Module 20 Economic Policy and the Aggregate DemandAggregate Supply Model KRUGMAN'S MACROECONOMICS for AP* odel Margaret Ray and David Anderson What you will learn in this Module: • How the AD-AS model is used to formulate macroeconomic policy • The rationale for stabilization policy • Why fiscal policy is an important tool for managing economic fluctuations • Which policies constitute expansionary fiscal policy and which constitute contractionary fiscal policy Macroeconomic Policy • Self-correction? • Stabilization Policy Policy in the Face of Demand Shocks • Negative Demand Shocks/ Positive Demand Shocks • Why are they bad? Create GDP Gaps: change in output, change in employment, change in price level. Having price stability is a good thing and a desirable goal. Should policymakers counteract? Yes and No Responding to Supply Shocks • Supply shocks: Hard to counter act. Can not easily remedy • Policy dilemma: How can you shift the AS curve back? Should you shift the AD curve right instead? Could limit unemployment, but cause even higher inflation Fiscal Policy: The Basics Taxes, Government Purchases of Goods and Services, Transfers, and Borrowing Taxes, Government Purchases of Goods and Services, Transfers, and Borrowing The Government Budget and Total Spending • GDP = C + I + G + X - M • The effect of taxes and transfers • Effects on Investment Expansionary and Contractionary Fiscal Policy • Expansionary Fiscal Policy • increase G • decrease T • increase transfers Expansionary and Contractionary Fiscal Policy • Contractionary Fiscal Policy • decrease G • increase T • decrease transfers A Cautionary Note: Lags in Fiscal Policy Time lags: 3 Lags in fiscal policy • Recognition lag: Government has to realize there is a problem and a GDP gap has happened • Decision lag: (Administrative lag): Government must come up with a plan to correct the GDP gap and pass legislation • Implementation lag: (Operational lag): Once the policy is approved, the effects take time to change the condition of the economy. ** Lags make decision making more difficult**