Impact of devolution on cross-border commerce Aidan Gough and Eoin Magennis (InterTradeIreland) IBIS seminar, 6 February 2009 “cold denying silence” that descended on this island for too long in the past century and resulted in a process of “friction and frission” Conor Brady Economics and Peacemaking ‘Unless you achieve economic transformation, you can’t have a stable society.’ Sir George Quigley (March 2007) ‘Economic progress is crucial to the political forces that favour peace’ Portland Trust (May 2007) British Subvention to Northern Ireland British Subvention to Northern Ireland 2250 2000 1750 1500 1250 1000 750 500 250 0 British Subvention to Northern Ireland 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 Employment in the Public Sector Employment in the Public Sector 170 160 150 140 Employment in the Public Sector 130 120 110 100 90 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 Participation Rates in Further and Higher Education Unemployment in Northern Ireland Unemployment Rate 300 250 200 Unemployment Rate 150 100 50 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 Troubles Related Deaths Total Troubles - Related deaths 650 550 450 Total Troubles Related deaths 350 250 150 50 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 The Belfast Agreement, 1998. Six Cross-Border Bodies InterTradeIreland “A Body to exchange information and co-ordinate work on trade, business development and related matters, in areas where the two administrations specifically agree it would be in their mutual interest.” Institutional Arrangements Northern Ireland Assembly & Executive North-South Ministerial Council Irish Government InterTradeIreland Department of Enterprise, Trade & Investment Department of Enterprise, Trade & Employment InterTradeIreland 1998 NOW Political Economic Cross Border All Island Trade Competitiveness Cross-Border Trade Statistics Cross-Border Tourism Statistics 700 600 500 Visitors 400 Going North Going South 300 200 100 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 Year 2005 2006 2007 Cross-Border Traffic Volumes 25000 Nos of vehicles 20000 15000 M1/N1 at Ravensdale 10000 N2 at Aughnacloy 5000 0 2001 2002 2003 2005 2004 Years 2006 2007 2008 Cross-Border Bus and Rail Travel Statistics Nos of passengers (,000s) 1200 1000 800 Going North 600 Going South 400 200 0 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Cross-Border Student Flows 5000 4500 4000 Number of Students 3500 3000 North - South 2500 South - North 2000 1500 1000 500 0 2000/01 2001/02 2002/03 2003/04 Year 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 Cross-Border Public and EU Investment Flows 500 450 400 350 EU programmes 300 €m Operational Programmes North/South Bodies 250 Areas of Co-operation Public Sector Co-operation 200 TOTALS 150 100 50 0 2002 2003 2004 Years 2005 2006 Cross-Border Opportunities in the Current Economic Climate • Create gains in trade and investment; • Generate economies of scale; • Deliver more efficient and effective public services; • Promote wider economic benefits • Reduce market failures • Open new or ‘missing’ markets • Deliver more balanced regional development