standard ISO 14042 – Technical Report ISO/TR 14047 • The third phase of an LCA – LCIA 3 3 Contents • • • • • The principle of characterisation Selection of impact categories, category indicators and characterisation models Classification Characterisation Optional elements – normalisation – grouping – weighting – data quality analysis The principle of characterisation (1) • CO2 and CH4 both contribute to climate change • Global Warming Potential (GWP): measure for climate change in terms of radiative forcing of a mass-unit of greenhouse gas • Example calculation: impact category – 5 kg CO2 – 3 kg CH4 – 1 x 5 + 21 x 3 = 65 characterisation – 68 kg CO2-eq factor GWP = 1 GWP = 21 category indicator result category indicator The principle of characterisation (2) • Simple conversion and aggregation: IndicatorResultcat CharFactcat ,subs InventoryResultsubs subs GWP (1 and 21) 5 and 3 kg CO2 and CH4 68 kg CO2-eq climate change IPCC climate model infrared radiative forcing 6 6 The principle of characterisation (3) • Two main groups of choice for indicator – midpoint-oriented (CML-IA, EDIP, TRACI, …) – endpoint-oriented (Eco-indicator 99, Eco-scarcity, EPS, …) • And ongoing efforts to combine/harmonize – midpoint and endpoint (Impact 2002+, Recipe, ...) 7 7 The principle of characterisation (4) Example Cd, CO2, NOx, SO2, etc. (kg/functional unit) Life cycle inventory results Impact category LCI results assigned to impact category Acidification Acidifying emissions (NOx, SO2, etc. assigned to acidification) 42 Characterisation model Category indicator Proton release (H+ aq) Environmental relevance Category endpoint(s) - forest - vegetation - etc. The principle of characterisation (5) • Structure of endpoint-oriented model (Eco-indicator 99) Inventory table Resource use Land use Modelling of cause and effect chain, using natural sciences Damage to resources Damage to ecosystem quality Emissions Damage to human health Valuation of severity of damages Indicator Impact categories, category indicators, characterisation models (1) • Impact category – ISO definition: class representing environmental issues of concern to which LCI results may be assigned • Examples: – climate change – acidification 10 10 Impact categories, category indicators, characterisation models (2) • Category indicator: – ISO definition: quantifiable representation of an impact category • Examples: – infrared radiative forcing – proton release 11 11 Impact categories, category indicators, characterisation models (3) • Characterisation model: – non-ISO definition: mathematical model of the impact of elementary flows with respect to a particular category indicator • Examples: – IPCC model for global change – RAINS model for acidifying substances • Provides the basis for a characterisation factor 12 12 Impact categories, category indicators, characterisation models (4) • Characterisation factor: – ISO definition: factor derived from a characterisation model which is applied to convert the assigned LCI results to the common unit of the category indicator • Examples: – GWP – AP 13 13 Impact categories, category indicators, characterisation models (5) • Impact categories, characterisation methods and characterisation models: some baseline examples impact category category indicator characterisation model characterisation factor abiotic depletion ultimate reserve irt Guinee & Heijungs 95 ADP annual use climate change infrared radiative IPCC model GWP forcing stratospheric strat. ozone WMO model ODP ozone depletion breakdown human toxicity PDI/ADI Multimedia model, e.g. HTP EUSES, CalTox ecotoxicity PEC/PNEC Multimedia model, e.g. AETP, TETP, etc. (aquatic, EUSES, CalTox terrestrial etc.) photo-oxidant trop. ozone UNECE Trajectory model POCP formation formation acidification deposition/ac.critical RAINS AP load ... ... ... ... 