Complex Systems / Sociology 260 Fall 2014 TTh 10-11:30 471 Lorch Patrick Grim SOCIAL DYNAMICS This course is an introduction to contemporary theoretical tools for understanding the dynamics of social systems. We will be using game theory, network theory, and agent-based simulations in order to try to understand basic mechanisms of social organization and social change. The emphasis will be not on empirical data but on attempts to understand the deeper social dynamics and mechanisms of social change. At the conclusion of the course, you will: 1) be familiar with basic concepts of network analysis and game theory as applied to questions of social dynamics 2) have read and discussed landmark contributions in the field 3) be familiar with agent-based modeling and other techniques as tools for understanding social change Format Our work will be divided between (1) short lectures and (2) discussion in seminar. For seminars, your reading in advance and active participation will be crucial. Books and Readings We will be drawing extensively from: David Easley and Jon Kleinberg, Networks, Crowds & Markets. That’s the closest to a textbook we will be using, and you should buy it. We will be drawing repeatedly from: Thomas C. Schelling, Micromotives and Macrobehavior Scott Page, The Difference. Duncan Watts, Six Degrees Great books. I recommend that you buy those as well. We will be using a wide range of other readings that will be available as .pdfs on CTools. The best plan: Print these out as we go and compile them in a notebook. Grading There will be no midterm and no final. Grading will be based on three components: (1) Work on homework, due once a week, consisting of hard copy answers to questions on the reading and formulation of a question of your own for seminar discussion. I may occasionally choose to substitute a short in-class quiz for written homework. (2) Active participation, including but not limited to several seminar presentations that you will be preparing with a partner from the class. Lecture sheets will be included here. (3) Three projects done in the course: (i) a project graphing and analyzing the network of your facebook contacts, (ii) an agent-based modeling project that you do with others as a team, and (iii) a final paper applying some of the theoretical work we’ve developed. Each of these will count for 1/3 of your grade. In (3), projects (i), (ii) and (iii) will count for 25%, 35%, and 40% of the total project grade. Topics in order, with ● readings and ■ assignments in advance Note: As we see how our investigations go, readings may change on short notice. Week 1 9/2 Welcome to the course Reading in advance for 9/4: ● Networks, Crowds, and Markets (NCM) chapter 1 9/4 Individual Behaviors, Social Dynamics: The Game Week 2 Reading in advance for 9/9: ● Schelling, Micromotives and Macrobehavior chapter 1 ○ “The Myth of the Ant Queen,” from Steven Johnson, Emergence: The Connected Lives of Ants, Brains, Cities and Software ○ “The Origins of a New Science,” from Duncan Watts, Six Degrees: The Science of a Connected Age Homework due on 9/9: ■ Questions on the reading ■Your question for the seminar 9/9 Seminar: Individual Behaviors, Social Dynamics Reading in advance for 9/11: ● small worlds NCM Chapter 2, through 2.3; chapter 3, through 3.2; chapter 20, through 20.3 9/11 Six Degrees of Separation: Small Worlds Week 3 Reading in advance for 9/16: ● “Small Worlds,” from Duncan Watts, Six Degrees: The ● “Small Worlds,” from Duncan Watts, Six Degrees: The Science of a Connected Age ○ Duncan Watts & Steven Strogatz, “Collective Dynamics of ‘Small-world’ Networks” ○ Mark Granovetter, “The Strength of Weak Ties” Science of a Connected Age ○ Duncan Watts & Steven Strogatz, “Collective Dynamics of ‘Small-world’ Networks” ○ Mark Granovetter, “The Strength of Weak Ties” Homework due on 9/16: ■ Questions on the reading ■Your question for the seminar 9/16 Seminar: Small Worlds Reading in advance for 9/18: ● Preferential attachment NCM Chapter 18, 18.1The – 18.6 ● “Small Worlds,” from Duncan Watts, Six Degrees: Science of a Connected Age 9/18 Popularity: One Way Social Networks Form ○ Duncan Watts & Steven Strogatz, “Collective Dynamics Week 4 of ‘Small-world’ Networks” ○ Mark Granovetter, “The Strength of Weak Ties” Reading in advance for 9/23: ● “Beyond the Small World,” from Duncan Watts, Six Degrees: The Science of a Connected Age. ○ from Albert-László Barabási, Linked: the New Science of Networks ○ Albert-László Barabási & Reka Albert, “Emergence of Scaling in Random Networks” ○ Reka Albert, Hawoong Jeong, Albert-László Barabási & Reka Albert, “Attack and Error Tolerance