Employment Generation in Agriculture, Wasteland Development, Afforestation & Agro-Industries Workshop on Employment in Rural Non-Farm Sector Institute for Applied Manpower Research New Delhi, March 25-27, 2002 1 Contradictions in Indian Agriculture Lowest wages but highest unit production cost for all crops -due to low crop yields. Abundant water resources but not enough water for agriculture -- due to wastage of water. e.g. California cotton farmers produce 35 times more cotton per liter of water than in Tamil Nadu with AT. Huge food stocks but widespread malnutrition -- due to lack of purchasing power. Though farmers produce more, they earn less -- due to falling 2 market prices. Vicious Cycle of Indian Agriculture Low Crop Productivity High Production Cost & Low Employment Generation Low Incomes, Low Purchasing Power & Low Demand For Food Crops Low Food Consumption, Malnutrition & Chronic Poverty 3 Solution to the Contradictions Increase productivity to reduce unit cost of production and generates jobs, higher income for farmers, and exportable surpluses. Raise profitability of agriculture to increase the incomes and purchasing power of rural population to eliminate malnutrition and stimulate demand. Link agriculture to agro-industries such as biomass power, fuel and edible oil to provide assured market for surplus production & generate non-farm employment. Rotate crops every season and diversify from foodgrains to commercial & orchard crops in response to market demand to avoid surplus production. Raise efficiency of water usage & crop productivity by advanced methods of deep soil ploughing & rainwater harvesting. 4 Virtuous Cycle of Indian Agriculture High Crop Productivity Low Production Cost & High Employment Generation High Incomes, High Purchasing Power & High Demand For Food Crops Higher Food Consumption, Good Health & Prosperity 5 Agriculture Technology (AT) Engine for Growth Higher crop yields & farmer profit through AT Higher on-farm employment Links to Agro-industries for assured market Higher non-farm employment Higher purchasing power leading to bigger demand for food 6 Critical Needs Apply advanced crop production technology to raise yields Intensive training of farmers on AT Diversify cropping patterns Improve management of water resources Create links with agro-industries 7 Low Indian Crop Productivity (kg/ha) Crop USA India USA/India Rice 6622 2928 2.3 Maize 8397 1666 5.0 Wheat 4400 2583 1.7 Groundnut 3038 912 3.3 Soy beans 2452 1007 2.4 40,238 17,307 2.3 700 333 2.1 59,295 15,138 3.9 Potato Lint Cotton Tomato 8 California AT “Applied” in India Crop Indian Average CACS in India 25-30 tons/ha 80-86 tons/acre Lint Cotton 432 kg/ha 985 kg/ha Egg Plant 17.5-20 tons/ha 60 tons/ha 0.5 kg/vine 1.23 kg/vine Tomato Black Pepper 9 Raising Crop Productivity Soil preparation Plant nutrition Water management Pest management Time & schedule management 10 Deep Soil Ploughing for Rainwater Harvesting Indian farmers plough soil only 6 to 8” deep, resulting in dense packing of earth that prevents rainwater and crop roots from penetrating into the earth, leads to flooding of crops, and stunts plant growth. Deep ploughing enables soil to capture rainwater, recharges groundwater, prevents run-off, enables root systems to grow deep, increases crop productivity. This reduces need for irrigation to as low as 20%. 11 Normal Indian Soil Rainwater cannot penetrate deepr or drain, so it floods roots & evaporates rapidly. The flooding prevents plant roots from breathing, which is essential for absorption of nutrients. 6” Crop Hard Pan Roots cannot penetrate so plant growth is stunted. Plants are small, weak, needs frequent irrigation & gives low yield. 12 Deep Soil ploughing Roots sink deep to reach perennial water supply & nutrients. Plant grows large, strong & highly productive. 36” Crop Soft Pan Rainwater stored deep down where it will not easily evaporate & is available to plants for months 13 Balanced Soil & Plant Nutrition Plants require more than 12 essential nutrients to generate healthy and productive growth. Without these 12 nutrients, genetic potential of hybrid seeds cannot be tapped. Same hybrid rice seed generates 2.8 tons per hectare in India, 5.4 tons in China and 8 tons in USA. In India, soil is being tested for only three nutrients. Methods employed in India for application of fertilizers lead to low absorption, high wastage and high cost. Advanced methods can triple or quadruple the productivity of 14 the same hybrid seed. Rotate & Mix Cropping Patterns Rotate 3 different crops for 3 seasons every year (1 year example) Vegetable in fall Maize in spring Pulse in summer Mixed cropping (10 acre example) 3 acres maize, tapioca, sugarcane or sugar beet for ethanol 1 acre banana 1 acre vegetable 1 acre pulses for edible