CML Centre of Environmental Science Life Cycle Inventory Modeling using Integrated Hybrid Model - With a case study of Linoleum Sangwon Suh 1 CML Centre of Environmental Science 1. Introduction • Calculated truncation in “SETAC” LCI Reference Estimated truncation Method Lave et al., 1995 50% 1st order upstream Lenzen, 2001 9~52% 3rd order (energy) 2 CML Centre of Environmental Science 1st 2nd [Lave et al., 1995] 1. Introduction 3rd 4th [Lenzen, 2001] 5th 6th 3 CML Centre of Environmental Science 1. Introduction Alternative : Input-output based LCI [Moriguchi et al., 1993] [Hendrickson et al, 1998] [Joshi, 2000] 4 CML Centre of Environmental Science 1. Introduction Activated carbon and charcoal Alkali metals SIC 2819Industrial inorganic chemicals, NEC Alumina Aluminum chloride Aluminum compounds Aluminum hydroxide (alumina trihydrate) Aluminum oxide Aluminum sulfate Alums Ammonia alum Ammonium chloride, hydroxide, and molybdate Ammonium compounds, except for fertilizer Ammonium perchlorate Ammonium thiosulfate Barium compounds Bauxite, refined 182 items Beryllium oxide Bleach (calcium hypochlorite), industrial Bleach (sodium hypochlorite), industrial Bleaches, industrial Bleaching powder, industrial Borax (sodium tetraborate) Boric acid Boron compounds, not produced at mines Borosilicate Brine Bromine, elemental Calcium carbide, chloride, and hypochlorite Calcium compounds, inorganic Calcium metal Carbide Catalysts, chemical Cerium salts Cesium metal Charcoal, activated 5 CML Centre of Environmental Science 1. Introduction Objectives • Systematic LCI modeling : Integrated hybrid model • Empirical test using existing case study 6 CML Centre of Environmental Science 2. Methodology Hybrid LCI modeling • Integrating computational structure of LCI [Heijungs, 1994] : Physical unit/operation time IOA [Stone, et al., 1963] : Monetary unit/total production Full interaction between processes and economy 7 CML Centre of Environmental Science 2. Methodology Hybrid matrix 8 CML Centre of Environmental Science Lacquer Production 0.263$ Solvent Industrial Org.Chem 0.031$ Ind.Bld Chem.Ind. Installat’n 9 CML Centre of Environmental Science 2. Methodology Technology Outflows Total from P Intervention Intervention matrix of P intervention = by processes by IO comm. Inflows Technology from IO matrix of IO -1 Final demand 0 1 ~ A S y ~ M P P N A 0 10 CML Centre of Environmental Science 2. Methodology Required treatment • IO part 1. Inclusion of domestic and imported capital and current commodity 2. Price update: the base year of the IO table current price 3. Subtraction of the portion of commodity flows represented by the product based system • LCA part 1. Allocation 2. Price adjustment (consumer’s price vs. producer’s price) 11 CML Centre of Environmental Science 3. Case study • Linoleum [Gorree, et al., 2000] • Main data gaps - production & transportation of pesticides, fertilizer S, additives, solvent, adhesives, catalysts - Capital goods 12 CML Centre of Environmental Science 3. Case study Procedure Cost composition table/cost estimation for cut-offs Capital requirements estimation Link estimated cost to each IO cell 13 CML Centre of Environmental Science 3. Case study • Cost composition table - Linseed oil, Tall oil, …(12 major ingredients) - Catalysts, fertilizer S, … (8 cut-off flows) - Industrial building, material handling equipment,…(3 capitals) • Capital requirements estimation - Linseed oil, Tall oil, …(12 major ingredients) 14 CML Centre of Environmental Science 3. Case study • 3 Cases - Baseline (Existing LCI) ~ ~~ M PA 1~ y - Hybrid (Cut-offs and capitals : 38 links) 1 ~ y A S ~ ~ M P P N A 0 - IO LCI (Miscellaneous floor coverings) M PA 1y 15 CML Centre of Environmental Science 4. Result 250% 200% 150% 100% 50% 0% POC OD GW Baseline HT AEF AES SEF Hybrid SES TE AD EUT ODR IO LCI 16 CML Centre of Environmental Science 4. Result Summary Percent change Baseline Hybrid Max IO LCI 0% 5% ~ 73% (avg. 18%) -85% ~ 124% (avg. 3%) 17 CML Centre of Environmental Science 4. Result Sources of difference Process based LCA IO based LCA Truncation Truncation Incomplete data Incomplete data Aggregation Base year difference Price difference Use of IO based result should be limited 18 CML Centre of Environmental Science 5. Conclusion Conclusion 1. Both process and IO based LCI suffer from their inherent problems: truncation and aggregation 2. Hybrid LCI : technology matrix of LCI be fully integrated to national accounts 19 CML Centre of Environmental Science 5. Conclusion 3. Hybrid method as worked out: capturing most of the flows without loss of process specific data 4. Limitations of this study - IO data only covers national economy - Inclusion of capital goods can be improved 20 CML Centre of Environmental Science Software information Missing Inventory Estimation Tool (MIET) Download @ http://www.leidenuniv.nl/cml/ssp/software/miet CMLCA Download @ http://www.leidenuniv.nl/cml/ssp/software/cmlca 21