14 14 Impact categories, category indicators, characterisation models (6) • LCA has essentially a flow character: – emissions/ resource extractions in kg per functional unit • Impacts have therefore a similar character: – climate change/toxicity/depletion/etc. per functional unit • Some impacts do not fit well: – loss of biodiversity/introduction of GMOs/etc. 15 15 Classification (1) • ISO definition: assignment of LCI results to impact categories • Example: CO2 and CH4 are assigned to climate change 16 16 Classification (2) Impact category Incandescent lamp Fluorescent lamp CO2 to air 800000 kg 50000 kg CH4 to air 230 kg 24 kg 3g 20 g Climate change Ecotoxicity Copper to water 17 17 Characterisation (1) • ISO definition: calculation of category indicator results • Example: 5 kg CO2 and 3 kg CH4 yield 68 kg CO2-eq 18 18 Characterisation (2) • Formula: IndicatorResultcat CharFactcat,subs InventoryResultsubs subs • Unit of characterisation result: – kg CO2-eq (climate change) – kg SO2-eq (acidification) – … 19 19 Characterisation (3) • Example of a characterisation table Impact category Incandescent lamp Fluorescent lamp Climate change 120000 kg CO2-eq 40000 kg CO2-eq Ecotoxicity 320 kg DCB-eq 440 kg DCB-eq Acidification 45 kg SO2-eq 21 kg SO2-eq Depletion of resources 0.8 kg antinomy-eq 0.3 kg antinomy-eq etc … … 20 20 Normalisation (1) • ISO definition: calculation of the magnitude of category indicator results to reference information • Reference information (over a given period of time): – area (e.g., France, Europe, the world) – person (e.g., a Danish citizen) – product (e.g., the most frequently used product) 21 21 Normalisation (2) • Aim: better understand the relative magnitude for each indicator results of the product system under study. – checking for inconsistencies – providing and communicating information on the relative significance of the indicator results – preparing for additional procedures 22 22 Normalisation (3) • Formula: Normalized IndicatorR esult cat IndicatorR esult cat ReferenceV alue cat • Unit of normalisation result: year 23 23 Normalisation (4) • Example of a normalisation table Impact category Incandescent lamp Fluorescent lamp Climate change 1.210-11 yr 410-12 yr Ecotoxicity 1.610-10 yr 2.210-10 yr Acidification 910-11 yr 4.210-11 yr Depletion of resources 2410-12 yr 910-13 yr etc … … 24 24 Grouping (1) • ISO definition: assigning impact categories into one or more sets • Sorting: grouping on a nominal basis – e.g., global versus regional • Ranking: grouping on an ordinal basis – e.g., high, medium and low priority – based on value choices 25 25 Grouping (2) • Example of the results of grouping Impact category Incandescent lamp Fluorescent lamp Climate change 1.210-11 yr 410-12 yr Depletion of resources 2410-12 yr 910-13 yr 910-11 yr 4.210-11 yr Global Regional Acidification 26 26 Weighting (1) • ISO definition: converting and possibly aggregating indictor results across impact categories using numerical factors – based on value-choices – ISO: “weighting shall not be used for comparative assertions disclosed to the public” 27 27 Weighting (2) • Basis for weighting factors: – monetary values • willingness-to-pay • damage costs • reduction costs – distance-to-target methods – panel methods • expert panels • non-expert panels – ... 28 28 Weighting (3) • Some methods that include weighting – ecopoints/ecoscaricity – Eco-indicator 99 – EPS 29 29 Weighting (4) • Formula: WeightedIndex • or WeightingFactcat IndicatorResultcat cat WeightingFactcat NormalizedndicatorResultcat cat index: • Unit of weighted – year (when based on normalized results) – euro, dollar, etc. (when based on monetary valuation) – but often renamed: ecopoints, millipoints, ELU, etc. WeightedIndex 30 30 Weighting (5) • Example of the results of weighting Weighed index Incandescent lamp Fluorescent lamp Weighted index 8.510-10 yr 1.410-10 yr 31 31 Data quality analysis • Understanding the significance, uncertainty and sensitivity of the LCIA results • Suggested techniques: – gravity analysis – uncertainty analysis – sensitivity analysis 32 32