oil 1 acre mango, neem or amla orchard 1 acre Casuarina (irrigated or dry 1 acre jatropa (dry) for fuel oil 1 acre Paradise tree (dry) for edible oil 15 Assured Agro-Industrial Markets Energy Edible Oil Other commercial crops 16 Energy is an unlimited market India needs energy – demand for power & oil will triple by 2020 Shift to renewable energy for energy self-sufficiency Electrical power can be produced from biomass Bio-fuels are cost-effective source of renewable energy & reduce dependence on coal & imported oil 17 Projected Power Demand by 2020 1997 BAU 2020 BCS 2020 1400 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0 Industry Transport Agriculture Commercial Residential 18 Total Biomass Power Generation Utilise paddy straw, cane waste, begasse Cultivate energy plantations -- casuarina, bamboo, prosopis and others on rain-fed and irrigated lands Power plants of 6-25 MW size Capital investment Rs 3 crores per MW vs. Rs 5 crores for thermal power 20 units in AP alone with 20 more licensed Tamil Nadu planning for hundreds of units Cost per unit Rs 2.50 based on biomass at Rs 800 per ton 19 Strategy & Benefits of Biomass Power Develop 10 million hectares of energy plantation crops such as casuarina, eucalyptus & bamboo Establish 4000 decentralised power plants Generate 40,000 MW of power Create year-round employment for 5 million people Reduce transmission losses & support rural industries. 20 Projected Oil Demand by 2020 1997 BAU 2020 BCS 2020 Total Domestic Commercial Agriculture Transport Industry Power 0 50 100 150 Projected demand for oil in million tonnes 200 250 21 Bio-Fuels – Jatropa Curcas Dry land crop from Africa Seeds which contain up to 35% oil Oil is a substitute for No.2 diesel & kerosene Blend in diesel motor fuels up to 15%. Cost is competitive with other fuel oils. 22 Strategy & Benefits of Jatropa Cultivate 5 million hectares on wastelands Establish 1250 oil expeller units Produce 3.75 million tons of fuel annually valued at Rs 7500 crores Create year-round employment for 2.5 million people. 23 Bio-Fuels – Ethanol Ethanol is clean burning, pollution free fuel. Ethanol-petrol fuel blends are utilized in more than 20 countries, including Brazil, Canada, Sweden and USA. USA consumes 4 billion liters of ethanol as motor fuel per annum. Brazil consumes more than 16 billion liters annually & meets 41% of total demand for transport fuel 24 Ethanol in India GOI has already approved 5% ethanol-petrol fuel blend Ethanol can be approved for use up to 10% mix with both petrol & diesel in unmodified vehicle engines. India consumes 40 million tons of diesel & 6 million tons of petrol annually. A 10% blend would require 4.6 million tons per annum. With engine modification, much higher ethanol blends can be utilized, created a potential demand for more than 10 million tons per annum. Total current production of ethanol in India (primarily from molasses) is 1.3 million tons, of which 50% is used for industrial purposes and 50% for potable purposes. 25 Ethanol Production Molasses – India has 2 million ton surplus Sugarcane – India has 10 months supply of sugar Maize Tapioca Sugar beet – can produce 50% more fuel per acre per year consuming only 40% the water. 26 Strategy & Benefits of Ethanol Cultivate 0.5 million hectares of addl fuel crops 250 ethanol production units Produce 6 million tons ethanol, value Rs 11,000 crs Create 2.25 million rural jobs Reduces dependence on imported fuels Creates an alternative market for sugarcane to reduce sugar surplus Stimulus to rural industrialization Reduce pollution from petrol-based motor fuel Boost rural electricity generation from begasse & provide local source of power for industrialization 28 Meet India’s demand for Edible Oil India imports Rs 10,000 cr of edible oil / year Paradise tree is rainfed, oil-seed crop from Brazil containing 50% edible oil Cultivate 5 million hectares of Paradise Tree Establish 1250 oil expeller units Produce 3.75 MT of edible oil worth Rs 11,000 crores Create 2.5 million year-round jobs 29 Other Agro-Industrial Crops Corn oil, corn flakes, corn syrup, fructose, chicken & cattle feed, and many other foods and industrial chemicals from maize Fruit juices, pulp and dried fruits from mango, guava, pineapple, grapes, etc. High protein foods from beans Herbs & Medicinal plants such as amla, neem 30 Generate 3000 Agro-Industries 250 – 4000 MW Biomass Power Plants 1250 – Oil extraction units for jatropa fuel oil 1250 – Oil extraction units for edible oil from Paradise tree 250 – Ethanol plants Based on registered crops on sugar factory model 31 Summary of Benefits Create 13 million farm & non-farm jobs Generate 40,000 MW of power Produce 18,000 crores of biofuels Meet India’s total demand for edible oil Increase agricultural GDP by 35 to 50% 32