of Complex Networks” Homework due on 9/23: ■ Questions on the reading ■ Your question for the seminar 9/23 Seminar: Preferential Attachment Reading in advance for 9/25: ● Network properties NCM chapter 2 all, chapter 3 3.3-3.5 9/25 How to Access and Graph Your Facebook Network Guest Lecture Jon Atwell Week 5 Reading in advance for 9/30: ● from Katie Börner, Soma Sanyal and Alessandro Vespignani, Network Science Homework due on 9/30: ■ The graph of your facebook network: In (a) hard copy (b) a powerpoint slide on data key 9/30 Seminar: Analyzing Real Networks Reading in advance for 10/2: ● NCM Thresholds and information cascades Chapter 16 16.1-16.2, Chapter 19 19.1-19.4 10/2 Tipping Points Week 6 Reading in advance for 10/7: ● Malcolm Gladwell, The Tipping Point: How Little Things Can Make a Big Difference, pp. 3-29 ○ The Tipping Point, chapter 2 ○ The Tipping Point, chapter 3 ○ The Tipping Point, chapters 4 - 5 ○ Mark Granovetter, “Threshold Models of Collective Behavior” ○ Josh Epstein, “Modeling Civil Violence: An Agent-Based Computational Approach” Homework due on 10/7: ■ Questions on the reading ■ Your question for the seminar 10/7 Project #1 Due: Network Analysis of Your Facebook Contacts Seminar: Tipping Points in Social Dynamics Reading in advance for 10/9: ● Game Theory NCM Chapter 6, 6.1 – 6.7 10/9 Decision and Game Theory Week 7 ► 10/14 Reading Period – No Class Reading in advance for 10/17: ● Robert Axelrod, from The Evolution of Cooperation ○ From Sylvia Nasar, A Beautiful Mind ○ From Grim, Mar & St. Denis, The Philosophical Computer ○ Preparation for The Spatialized Prisoner’s Dilemma 10/17 Seminar: Social Dynamics and Spatialized Game Theory Week 8 Reading in advance for 10/21: ● The Schelling model NCM Chapter 4, esp. 4.5 10/21 The Social Dynamics of De Facto Segregation ► No class 10/23 Reading in advance for 10/28: ● Thomas Schelling, from Micromotives and Macrobehavior ○ Elizabeth Bruch & Robert D. Mare, “Neighborhood Choice and Neighborhood Change” Homework due on 10/28: ■ Questions on the reading ■ Your question for the seminar Week 9 10/28 Prejudice and Segregation Elizabeth Bruch visit Reading in advance for 10/30: ● From Gordon W. Allport, The Nature of Prejudice ■ On-line racism test 10/30 Are You Prejudiced? □ Group Projects assigned: the envelope please Week 10 Homework in advance for 11/04: Working with NetLogo 11/04 Hands-on modeling in NetLogo L Homework in advance for 11/06: Work on group projects 11/06 Agent-based Modeling Lab: Work on the group projects Week 11 Homework in advance for 10/28: ■ Writing up team projects in NetLogo 11/11 Project #2 Due: Write-up of Team Report in Agent-Based Modeling Team presentations on NetLogo projects Reading in advance for 11/13: ● Cultural diffusion Robert Axelrod, “The Dissemination of culture – A Model with Local Convergence and Global Polarization” 11/13 The Social Dynamics of Ideas Week 12 Reading in advance for 11/18: ● Grim, Reade, Singer, Fisher & Majewicz, "What You Believe Travels Differently: Information and Infection Dynamics Across Sub-Networks," ○ Michael Weisberg & Ryan Muldoon, “Epistemic Landscapes and the Division of Cognitive Labor” ○ J. McKenzie Alexander, J. Himmelreich & C. J. Thompson, “Epistemic Landscapes, Optimal Search and the Division of Cognitive Labor” Homework due 11/18: ■ Questions on the reading ■ Your question for the seminar 11/18 Seminar: The Social Dynamics of Ideas Reading in advance for 11/20: ● from Alan I. Abramowitz, The Disappearing Center 11/20 Three Models of Opinion Polarization Week 13 Reading in advance for 11/25: ● Structural Balance NCM Chapter 5 ○ Rainer Hegselmann & Ulrich Krause, “Opinion Dynamics and Bounded Confidence: Models, Analysis and Simulation” ○ Robert Axelrod, “The Dissemination of culture – A Model with Local Convergence and Global Polarization” Homework due 11/25: ■ Questions on the reading ■ Your question for the seminar 11/25 Seminar: The Social Dynamics of Polarization 11/27 ► Thanksgiving – no class Week 14 Reading in advance for 12/2: ● from Scott Page, The Difference: How the Power of Diversity Creates Better Groups, Firms, Schools and Societies 12/2 The Wisdom of Crowds Reading in advance for 12/4: ● from Scott Page, The Difference: How the Power of Diversity Creates Better Groups, Firms, Schools and Societies Homework due 12/4: ■ Questions on your reading 12/4 The Advantages of Diversity Scott Page visit Week 15 Reading in advance for 12/8: ● to be announced ○ ○ Homework due 12/8: ■ Questions on your reading ■ Your question for the seminar 12/8 The final seminar Project #3 Due 12/15: Exploring, Expanding or Applying what you’ve learned